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青藏高原冬季风演变的新特征及其与中国西南气温的关系 被引量:20
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作者 王颖 李栋梁 +1 位作者 王慧 郑然 《高原气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2015年第1期11-20,共10页
利用1951 2011年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和1960 2010年西南地区77站月平均气温数据,定义了冬季代表月(1月)青藏高原(下称高原)季风强度和位置的新指数,并分析了该指数与中国西南地区地面气温的关系,结果表明:(1)代表高原冬季风的冷高压强... 利用1951 2011年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和1960 2010年西南地区77站月平均气温数据,定义了冬季代表月(1月)青藏高原(下称高原)季风强度和位置的新指数,并分析了该指数与中国西南地区地面气温的关系,结果表明:(1)代表高原冬季风的冷高压强度和位置具有明显的年际、年代际变化,20世纪70年代末发生了由弱到强的突变,80年代中期则是由偏北到偏南的突变。在全球变暖的大背景下,高原冬季风强度的振荡频率加快,由较长的7年周期向4年周期转化;位置指数的4年与10年周期存在明显的反相变化,自2005年以来位置振荡周期由10年向4年转化,南北摆动更为频繁。(2)当高原冬季风偏强时,北方冷空气与西南暖湿空气在西南地区交汇减弱,云量减少,辐射增温作用使西南地区温度一致偏高,西南地区东部低层出现异常下沉运动中心,下沉增温作用使该地区温度偏高更明显;当偏弱时,则相反。(3)当高原冬季风偏北时,北方较强冷空气南下,南支槽加深,西南暖湿空气与北方冷空气交汇于川滇地区,产生异常上升运动,云量增多,接收的太阳辐射减少,且冷空气活动频繁,西南地区温度一致偏低,上升冷却作用使西部气温偏低更明显;当偏南时,则相反。 展开更多
关键词 高原冬季风 强度指数 位置指数 西南气温
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青藏高原热状况对夏季西南地区气候影响的分析及模拟 被引量:22
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作者 华明 《高原气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2003年第B10期152-156,共5页
应用诊断和数值模拟方法,研究了青藏高原热状况的特征及其对西南地区环流和降水等的影响。结果表明:青藏高原热源有不同的表征方法,它们相互联系、相互制约;冬季青藏高原测站温度与西南地区降水有着同期和滞后的相关关系,它的强弱对川... 应用诊断和数值模拟方法,研究了青藏高原热状况的特征及其对西南地区环流和降水等的影响。结果表明:青藏高原热源有不同的表征方法,它们相互联系、相互制约;冬季青藏高原测站温度与西南地区降水有着同期和滞后的相关关系,它的强弱对川渝等地降水有指示意义。高原测站温度呈上升趋势,这可能是造成四川盆地平均气温从20世纪中叶以来呈下降趋势的原因之一。同时,青藏高原热源强迫是大气环流系统形成和维持的重要原因,这种热源强迫有利于对流层低层气旋环流或低涡的生成、发展,也有利于季风环流增强,是造成青藏高原及周围地区以及高原东侧大范围降水变化的原因。 展开更多
关键词 青藏高原 热状况 西南气温变冷
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Temperature and Precipitation Variations at Two Meteorological Stations on Eastern Slope of Gongga Mountain,SW China in the Past Two Decades 被引量:17
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作者 WU Yan-hong LI Wei +1 位作者 ZHOU Jun CAO Yang 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第3期370-377,共8页
Gongga Mountain, locates on the eastern edge of Tibetan Plateau of China, is the highest mountain in China except summits in Tibet. Only limited meteorological data on Gongga Mountain have been published so far. Here ... Gongga Mountain, locates on the eastern edge of Tibetan Plateau of China, is the highest mountain in China except summits in Tibet. Only limited meteorological data on Gongga Mountain have been published so far. Here we present the meteorological records from two stations, Moxi Station (at 1,621.7 m above sea level (a.s.1.), 1992- 2010) and Hailuogou Station (at 2,947.8 m a.s.l., 1988-2010), on the eastern slope of Gongga Mountain. In the past two decades, the annual precipitation decreased while the annual mean temperature increased at Hailuogou Station. Both precipitation and temperature increased at Moxi Station. The precipitation variation on the eastern slope of Gongga Mountain is influenced by both East Asian Monsoon and Indian Monsoon, so that the precipitation concentrated between May and October. The temperature variation on the eastern slope of Gongga Mountain in the past two decades showed similar trends as that of the northern hemispheric and global. In the past two decades, the temperature increased o.35℃ and o.3℃/decade at Hailuogou Station and Moxi Station respectively, which was higher than the increase extents of northern hemispheric and global temperature. The most intense warming occurred at the first decade of 21St century. The winter temperature increased more at Hailuogou Station than at Moxi Station. A remarkable increase of temperature in March was observed with only a little precipitation at both high and low altitude stations. 展开更多
关键词 Temperature Precipitation Variation Global change Gongga Mountain
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Submonthly timescale oscillation characteristics of the East Asian winter monsoon and its effect on the temperature of southwest China in 2010
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作者 QI Dong-mei LI Yue-qing +1 位作者 CHEN Yong-ren DE Qing 《Marine Science Bulletin》 CAS 2016年第1期9-28,共20页
Using NCEP/NCAR R2 reanalysis daily data and daily meteorologicalobservational data of southwest China in 2010, this paper studied the submonthlytimescale oscillation characteristics of the East Asian winter monsoon (... Using NCEP/NCAR R2 reanalysis daily data and daily meteorologicalobservational data of southwest China in 2010, this paper studied the submonthlytimescale oscillation characteristics of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and itseffect on the temperature of southwest China in 2010 by bandpass filtering, wavelettransformation, composite analysis and correlation analysis. The main conclusions areas follows: The EAWM in 2010 was dominated by low-frequency oscillations of about 7-,12-, and 30-day periods. There existed obviously negative correlation between theEAWM and the winter temperature in southwest China on submonthly, quasi-weeklyand quasi-biweekly timescales, and negative correlation was more obvious on thequasi-biweekly than the quasi-weekly timescale. There was significant difference in thedistribution of high, middle and low layer of the troposphere when the EAWM was onthe submonthly, quasi-one-week and quasi-two-week timescales in the positive andnegative phase. In the positive EAWM phase, the upper-level subtropical westerly jet isstronger and the East Asia trough is deeper, thus it is favorable for the dominance ofmore powerful north wind and lower temperature in southwest China. On the contrary,in the negative EAWM phase, the upper-level subtropical westerly jet is weaker and theEast Asia trough is shallower, thus unfavorable for the north wind and lowertemperature in southwest China. 展开更多
关键词 East Asian winter monsoon submonthly timescales southwest China winter temperature low-frequency oscillation
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Projection of IPCC AR4 Coupled Climate Models for Multitimescale Temperature Variation in Yunnan: A Case Study on Southwest Yunnan from 1960 to 2050 被引量:3
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作者 李少娟 黄樱 屠拉 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2012年第1期33-42,共10页
Based on daily mean temperature records from 1961 to 2007 at 20 meteorological sites in Southwest Yunnan, and the surface temperature simulated by IPCC AR4 Climate Models, a quantitative examination was undertaken int... Based on daily mean temperature records from 1961 to 2007 at 20 meteorological sites in Southwest Yunnan, and the surface temperature simulated by IPCC AR4 Climate Models, a quantitative examination was undertaken into the characteristics of multi-timescale temperature (AMT, DMT and WMT) variation in Southwest Yunnan. The simulation abilities of the models were also evaluated with the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) and Mann-Kendal test statistic methods. Temperatures show remarkable increasing trend from 1961 to 2007, with the Mann-Kendall test statistic passing 95% confidence verification. The result of the NRMSE analysis shows that the simulated temperature anomaly variations are more similar to observed ones especially for AMT and DMT, and the projected result (anomalies) of IPCC AR4 climate models can be used for predicting the trends in multi-timescale temperature variation in Southwest Yunnan in the next 40 years under the three emission scenarios, which has better simulating effect on AMT and DMT than WMT. Over the next 40 years the temperature will continue to rise, with annual mean temperature showing a more remarkable rising trend than that of the dry and wet seasons. Temperature anomalies exhibit different increasing rates under different emission scenarios: During the 2020s the rising rates of multi-timescale temperature anomalies in a high greenhouse gases emissions scenario (SRESA2) are smaller than those under a low emission scenario (SRESB1). Except that, the rate of increase in temperature anomalies are the highest in the intermediate emissions scenario (SRESA1B), followed by those in SRESA2, and those in low emissions scenario (SRESB1) are the lowest. The reason of different simulating effects on WMT from AMT and DMT was also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Southwest Yunnan multi-timescale temperature normalized root mean square error projection of IPCC AR4 Coupled Climate Models
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