压裂后水平井产能预测新模型

应用复位势理论和势叠加原理等基本渗流理论,进行了数学推导,得出了压裂后水平井的产能计算新模型。该模型通用性强,不仅考虑了多条裂缝之间的相互干扰,而且还考虑了各条裂缝的长度、缝宽、导流能力、缝间距以及裂缝平面与水平井筒之间的夹角对各条裂缝产量的影响。而以往研究中将裂缝按等缝长、等缝宽、等缝间距和等导流能力来计算压裂井产量,在压裂后水平井产能计算中含有偏差。

VV&A and confidence assessment of a complex giant system simulation model

It is difficult or even impossible for a pure mathematical model to represent a complex giant system because of the complexity, activity, uncertainty in such a system. The meta-synthesis methodology and the generalized modelling method are used to model a complex giant system. This paper has an in-depth study on the confidence assessment of a complex giant system simulation model that is built based on the meta-synthesis methodology and the generalized modelling method. A new definition of VV&A for complex system is given, on which is based a 12-step reference model and proposed for VV&A purpose. Furthermore, the principle and method of intelligent boundary interval intermediate assessment is proposed for the harmonization of modelling and model-validation.

“节省”设计之初

本文结合笔者参加“全国节能省地型住宅设计竞赛”的获奖成果,阐述了计算机辅助设计、新型建筑结构材料,以及多种建筑措施对于住宅建筑规划以及单体节能的影响,并预测应用前景。在当前大力提倡节能的社会背景下,对住宅节能提出了新的思考。