基于自主构建的WRF-EnSRF(Weather Research and Forecasting-Ensemble Square-Root Filter)同化系统,同化了ATOVS(Advanced TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder)辐射率资料,以检验该系统同化卫星资料的能力及其在暴雨过程模拟中的效...基于自主构建的WRF-EnSRF(Weather Research and Forecasting-Ensemble Square-Root Filter)同化系统,同化了ATOVS(Advanced TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder)辐射率资料,以检验该系统同化卫星资料的能力及其在暴雨过程模拟中的效能。对2008年6月6-7日广东地区一次大暴雨过程进行了同化及数值模拟试验,结果表明,同化ATOVS辐射率资料得到的分析场,丰富了对流层高层的大气温度和对流层中低层的大气湿度信息,对风场也有一定的改进。控制试验和同化试验都较好地模拟出了降水的主要落区和发生时段,但控制试验对暴雨、大暴雨的雨区和雨强的模拟效果欠佳;相比而言,同化试验对强降水中心的位置、范围的模拟均有更好的反映,模拟的暴雨强度也与实际降水量级基本一致,同化改进效果明显。展开更多
Based on 48-year (1958-2006) ocean reanalysis data of Simple Ocean Data Assimilation and 23-year (1984-2006) global ocean-surface heat flux products developed by the Objectively Analyzed Air-Sea Heat Flux Project, mer...Based on 48-year (1958-2006) ocean reanalysis data of Simple Ocean Data Assimilation and 23-year (1984-2006) global ocean-surface heat flux products developed by the Objectively Analyzed Air-Sea Heat Flux Project, meridional variation of the western Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP) is addressed. The results show that there is a significant expansion of the northern edge of the WPWP in the late 1990s and early 2000s. This variation is mainly within 120°E-160°E by 8°N-20°N, we define this region (120°E-160°E by 8°N-20°N) as the core region. Furthermore, analyses on upper ocean heat budget show that the short wave radiation plays a key role in the northward expansion of the northern edge of the WPWP in the core region. It is proved that the northward expansion may be caused by the change of the mixed layer which became shallower in 1994-2006 compared with 1984-1993 in the study region. The short wave radiation flux distribution within the shallower mixed layer leads to a positive anomaly in seawater temperature, promoting the northward expansion of the WPWP.展开更多
文摘基于自主构建的WRF-EnSRF(Weather Research and Forecasting-Ensemble Square-Root Filter)同化系统,同化了ATOVS(Advanced TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder)辐射率资料,以检验该系统同化卫星资料的能力及其在暴雨过程模拟中的效能。对2008年6月6-7日广东地区一次大暴雨过程进行了同化及数值模拟试验,结果表明,同化ATOVS辐射率资料得到的分析场,丰富了对流层高层的大气温度和对流层中低层的大气湿度信息,对风场也有一定的改进。控制试验和同化试验都较好地模拟出了降水的主要落区和发生时段,但控制试验对暴雨、大暴雨的雨区和雨强的模拟效果欠佳;相比而言,同化试验对强降水中心的位置、范围的模拟均有更好的反映,模拟的暴雨强度也与实际降水量级基本一致,同化改进效果明显。
基金Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)(Nos.2010CB950402,2012CB417402)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.41106018)
文摘Based on 48-year (1958-2006) ocean reanalysis data of Simple Ocean Data Assimilation and 23-year (1984-2006) global ocean-surface heat flux products developed by the Objectively Analyzed Air-Sea Heat Flux Project, meridional variation of the western Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP) is addressed. The results show that there is a significant expansion of the northern edge of the WPWP in the late 1990s and early 2000s. This variation is mainly within 120°E-160°E by 8°N-20°N, we define this region (120°E-160°E by 8°N-20°N) as the core region. Furthermore, analyses on upper ocean heat budget show that the short wave radiation plays a key role in the northward expansion of the northern edge of the WPWP in the core region. It is proved that the northward expansion may be caused by the change of the mixed layer which became shallower in 1994-2006 compared with 1984-1993 in the study region. The short wave radiation flux distribution within the shallower mixed layer leads to a positive anomaly in seawater temperature, promoting the northward expansion of the WPWP.
