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新能源金属的中心化演进——基于VAR-BEKK-GARCH模型的实证检验 被引量:3
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作者 郭栋 《金融监管研究》 北大核心 2023年第2期94-114,共21页
本文以新能源金属中心化为研究对象,基于化石能源和金属市场的收益率数据,通过构建VAR-BEKK-GARCH模型进行实证分析,并得出以下结论:一是“碳中和”背景下,以石油为代表的化石能源在大宗商品市场的能源化效应在逐渐减弱,呈现弱能源化趋... 本文以新能源金属中心化为研究对象,基于化石能源和金属市场的收益率数据,通过构建VAR-BEKK-GARCH模型进行实证分析,并得出以下结论:一是“碳中和”背景下,以石油为代表的化石能源在大宗商品市场的能源化效应在逐渐减弱,呈现弱能源化趋势;二是铜等新能源金属市场对石油市场具有抑制作用,逐渐形成向金属中心化演进的趋势;三是货币周期对大宗商品市场的影响强于气候政策金融化,是当前关键的显性因素;四是人民币汇率和中美利差影响显著,对大宗商品市场的中心更替具有去能源化效应。基于此,本文提出以下建议:一是通过科技创新推进优势资源产业,以削弱石油能源化效应;二是布局资源开发,保障新能源金属市场的稳定,做好防范资源民粹主义的预案;三是稳定市场预期,增强金融韧性,防范美联储货币政策的转向风险;四是推进人民币国际化和金融市场的高质量开放,提升人民币的国际公共品服务功能。 展开更多
关键词 能源金属 能源化效应 气候政策金融 货币周期
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Modeling an emissions peak in China around 2030: Synergies or trade-offs between economy, energy and climate security 被引量:28
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作者 CHAI Qi-Min XU Hua-Qing 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE 2014年第4期169-180,共12页
China has achieved a political consensus around the need to transform the path of economic growth toward one that lowers carbon intensity and ultimately leads to reductions in carbon emissions, but there remain differ... China has achieved a political consensus around the need to transform the path of economic growth toward one that lowers carbon intensity and ultimately leads to reductions in carbon emissions, but there remain different views on pathways that could achieve such a transformation. The essential question is whether radical or incremental reforms are required in the coming decades. This study explores relevant pathways in China beyond 2020, particularly modeling the major target choices of carbon emission peaking in China around 2030 as China-US Joint Announcement by an integrated assessment model for climate change IAMC based on carbon factor theory. Here scenarios DGS-2020, LGS2025, LBS-2030 and DBS-2040 derived from the historical pathways of developed countries are developed to access the comprehensive impacts on the economy, energy and climate security for the greener development in China. The findings suggest that the period of 2025--2030 is the window of opportunity to achieve a peak in carbon emissions at a level below 12 Gt CO2 and 8.5 t per capita by reasonable trade-offs from economy growth, annually -0.2% in average and cumulatively -3% deviation to BAU in 2030. The oil and natural gas import dependence will exceed 70% and 45% respectively while the non-fossil energy and electricity share will rise to above 20% and 45%. Meantime, the electrification level in end use sectors will increase substantially and the electricity energy ratio approaching 50%, the labor and capital productivity should be double in improvements and the carbon intensity drop by 65% by 2030 compared to the 2005 level, and the cumulative emission reductions are estimated to be more than 20 Gt CO2 in 2015-2030. 展开更多
关键词 Emission peaking Energy cap Integrated assessment
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Application of stochastic method to optimum design of energy-efficient induction motors with a target of LCC
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作者 方攸同 范承志 +1 位作者 叶云岳 陈永校 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 EI CSCD 2003年第3期270-275,共6页
For an energy-efficient induction machine, the life-cycle cost (LCC) usually is the most important index to the consumer. With this target, the optimization design of a motor is a complex nonlinear problem with constr... For an energy-efficient induction machine, the life-cycle cost (LCC) usually is the most important index to the consumer. With this target, the optimization design of a motor is a complex nonlinear problem with constraints. To solve the problem, the authors introduce a united random algorithm. At first, the problem is divided into two parts, the optimal rotor slots and the optimization of other dimensions. Before optimizing the rotor slots with genetic algorithm ( GA), the second part is solved with TABU algorithm to simplify the problem. The numerical results showed that this method is better than the method using a traditional algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 Induction motor Global optimization Life cycle cost Energy efficient Genetic algorithm TABU algorithm
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美联储货币政策溢出与大宗商品价格波动的对奔——农产品价格安全视角的冲击效应实证分析 被引量:2
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作者 郭栋 《金融论坛》 CSSCI 北大核心 2022年第9期60-68,共9页
本文实证分析美联储货币政策溢出对农产品价格的影响,研究结果表明:一是美联储货币政策溢出效应对中国农产品价格存在关联性影响;二是汇率效应存在异质性,美债利率效应存在市场预期干扰;三是不同农产品的价格周期特征存在差异,石油美元... 本文实证分析美联储货币政策溢出对农产品价格的影响,研究结果表明:一是美联储货币政策溢出效应对中国农产品价格存在关联性影响;二是汇率效应存在异质性,美债利率效应存在市场预期干扰;三是不同农产品的价格周期特征存在差异,石油美元价格对农产品价格具有显著冲击效应,因而是政策溢出效应的重要影响因素。 展开更多
关键词 货币政策溢出效应 大宗商品价格 农产品价格 能源化效应
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Recent advances in non-noble electrocatalysts for oxidative valorization of biomass derivatives 被引量:4
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作者 Ruixiang Ge Jing Li Haohong Duan 《Science China Materials》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第12期3273-3301,共29页
Electrocatalysis is deemed as a promising approach for sustainable energy conversion and chemical production.Although a variety of cathode reactions(e.g.,hydrogen evolution and CO_(2)/N_(2)reduction)produce valuable f... Electrocatalysis is deemed as a promising approach for sustainable energy conversion and chemical production.Although a variety of cathode reactions(e.g.,hydrogen evolution and CO_(2)/N_(2)reduction)produce valuable fuels and chemicals,the extensively studied oxygen evolution reaction(OER)at anode only generates O_(2),which is not a high-value product.Substituting the OER with thermodynamically more favorable biomass derivative oxidation reactions(BDORs)not only enables energy-saving electrocatalysis,but also provides value-added anode products.Recent achievements have demonstrated that non-noble electrocatalysts are promising for BDORs.Herein,we provide a comprehensive review on recent achievements in the field of electrochemical BDORs catalyzed by non-noble catalysts.We start by summarizing the electrocatalytic oxidation of different types of biomass-derived substrates,aiming to show the advantages of the electrocatalytic pathway and to introduce the state-of-the-art non-noble catalysts.The reaction mechanisms of non-noble-material-catalyzed BDORs are then summarized and classified into three types according to the acceptor of hydrogen species during the dehydrogenation of biomass derivatives.Subsequently,discussions are devoted to the strategies for promoting the performances of non-noble electrocatalysts.Finally,we propose our opinions regarding future trends and major challenges in this field. 展开更多
关键词 biomass upgrading ELECTROOXIDATION non-noble electrocatalysts mechanism structure-performance relationship
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Ruthenium-promoted reductive transformation of CO2
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作者 Xuedong Li Xing He +1 位作者 Xiaofang Liu Liang-Nian He 《Science China Chemistry》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第7期841-852,共12页
The reductive transformation of CO_2 to energy related products including formic acid, CO, formamide, methanol and methylamine could be a promising option to supply renewable energy. In this aspect, ruthenium has foun... The reductive transformation of CO_2 to energy related products including formic acid, CO, formamide, methanol and methylamine could be a promising option to supply renewable energy. In this aspect, ruthenium has found wide application in hydrogenation of various carbonyl groups, and has successfully been applied to reductive transformation of CO_2 with high catalytic efficiency and excellent selectivity. In addition, ruthenium complexes have also served as effective photosensitizers for CO_2 photoreduction.Classified by reductive products, this review summarizes and updates advances in the Ru-catalyzed reduction of CO_2 along with catalyst development on the basis of mechanistic understanding at a molecular level. 展开更多
关键词 carbon dioxide chemistry homogeneous catalysis reductive transformation ruthenium sustainable chemistry
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