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2050年世界能源和电力发展预测
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《能源与环境》 1994年第2期46-47,共2页
据美刊《能源政策》1993年3月号所载Richard J.Eden教授的文章《 2050年世界能源》,对世界能源和电力发展作了两个2050年预测方案:一个以能源增长率为目标的预测方案TG,简称高方案;另一个以改进能源效率为目标的预测方案TE,简称低方案。... 据美刊《能源政策》1993年3月号所载Richard J.Eden教授的文章《 2050年世界能源》,对世界能源和电力发展作了两个2050年预测方案:一个以能源增长率为目标的预测方案TG,简称高方案;另一个以改进能源效率为目标的预测方案TE,简称低方案。 人口增长 1990年世界总人口约53亿,过去40年中人口增长了1倍,预测到2050年的60年内可能再增长1倍,达105亿。发展中国家人口增长较快,现有40亿,按中等水平预测到2050年将增至91.6亿。 能源资源 石油——世界石油资源在下世纪还不会用完,最高年产量可达40亿吨,估计2050年为30亿吨,与1988年的31亿吨差不多。 天然气——世界探明储量1000亿吨油当量,1988年产量17亿吨油当量,预测2050年可达30亿吨油当量。 水电——主要在发展中国家将增加,但受资金和环境影响所限制,全世界现有5亿吨油当量,预测2050年增至10亿吨油当量。 展开更多
关键词 2050年 油当量 电力发展预测 世界能源 人口增长 预测方案 能源效率 人均能耗 能源增长率 环境影响
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Saudi Arabia's Growing Demand for Electricity: Some Strategic Recommendations
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作者 Yasir Abdulkarim Alturki Abdel-Aty Edris 《Journal of Energy and Power Engineering》 2015年第3期296-302,共7页
Demand for electricity in Saudi Arabia is growing at a significant annual rate of nearly 8%. It is expected that, by 2030, the demand will increase to about 120 GW per year, approximately three times the 2010 load. Sa... Demand for electricity in Saudi Arabia is growing at a significant annual rate of nearly 8%. It is expected that, by 2030, the demand will increase to about 120 GW per year, approximately three times the 2010 load. Satisfying this demand will require a significant investment in the power grid at an estimated cost, over the next 10 years, ofSAR (Saudi Arabia Riyal) 500 billion. Existing power plants rely on oil and natural gas, it is anticipated that meeting the demand in 2030 will consume 3 million barrels ofoil each day, which significantly impacting the economy by reducing the country's income from oil exports, which is a hot button for Saudi decision makers. This paper reviews the responses of various countries in meeting their loads, and therefore, draws recommendations for some resources that should, and should not, be considered best-candidate options for Saudi Arabia economically, technically and environmentally. The discussion primarily examines renewable and nuclear resources. 展开更多
关键词 Load growth nuclear power RENEWABLE Saudi Arabia.
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Energy efficiency and economic growth of China:1953-2006 被引量:1
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作者 Zhang Jian 《Ecological Economy》 2009年第2期122-131,共10页
Energy plays an important role in the economic life. With the rapid development of economy, the constraint of energy on the sustainable development of economy is becoming more and more obvious. This paper just Studies... Energy plays an important role in the economic life. With the rapid development of economy, the constraint of energy on the sustainable development of economy is becoming more and more obvious. This paper just Studies the factors influencing energy efficiency of China and the relationship between energy efficiency and China's economic: growth. By using time series multivariable linear regression methods with China's relevant data from 1953 to 2006, this paper constructs the regression model to analyze the factors that would impact energy, efficiency. After that, a regression model of China's real output to capital, labor and energy e lficiency is conducted to estimate the marginal contribution of every factor to the real output to prove the fundamental influence of energy efficiency to the economic growth. In the end, some policies and recommendations are also put forward in order to improve the energy efficiency; of China. 展开更多
关键词 Energy efficiency impact factor Economic growth Input and output
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Elasticity Ratio of Resource Consumption and the Resource Consumption
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作者 Meng Weihua Zhu Dajian Zhou Xinhong 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2009年第1期51-56,共6页
Today the resources are becoming scarcer, which should not be regarded as unexhausted any more. Correspondingly, the production would be constrained by the scarcity of resources clearly. Then the economic researchers ... Today the resources are becoming scarcer, which should not be regarded as unexhausted any more. Correspondingly, the production would be constrained by the scarcity of resources clearly. Then the economic researchers would pay much more attention to reducing the consumption of natural resources in the future. Therefore this paper brings foreword the conception of elasticity ratio of resource consumption based on the concept of elasticity and analyzes the relationship between the parameters. For the certain relationships between the elasticity ratio of resource consumption and resource consumption, this paper will try to reveal, to keep economy growing while resource consumption reducing, what conditions should be met as to the relationships among resource productivity, its growth rate, energy saving efficiency, economic growth rate and elasticity ratio of resource consumption. This paper proves the relationship between the China's energy consumption and economy growth using statistic data from 1978 to 2003. 展开更多
关键词 elasticity ratio of resource consumption resource productivity economic growth rate energy saving efficiency resource consumption
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金融发展对能源消费影响的研究——基于对能源消费结构变化指数的构建与分析 被引量:11
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作者 冯梦骐 邢珺 《价格理论与实践》 CSSCI 北大核心 2018年第11期107-110,共4页
本文创新性地提出构造能源消费结构变化指数,采用VAR模型、脉冲响应与方差分解等方法,分析我国能源消费增长率、能源消费结构、金融发展以及产业结构之间的动态关联。本文认为,金融发展通过三种机制影响能源消费:一是降低生产信贷成本,... 本文创新性地提出构造能源消费结构变化指数,采用VAR模型、脉冲响应与方差分解等方法,分析我国能源消费增长率、能源消费结构、金融发展以及产业结构之间的动态关联。本文认为,金融发展通过三种机制影响能源消费:一是降低生产信贷成本,间接通过供给端拉动消费端;二是发挥资源分配功能优化能源生产结构,间接推进能源消费结构升级;三是降低消费信贷成本,直接提升能源消费需求。量化分析结果表明:金融对能源消费总量增长率的影响持续为正,在第三期达到最大。金融可以通过资金配置,促进能源消费结构优化,促进作用在第二期达到最大。滞后期主要是由于传导时间所导致。其中,消费性贷款的传导作用更快,而生产性贷款的传导作用较慢。 展开更多
关键词 金融发展 能源消费增长率 能源消费结构变化指数
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罗斯基假定是否正确权威专家提出质疑
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《中国纺织经济》 2002年第5期9-10,共2页
关键词 罗斯基假定 航空旅客运输 经济增长率 能源增长率 中国 经济统计
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