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地铁行车调度系统人误影响因素识别及评定研究 被引量:20
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作者 王洁 方卫宁 张嬿 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第8期74-79,共6页
为寻找影响地铁行车调度系统人误的因素,提出结合SHEL模型与层次分析法(AHP)的人-机-环系统人误影响因素识别及评定技术。通过扩展SHEL模型到人-任务、人-列车、人-人机界面、人-环境、人-线路、人-人、人-客观其他7个界面,构建人误影... 为寻找影响地铁行车调度系统人误的因素,提出结合SHEL模型与层次分析法(AHP)的人-机-环系统人误影响因素识别及评定技术。通过扩展SHEL模型到人-任务、人-列车、人-人机界面、人-环境、人-线路、人-人、人-客观其他7个界面,构建人误影响因素分析模型;在对上海地铁54名行车调度员问卷调查的基础上,引以因子分析法识别出19项人误影响因素;并通过搭建人误影响因素层次结构模型及运用AHP法实现对人误影响因素的评定。结果表明,影响行车调度人误的因素中权重居前5位的分别为客流问题、行车密度、问题列车数、人机界面可支持性及人机界面布局合理性。因此,在客观运营条件不能改变的情况下,可以用改善人机界面条件来减少人误的发生。 展开更多
关键词 误影响因素 SHEL模型 层次分析法(AHP) 因子分析 地铁行车调度员
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复杂人机系统中人误影响因素修正规则研究 被引量:2
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作者 乔巍巍 裴立冠 +1 位作者 芦建辉 陈东锋 《安全与环境工程》 CAS 2016年第4期99-103,共5页
针对传统复杂人机系统人误分析中,只注重影响因素与人误的直接关系,而忽视影响因素内部关联的问题,将CREAM中9个共同绩效条件因子(CPC)视为初始人误影响因素,通过研究其内部关联性,提出了一种因子修正规则。首先基于灰色关联分析法和过... 针对传统复杂人机系统人误分析中,只注重影响因素与人误的直接关系,而忽视影响因素内部关联的问题,将CREAM中9个共同绩效条件因子(CPC)视为初始人误影响因素,通过研究其内部关联性,提出了一种因子修正规则。首先基于灰色关联分析法和过往人误案例分析,对CPC因子进行分类,并得出同类因子间具有非负相关性;然后分析CPC因子调整方案中存在的主要问题,通过引入新的CPC因子,建立了CPC关联模型;最后利用逻辑推理方法,证明CPC因子中的被影响因子在任何初始判断结果下均可能由于其他因子的影响性质发生改变,进而得出因子修正规则,该规则简单且易于理解,具有一定的实践意义。 展开更多
关键词 误影响因素 共同绩效条件因子(CPC) 灰色关联分析法 修正规则 复杂人机系统
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地铁行车调度系统人误影响因素识别及评定研究
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作者 谈云 《交通科技与管理》 2021年第21期29-30,共2页
随着地铁控制系统控制技术的最新发展,地铁行车调度系统的应用正在增加,可以减少由于发射机故障而导致事故发生的概率。当驾驶者错误地解决由于火车运行而导致的事故或结果恶化的问题时,就会发生事故,因此,行车调度系统是确保地铁安全... 随着地铁控制系统控制技术的最新发展,地铁行车调度系统的应用正在增加,可以减少由于发射机故障而导致事故发生的概率。当驾驶者错误地解决由于火车运行而导致的事故或结果恶化的问题时,就会发生事故,因此,行车调度系统是确保地铁安全运行的重要保证,行车调度系统是地铁应急系统的终极保护和恢复机制,在地铁事故中有效预防和减少人为行车调度系统错误是保障地铁安全的当务之急。 展开更多
关键词 地铁行车调度系统 误影响因素识别 评定研究
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地铁行车调度系统人误情景评价模型研究 被引量:4
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作者 王洁 方卫宁 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2013年第10期38-43,共6页
为解决地铁行车调度系统人误影响因素(PIF)研究缺乏系统性的问题,建立人误情景(EC)评价模型,探索以专家经验为基础的PIF效应评估方法。首先,构建考虑PIF间的相互作用的EC概念模型。然后,以模糊认知图(FCM)方法为基础,建立PIF的影响效应... 为解决地铁行车调度系统人误影响因素(PIF)研究缺乏系统性的问题,建立人误情景(EC)评价模型,探索以专家经验为基础的PIF效应评估方法。首先,构建考虑PIF间的相互作用的EC概念模型。然后,以模糊认知图(FCM)方法为基础,建立PIF的影响效应路径搜索算法及PIF综合效应的评定技术。最后,以实例分析验证所建模型。结果表明:单个PIF状态的变化对整个EC产生影响,且PIF的综合影响程度远大于直接影响程度。因此,制定人误预防或减少措施时,有必要考虑PIF状态变化带来的综合效应。 展开更多
关键词 情景(EC) 模糊认知图(FCM) 评价模型 误影响因素(PIF) 行车调度系统
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Function chain neural network prediction on heat transfer performance of oscillating heat pipe based on grey relational analysis 被引量:12
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作者 鄂加强 李玉强 龚金科 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第5期1733-1737,共5页
As for the factors affecting the heat transfer performance of complex and nonlinear oscillating heat pipe (OHP),grey relational analysis (GRA) was used to deal with the relationship between heat transfer rate of a loo... As for the factors affecting the heat transfer performance of complex and nonlinear oscillating heat pipe (OHP),grey relational analysis (GRA) was used to deal with the relationship between heat transfer rate of a looped copper-water OHP and charging ratio,inner diameter,inclination angel,heat input,number of turns,and the main influencing factors were defined.Then,forecasting model was obtained by using main influencing factors (such as charging ratio,interior diameter,and inclination angel) as the inputs of function chain neural network.The results show that the relative average error between the predicted and actual value is 4%,which illustrates that the function chain neural network can be applied to predict the performance of OHP accurately. 展开更多
关键词 oscillating heat pipe grey relational analysis fimction chain neural network heat transfer
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China's Round-Tripped FDI: Trends,Determinants, and Policy Implications
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作者 姜子叶 范从来 《China Economist》 2011年第2期76-85,共10页
With observations and reflections on a series of phenomena,such as the "independent situation"of China's FDI during the recent global financial risis and the increase of round tripped investment after the "tax rat... With observations and reflections on a series of phenomena,such as the "independent situation"of China's FDI during the recent global financial risis and the increase of round tripped investment after the "tax rate unification,"this paper examines a unique phenomenon in China's FDI-round tripped investment.It reveals its determinants from a micro-perspectiv ,and establishes a vector error correction mode(VECM)for emprirical testing.The results is that the determinants of China's round tripped investment are institutional factors such as "achievable differential treatment" and cpaital control.Tax ,exchange rate,housing price and capital control intensity all have an impact on the scale of round tripped FDI.However,judging from the extent of influence,the most important factor should be exchange rate ,followed by capital control intensity and housing price,and tax has a limited impact. 展开更多
关键词 round-tripped FDI achievable differential treatment capital regulation DETERMINANT
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Delays to Large Construction Projects in Ghana: A Risk Overview
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作者 Joseph Ignatius Teye Buertey Augustine Kaku Miezah Theophilus Adjei Kumi 《Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture》 2014年第3期367-377,共11页
Delay to large scale projects, which is as a result of actions or inactions of some project stakeholders, is becoming a global phenomena and Ghana is no exception. The objective of the research is to identify, rate an... Delay to large scale projects, which is as a result of actions or inactions of some project stakeholders, is becoming a global phenomena and Ghana is no exception. The objective of the research is to identify, rate and rank the most significant risk factors that causes delay on projects and examine the social impact of these delays to recommend modalities to help mitigate these risk factors. The study adopted quantitative methods with the distribution of 144 questionnaires to built environment professionals receiving a response rate of 75.7%. The instrument listed 58 common factors under eight categories that contribute to the causes of delay for respondents to rate. Analysis of data non-parametric test revealed that client, contractor, material and finance category factors significantly resulted in the schedule delay of large infrastructural projects. The survey analysis revealed that micro-factors that result in delays to large construction projects are time constraint, cost overrun, payment problems, dispute and litigation. The research recommended the following modalities to minimize such delays: availability of resources, improved communication and coordination, proper scope definition and feasibilities, utilization of modern technology, appropriate application of technologically based systems and competent project management's structures. 展开更多
关键词 Cost overruns delayed payment disputes risk and social impact.
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