The main cause of dynamic errors is due to frequency response limitation of measurement system. One way of solving this problem is designing an effective inverse filter. Since the problem is ill-conditioned, a small u...The main cause of dynamic errors is due to frequency response limitation of measurement system. One way of solving this problem is designing an effective inverse filter. Since the problem is ill-conditioned, a small uncertainty in the measurement will came large deviation in reconstncted signals. The amplified noise has to be suppressed at the sacrifice of biasing in estimation. The paper presents a kind of designing method of inverse filter in frequency domain based on stabilized solutions of Fredholm integral equations of the fast kind in order to reduce dynamic errors. Compared with previous several work, the method has advantage of generalization. Simulations with different Signal-to-Noise ratio （SNR） are investigated. Flexibility of the method is verified. Application of correcting dynamic error is given.展开更多
Based on the 1983~2011 CMAP data,the precipitation anomaly in East Asia and its nearby sea regions（hereafter called East Asia for short） demonstrates the ＂＋-＋＂ pattern before 1999 and the ＂-＋-＂ pattern afterw...Based on the 1983~2011 CMAP data,the precipitation anomaly in East Asia and its nearby sea regions（hereafter called East Asia for short） demonstrates the ＂＋-＋＂ pattern before 1999 and the ＂-＋-＂ pattern afterwards; this decadal change is contained principally in the corresponding EOF3 component.However,the NCC_CGCM forecast results are quite different,which reveal the ＂＋-＋-＂ pattern before 1999 and the ＂-＋-＋＂ pattern afterwards.Meanwhile,the probability of improving NCC_CGCM＇s forecast accuracy based on these key SST areas is discussed,and the dynamic-statistics combined forecast scheme is constructed for increasing the information of decadal change contained in the summer precipitation in East Asia.The independent sample forecast results indicate that this forecasting scheme can effectively modify the NCC_CGCM＇s decadal change information contained in the summer precipitation in East Asia（especially in the area of 30°N–55°N）.The ACC is 0.25 and ACR is 61% for the forecasting result based on the V SST area,and the mean ACC is 0.03 and ACR is 51% for the seven key areas,which are better than NCC_CGCM＇s system error correction results（ACC is -0.01 and ACR is 49%）.Besides,the modified forecast results also provide the information that the precipitation anomaly in East Asia mainly shows the ＂＋-＋＂ pattern before 1999 and the ＂-＋-＂ pattern afterwards.展开更多
基金The paper is sponsored by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.50675211)Natural Science Foundation(No.2009011023)Returned Overseas Graduates Foundation(No.2008067) of Shanxi Provincein China
文摘The main cause of dynamic errors is due to frequency response limitation of measurement system. One way of solving this problem is designing an effective inverse filter. Since the problem is ill-conditioned, a small uncertainty in the measurement will came large deviation in reconstncted signals. The amplified noise has to be suppressed at the sacrifice of biasing in estimation. The paper presents a kind of designing method of inverse filter in frequency domain based on stabilized solutions of Fredholm integral equations of the fast kind in order to reduce dynamic errors. Compared with previous several work, the method has advantage of generalization. Simulations with different Signal-to-Noise ratio （SNR） are investigated. Flexibility of the method is verified. Application of correcting dynamic error is given.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2012CB955203)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41205040,41105055)the Special Scientific Research Project for Public Interest(Grant No.GYHY201306021)
文摘Based on the 1983~2011 CMAP data,the precipitation anomaly in East Asia and its nearby sea regions（hereafter called East Asia for short） demonstrates the ＂＋-＋＂ pattern before 1999 and the ＂-＋-＂ pattern afterwards; this decadal change is contained principally in the corresponding EOF3 component.However,the NCC_CGCM forecast results are quite different,which reveal the ＂＋-＋-＂ pattern before 1999 and the ＂-＋-＋＂ pattern afterwards.Meanwhile,the probability of improving NCC_CGCM＇s forecast accuracy based on these key SST areas is discussed,and the dynamic-statistics combined forecast scheme is constructed for increasing the information of decadal change contained in the summer precipitation in East Asia.The independent sample forecast results indicate that this forecasting scheme can effectively modify the NCC_CGCM＇s decadal change information contained in the summer precipitation in East Asia（especially in the area of 30°N–55°N）.The ACC is 0.25 and ACR is 61% for the forecasting result based on the V SST area,and the mean ACC is 0.03 and ACR is 51% for the seven key areas,which are better than NCC_CGCM＇s system error correction results（ACC is -0.01 and ACR is 49%）.Besides,the modified forecast results also provide the information that the precipitation anomaly in East Asia mainly shows the ＂＋-＋＂ pattern before 1999 and the ＂-＋-＂ pattern afterwards.
