为了改善地面自动气象站观测数据在WRF-DA(the Weather Research and Forecasting Model-Data Assimilation)系统中的同化应用效果,提高数值模式的预报性能,对WRF-DA地面资料同化方案中温度和风速订正方案进行改进,形成地面资料同化更...为了改善地面自动气象站观测数据在WRF-DA(the Weather Research and Forecasting Model-Data Assimilation)系统中的同化应用效果,提高数值模式的预报性能,对WRF-DA地面资料同化方案中温度和风速订正方案进行改进,形成地面资料同化更新方案。通过考虑地形高度差异对同化效果的影响,调整同化方案中地面要素由实际地形高度订正到模式高度的同化订正方案,提升地面观测温度及风速订正值的合理性。并进一步分析了2017年7月5日个例试验结果及2017年7月整月的批量试验,发现相比于使用原方案同化后的预报效果,选取更新方案同化地面自动气象站观测资料的模式预报效果在前9 h温度和风速的预报误差明显降低,且在24 h预报时效内更新方案对于模式预报均起到改善作用。展开更多
A large number of debris flows occurred simultaneously at around 8:30 to 8:50 a.m.on July 27,2011,at the center of Seoul,Korea.This area is located in the southern part of Seoul and is a densely populated district.As ...A large number of debris flows occurred simultaneously at around 8:30 to 8:50 a.m.on July 27,2011,at the center of Seoul,Korea.This area is located in the southern part of Seoul and is a densely populated district.As a result of the debris flow event,16 people were killed,30 houses were buried,and 116 houses were damaged around Umyeon Mountain,a relatively small mountain with a height of 312.6 m.Since the debris flow event,field investigations on the initiation and transportation zones of debris flows have been carried out.Rainfall data were collected from the automatic weather stations(AWSs) which are operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA).Video files recorded by residents were also acquired and used to analyze the flow characteristics of the debris flow.Field investigation shows that about 40 debris flows occurred around Umyeon Mountain and most of the debris flows were initiated by small slope failures.The effects of the precipitation that triggered the debris flows were analyzed as well.A landslide hazard map which considers slope gradient and aspect,strength of soil,hazard record,rainfall conditions,and vegetation,was constructed and compared with the initiation zones of debris flows.展开更多
文摘为了改善地面自动气象站观测数据在WRF-DA(the Weather Research and Forecasting Model-Data Assimilation)系统中的同化应用效果,提高数值模式的预报性能,对WRF-DA地面资料同化方案中温度和风速订正方案进行改进,形成地面资料同化更新方案。通过考虑地形高度差异对同化效果的影响,调整同化方案中地面要素由实际地形高度订正到模式高度的同化订正方案,提升地面观测温度及风速订正值的合理性。并进一步分析了2017年7月5日个例试验结果及2017年7月整月的批量试验,发现相比于使用原方案同化后的预报效果,选取更新方案同化地面自动气象站观测资料的模式预报效果在前9 h温度和风速的预报误差明显降低,且在24 h预报时效内更新方案对于模式预报均起到改善作用。
基金supported by the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education,Science and Technology (2012014940)supported by a grant(Code#’08 RTIP B01-01) from the Regional Technology Innovation Program (RTIP)funded by the Ministry of Land Transport and Maritime Affairs of the Korean government
文摘A large number of debris flows occurred simultaneously at around 8:30 to 8:50 a.m.on July 27,2011,at the center of Seoul,Korea.This area is located in the southern part of Seoul and is a densely populated district.As a result of the debris flow event,16 people were killed,30 houses were buried,and 116 houses were damaged around Umyeon Mountain,a relatively small mountain with a height of 312.6 m.Since the debris flow event,field investigations on the initiation and transportation zones of debris flows have been carried out.Rainfall data were collected from the automatic weather stations(AWSs) which are operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA).Video files recorded by residents were also acquired and used to analyze the flow characteristics of the debris flow.Field investigation shows that about 40 debris flows occurred around Umyeon Mountain and most of the debris flows were initiated by small slope failures.The effects of the precipitation that triggered the debris flows were analyzed as well.A landslide hazard map which considers slope gradient and aspect,strength of soil,hazard record,rainfall conditions,and vegetation,was constructed and compared with the initiation zones of debris flows.
