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基于总生产函数法研究石油价格对我国GDP的动态影响
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作者 周宏斌 魏景赋 《特区经济》 北大核心 2008年第12期270-271,共2页
本文通过总生产函数法,将石油价格纳入宏观经济的影响因素之一,考察其对我国GDP等经济指标的影响。并构建自相关回归模型,通过参数估计、协整性检验和因果检验,定量地分析出石油价格与我国GDP等经济指标之间的长期均衡关系和短期的影响... 本文通过总生产函数法,将石油价格纳入宏观经济的影响因素之一,考察其对我国GDP等经济指标的影响。并构建自相关回归模型,通过参数估计、协整性检验和因果检验,定量地分析出石油价格与我国GDP等经济指标之间的长期均衡关系和短期的影响程度。 展开更多
关键词 石油价格 总生产函数法 自回归模型估计 因果检验
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Online process monitoring for complex systems with dynamic weighted principal component analysis 被引量:4
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作者 Zhengshun Fei Kangling Liu 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第6期775-786,共12页
Conventional multivariate statistical methods for process monitoring may not be suitable for dynamic processes since they usually rely on assumptions such as time invariance or uncorrelation. We are therefore motivate... Conventional multivariate statistical methods for process monitoring may not be suitable for dynamic processes since they usually rely on assumptions such as time invariance or uncorrelation. We are therefore motivated to propose a new monitoring method by compensating the principal component analysis with a weight approach.The proposed monitor consists of two tiers. The first tier uses the principal component analysis method to extract cross-correlation structure among process data, expressed by independent components. The second tier estimates auto-correlation structure among the extracted components as auto-regressive models. It is therefore named a dynamic weighted principal component analysis with hybrid correlation structure. The essential of the proposed method is to incorporate a weight approach into principal component analysis to construct two new subspaces, namely the important component subspace and the residual subspace, and two new statistics are defined to monitor them respectively. Through computing the weight values upon a new observation, the proposed method increases the weights along directions of components that have large estimation errors while reduces the influences of other directions. The rationale behind comes from the observations that the fault information is associated with online estimation errors of auto-regressive models. The proposed monitoring method is exemplified by the Tennessee Eastman process. The monitoring results show that the proposed method outperforms conventional principal component analysis, dynamic principal component analysis and dynamic latent variable. 展开更多
关键词 Principal component analysisWeightOnline process monitoringDynamic
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A NOVEL LINK ADAPTATION SCHEME TO ENHANCE PERFORMANCE OF IEEE 802.11G WIRELESS LAN
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作者 Chen Liquan HuAiqun 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2006年第3期350-354,共5页
A novel link adaptation scheme using linear Auto Regressive (AR) model channel estimation algorithm to enhance the performance of auto rate selection mechanism in IEEE 802.11g is proposed. This scheme can overcome t... A novel link adaptation scheme using linear Auto Regressive (AR) model channel estimation algorithm to enhance the performance of auto rate selection mechanism in IEEE 802.11g is proposed. This scheme can overcome the low efficiency caused by time interval between the time when Received Signal Strength (RSS) is measured and the time when rate is selected. The best rate is selected based on data payload length, frame retry count and the estimated RSS, which is estimated from recorded RSSs. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme enhances mean throughput performance up to 7%, in saturation state, and up to 24% in finite load state compared with those non-estimation schemes, performance enhancements in average drop rate and average number of transmission attempts per data frame delivery also validate the effectiveness of the proposed schelne. 展开更多
关键词 Wireless Local Area Network (WLAN) Link adaptation Channel estimation Auto rate selection Received Signal Strength (RSS)
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Impact of Rising Oil Prices on the Living Cost in Burkina Faso
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作者 Alexandre Ouedraogo 《Journal of Mathematics and System Science》 2013年第12期608-613,共6页
Fluctuations of the world oil prices affect economic performance. Outside the impact on the sector of energy production, the rising oil price has consequences on inflationary pressures and a deteriorating fiscal posit... Fluctuations of the world oil prices affect economic performance. Outside the impact on the sector of energy production, the rising oil price has consequences on inflationary pressures and a deteriorating fiscal position of Burkina Faso. In this context, studying the impact of rising oil prices on the economy, especially the cost of living of its population has a great interest because although many studies have attempted to link 〈〈oil prices〉~ and 〈〈cost of living~, very few have focused on the specific case of Burkina Faso. This allows us to make our contribution to this construction literature. This contribution will consist to highlight the relation between changes in oil prices and the cost of living in Burkina Faso. Also to be reached, we will find the best indicator to reflect the cost of living in Burkina Faso, identify the suitable econometric model for estimating the correlation and verify the existence of the relation between oil prices and the cost of living. For a better approach to this study, we used a VAR (Vector Auto-Regressive) model. Also, we will use documentary research that will make an assessment on the existing in terms of theoretical debates around the theme descriptive statistics that will help to introduce and describe the variables used in the study, and econometric analysis will analyze and estimate the parameters of our objective function using Eviews. 展开更多
关键词 Inflationary pressure vector autoregressive
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睡眠时相与心率变异性的关系研究 被引量:9
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作者 江丽仪 吴效明 《生物医学工程学杂志》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第1期148-152,共5页
睡眠时相研究是评估人体睡眠状态和睡眠质量的重要环节。本文采用去趋势波动分析(DFA)和自回归模型谱分析对45名健康者的睡眠RR间期(RRI)序列进行研究,从参数的变化规律中寻找心率变异性(HRV)与睡眠时相的对应关系。实验结果表明,在不... 睡眠时相研究是评估人体睡眠状态和睡眠质量的重要环节。本文采用去趋势波动分析(DFA)和自回归模型谱分析对45名健康者的睡眠RR间期(RRI)序列进行研究,从参数的变化规律中寻找心率变异性(HRV)与睡眠时相的对应关系。实验结果表明,在不同的睡眠时相,RRI序列都存在长程相关性。随着睡眠加深,DFA的标定指数逐渐减小,而功率谱参数显示副交感神经活动占主导。比较两种方法判断睡眠时相的结果,DFA的标定指数比功率谱参数更有统计学意义,这将为利用HRV判别睡眠时相提供新的技术手段。 展开更多
关键词 睡眠时相 心率变异性 去趋势波动分析 自回归模型估计
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SELECTING AN ADAPTIVE SEQUENCE FOR COMPUTING RECURSIVE M-ESTIMATORS IN MULTIVARIATE LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS 被引量:2
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作者 MIAO Baiqi TONG Qian +1 位作者 WU Yuehua JIN Baisuo 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第4期583-594,共12页
In this paper, the authors consider an adaptive recursive algorithm by selecting an adaptive sequence for computing M-estimators in multivariate linear regression models. Its asymptotic property is investigated. The r... In this paper, the authors consider an adaptive recursive algorithm by selecting an adaptive sequence for computing M-estimators in multivariate linear regression models. Its asymptotic property is investigated. The recursive algorithm given by Miao and Wu (1996) is modified accordingly. Simu- lation studies of the Mgorithm is also provided. In addition, the Newton-Raphson iterative algorithm is considered for the purpose of comparison. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive sequence M-ESTIMATION multivariate linear model recursive algorithm scatter parameters.
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THE LIMIT THEOREM FOR DEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES WITH APPLICATIONS TO AUTOREGRESSION MODELS
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作者 Yong ZHANG Xiaoyun YANG Zhishan DONG Dehui WANG 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2011年第3期565-579,共15页
This paper studies the autoregression models of order one, in a general time series setting that allows for weakly dependent innovations. Let {Xt} be a linear process defined by Xt =∑k=0^∞ψ kεt-k, where {ψk, k ≥... This paper studies the autoregression models of order one, in a general time series setting that allows for weakly dependent innovations. Let {Xt} be a linear process defined by Xt =∑k=0^∞ψ kεt-k, where {ψk, k ≥ 0} is a sequence of real numbers and {εk, k = 0, ±1, ±2,...} is a sequence of random variables. Two results are proved in this paper. In the first result, assuming that {εk, k ≥ 1} is a sequence of asymptotically linear negative quadrant dependent (ALNQD) random variables, the authors find the limiting distributions of the least squares estimator and the associated regression t statistic. It is interesting that the limiting distributions are similar to the one found in earlier work under the assumption of i.i.d, innovations. In the second result the authors prove that the least squares estimator is not a strong consistency estimator of the autoregressive parameter a when {εk, k ≥ 1} is a sequence of negatively associated (NA) random variables, and ψ0 = 1, ψk = 0, k ≥ 1. 展开更多
关键词 ALNQD autoregression models least squares estimator negatively associated unit root test.
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