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西方汇率理论中的资产市场分析法述评 被引量:1
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作者 黄先荣 《经济学动态》 CSSCI 北大核心 1997年第8期69-72,共4页
资产市场分析法产生于70年代中期,随即便迅速发展起来,成为70年代之后西方占主导地位的汇率理论。资产市场分析法内部有两大主要理论分支,即货币模型和资产组合平衡模型,资产市场分析法中的货币模型假定,本币债券资产与外币债券资产具... 资产市场分析法产生于70年代中期,随即便迅速发展起来,成为70年代之后西方占主导地位的汇率理论。资产市场分析法内部有两大主要理论分支,即货币模型和资产组合平衡模型,资产市场分析法中的货币模型假定,本币债券资产与外币债券资产具有完全的替代性,而资产组合平衡模型则认为,两者具有不完全替代性。由于这一点上的不同,货币模型与资产组合平衡模型产生了重要区别。 展开更多
关键词 汇率理论 资产市场分析 西方国家 货币理论
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汇率易变性原因初探
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作者 刘晓东 牛鸿 《中山大学研究生学刊(社会科学版)》 2004年第1期115-120,共6页
本文是对汇率易变性(variability)原因的综述。文章分四部分。第一部分引言给出汇率易变性的定义;第二部分概述了汇率决定理论的发展过程,然后介绍了现代汇率决定理论对汇率易变性的解释;第三部分到对汇率易变性研究的现状和发展方向做... 本文是对汇率易变性(variability)原因的综述。文章分四部分。第一部分引言给出汇率易变性的定义;第二部分概述了汇率决定理论的发展过程,然后介绍了现代汇率决定理论对汇率易变性的解释;第三部分到对汇率易变性研究的现状和发展方向做出简要评论。 展开更多
关键词 汇率易变性 汇率决定理论 资产市场分析 非理性预期 真实经济周期 形成原因
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人民币是否大幅低估?——一个经验证据
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作者 赵先立 《中共宁波市委党校学报》 2013年第5期68-76,共9页
文章建立了一个均衡汇率的决定模型,确定了均衡汇率的主要影响因素为国内外相对货币供给量、相对国民收入和相对利率,并引入了净外国资产和开放度两类控制变量。文章进一步选取1994年1季度至2012年4季度的数据进行了实证检验并测算了人... 文章建立了一个均衡汇率的决定模型,确定了均衡汇率的主要影响因素为国内外相对货币供给量、相对国民收入和相对利率,并引入了净外国资产和开放度两类控制变量。文章进一步选取1994年1季度至2012年4季度的数据进行了实证检验并测算了人民币均衡汇率和失调幅度。结果表明,人民币汇率水平在样本期内呈现高估和低估交替,且具有一定的修复调节机制,总体未显著偏离均衡水平,不存在大幅低估。因此,我国应继续坚持"自主性"的人民币汇率形成机制改革。 展开更多
关键词 资产市场分析框架 人民币 均衡汇率 汇率失调
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Investment Risks of Agricultural Listed Companies from Visual Angle of Natural Disasters 被引量:1
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作者 Qu Xiang Sun Nengli Zhang Junbiao 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 北大核心 2008年第2期3-7,共5页
The essential feature of agriculture is the interweave- ment of natural reproduction and economic reproduction.In recent years,the natural disasters have become more frequent and badly affect the production management... The essential feature of agriculture is the interweave- ment of natural reproduction and economic reproduction.In recent years,the natural disasters have become more frequent and badly affect the production management and investment benefits.This problem has been an important risk in managing agricultural listed companies and cannot be ignored.It is of great importance to evaluate and prevent the risks of the natural disasters to enhance the competitive ability and increase the profits of those listed companies,thereby keeping the sustainable development of agri- cultural companies. 展开更多
关键词 agricultural listed companies risks of natural disasters investment risks risk evaluation
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Bankruptcy Prediction for Chinese Firms: Comparing Data Mining Tools With Logit Analysis
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作者 Wikil Kwak Xiaoyan Cheng +3 位作者 Jinlan Ni Yong Shi Guan Gong Nian Yan 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2014年第10期1030-1037,共8页
China's capital market is different from that of the US in economic, political, and socio-cultural ways. China's dynamic and fast growing economy for the past decade entails some structural changes and weaknesses an... China's capital market is different from that of the US in economic, political, and socio-cultural ways. China's dynamic and fast growing economy for the past decade entails some structural changes and weaknesses and as a consequence, there are some business failures. We propose bankruptcy prediction models using Chinese firm data via several data mining tools and traditional logit analysis. We used Chinese firm data one year prior to bankruptcy and our results suggest that the financial variables developed by Altman (1968) and Ohlson (1980) perform reasonably well in determining business failures of Chinese firms, but the overall prediction rate is low compared with those of the US or other countries' studies. The reasons for this low prediction rate may be structural weaknesses resulting from China's fast growth and immature capital market. 展开更多
关键词 China BANKRUPTCY data mining logit analysis
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Empirical Analysis on Asset Impairment and Earnings Management under the Background of Accounting Standards Variance
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作者 LiangQi 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2014年第1期95-97,共3页
Earning management is a pioneering research subject and a world problem rising in international economics and accounting field since 1980s. It is also common in listed companies of our country and has a degree of adve... Earning management is a pioneering research subject and a world problem rising in international economics and accounting field since 1980s. It is also common in listed companies of our country and has a degree of adverse effect on sound operation of market economy. The exploration on earning management firstly is based on knowing the related research achievements at home and abroad to compare the environment and background of different theories generating. Then the paper starts from the definition to analyze the effect of concrete accounting standards on earning management complemented with the proof of cases. Lastly, the paper analyzes the data of some listed companies from 2008 to 2011 with empirical method, and verifies the effect of implementing asset impairment criteria on earning management of listed companies from the view of industry. Focusing on the comparative study of industries, the paper draws valuableconclusion which is consistent with the real situation, and the paper refines the research of domestic earning management. 展开更多
关键词 accounting standards variance earnings management asset impairment comparison of industry
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