We use conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation （CNOP） to investigate the optimal precursory disturbances in the Zebiak- Cane El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） model. The conditions of the CNOP-type precursors...We use conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation （CNOP） to investigate the optimal precursory disturbances in the Zebiak- Cane El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） model. The conditions of the CNOP-type precursors are highly likely to evolve into El Nino events in the Zebiak-Cane model. By exploring the dynamic behaviors of these nonlinear El Nino events caused by the CNOP-type precursors, we find that they, as expected, tend to phase-lock to the annual cycles in the Zebiak-Cane model with the SSTA peak at the end of a calendar year. However, E1 Nino events with CNOPs as initial anomalies in the linearized Zebiak-Cane model are inclined to phase-lock earlier than nonlinear E1 Nino events despite the existence of annual cycles in the model. It is clear that nonlinearities play an important role in El Nino＇s phase-locking. In particular, nonlinear temperature advection increases anomalous zonal SST differences and anomalous westerlies, which weakens anomalous upwelling and acts on the increasing anomalous vertical temperature difference and, as a result, enhances E1 Nino and then delays the peak SSTA. Finally, we demonstrate that nonlinear temperature advection, together with the effect of the annual cycle, causes El Nino events to peak at the end of the calendar year.展开更多
Pipes,especially buried pipes,in cold regions generally experience a rash of failures during cold weather snaps.However,the existing heuristic models are unable to explain the basic processes involving frost actions.T...Pipes,especially buried pipes,in cold regions generally experience a rash of failures during cold weather snaps.However,the existing heuristic models are unable to explain the basic processes involving frost actions.This is because the frost action is not a direct load but one that causes variations in pipe-soil interactions resulting from the coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical process in soils.This paper developed and implemented a holistic multiphysics simulation model for freezing soils and extended it to the analysis of pipe-soil systems.The theoretical framework was implemented to analyze both static and dynamic responses of buried pipes subjected to frost actions.The multiphysics simulations reproduced phenomena commonly observed during frost actions,e.g.,ice fringe advancement and an increase in the internal stress of pipes.The influences of important design factors,i.e.,buried depth and overburden pressure,on pipe responses were simulated.A fatigue cracking criterion was utilized to predict the crack initialization under the joint effects of frost and dynamic traffic loads.The frost effects were found to have detrimental effects for accelerating fatigue crack initialization in pipes.展开更多
基金sponsored by the Knowledge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.KZCX2-YW-QN203)the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant Nos.2010CB950400&2012CB955202)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41176013)
文摘We use conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation （CNOP） to investigate the optimal precursory disturbances in the Zebiak- Cane El Nino-Southern Oscillation （ENSO） model. The conditions of the CNOP-type precursors are highly likely to evolve into El Nino events in the Zebiak-Cane model. By exploring the dynamic behaviors of these nonlinear El Nino events caused by the CNOP-type precursors, we find that they, as expected, tend to phase-lock to the annual cycles in the Zebiak-Cane model with the SSTA peak at the end of a calendar year. However, E1 Nino events with CNOPs as initial anomalies in the linearized Zebiak-Cane model are inclined to phase-lock earlier than nonlinear E1 Nino events despite the existence of annual cycles in the model. It is clear that nonlinearities play an important role in El Nino＇s phase-locking. In particular, nonlinear temperature advection increases anomalous zonal SST differences and anomalous westerlies, which weakens anomalous upwelling and acts on the increasing anomalous vertical temperature difference and, as a result, enhances E1 Nino and then delays the peak SSTA. Finally, we demonstrate that nonlinear temperature advection, together with the effect of the annual cycle, causes El Nino events to peak at the end of the calendar year.
文摘Pipes,especially buried pipes,in cold regions generally experience a rash of failures during cold weather snaps.However,the existing heuristic models are unable to explain the basic processes involving frost actions.This is because the frost action is not a direct load but one that causes variations in pipe-soil interactions resulting from the coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical process in soils.This paper developed and implemented a holistic multiphysics simulation model for freezing soils and extended it to the analysis of pipe-soil systems.The theoretical framework was implemented to analyze both static and dynamic responses of buried pipes subjected to frost actions.The multiphysics simulations reproduced phenomena commonly observed during frost actions,e.g.,ice fringe advancement and an increase in the internal stress of pipes.The influences of important design factors,i.e.,buried depth and overburden pressure,on pipe responses were simulated.A fatigue cracking criterion was utilized to predict the crack initialization under the joint effects of frost and dynamic traffic loads.The frost effects were found to have detrimental effects for accelerating fatigue crack initialization in pipes.
