The combination of Morgenstern-Price Method （MPM） with Response Surface Method （RSM） improves the eonventional RSM by replacing Finite-Element Method （FEM） with MPM, which is a type of reliability analysis metho...The combination of Morgenstern-Price Method （MPM） with Response Surface Method （RSM） improves the eonventional RSM by replacing Finite-Element Method （FEM） with MPM, which is a type of reliability analysis method-RSM based on MPM, and makes the computing process simpler. The stability of the slope was re-evaluated by use of Monte Carlo method （MCM） and the result contrasted with the fore is the conclusion. The reliability analysis of the artificial slope in Donggang Power Station was carried on, and obtained the reliable charaeteristics, which provided basis for the project.展开更多
Since missiles are main threat against aircrafts in air war,a model is proposed for calculating the aircraft survivability to a missile.The hit characteristic of aircraft to a missile is analyzed,and then Monte Carlo ...Since missiles are main threat against aircrafts in air war,a model is proposed for calculating the aircraft survivability to a missile.The hit characteristic of aircraft to a missile is analyzed,and then Monte Carlo method is applied to generate missile detonation location according to its distribution rule.In addition,based on the analysis of fragment trajectory and critical components,the intersection point of these two is determined.Then the kill probability of critical component to a fragment can be calculated,and the aircraft survivability to a missile is obtained accordingly.Finally,the feasibility of the proposed method is demonstrated.Simulation results show that this method captures the basic effects of missile detonation locations on aircraft survivability,which may provide an effective reference to aircraft survivability research.展开更多
Today, just by activating a button on the display panel of a total station, one can measure horizontal and vertical angles or calculate distances and coordinates of points. For this reason, it has become necessary to ...Today, just by activating a button on the display panel of a total station, one can measure horizontal and vertical angles or calculate distances and coordinates of points. For this reason, it has become necessary to improve the check of a total station in order to respond to its contemporary way of use. The aim of this research is to create a new method for checking total stations using only one check--field, in a different way of the today＇s standards. The basic principle, of the comparison of an instrument＇s measurements to those of another instrument with higher accuracy, is implemented into a mathematical model such as the adjustment of an indoor geodetic network. Thus, the check of the proper function of a total station is applied. An a-priori calculation Of^o of the network＇s adjustment can be calculated by modeling the uncertainties using statistical methods as the random number generators by means of the Monte Carlo method. The prospective ao can then be compared to the a-posteriori ao provided by the adjustment of the measurements which are carried out by using the total station under check.展开更多
This paper present a simulation study of an evolutionary algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization PSO algorithm to optimize likelihood function of ARMA（1, 1） model, where maximizing likelihood function is equivalent ...This paper present a simulation study of an evolutionary algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization PSO algorithm to optimize likelihood function of ARMA（1, 1） model, where maximizing likelihood function is equivalent to maximizing its logarithm, so the objective function ＇obj.fun＇ is maximizing log-likelihood function. Monte Carlo method adapted for implementing and designing the experiments of this simulation. This study including a comparison among three versions of PSO algorithm “Constriction coefficient CCPSO, Inertia weight IWPSO, and Fully Informed FIPSO”, the experiments designed by setting different values of model parameters al, bs sample size n, moreover the parameters of PSO algorithms. MSE used as test statistic to measure the efficiency PSO to estimate model. The results show the ability of PSO to estimate ARMA＇ s parameters, and the minimum values of MSE getting for COPSO.展开更多
The former gas pipeline operating pressure transmission determined mostly according to the determined formula into the corresponding pipeline parameters are obtained, and the parameters of the actual pipeline due to m...The former gas pipeline operating pressure transmission determined mostly according to the determined formula into the corresponding pipeline parameters are obtained, and the parameters of the actual pipeline due to many reasons, such as measurement error, production batch, etc., is not a fixed value. This paper on pipeline integrity established limit state equation, using Monte Carlo method to calculate the gas pipeline in different pressures of reliability, according to the API （American Petroleum Institute） 579 recommended target reliability to determine the operating pressure of the different regions, and design coefficient method, the calculated results are compared, results of calculation reliability is more reasonable and improve the delivery pressure of the area, the pipeline safety management provides the basis.展开更多
Geometric factor is the key parameter for inversion of particle spectrum in space particle detection. Traditional geometric factor is obtained through the method of numerical calculation with the actual structure of t...Geometric factor is the key parameter for inversion of particle spectrum in space particle detection. Traditional geometric factor is obtained through the method of numerical calculation with the actual structure of the detector as the input condition. The degree of accuracy for data inversion is reduced since traditional geometric factor fails to take into account the physical process of interaction between the particle and substance as well as the influence of factors such as the particle interference between different energy channels on the measurement result. Here we propose an improved geometrical factor calculation method, the concept of which is to conduct actual structural modelling of the detector in the GEANT4 program, consider the process of interaction between the particle and substance, obtain the response function of the detector to particles of different energy channels through the method of Monte Carlo simulation, calculate the influence of contaminated particle on the geometrical factor, and finally get the geometrical factors for different energy channels of the detector. The imrpoved geometrical factor obtained through the method has carried out inversion for the data of high energy protons detector on China's FY-3 satellite, the energy spectrum after which is more in line with the power law distribution recognized by space physics. The comparison with the measured result of POES satellite indicates that the FY-3 satellite data are in good accordance with the satellite data, which shows the method may effectively improve the quality of data inversion.展开更多
Computer simulation with Monte Carlo is an important tool to investigate the function and equilibrium properties of many biological and soft matter materials solvable in solvents.The appropriate treatment of long-rang...Computer simulation with Monte Carlo is an important tool to investigate the function and equilibrium properties of many biological and soft matter materials solvable in solvents.The appropriate treatment of long-range electrostatic interaction is essential for these charged systems,but remains a challenging problem for large-scale simulations.We develop an efficient Barnes-Hut treecode algorithm for electrostatic evaluation in Monte Carlo simulations of Coulomb many-body systems.The algorithm is based on a divide-and-conquer strategy and fast update of the octree data structure in each trial move through a local adjustment procedure.We test the accuracy of the tree algorithm,and use it to perform computer simulations of electric double layer near a spherical interface.It is shown that the computational cost of the Monte Carlo method with treecode acceleration scales as log N in each move.For a typical system with ten thousand particles,by using the new algorithm,the speed has been improved by two orders of magnitude from the direct summation.展开更多
文摘The combination of Morgenstern-Price Method （MPM） with Response Surface Method （RSM） improves the eonventional RSM by replacing Finite-Element Method （FEM） with MPM, which is a type of reliability analysis method-RSM based on MPM, and makes the computing process simpler. The stability of the slope was re-evaluated by use of Monte Carlo method （MCM） and the result contrasted with the fore is the conclusion. The reliability analysis of the artificial slope in Donggang Power Station was carried on, and obtained the reliable charaeteristics, which provided basis for the project.
基金Supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Programme of China(No.2009AA04Z406)the National NaturalScience Foundation of China(No.61172083)
文摘Since missiles are main threat against aircrafts in air war,a model is proposed for calculating the aircraft survivability to a missile.The hit characteristic of aircraft to a missile is analyzed,and then Monte Carlo method is applied to generate missile detonation location according to its distribution rule.In addition,based on the analysis of fragment trajectory and critical components,the intersection point of these two is determined.Then the kill probability of critical component to a fragment can be calculated,and the aircraft survivability to a missile is obtained accordingly.Finally,the feasibility of the proposed method is demonstrated.Simulation results show that this method captures the basic effects of missile detonation locations on aircraft survivability,which may provide an effective reference to aircraft survivability research.
文摘Today, just by activating a button on the display panel of a total station, one can measure horizontal and vertical angles or calculate distances and coordinates of points. For this reason, it has become necessary to improve the check of a total station in order to respond to its contemporary way of use. The aim of this research is to create a new method for checking total stations using only one check--field, in a different way of the today＇s standards. The basic principle, of the comparison of an instrument＇s measurements to those of another instrument with higher accuracy, is implemented into a mathematical model such as the adjustment of an indoor geodetic network. Thus, the check of the proper function of a total station is applied. An a-priori calculation Of^o of the network＇s adjustment can be calculated by modeling the uncertainties using statistical methods as the random number generators by means of the Monte Carlo method. The prospective ao can then be compared to the a-posteriori ao provided by the adjustment of the measurements which are carried out by using the total station under check.
文摘This paper present a simulation study of an evolutionary algorithms, Particle Swarm Optimization PSO algorithm to optimize likelihood function of ARMA（1, 1） model, where maximizing likelihood function is equivalent to maximizing its logarithm, so the objective function ＇obj.fun＇ is maximizing log-likelihood function. Monte Carlo method adapted for implementing and designing the experiments of this simulation. This study including a comparison among three versions of PSO algorithm “Constriction coefficient CCPSO, Inertia weight IWPSO, and Fully Informed FIPSO”, the experiments designed by setting different values of model parameters al, bs sample size n, moreover the parameters of PSO algorithms. MSE used as test statistic to measure the efficiency PSO to estimate model. The results show the ability of PSO to estimate ARMA＇ s parameters, and the minimum values of MSE getting for COPSO.
文摘The former gas pipeline operating pressure transmission determined mostly according to the determined formula into the corresponding pipeline parameters are obtained, and the parameters of the actual pipeline due to many reasons, such as measurement error, production batch, etc., is not a fixed value. This paper on pipeline integrity established limit state equation, using Monte Carlo method to calculate the gas pipeline in different pressures of reliability, according to the API （American Petroleum Institute） 579 recommended target reliability to determine the operating pressure of the different regions, and design coefficient method, the calculated results are compared, results of calculation reliability is more reasonable and improve the delivery pressure of the area, the pipeline safety management provides the basis.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41204119)the Space Science Strategic Pioneer Program of CAS(Grant No.XDA04060804)
文摘Geometric factor is the key parameter for inversion of particle spectrum in space particle detection. Traditional geometric factor is obtained through the method of numerical calculation with the actual structure of the detector as the input condition. The degree of accuracy for data inversion is reduced since traditional geometric factor fails to take into account the physical process of interaction between the particle and substance as well as the influence of factors such as the particle interference between different energy channels on the measurement result. Here we propose an improved geometrical factor calculation method, the concept of which is to conduct actual structural modelling of the detector in the GEANT4 program, consider the process of interaction between the particle and substance, obtain the response function of the detector to particles of different energy channels through the method of Monte Carlo simulation, calculate the influence of contaminated particle on the geometrical factor, and finally get the geometrical factors for different energy channels of the detector. The imrpoved geometrical factor obtained through the method has carried out inversion for the data of high energy protons detector on China's FY-3 satellite, the energy spectrum after which is more in line with the power law distribution recognized by space physics. The comparison with the measured result of POES satellite indicates that the FY-3 satellite data are in good accordance with the satellite data, which shows the method may effectively improve the quality of data inversion.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.11101276 and 91130012)the support from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation for a research stay at the Institute of Compututional Physics,University of Stuttgart
文摘Computer simulation with Monte Carlo is an important tool to investigate the function and equilibrium properties of many biological and soft matter materials solvable in solvents.The appropriate treatment of long-range electrostatic interaction is essential for these charged systems,but remains a challenging problem for large-scale simulations.We develop an efficient Barnes-Hut treecode algorithm for electrostatic evaluation in Monte Carlo simulations of Coulomb many-body systems.The algorithm is based on a divide-and-conquer strategy and fast update of the octree data structure in each trial move through a local adjustment procedure.We test the accuracy of the tree algorithm,and use it to perform computer simulations of electric double layer near a spherical interface.It is shown that the computational cost of the Monte Carlo method with treecode acceleration scales as log N in each move.For a typical system with ten thousand particles,by using the new algorithm,the speed has been improved by two orders of magnitude from the direct summation.
