Let {Tn } be a renewal process in R＋ representing the successive arrival times of some natural events. We studied this process by using a record process approach under the assumption that the interarrival times T,, =...Let {Tn } be a renewal process in R＋ representing the successive arrival times of some natural events. We studied this process by using a record process approach under the assumption that the interarrival times T,, = Tn, - Ta-1, n = 1, 2...are exponentially i.i.d （independent and identically distributed）. The goal is to test that the first observed events are sporadic events. For testing the hypothesis ＂sporadic＂ we used the non-parametric test based on the probability distribution of the statistic of the number of records N, among{Xx }k-1= where Xk = （ΔTk）-1. We showed that it is independent of the cumulative distribution of the observations and that it is exactly calculated for each n. We illustrated this statistic on a simulated trajectory and we compared it with descriptive smoothing methods. We studied an application to a data set as storms in France and US.展开更多
Resampling is a critical procedure that is of both theoretical and practical significance for efficient implementation of the particle filter. To gain an insight of the resampling process and the filter, this paper co...Resampling is a critical procedure that is of both theoretical and practical significance for efficient implementation of the particle filter. To gain an insight of the resampling process and the filter, this paper contributes in three further respects as a sequel to the tutorial （Li et al., 2015）. First, identical distribution （ID） is established as a general principle for the resampling design, which requires the distribution of particles before and after resampling to be statistically identical. Three consistent met- rics including the （symmetrical） Kullback-Leibler divergence, Kolmogorov-Smimov statistic, and the sampling variance are introduced for assessment of the ID attribute of resampling, and a corresponding, qualitative ID analysis of representative resampling methods is given. Second, a novel resampling scheme that obtains the optimal ID attribute in the sense of minimum sampling variance is proposed. Third, more than a dozen typical resampling methods are compared via simulations in terms of sample size variation, sampling variance, computing speed, and estimation accuracy. These form a more comprehensive under- standing of the algorithm, providing solid guidelines for either selection of existing resampling methods or new implementations展开更多
文摘Let {Tn } be a renewal process in R＋ representing the successive arrival times of some natural events. We studied this process by using a record process approach under the assumption that the interarrival times T,, = Tn, - Ta-1, n = 1, 2...are exponentially i.i.d （independent and identically distributed）. The goal is to test that the first observed events are sporadic events. For testing the hypothesis ＂sporadic＂ we used the non-parametric test based on the probability distribution of the statistic of the number of records N, among{Xx }k-1= where Xk = （ΔTk）-1. We showed that it is independent of the cumulative distribution of the observations and that it is exactly calculated for each n. We illustrated this statistic on a simulated trajectory and we compared it with descriptive smoothing methods. We studied an application to a data set as storms in France and US.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51475383)European Commission MSCA-RISE-2014(No.641794)+1 种基金the Excellent Doctorate Foundation of Northwestern Polytechnical Universitythe Postdoctoral Fellowship of the University of Salamanca
文摘Resampling is a critical procedure that is of both theoretical and practical significance for efficient implementation of the particle filter. To gain an insight of the resampling process and the filter, this paper contributes in three further respects as a sequel to the tutorial （Li et al., 2015）. First, identical distribution （ID） is established as a general principle for the resampling design, which requires the distribution of particles before and after resampling to be statistically identical. Three consistent met- rics including the （symmetrical） Kullback-Leibler divergence, Kolmogorov-Smimov statistic, and the sampling variance are introduced for assessment of the ID attribute of resampling, and a corresponding, qualitative ID analysis of representative resampling methods is given. Second, a novel resampling scheme that obtains the optimal ID attribute in the sense of minimum sampling variance is proposed. Third, more than a dozen typical resampling methods are compared via simulations in terms of sample size variation, sampling variance, computing speed, and estimation accuracy. These form a more comprehensive under- standing of the algorithm, providing solid guidelines for either selection of existing resampling methods or new implementations
