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基于线性模型的民航客运量影响因素与预测研究 被引量:2
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作者 刘杨 《现代营销(下)》 2020年第4期148-149,共2页
本文主要用于民航客运量的预测研究,针对多元线性回归建立预测模型出现的拟合度过高、存在严重多重共线性和模型变量不显著等问题进行改进,最终使用部分线性模型进行预测。通过对经济数据进行差分来减少数据的多重共线性,根据差分之后... 本文主要用于民航客运量的预测研究,针对多元线性回归建立预测模型出现的拟合度过高、存在严重多重共线性和模型变量不显著等问题进行改进,最终使用部分线性模型进行预测。通过对经济数据进行差分来减少数据的多重共线性,根据差分之后各变量与民航客运量的相关关系,采用部分线性模型进行数据的拟合并检验。经过多种评价指标对不同模型的对比发现,该模型预测准确度高,模型拟合效果好。 展开更多
关键词 航客运量 线性模型 部分线性模型 评价指标
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Measurement of Emissions from Passenger-Picking-up Vehicles at Airport Terminals
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作者 Fengxiang Qiao Larry Hill +1 位作者 Xiaobing Wang Lei Yu 《Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering(A)》 2016年第2期65-70,共6页
Rather than parking at nearby hourly parking lots, many passenger-picking-up vehicles prefer to idle at terminals and/or drive cycling around terminal facilities. As a result, extra vehicle emissions may be produced i... Rather than parking at nearby hourly parking lots, many passenger-picking-up vehicles prefer to idle at terminals and/or drive cycling around terminal facilities. As a result, extra vehicle emissions may be produced in an airport area. Even though there are limited studies on such emissions at airports, these estimations were normally based on the date emission models, which might cause bias in emission estimations. This paper proposes an approach to employ the floating car method and Global Positioning System (GPS) to record speeds and acceleration rates of idling and cycling vehicles at airport terminals. The tests were conducted under different time periods and traffic demands with different waiting time. The speeds and acceleration rates are synthesized to yield Vehicle Specific Power's (VSP) and Operational Mode (OM) distributions. Utilizing the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) emission estimation model Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES), pollutants and green house gas emission indexes (e.g. NOx, CO, CO2 and HC) and fuel consumptions can be easily estimated. As an illustration of the proposed approach, the research team collected GPS data at a terminal in Houston William Hobby Airport (HOU), and calculated the VSP distributions and OM distributions. Emissions of passenger-picking-up vehicles around these congested airport terminals. 展开更多
关键词 Vehicle emissions passenger-picking-up vehicle terminals AIRPORT vehicle specific power operational modedistribution.
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