According to the relationships among state transition probability matrixes with different step lengths, an improved Markov chain model based on autocorrelation and entropy techniques was introduced. In the improved Ma...According to the relationships among state transition probability matrixes with different step lengths, an improved Markov chain model based on autocorrelation and entropy techniques was introduced. In the improved Markov chain model, the state transition probability matrixes can be adjusted. The steps of the historical state of the event, which was significantly related to the future state of the event, were determined by the autocorrelation technique, and the impact weights of the event historical state on the event future state were determined by the entropy technique. The presented model was applied to predicting annual precipitation and annual runoff states, showing that the improved model is of higher precision than those existing Markov chain models, and the determination of the state transition probability matrixes and the weights is more reasonable. The physical concepts of the improved model are distinct, and its computation process is simple and direct, thus, the presented model is sufficiently general to be applicable to the prediction problems in hydrology and water resources.展开更多
Proposed a new method to disclose the complicated non-linearity structure of the water-resource system, introducing chaos theory into the hydrology and water resources field, and combined with the chaos theory and art...Proposed a new method to disclose the complicated non-linearity structure of the water-resource system, introducing chaos theory into the hydrology and water resources field, and combined with the chaos theory and artificial neural networks. Training data construction and networks structure were determined by the phase space reconstruction, and establishing nonlinear relationship of phase points with neural networks, the forecasting model of the resource quantity of the surface water was brought forward. The keystone of the way and the detailed arithmetic of the network training were given. The example shows that the model has highly forecasting precision.展开更多
In this paper, a new predictive model, adapted to QTM (Quaternary Triangular Mesh) pixel compression, is introduced. Our approach starts with the principles of proposed predictive models based on available QTM neighbo...In this paper, a new predictive model, adapted to QTM (Quaternary Triangular Mesh) pixel compression, is introduced. Our approach starts with the principles of proposed predictive models based on available QTM neighbor pixels. An algorithm of ascertaining available QTM neighbors is also proposed. Then, the method for reducing space complexities in the procedure of predicting QTM pixel values is presented. Next, the structure for storing compressed QTM pixel is proposed. In the end, the experiment on comparing compression ratio of this method with other methods is carried out by using three wave bands data of 1 km resolution of NOAA images in China. The results indicate that: 1) the compression method performs better than any other, such as Run Length Coding, Arithmetic Coding, Huffman Cod- ing, etc; 2) the average size of compressed three wave band data based on the neighbor QTM pixel predictive model is 31.58% of the origin space requirements and 67.5% of Arithmetic Coding without predictive model.展开更多
Recent trends in environmental management of water resource have enlarged the demand for predicting techniques that can provide reliable, efficient and accurate water quality. In this case study, the authors applied t...Recent trends in environmental management of water resource have enlarged the demand for predicting techniques that can provide reliable, efficient and accurate water quality. In this case study, the authors applied the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to estimate the water quality index on the Dong Nai River flowing through Dong Nai and Binh Duong provinces. The information and data including 10 water quality parameters of the Dong Nai River at 23 monitoring stations were collected during the recorded time period from 2010 to 2014 to build water quality prediction models. The results of the study demonstrated that the Water Quality Index (WQI) forecasted with GRNN was very significant and had high correlation coefficient (R2 = 0.974 and p = 0.0) compared to the real values of the WQI. Moreover, the ANN models provided better predicted values than the multiple regression models did.展开更多
The Contingent Valuation Method is used to evaluate individual preferences for a change concerning a public non-market resource or property. The objective is to build a nonparametric forecasting model of an individual...The Contingent Valuation Method is used to evaluate individual preferences for a change concerning a public non-market resource or property. The objective is to build a nonparametric forecasting model of an individual's Willingness To Pay according to geographical location. Within this framework, an estimator (of type Nadaraya-Watson) is proposed for the regression of the variable related to geolocation. The specific characteristics of the location variable lead us to a more general regression model than the traditional models. Results are established for convergence of our estimator.展开更多
The traffic with tidal phenomenon in Heterogeneous Wireless Networks(HWNs)has radically increased the complexity of radio resource management and its performance analysis.In this paper,a Simplified Dynamic Hierarchy R...The traffic with tidal phenomenon in Heterogeneous Wireless Networks(HWNs)has radically increased the complexity of radio resource management and its performance analysis.In this paper,a Simplified Dynamic Hierarchy Resource Management(SDHRM)algorithm exploiting the resources dynamically and intelligently is proposed with the consideration of tidal traffic.In network-level resource allocation,the proposed algorithm first adopts wavelet neural network to forecast the traffic of each sub-area and then allocates the resources to those sub-areas to maximise the network utility.In connection-level network selection,based on the above resource allocation and the pre-defined QoS requirement,three typical network selection policies are provided to assign traffic flow to the most appropriate network.Furthermore,based on multidimensional Markov model,we analyse the performance of SDHRM in HWNs with heavy tailed traffic.Numerical results show that our theoretical values coincide with the simulation results and the SDHRM can improve the resource utilization.展开更多
As the knowledge-intensive enterprise, the core competence of software enterprise is to master human resources of knowledge. But the unique human resource characteristic of software enterprise res^cts the management. ...As the knowledge-intensive enterprise, the core competence of software enterprise is to master human resources of knowledge. But the unique human resource characteristic of software enterprise res^cts the management. While it develops rapidly, there is great waste for human resource cost. By using the prediction model of human resources for software enterprise, the paper proposes the human resource strategic planning system model of software enterprise. The paper applies grey prediction to make empirical research on requirements of human resource for software enterprises, and uses Markov chain to analyze supply of human resources. According to the prediction results, the paper adjusts the imbalanced supply and demand, and proposes the human resources planning.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of Major Special Technological Program of Water Pollution Control and Management (No.2009ZX07106-001)National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51079037, 50909063)
文摘According to the relationships among state transition probability matrixes with different step lengths, an improved Markov chain model based on autocorrelation and entropy techniques was introduced. In the improved Markov chain model, the state transition probability matrixes can be adjusted. The steps of the historical state of the event, which was significantly related to the future state of the event, were determined by the autocorrelation technique, and the impact weights of the event historical state on the event future state were determined by the entropy technique. The presented model was applied to predicting annual precipitation and annual runoff states, showing that the improved model is of higher precision than those existing Markov chain models, and the determination of the state transition probability matrixes and the weights is more reasonable. The physical concepts of the improved model are distinct, and its computation process is simple and direct, thus, the presented model is sufficiently general to be applicable to the prediction problems in hydrology and water resources.
基金Supported by 863 Program of China(2002AA2Z4291) Henan Innovation Project for University Prominent Research Talents(2005KYCX015)Henan Project for University Prominent Talents
文摘Proposed a new method to disclose the complicated non-linearity structure of the water-resource system, introducing chaos theory into the hydrology and water resources field, and combined with the chaos theory and artificial neural networks. Training data construction and networks structure were determined by the phase space reconstruction, and establishing nonlinear relationship of phase points with neural networks, the forecasting model of the resource quantity of the surface water was brought forward. The keystone of the way and the detailed arithmetic of the network training were given. The example shows that the model has highly forecasting precision.
基金Project 40471108 supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘In this paper, a new predictive model, adapted to QTM (Quaternary Triangular Mesh) pixel compression, is introduced. Our approach starts with the principles of proposed predictive models based on available QTM neighbor pixels. An algorithm of ascertaining available QTM neighbors is also proposed. Then, the method for reducing space complexities in the procedure of predicting QTM pixel values is presented. Next, the structure for storing compressed QTM pixel is proposed. In the end, the experiment on comparing compression ratio of this method with other methods is carried out by using three wave bands data of 1 km resolution of NOAA images in China. The results indicate that: 1) the compression method performs better than any other, such as Run Length Coding, Arithmetic Coding, Huffman Cod- ing, etc; 2) the average size of compressed three wave band data based on the neighbor QTM pixel predictive model is 31.58% of the origin space requirements and 67.5% of Arithmetic Coding without predictive model.
文摘Recent trends in environmental management of water resource have enlarged the demand for predicting techniques that can provide reliable, efficient and accurate water quality. In this case study, the authors applied the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to estimate the water quality index on the Dong Nai River flowing through Dong Nai and Binh Duong provinces. The information and data including 10 water quality parameters of the Dong Nai River at 23 monitoring stations were collected during the recorded time period from 2010 to 2014 to build water quality prediction models. The results of the study demonstrated that the Water Quality Index (WQI) forecasted with GRNN was very significant and had high correlation coefficient (R2 = 0.974 and p = 0.0) compared to the real values of the WQI. Moreover, the ANN models provided better predicted values than the multiple regression models did.
文摘The Contingent Valuation Method is used to evaluate individual preferences for a change concerning a public non-market resource or property. The objective is to build a nonparametric forecasting model of an individual's Willingness To Pay according to geographical location. Within this framework, an estimator (of type Nadaraya-Watson) is proposed for the regression of the variable related to geolocation. The specific characteristics of the location variable lead us to a more general regression model than the traditional models. Results are established for convergence of our estimator.
基金ACKNOWLEDGEMENT This work was supported by the National Na- tural Science Foundation of China under Gra- nts No. 61172079, 61231008, No. 61201141, No. 61301176 the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) under Grant No. 2009CB320404+2 种基金 the 111 Project under Gr- ant No. B08038 the National Science and Tec- hnology Major Project under Grant No. 2012- ZX03002009-003, No. 2012ZX03004002-003 and the Shaanxi Province Science and Techno- logy Research and Development Program un- der Grant No. 2011KJXX-40.
文摘The traffic with tidal phenomenon in Heterogeneous Wireless Networks(HWNs)has radically increased the complexity of radio resource management and its performance analysis.In this paper,a Simplified Dynamic Hierarchy Resource Management(SDHRM)algorithm exploiting the resources dynamically and intelligently is proposed with the consideration of tidal traffic.In network-level resource allocation,the proposed algorithm first adopts wavelet neural network to forecast the traffic of each sub-area and then allocates the resources to those sub-areas to maximise the network utility.In connection-level network selection,based on the above resource allocation and the pre-defined QoS requirement,three typical network selection policies are provided to assign traffic flow to the most appropriate network.Furthermore,based on multidimensional Markov model,we analyse the performance of SDHRM in HWNs with heavy tailed traffic.Numerical results show that our theoretical values coincide with the simulation results and the SDHRM can improve the resource utilization.
文摘As the knowledge-intensive enterprise, the core competence of software enterprise is to master human resources of knowledge. But the unique human resource characteristic of software enterprise res^cts the management. While it develops rapidly, there is great waste for human resource cost. By using the prediction model of human resources for software enterprise, the paper proposes the human resource strategic planning system model of software enterprise. The paper applies grey prediction to make empirical research on requirements of human resource for software enterprises, and uses Markov chain to analyze supply of human resources. According to the prediction results, the paper adjusts the imbalanced supply and demand, and proposes the human resources planning.