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基于仿真的复杂系统可靠性评估输入数据统计分析研究 被引量:3
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作者 杨宇航 李志忠 郑力 《系统仿真学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2005年第3期710-713,共4页
对应用仿真技术评估复杂系统可靠性时输入数据的统计分析进行了深入研究。特别是对试验数据较少,即小样本情况进行了研究。对于根据小样本进行的可靠性估计,结合 Bayes 方法的蒙特卡洛(Bayes-MC)方法和结合改进的 Bootstrap 方法的蒙特... 对应用仿真技术评估复杂系统可靠性时输入数据的统计分析进行了深入研究。特别是对试验数据较少,即小样本情况进行了研究。对于根据小样本进行的可靠性估计,结合 Bayes 方法的蒙特卡洛(Bayes-MC)方法和结合改进的 Bootstrap 方法的蒙特卡洛(改进的 Bootstrap-MC)方法是比较有效的。概括总结了无数据情况下的专家经验估计三角分布方法,提出了改进的 Bootstrap 方法,将验前信息与专家经验纳入 Bootstrap 方法中,克服了该方法利用样本信息量不足的缺陷,使其更加完善与实用。在复杂系统的可靠性评估时,应采用综合或混合的方法。 展开更多
关键词 复杂系统 可靠性评估 输入数据分析 仿真
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Wind Wave Characteristics and Engineering Environment of the South China Sea 被引量:4
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作者 WANG Zhifeng ZHOU Liangming +4 位作者 DONG Sheng WU Lunyu LI Zhanbin MOU Lin WANG Aifang 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS 2014年第6期893-900,共8页
Wave simulation was conducted for the period 1976 to 2005 in the South China Sea (SCS) using the wave model, WAVEWATCH-III. Wave characteristics and engineering environment were studied in the region. The wind input... Wave simulation was conducted for the period 1976 to 2005 in the South China Sea (SCS) using the wave model, WAVEWATCH-III. Wave characteristics and engineering environment were studied in the region. The wind input data are from the objective reanalysis wind datasets, which assimilate meteorological data from several sources. Comparisons of significant wave heights between simulation and TOPEX/Poseidon altimeter and buoy data show a good agreement in general. By statistical analysis, the wave characteristics, such as significant wave heights, dominant wave directions, and their seasonal variations, were discussed. The largest significant wave heights are found in winter and the smallest in spring. The annual mean dominant wave direction is northeast (NE) along the southwest (SW)-NE axis, east northeast in the northwest (NW) part of SCS, and north northeast in the southeast (SE) part of SCS. The joint distributions of wave heights and wave periods (directions) were studied. The results show a single peak pattern for joint significant wave heights and periods, and a double peak pattern for joint significant wave heights and mean directions. Furthermore, the main wave extreme parameters and directional extreme values, particularly for the 100-year return period, were also investigated. The main extreme values of significant wave heights are larger in the northern part of SCS than in the south- ern part, with the maximum value occurring to the southeast of Hainan Island. The direction of large directional extreme Hs values is focus in E in the northem and middle sea areas of SCS, while the direction of those is focus in N in the southeast sea areas of SCS. 展开更多
关键词 surface waves statistical characteristics joint distributions extreme parameters
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Efficiency Rankings of MBA Programs in Indian Top Public Colleges 被引量:3
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作者 Patrick Jaska Vedamuthu Kulandai Swamy 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2013年第9期1275-1279,共5页
This study examines the relative efficiency of the top 20 Indian public colleges that offer MBAs. These colleges were chosen from a list provided by Careers 360, a magazine in India known for its university rankings. ... This study examines the relative efficiency of the top 20 Indian public colleges that offer MBAs. These colleges were chosen from a list provided by Careers 360, a magazine in India known for its university rankings. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the colleges on an efficiency basis rather than on a total score ranking scale as is the common practice of most publications that rank universities or programs. The ranking method used in this study is based on data envelopment analysis (DEA), a nonparametric procedure for evaluating entities based upon examining inputs in relation to outputs achieved. The rankings using DEA were somewhat different than those given by Careers 360. The results of the DEA analysis of this study rank the universities that are the most efficient at getting students the best salaries and return on investment (ROI) based on the inputs of diversity, work experience, and residency. The authors conclude, as previous studies have shown, that DEA analysis is a useful and non-biased method of comparing university programs. 展开更多
关键词 aniversity academic rankings relative efficiency data envelopment analysis (DEA)
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