[Objective] The study aims to discuss the changes of potential evapotran- spiration and its sensitivity to meteorological factors in Guizhou Province, so as to provide important references for assessment of water reso...[Objective] The study aims to discuss the changes of potential evapotran- spiration and its sensitivity to meteorological factors in Guizhou Province, so as to provide important references for assessment of water resources, research of agri- cultural water conservancy and climate change. [Method] Temporal and spatial dis- tribution characteristics of potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province from 1961 to 2010 were analyzed, and the sensitivity of potential evapotranspiration to meteo- rological factors in Guizhou Province was studied through correlation analysis. [Re- sult] On the whole, potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province was higher in the southwest and the west compared with the northeast and the east. In various seasons, it was the highest in summer, followed by spring and autumn, while it was the lowest in winter. In recent 40 years, annual potential evapotranspiration showed an obvious decreasing trend in most stations of Guizhou Province. The main meteo- rological factors influencing changes of potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province were sunshine duration, daily maximum temperature, and daily average relative humidity. [Conclusion] Daily average temperature was not the main meteoro- logical factor affecting changes of potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province, while sunshine duration, daily maximum temperature, and daily average relative hu- midity had important effects on potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province.展开更多
A controlled model of thermal shield of ablation with trapspiration cooling is develoed. The existence and uniqueness of the classical solution can be obtained by Friedman and Jiang's methods. The positivity of th...A controlled model of thermal shield of ablation with trapspiration cooling is develoed. The existence and uniqueness of the classical solution can be obtained by Friedman and Jiang's methods. The positivity of the solution is proved and the conditions for the coolant flux under which the abladtion process will complete in finite time are also determined. Finally, we show the existence of critical coolant flux beyond which the ablation material begin melting.展开更多
A new computational mass transfer model is proposed for simulating the distillation process by solving the fluctuating mass flux u^'ic^' for the closure of turbulent mass transfer equation in order to obtain the con...A new computational mass transfer model is proposed for simulating the distillation process by solving the fluctuating mass flux u^'ic^' for the closure of turbulent mass transfer equation in order to obtain the concentration profile and the separation efficiency of distillation column. The feather of the proposed model is to abandon the conventional way of introducing the turbulent mass transfer diffusivity (dispersion coefficient) to the turbulent mass transfer equation. To verify the validity of the proposed model, a commercial scale packed column and a sieve tray column were simulated and compared with published experimental data. The simulated results were satisfactorily confirmed in both concentration distribution and senaration efficiency.展开更多
Based on the MOD16 remote sensing product provided by NASA, the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of evapotranspiration in Anhui Province from 2000 to 2014 were analyzed statistically with the support ...Based on the MOD16 remote sensing product provided by NASA, the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of evapotranspiration in Anhui Province from 2000 to 2014 were analyzed statistically with the support of ENVI remote sensing image processing system and ARCGIS .geographic information system. The results showed that: (1) The annual average ET in Anhui Province was 694.9 mm from 2000 to 2014, less than half of PET, indicating that Anhui Province as a whole was in dry climate and water shortage, particularly significant in 2011-2014, with the maximum value of 730.6 mm occurring in 2003, and the minimum value of 647.6 mm occurring in 2011. The monthly average ET and PET showed a single peak distribution pattern, ET peak appearing in August, and PET peak appearing in May. (2) Linear regression analysis of ET and PET showed that there was a signif- icant decrease trend in ET in Anhui Province from October to March of the following year, and in addition, there was also a decreasing trend in the summer from June to July, but PET for the whole year demonstrated an increasing trend. The change trends of both illustrated that drought in Anhui Province was becoming more and more serious. (3) The spatial distribution of ET and PET showed that Anhui Province had obvious characteristics of high in south and low in north, and the north had large yearly and monthly changes, while the south had relatively stable changes. (4) The evapotranspiration of different land use types showed different an- nual and monthly variation characteristics, and the overall expression of annual evapotranspiration was in the order of forest 〉 grassland 〉 farmland. In terms of the monthly change, monthly evapotranspiration was manifested as winter grassland larger than the forest, forest evapotranspiration gradually exceeding the grass, and the evapotranspiration gap among the three widening continuously until the peak appearing in July or August. Due to the seasonality of crop plantation and under the common action of temperature, precipitation and other sensitive factors, the monthly evapotranspiration of forest and grassland was of single peak distribution with the maximum appearing in July, and the monthly evapotranspiration of farmland showed double peak distribution, appearing respectively in May and August, the former being weaker than the latter in strength展开更多
It is well established that hydrogen has the potential to make a significant contribution to the world energy production.In U.S.,majority of hydrogen production plants implement steam methane reforming(SMR) for centra...It is well established that hydrogen has the potential to make a significant contribution to the world energy production.In U.S.,majority of hydrogen production plants implement steam methane reforming(SMR) for centralized hydrogen production.However,there is a wide lack of agreement on the nascent stage of using hydrogen as fuel in vehicles industry because of the difficulty in delivery and storage.By performing technological and economic analysis,this work aims to establish the most feasible hydrogen production pathway for automotives in near future.From the evaluation,processes such as thermal cracking of ammonia and centralized hydrogen production followed by bulk delivery are eliminated while on-site steam reforming of methanol and natural gas are the most technologically feasible options.These two processes are further evaluated by comprehensive economic analysis.The results showed that the steam reforming(SR) of natural gas has a shorter payback time and a higher return on investment(ROI) and internal rate of return(IRR).Sensitivity analysis has also been constructed to evaluate the impact of variables like NG feedstock price,capital of investment and operating capacity factor on the overall production cost of hydrogen.Based on this study,natural gas is prompted to be the most economically and technologically available raw material for short-term hydrogen production before the transition to renewable energy source such as solar energy,biomass and wind power.展开更多
The pressure distributions generated by vaporizing metal foils were studied.An analytical model which described the dynamic mechanical behavior of a rectangular plate under an impulsive loading was introduced.The form...The pressure distributions generated by vaporizing metal foils were studied.An analytical model which described the dynamic mechanical behavior of a rectangular plate under an impulsive loading was introduced.The formed parts of free bulging tests were analyzed using the optical measurement system.Two measurement methods for pressure distributions were introduced and compared.Both the perforated sheet forming test and the pressure film were found to be effective method to measure pressure distributions.The cost of perforated sheet forming test was cheap and the pressure film was easy to operate.Three different pressure distributions were measured and discussed,namely single pressure distribution,tailored pressure distribution and double-direction pressure distribution.These three pressure distributions could be applied in different metal forming processes.展开更多
Over the past years, great achievements have been made in the development of coating technologies for surface improvement of aluminum alloys. Despite these achievements, the role in the market strongly depends on the ...Over the past years, great achievements have been made in the development of coating technologies for surface improvement of aluminum alloys. Despite these achievements, the role in the market strongly depends on the ability of surface coating technology under technical and economic considerations to meet the increased demands for heavy tribological applications of aluminum alloys. Microplasma oxidation (MPO) technology has recently been studied as a novel and effective means to provide thick and hard ceramic coating with improved properties such as excellent load-bearing and wear resistance properties on aluminum alloys. The present work covers the evaluation of the performances of current single and duplex coatings combining MPO, physical vapor deposition (PVD), and plasma assisted chemical vapor deposition (PACVD) coatings on aluminum alloys. It suggests that the MPO coating is a promising candidate for design engineers to apply aluminum alloys to heavy load-bearing applications. The prospective future for the research on MPO coatings is introduced as well.展开更多
The experiments were conducted in the artificial climate laboratory using  ̄(32)P labelled soil and soil-rootplane system to investigate phosphate distribution and its movement in the soil-root interface zone andtheir...The experiments were conducted in the artificial climate laboratory using  ̄(32)P labelled soil and soil-rootplane system to investigate phosphate distribution and its movement in the soil-root interface zone andtheir relations with phosphate uptake by plant as well as transpiration rate (atmosphere humidity). It wasfound that although the phosphate in the soilroot interface zone was of depletive distribution as a functionC/Co = ax ̄b(C/Co is the relative content of fertilizer phosphate in a distance from the root surface x, aand b are the regression constants), and a relative accumulation zone of phosphate within 0.5 mm near theroot surface was often observed especially in the heavier texture soils because of root phosphate secretion.The depletion intensity of phosphate in the soil-root interface zone was in agreement with the phosphateuptake by plants under two humidities very well. However, the effects of air humidity on characteristics ofthe phosphate distribution near wheat or maize root surface were different. Wheat grew better under loweratmosphere humidity while maize, under higher humidity, which caused a more intensive uptake and thusa stronger depletion of phosphate in the rhizosphere. Moreover, the depletion intensity was greater by thebottom or the middle part of wheat roots and by the top or the middle part of maize roots. The depletivedistribution of phosphate in the rhizosphere soil and the relative contribution of phosphate diffusion to plant,which was more than 98% in the cultural experiments, indicated that diffusion was a major process forphosphorus supply to plants.展开更多
The spin distribution of the evaporation residue cross section of nuclei ^194pb, ^200Pb, ^206Pb, and ^200 Os are calculated via a Langevin equation coupled with a statistical decay model. It is shown that with increas...The spin distribution of the evaporation residue cross section of nuclei ^194pb, ^200Pb, ^206Pb, and ^200 Os are calculated via a Langevin equation coupled with a statistical decay model. It is shown that with increasing the neutronto-proton ratio (N/Z) of the system, the sensitivity of the significantly. Moreover, for ^200Os this spin distribution is no spin distribution to the nuclear dissipation is decreased longer sensitive to the nuclear dissipation. These results suggest that to obtain a more accurate pre-saddle viscosity coefficient through the measurement of the evaporation residue spin distribution, it is best to yield those compound systems with low N/Z.展开更多
In this paper, multi-refinery using the same heavy crude oils as raw materials is studied, while a new nonlinear model for mixed heavy crude distillation is proposed. In practical crude distillation operation, the dis...In this paper, multi-refinery using the same heavy crude oils as raw materials is studied, while a new nonlinear model for mixed heavy crude distillation is proposed. In practical crude distillation operation, the distillate yield and product distribution of distillation units are different due to their various equipment and operating parameters, even the same ratio of raw materials is provided, so different process models for multi-refinery planning is therefore required. For process modeling, the relationships between total yields and mixing ratio of different refineries were determined, which is combined with process simulation using production data. Then,the yields and properties of crude distillation unit(CDU) fractions were calculated with the use of true boiling point(TBP) curves and property curves respectively when the initial cutting temperatures were given. Finally,in order to maximize the economic benefit of distillation, the optimal product distribution and the best mixing ratio of crude oil were calculated under the constraints of different properties of fractions. Comparing to previous models, the proposed model takes the influence of different refinery parameters on production process into account, while avoiding the complex process for determining the cutting points, which is considered more efficient and more accurate with respect to heavy crude refinery. Model was successfully verified by a case study,allowing a significant improvement of the refinery profit to be achieved.展开更多
In this paper the modern electron optical equipment is used to translate the clear image of speed moving bubbles in bubbling liquid on a sieve tray into the digital information stored in computer, and the computer aid...In this paper the modern electron optical equipment is used to translate the clear image of speed moving bubbles in bubbling liquid on a sieve tray into the digital information stored in computer, and the computer aided image processing technique is utilized to measure the bubble size distributions and interfacial areas under various operating conditions. And the dynamic behavior of bubbles in turbulent liquid is analyzed theoretically; the mechanism of bubble deformation and breakage is explored on the basis of Kolmogoroff′s isotropic turbulence hypothesis; the mathematical model for predicting the gas liquid interfacial area is proposed. The comparison between the simulated results and the experimental data shows that the model is higher in accuracy, simple in form and convenient in use.展开更多
Air temperature feedback results from the thermal-radiative coupling between the atmosphere and the surface and plays an important role in surface energy balance. This paper reveals the contribution of air temperature...Air temperature feedback results from the thermal-radiative coupling between the atmosphere and the surface and plays an important role in surface energy balance. This paper reveals the contribution of air temperature feedback to the global warming from 1980 to 2000. The air temperature feedback kernel, evaluated using the ERA-Interim reanalysis data, is used to discuss the physical mechanism for air temperature feedback, the dependency of the strength of air temperature feedback on the climatological spatial distributions of air temperature, water vapor and cloud content, and the contributions of air temperature feedback to rapid global warming. The coupling between temperature feedback and each of the external forcings and individual feedback processes will amplify the anomaly of direct energy flux convergence at the surface induced by the external forcings and individual processes. The air temperature feedback amplifies the initial surface warming due to the increase in CO2 concentration, ice and snow melting, increase in water vapor, and change in ocean heat storage. It also amplifies the surface warming due to the longwave radiaitve forcing associated with the increase in cloud cover, which acts to suppress the cooling of the shortwave effect of cloud forcing. Overall, temperature feedback plays an important role in the global warming from 1980 to2000, as the net positive contribution to the perturbation of global mean energy flux at the surface from the air temperature feedback is larger than the net negative contribution from external forcing and all non-temperature feedbacks.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41365008)Science and Technology Foundation of Guizhou Province,China(QKHJZ[2013]2187)+1 种基金Forestry Research Project of Guizhou ProvinceChina(QLKHJZ[2013]05)~~
文摘[Objective] The study aims to discuss the changes of potential evapotran- spiration and its sensitivity to meteorological factors in Guizhou Province, so as to provide important references for assessment of water resources, research of agri- cultural water conservancy and climate change. [Method] Temporal and spatial dis- tribution characteristics of potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province from 1961 to 2010 were analyzed, and the sensitivity of potential evapotranspiration to meteo- rological factors in Guizhou Province was studied through correlation analysis. [Re- sult] On the whole, potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province was higher in the southwest and the west compared with the northeast and the east. In various seasons, it was the highest in summer, followed by spring and autumn, while it was the lowest in winter. In recent 40 years, annual potential evapotranspiration showed an obvious decreasing trend in most stations of Guizhou Province. The main meteo- rological factors influencing changes of potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province were sunshine duration, daily maximum temperature, and daily average relative humidity. [Conclusion] Daily average temperature was not the main meteoro- logical factor affecting changes of potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province, while sunshine duration, daily maximum temperature, and daily average relative hu- midity had important effects on potential evapotranspiration in Guizhou Province.
文摘A controlled model of thermal shield of ablation with trapspiration cooling is develoed. The existence and uniqueness of the classical solution can be obtained by Friedman and Jiang's methods. The positivity of the solution is proved and the conditions for the coolant flux under which the abladtion process will complete in finite time are also determined. Finally, we show the existence of critical coolant flux beyond which the ablation material begin melting.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (20736005).
文摘A new computational mass transfer model is proposed for simulating the distillation process by solving the fluctuating mass flux u^'ic^' for the closure of turbulent mass transfer equation in order to obtain the concentration profile and the separation efficiency of distillation column. The feather of the proposed model is to abandon the conventional way of introducing the turbulent mass transfer diffusivity (dispersion coefficient) to the turbulent mass transfer equation. To verify the validity of the proposed model, a commercial scale packed column and a sieve tray column were simulated and compared with published experimental data. The simulated results were satisfactorily confirmed in both concentration distribution and senaration efficiency.
基金Supported by the Development Fund for Huai River Basin(HRM201307)~~
文摘Based on the MOD16 remote sensing product provided by NASA, the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of evapotranspiration in Anhui Province from 2000 to 2014 were analyzed statistically with the support of ENVI remote sensing image processing system and ARCGIS .geographic information system. The results showed that: (1) The annual average ET in Anhui Province was 694.9 mm from 2000 to 2014, less than half of PET, indicating that Anhui Province as a whole was in dry climate and water shortage, particularly significant in 2011-2014, with the maximum value of 730.6 mm occurring in 2003, and the minimum value of 647.6 mm occurring in 2011. The monthly average ET and PET showed a single peak distribution pattern, ET peak appearing in August, and PET peak appearing in May. (2) Linear regression analysis of ET and PET showed that there was a signif- icant decrease trend in ET in Anhui Province from October to March of the following year, and in addition, there was also a decreasing trend in the summer from June to July, but PET for the whole year demonstrated an increasing trend. The change trends of both illustrated that drought in Anhui Province was becoming more and more serious. (3) The spatial distribution of ET and PET showed that Anhui Province had obvious characteristics of high in south and low in north, and the north had large yearly and monthly changes, while the south had relatively stable changes. (4) The evapotranspiration of different land use types showed different an- nual and monthly variation characteristics, and the overall expression of annual evapotranspiration was in the order of forest 〉 grassland 〉 farmland. In terms of the monthly change, monthly evapotranspiration was manifested as winter grassland larger than the forest, forest evapotranspiration gradually exceeding the grass, and the evapotranspiration gap among the three widening continuously until the peak appearing in July or August. Due to the seasonality of crop plantation and under the common action of temperature, precipitation and other sensitive factors, the monthly evapotranspiration of forest and grassland was of single peak distribution with the maximum appearing in July, and the monthly evapotranspiration of farmland showed double peak distribution, appearing respectively in May and August, the former being weaker than the latter in strength
基金support from the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology via the Undergraduate Research Opportunity Program (UROP)Lighten R&D Consultancy Ltd for providing advices
文摘It is well established that hydrogen has the potential to make a significant contribution to the world energy production.In U.S.,majority of hydrogen production plants implement steam methane reforming(SMR) for centralized hydrogen production.However,there is a wide lack of agreement on the nascent stage of using hydrogen as fuel in vehicles industry because of the difficulty in delivery and storage.By performing technological and economic analysis,this work aims to establish the most feasible hydrogen production pathway for automotives in near future.From the evaluation,processes such as thermal cracking of ammonia and centralized hydrogen production followed by bulk delivery are eliminated while on-site steam reforming of methanol and natural gas are the most technologically feasible options.These two processes are further evaluated by comprehensive economic analysis.The results showed that the steam reforming(SR) of natural gas has a shorter payback time and a higher return on investment(ROI) and internal rate of return(IRR).Sensitivity analysis has also been constructed to evaluate the impact of variables like NG feedstock price,capital of investment and operating capacity factor on the overall production cost of hydrogen.Based on this study,natural gas is prompted to be the most economically and technologically available raw material for short-term hydrogen production before the transition to renewable energy source such as solar energy,biomass and wind power.
基金The German Academic Exchange Service(DAAD)provides financial support for this paper
文摘The pressure distributions generated by vaporizing metal foils were studied.An analytical model which described the dynamic mechanical behavior of a rectangular plate under an impulsive loading was introduced.The formed parts of free bulging tests were analyzed using the optical measurement system.Two measurement methods for pressure distributions were introduced and compared.Both the perforated sheet forming test and the pressure film were found to be effective method to measure pressure distributions.The cost of perforated sheet forming test was cheap and the pressure film was easy to operate.Three different pressure distributions were measured and discussed,namely single pressure distribution,tailored pressure distribution and double-direction pressure distribution.These three pressure distributions could be applied in different metal forming processes.
文摘Over the past years, great achievements have been made in the development of coating technologies for surface improvement of aluminum alloys. Despite these achievements, the role in the market strongly depends on the ability of surface coating technology under technical and economic considerations to meet the increased demands for heavy tribological applications of aluminum alloys. Microplasma oxidation (MPO) technology has recently been studied as a novel and effective means to provide thick and hard ceramic coating with improved properties such as excellent load-bearing and wear resistance properties on aluminum alloys. The present work covers the evaluation of the performances of current single and duplex coatings combining MPO, physical vapor deposition (PVD), and plasma assisted chemical vapor deposition (PACVD) coatings on aluminum alloys. It suggests that the MPO coating is a promising candidate for design engineers to apply aluminum alloys to heavy load-bearing applications. The prospective future for the research on MPO coatings is introduced as well.
文摘The experiments were conducted in the artificial climate laboratory using  ̄(32)P labelled soil and soil-rootplane system to investigate phosphate distribution and its movement in the soil-root interface zone andtheir relations with phosphate uptake by plant as well as transpiration rate (atmosphere humidity). It wasfound that although the phosphate in the soilroot interface zone was of depletive distribution as a functionC/Co = ax ̄b(C/Co is the relative content of fertilizer phosphate in a distance from the root surface x, aand b are the regression constants), and a relative accumulation zone of phosphate within 0.5 mm near theroot surface was often observed especially in the heavier texture soils because of root phosphate secretion.The depletion intensity of phosphate in the soil-root interface zone was in agreement with the phosphateuptake by plants under two humidities very well. However, the effects of air humidity on characteristics ofthe phosphate distribution near wheat or maize root surface were different. Wheat grew better under loweratmosphere humidity while maize, under higher humidity, which caused a more intensive uptake and thusa stronger depletion of phosphate in the rhizosphere. Moreover, the depletion intensity was greater by thebottom or the middle part of wheat roots and by the top or the middle part of maize roots. The depletivedistribution of phosphate in the rhizosphere soil and the relative contribution of phosphate diffusion to plant,which was more than 98% in the cultural experiments, indicated that diffusion was a major process forphosphorus supply to plants.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.10405007
文摘The spin distribution of the evaporation residue cross section of nuclei ^194pb, ^200Pb, ^206Pb, and ^200 Os are calculated via a Langevin equation coupled with a statistical decay model. It is shown that with increasing the neutronto-proton ratio (N/Z) of the system, the sensitivity of the significantly. Moreover, for ^200Os this spin distribution is no spin distribution to the nuclear dissipation is decreased longer sensitive to the nuclear dissipation. These results suggest that to obtain a more accurate pre-saddle viscosity coefficient through the measurement of the evaporation residue spin distribution, it is best to yield those compound systems with low N/Z.
文摘In this paper, multi-refinery using the same heavy crude oils as raw materials is studied, while a new nonlinear model for mixed heavy crude distillation is proposed. In practical crude distillation operation, the distillate yield and product distribution of distillation units are different due to their various equipment and operating parameters, even the same ratio of raw materials is provided, so different process models for multi-refinery planning is therefore required. For process modeling, the relationships between total yields and mixing ratio of different refineries were determined, which is combined with process simulation using production data. Then,the yields and properties of crude distillation unit(CDU) fractions were calculated with the use of true boiling point(TBP) curves and property curves respectively when the initial cutting temperatures were given. Finally,in order to maximize the economic benefit of distillation, the optimal product distribution and the best mixing ratio of crude oil were calculated under the constraints of different properties of fractions. Comparing to previous models, the proposed model takes the influence of different refinery parameters on production process into account, while avoiding the complex process for determining the cutting points, which is considered more efficient and more accurate with respect to heavy crude refinery. Model was successfully verified by a case study,allowing a significant improvement of the refinery profit to be achieved.
文摘In this paper the modern electron optical equipment is used to translate the clear image of speed moving bubbles in bubbling liquid on a sieve tray into the digital information stored in computer, and the computer aided image processing technique is utilized to measure the bubble size distributions and interfacial areas under various operating conditions. And the dynamic behavior of bubbles in turbulent liquid is analyzed theoretically; the mechanism of bubble deformation and breakage is explored on the basis of Kolmogoroff′s isotropic turbulence hypothesis; the mathematical model for predicting the gas liquid interfacial area is proposed. The comparison between the simulated results and the experimental data shows that the model is higher in accuracy, simple in form and convenient in use.
基金supported by the National Key Scientific Research Plan of China (Grant No. 2014CB953900)the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (Grant No. 2017A030310571)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant No. 17LGPY21)
文摘Air temperature feedback results from the thermal-radiative coupling between the atmosphere and the surface and plays an important role in surface energy balance. This paper reveals the contribution of air temperature feedback to the global warming from 1980 to 2000. The air temperature feedback kernel, evaluated using the ERA-Interim reanalysis data, is used to discuss the physical mechanism for air temperature feedback, the dependency of the strength of air temperature feedback on the climatological spatial distributions of air temperature, water vapor and cloud content, and the contributions of air temperature feedback to rapid global warming. The coupling between temperature feedback and each of the external forcings and individual feedback processes will amplify the anomaly of direct energy flux convergence at the surface induced by the external forcings and individual processes. The air temperature feedback amplifies the initial surface warming due to the increase in CO2 concentration, ice and snow melting, increase in water vapor, and change in ocean heat storage. It also amplifies the surface warming due to the longwave radiaitve forcing associated with the increase in cloud cover, which acts to suppress the cooling of the shortwave effect of cloud forcing. Overall, temperature feedback plays an important role in the global warming from 1980 to2000, as the net positive contribution to the perturbation of global mean energy flux at the surface from the air temperature feedback is larger than the net negative contribution from external forcing and all non-temperature feedbacks.