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加拿大幼儿体育素养观察工具(PLOT)介绍与分析
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作者 李佳美 周珂 尹志华 《体育教学》 2020年第3期78-81,共4页
体育素养不仅是未来教育的发展方向,也是改善幼儿、青少年体质健康以及提高体育参与积极性的重要突破口。幼儿阶段是人生长发育的敏感期,也是人体育素养形成的关键阶段。对加拿大皇家山大学幼儿体育素养小组研发的幼儿体育素养观察工具(... 体育素养不仅是未来教育的发展方向,也是改善幼儿、青少年体质健康以及提高体育参与积极性的重要突破口。幼儿阶段是人生长发育的敏感期,也是人体育素养形成的关键阶段。对加拿大皇家山大学幼儿体育素养小组研发的幼儿体育素养观察工具(PLOT)的理念、观察内容和方法进行了介绍,分析了PLOT具备坚实的理论基础、促进发展的导向、结合幼儿特征和基于表现的观测等优点以及不足之处,对于我国幼儿体育素养的发展和观察工具的研制具有积极意义。 展开更多
关键词 幼儿 体育素养 观察工具 基本动作技能 苹果模型
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基于关键气象因子的阿克苏地区苹果产量预测模型 被引量:6
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作者 顾雅文 姚艳丽 傅玮东 《新疆农业科技》 2021年第2期22-24,共3页
利用1991-2015年阿克苏地区苹果气候产量指数,分别与苹果主产区10个代表站冬季极端最低气温、冬季平均气温、1月平均气温、4月平均气温、4月≥30℃日数、4月浮尘日数、4月大风日数、5月大风日数、5-8月平均气温、6-8月平均气温、7月≥3... 利用1991-2015年阿克苏地区苹果气候产量指数,分别与苹果主产区10个代表站冬季极端最低气温、冬季平均气温、1月平均气温、4月平均气温、4月≥30℃日数、4月浮尘日数、4月大风日数、5月大风日数、5-8月平均气温、6-8月平均气温、7月≥35℃日数、8月平均气温、8月降水量、至8月底≥10℃稳定积温等气象因子进行相关分析,经检验,从中挑选出影响苹果产量的关键气象因子:1月平均气温、4月浮尘日数、5-8月平均气温、8月降水量,并建立基于关键气象因子的阿克苏地区苹果产量预测模型。根据2016-2018年阿克苏地区苹果实际产量,结合模型计算的苹果预测产量,计算此3年产量的绝对误差。经验证:3年产量的绝对误差在3.1%~7.1%之间,平均为5.5%;其准确率为92%~97%之间,平均为94.5%,预报准确率较高,表明次方法建立的模型可在阿克苏地区苹果产量预测业务服务中应用,其研究结果可为当地苹果产业的发展及生产管理提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 阿克苏地区 关键气象因子 苹果产量预测模型
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How Market Competition Determines International Division Model: A Case Study of Apple, Boeing and Intel
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作者 刘戒骄 《China Economist》 2011年第5期104-119,共16页
This paper proposes and examines four basic organizational modes of production fragmentation'in manufacturing industries based on three case studies. Our study shows that manufacturing enterprises weigh technology an... This paper proposes and examines four basic organizational modes of production fragmentation'in manufacturing industries based on three case studies. Our study shows that manufacturing enterprises weigh technology and cost against the intensity of market competition in their choice of mode and the corresponding extent of production fragmentation, in industries where competition is less intense, enterprises prioritize technology concern and are inclined to choose an internally integrated organizational mode, characterized by independent investment in building their own manufacturing plants. In industries where competition is more intense, enterprises prioritize cost concern and are inclined to adopt an outsourcing-based organizational mode, characterized by maximizing the usage of third-party facilities. In sum, more intense competition prompts enterprises to seek efficiency by relying on a broader range of manufacturing locations, suppliers, and partners and, thus, to adopt more open organizational modes. We argue that a deeper understanding of how enterprises select organizational modes, combined with strategic policy aimed at promoting openness in manufacturing industries, will enhance the role of China's industries in the global production chain. 展开更多
关键词 production fragmentation manufacturing industries APPLE BOEING INTEL
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PREMISE Insect Model: Integrated Population Dynamics Model for the Ex-ante Evaluation of IPM against Insect Pest
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作者 Wil Hennen Aude Alaphilippe 《Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology(B)》 2015年第4期231-240,共10页
Codling moth Cydiapomonella L. is the most serious pest of apple and pear worldwide and causes damage and decreased yields. To minimize this risk, IPM tools can be applied to reduce the use of chemicals. A cost-effect... Codling moth Cydiapomonella L. is the most serious pest of apple and pear worldwide and causes damage and decreased yields. To minimize this risk, IPM tools can be applied to reduce the use of chemicals. A cost-effective application of IPM depends on the number of insects at the time of application. Several conditions and factors influence the lifecycle and numbers of generations within a year. In order to perform ex-ante evaluations of the cost-effectiveness of IPM measures against pest insects, the generic PREMISE insect model has been developed, which integrates insect's population dynamics, the climate and other conditions, applied measures, economics, environment and human health (residues). This paper describes these components of the PREMISE insect model, and how these components interact to assess the cost-effectiveness of IPM measures and the effects on the environment and human health. Codling moth is used as a case study for this generic model. 展开更多
关键词 IPM integrated model population dynamics ECONOMICS environment RESIDUES codling moth.
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