新加坡地铁环线C824标段失事原因分析(三)--反分析的瑕疵与施工监测不力

2004年4月20日下午3:30,新加坡地铁环线C824标段的一段明挖区间隧道发生严重的坍塌事故[1],事故发生后对事故原因的调查工作随即展开。通过为期一年的全面深入调查,最终形成了各方认可的一致意见和权威的调查分析报告。调查分析报告表明:基于地下连续墙的变形实测数据进行的反演分析,简单地采取了折减参数拟合曲线的方法,没有对折减后的参数寻求物理意义和力学解释,未对整个围护体系的总体安全性进行评估等,存在诸多的技术瑕疵;施工监测,尤其是支撑轴力的监测也存在诸多问题,如使用有缺陷的支撑轴力应变计,应变计的数量也不符合要求,应变与应力间的换算系数也有错误。调查专家组也把反分析存在技术瑕疵和施工监测不力作为失事的原因。在文献[1,2]的基础上,文章重点介绍了工程实施过程中反分析和施工监测的总体情况、存在的问题以及产生的后果等。

Small-Signal Equivalent Circuit Modeling of a Photodetector Chip

A small-signal equivalent circuit model and the ted. The equivalent lumped circuit, which takes the main extraction techniques for photodetector chips are presen- factors that limit a photodetector＇s RF performance into consideration,is first determined based on the device＇s physical structure. The photodetector＇s S parameters are then on-wafer measured, and the measured raw data are processed with further calibration. A genetic algorithm is used to fit the measured data, thereby allowing us to calculate each parameter value of the model. Experimental resuits show that the modeled parameters are well matched to the measurements in a frequency range from 130MHz to 20GHz, and the proposed method is proved feasible. This model can give an exact description of the photodetector chip＇s high frequency performance,which enables an effective circuit-level prediction for photodetector and optoelectronic integrated circuits.

Damage evolution analysis of cast steel GS-20Mn5V based on modified GTN model

A modified Gurson-Tvergaard-Needleman （GTN） model that accounts for the mixed （isotropic and kinematic） hardening of cast steel GS-20Mn5V was developed and implemented in the finite dement program ABAQUS/Standard via a user-defined material subroutine UMAT. This model couples the stress state and damage evolution （pore volume fraction increase） by a classic method that assumes that the total void volume fraction is divided into a nucleation and a growth part. A parametric study was conducted to assess the effect of modified GTN model parameters on mechanical properties such as the nucleation, growth and coalescence of voids and to obtain the optimal parameter combination by the orthogonal test method. The predicted load-displacement curves of notched specimens with the optimal parameters are favorably compared to the experimental curves. Therefore, the modified GTN model can be used to predict the damage evaluation and fracture behavior of GS-20Mn5V.

Numerical and experimental evaluation on methods for parameter identification of thermal response tests

Several parameter identification methods of thermal response test were evaluated through numerical and experimental study.A three-dimensional finite-volume numerical model was established under the assumption that the soil thermal conductivity had been known in the simulation of thermal response test.The thermal response curve was firstly obtained through numerical calculation.Then,the accuracy of the numerical model was verified with measured data obtained through a thermal response test.Based on the numerical and experimental thermal response curves,the thermal conductivity of the soil was calculated by different parameter identification methods.The calculated results were compared with the assumed value and then the accuracy of these methods was evaluated.Furthermore,the effects of test time,variable data quality,borehole radius,initial ground temperature,and heat injection rate were analyzed.The results show that the method based on cylinder-source model has a low precision and the identified thermal conductivity decreases with an increase in borehole radius.For parameter estimation,the measuring accuracy of the initial temperature of the deep ground soil has greater effect on identified thermal conductivity.

Urban Services Delivery in Limbo： A Provisional Assessment of Gweru＇s Water Supply System

This study sought to assess Gweru＇s water supply system from the source to the consumer to find out whether the water is safe for domestic purposes, mainly consumption. Water samples were taken from Gwenoro dam （raw water）, Gwenoro treatment plant （treated water） as well as from GIS-generated random points of residential areas closest to Gwenoro and furthest from both the dam and the treatment plant. These were taken for laboratory testing where parameters like pH, hardness, turbidity and DO （dissolved oxygen） were tested. Questionnaires were used to solicit the views of the consumers on water quality and water service delivery from eight randomly selected residential suburbs. Interviews were also administered to Gwenoro Water Treatment Plant superintendent and deputy to get insight into the day to day challenges that they have to grapple with. Results generally show that treated water from Gwenoro treatment plant is relatively safe to drink for those who have access to it. However, some consumer points like Mkoba 13 and Mkoba 18 receive water whose DO is out of the recommended range. Suburbs which lie on higher ground like Mkoba 19 and Mkoba 14 however rarely receive water from Gwenoro with some residents of Mkoba 19 having had no water from their taps for more than three years now. The study recommends that new equipment be bought for the treatment plant so that treated water reaches all parts of the city. Newly resettled farmers in the Upper Runde Catchment must be resettled elsewhere while urban stream bank cultivation must be banned to reduce water pollution as well as possible sedimentation of Gwenoro dam.

Effect of aeration on fast gas pressure tests

Given the problem of the long time required for testing gas pressure, we propose a fast-test method in which we used a technique of fast borehole sealing and air replenishing. Based on the characteristics of gas emission from boreholes to be tested, we built a theoretical model for calculating parameters during the process of increasing natural pressure and aeration. Using this model, we investigated the effect of different aeration conditions on velocity of pressure tests. The result shows that: 1) aerating air into boreholes can speed up gas pressure tests and 2) the more similar the pressure of the aerated air to the original gas pressure, the smaller the gas volume absorbed by coal and the shorter the time needed in pressure test. A case study in the Lu’an mining area shows that the time needed for gas pressure test is only 4 h using our method of aeration and 29 h under conditions of increasing natural pressure, saving time by 86.2%. This case study also indicates that, by using the aeration method, only one hour is needed for gas pressure to reach a stable state, which breaks the record of the shortest time needed for gas pressure tests in China.

A NONPARAMETRIC TEST AGAINST AN UMBRELLA ALTERNATIVE FOR STRATIFIED DATA

Trend test in dose-response has been a central problem in medicine. This paper treats the problem of comparing umbrella pattern treatment effects. Under an ordered m × r × k table, this article considers testing the hypothesis that all multinomial populations are conditional independence against the alternative that they are in an umbrella trend. For this hypothesis test problem, this article introduces a model-free test method by using likelihood ratio test statistic and gives the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic. Simulation study is conducted to compare the empirical power per- formed via the proposed method and others. Finally, two real data are studied to illustrate the validity of the proposed method.

GROUP CONTINGENCY TEST FOR TWO OR SEVERAL INDEPENDENT SAMPLES

This paper proposes a new and distribution-free test called ＂Group Contingency＂ test （GC, for short） for testing two or several independent samples. Compared with traditional nonparametric tests, GC test tends to explore more information based on samples, and it＇s location-, scale-, and shapesensitive. The authors conduct some simulation studies comparing GC test with Wilcoxon rank sum test （W）, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test （KS） and Wald-Wolfowitz runs test （WW） for two sample case, and with Kruskal-Wallis （KW） for testing several samples. Simulation results reveal that GC test usually outperforms other methods.