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树木年轮轮宽年表建立方法研究进展 被引量:15
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作者 彭小梅 肖生春 肖洪浪 《中国沙漠》 CSCD 北大核心 2013年第3期857-865,共9页
树木年轮以其高分辨率、准确定年、样本广泛分布且可定量等优点,在全球变化特别是气候变化研究中广泛运用。去除以生长趋势为主的噪音,建立包含所需气候信息的轮宽年表是开展树木年轮气候学研究的关键。基于轮宽年表建立理论和树木径向... 树木年轮以其高分辨率、准确定年、样本广泛分布且可定量等优点,在全球变化特别是气候变化研究中广泛运用。去除以生长趋势为主的噪音,建立包含所需气候信息的轮宽年表是开展树木年轮气候学研究的关键。基于轮宽年表建立理论和树木径向生长概念模型,本文综述了轮宽年表建立过程中生长趋势拟合、指数化和均值化3个阶段的主要理论方法的研究进展;并详细介绍了最为关键的生长趋势拟合方法中,目前较为传统的曲线拟合类方法,和近20年来为克服曲线拟合类方法低频信息保留问题而受到关注和发展的区域曲线类方法;认为如何准确提取轮宽低频气候信息,将是树木年轮轮宽年表建立的主要发展趋势。 展开更多
关键词 轮宽年表 生长趋势拟合 去趋势 指数化 均值化
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Tree-ring based PDSI reconstruction since 1853 AD in the source of the Fenhe River Basin,Shanxi Province,China 被引量:6
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作者 SUN JunYan LIU Yu +1 位作者 SUN Bo WANG RuiYuan 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第11期1847-1854,共8页
A robust tree-ring-width chronology was developed from two Pinus tabulaeformis sampling sites in the source of the Fenhe River,Shanxi Province,China.Based on the tree-ring-width indices,a 157-year long Palmer Drought ... A robust tree-ring-width chronology was developed from two Pinus tabulaeformis sampling sites in the source of the Fenhe River,Shanxi Province,China.Based on the tree-ring-width indices,a 157-year long Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) was reconstructed,which explains 53.7% of the variance of the modeled PDSI over the common period 1957-2008.The drought periods in the study area include 1914-1931 and 1970 to the present,whereas the wet periods were 1866-1892 and 1932-1969.The drought of 1914-1931 was a severe long-lasting drought with a low inter-annual variability,and the drought of 1970-2009 was an overall long-term drought with a high inter-annual variability.The period of 1866-1892 is a continuously wet period with a low inter-annual variability and the period of 1932-1969 is an overall long-term wet period with a high inter-annual variability.The reconstructed PDSI series in the source of the Fenhe River shows synchronous variations with the regional drought/wetness indices.Spatial correlation analyses indicate that the higher correlations lie exclusively in the Fenhe River Basin.This indicates that the reconstructed PDSI has regional representativeness and can represent the drought history of the entire Fenhe River Basin to some extent.Furthermore,the reconstructed PDSI matches with the variability of the per unit yield of summer grain crops in Shanxi Province very well and they have significant correlation.From a long-term perspective the reconstructed PDSI series could supply scientific and valuable information to the water resources management and then help the sustainable development in agricultural production,economic development,and ecosystem balance. 展开更多
关键词 tree-ring-width indices PDSI reconstruction DROUGHT the Fenhe River Basin China
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Analysis of reconstructed annual precipitation from tree-rings for the past 500 years in the middle Qilian Mountain 被引量:8
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作者 TIAN QinHua ZHOU XiuJi +3 位作者 GOU XiaoHu ZHAO Ping FAN ZeXin Samuli HELAMA 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第5期770-778,共9页
The ring-width chronology of a Juniperus przewalskii tree from the middle of the Qilian Mountain was constructed to estimate the annual precipitation (from previous August to current July) since AD 1480.The reconstruc... The ring-width chronology of a Juniperus przewalskii tree from the middle of the Qilian Mountain was constructed to estimate the annual precipitation (from previous August to current July) since AD 1480.The reconstruction showed four major alternations of drying and wetting over the past 521 years.The rainy 16th century was followed by persistent drought in the 17th century.Moreover,relatively wet conditions persisted from the 18th to the beginning of 20th century until the recurrence of a drought during the 1920s and 1930s.Based on the Empirical Mode Decomposition method,eight Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) were extracted,each representing unique fluctuations of the reconstructed precipitation in the time-frequency domain.The high amplitudes of IMFs on different timescales were often consistent with the high amount of precipitation,and vice versa.The IMF of the lowest frequency indicated that the precipitation has undergone a slow increasing trend over the past 521 years.The 2-3 year and 5-8 year time-scales reflected the characteristics of inter-annual variability in precipitation relevant to regional atmospheric circulation and the El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO),respectively.The 10-13 year scale of IMF may be associated with changing solar activity.Specifically,an amalgamation of previous and present data showed that droughts were likely to be a historically persistent feature of the Earth's climate,whereas the probability of intensified rainfall events seemed to increase during the course of the 19th and 20th centuries.These changing characteristics in precipitation indicate an unprecedented alteration of the hydrological cycle,with unknown future amplitude.Our reconstruction complements existing information on past precipitation changes in the Qilian Mountain,and provides additional low-frequency information not previously available. 展开更多
关键词 Qilian Mountain tree-ring reconstruction empirical mode decomposition multi-scale precipitation variability not previously available
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Divergence of tree-ring-based drought reconstruction between the individual sampling site and the Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas: an example from Guancen Mountain 被引量:3
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作者 Qiang Li Yu Liu +2 位作者 Huiming Song Yinke Yang Boyang Zhao 《Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第19期1688-1697,共10页
To evaluate the applicability of the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) to paleoclimate reconstructions in the east Asian summ... To evaluate the applicability of the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) to paleoclimate reconstructions in the east Asian summer monsoon region, we used a 194-year tree-ring width chronology from Guancen Mountain, Shanxi Province, China, to investigate its correlation with SPEI and scPDSI, respectively. The results indicated scPDSI as a robust drought index that could be reconstructed from tree-ring width on Guancen Mountain other hydroclimate-related Significant correlations with series illustrated that our reconstruction captured common variations of hydroclimate in the surrounding areas. Additionally, our reconstruction showed significant correlation with nearby grid points of the Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas (MADA). However, while unprecedented drying trend existed during the past several decades in MADA, it was not represented in our reconstruction or in instrumental scPDSI/Dai-PDSI. This may imply that MADA overestimated drought severity during the past several decades in our study area; this overestimation was probably caused by an insufficient spatiotemporal distribution of the tree-ring network used by MADA. Therefore, more drought reconstructions based on individual sampling sites in eastern Asia are necessary to gain a thorough understanding of the Asian Monsoon climate variability. 展开更多
关键词 Tree tings Drought reconstruction Individual sampling site Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas Guancen Mountain
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