In petrochemical plant, the in-operation repairing is usually a repairing strategy with pressured inoperation repairing for avoiding huge economic losses caused by unplanned shutdown when some slight local leakage hap...In petrochemical plant, the in-operation repairing is usually a repairing strategy with pressured inoperation repairing for avoiding huge economic losses caused by unplanned shutdown when some slight local leakage happens in pipes. This paper studies the effects of repairing strategies on the failure probability of the pipe systems in process industries based on the time-average fault tree approach, especially the in-operation repairing strategies including pressured in-operation repairing activities. The fault tree model can predict the effect of different repairing plans on the pipe failure probability, which is significant to the optimization of the repairing plans. At first pipes are distinguished into four states in this model, i.e., successive state, flaw state, leakage state and failure state. Then the fault tree approach, which is usually applied in the studies of dynamic equipment, is adopted to model the pipe failure. Moreover, the effect of pressured in-operation repairing is also considered in the model. In addition, this paper proposes a series of time-average parameters of the fault tree model, all of which are used to calculate node parameters of the fault tree model. At last, a practical case is calculated based on the fault tree model in a repairing activity of pipe thinning.展开更多
Permafrost degradation is prevalent on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.This may lead to changes in water and heat transition in soils and thus affect the structure and function of ecosystems.In this paper,using the measured...Permafrost degradation is prevalent on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.This may lead to changes in water and heat transition in soils and thus affect the structure and function of ecosystems.In this paper,using the measured data of alpine steppe in Wudaoliang assessed the model performance in simulating soil freezing and thawing processes.Comparison of the simulated results by simultaneous heat and water(SHAW) model to the measured data showed that SHAW model performed satisfactorily.Based on analyzing the simulated and predicted results,two points were obtained:(1) freezing and thawing of the active layer proceeded both from the soil surface downward.Compared with the freezing process,the thawing process was slower.The freezing period persisted in the surface layer(4 cm depth) for about 5 months;(2) in the next 50 years,frozen period would be shorten about 20 days in the top 100 cm depth while the thawing would start earlier 40 days than present.Soil water storage in the 0-60 cm would decrease by 22% averagely,especially from June to August when the vegetation is at the dominating water consumed stage.Therefore,this kind of permafrost degradation as active layer freezing and thawing processes changes will reduce soil water content and thus influence those ecosystems above it.展开更多
Due to rapidly development of information systems, risk and security issues have increased and became a phenomenon that concerns every organization, without considering the size of it. To achieve desired results, mana...Due to rapidly development of information systems, risk and security issues have increased and became a phenomenon that concerns every organization, without considering the size of it. To achieve desired results, managers have to implement methods of evaluating and mitigating risk as part of a process well elaborated. Security risk management helps managers to better control the business practices and improve the business process. An effective risk management process is based on a successful IT security program. This doesn't mean that the main goal of an organization's risk management process is to protect its IT assets, but to protect the organization and its ability to perform their missions. During this process, managers have to take into consideration risks that can affect the organization and apply the most suitable measures to minimize their impact. The most important task is choosing the best suited method for analyzing the existing risk properly. Several methods have been developed, being classified in quantitative and qualitative approaches of evaluating risk. The purpose of this paper is to present the advantages and disadvantages of each approach taking current needs and opportunities into consideration.展开更多
This paper, on the basis of the author realizing the skill evaluation system based on real environment, discusses several commonly used parameter estimation methods based on item response theory ( IRT ) and analyzes...This paper, on the basis of the author realizing the skill evaluation system based on real environment, discusses several commonly used parameter estimation methods based on item response theory ( IRT ) and analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of each estimation method and their respective application fields. Also, it expounds the research theory and design process of skill adaptive evaluation system based on real environment and the innovation of the system.展开更多
Land evaluation assesses the suitability of land for specified land uses. The FAO Framework for Land Evaluation provides guidance for land suitability assessment. An Expert System Land Evaluation for Oil Palm Cultivat...Land evaluation assesses the suitability of land for specified land uses. The FAO Framework for Land Evaluation provides guidance for land suitability assessment. An Expert System Land Evaluation for Oil Palm Cultivation (ESLEOP) software was developed using climate, land qualities and land characteristics as diagnostic criteria in order to speed up the process of land assessment for oil palm cultivation in tropical regions. The results showed that ESLEOP evaluated land suitability for oil palm cultivation faster than the conventional method.展开更多
Present mobile communication system suffers from the exponentially increased mobile traffic and research on the fifth generation(5G) mobile network architectures is ongoing to solve this problem. We investigate the fe...Present mobile communication system suffers from the exponentially increased mobile traffic and research on the fifth generation(5G) mobile network architectures is ongoing to solve this problem. We investigate the feasibility of the proposals used for the network architecture evolution from 4G to 5G and first propose a compatible network architecture, which decouples the management plane, the control plane and the user plane based on NO Stack framework proposed in our previous study. We mainly design detail procedures including UE attachment, service request and dedicated bearer activation/deactivation for our proposal network architecture. Finally, we establish a clear analytical mode of the application and system states to evaluate the signaling loads of new architecture. Simulation results show that our proposal network architecture with elaborated signaling procedures has much impact on the total signaling loads of system and could obviously decrease the signaling overhead compared with LTE.展开更多
基金Supported by National Science and Technology Pillar Program in the Twelfth Five-Year Plan (No. 2011BAK06B02)National Basic Research Program of China ("973" Program, No. 2012CB026000)
文摘In petrochemical plant, the in-operation repairing is usually a repairing strategy with pressured inoperation repairing for avoiding huge economic losses caused by unplanned shutdown when some slight local leakage happens in pipes. This paper studies the effects of repairing strategies on the failure probability of the pipe systems in process industries based on the time-average fault tree approach, especially the in-operation repairing strategies including pressured in-operation repairing activities. The fault tree model can predict the effect of different repairing plans on the pipe failure probability, which is significant to the optimization of the repairing plans. At first pipes are distinguished into four states in this model, i.e., successive state, flaw state, leakage state and failure state. Then the fault tree approach, which is usually applied in the studies of dynamic equipment, is adopted to model the pipe failure. Moreover, the effect of pressured in-operation repairing is also considered in the model. In addition, this paper proposes a series of time-average parameters of the fault tree model, all of which are used to calculate node parameters of the fault tree model. At last, a practical case is calculated based on the fault tree model in a repairing activity of pipe thinning.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2005CB422005)the National Basic S&T Project of China(Grant No.2006FY110200)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant No.20090460506)
文摘Permafrost degradation is prevalent on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.This may lead to changes in water and heat transition in soils and thus affect the structure and function of ecosystems.In this paper,using the measured data of alpine steppe in Wudaoliang assessed the model performance in simulating soil freezing and thawing processes.Comparison of the simulated results by simultaneous heat and water(SHAW) model to the measured data showed that SHAW model performed satisfactorily.Based on analyzing the simulated and predicted results,two points were obtained:(1) freezing and thawing of the active layer proceeded both from the soil surface downward.Compared with the freezing process,the thawing process was slower.The freezing period persisted in the surface layer(4 cm depth) for about 5 months;(2) in the next 50 years,frozen period would be shorten about 20 days in the top 100 cm depth while the thawing would start earlier 40 days than present.Soil water storage in the 0-60 cm would decrease by 22% averagely,especially from June to August when the vegetation is at the dominating water consumed stage.Therefore,this kind of permafrost degradation as active layer freezing and thawing processes changes will reduce soil water content and thus influence those ecosystems above it.
文摘Due to rapidly development of information systems, risk and security issues have increased and became a phenomenon that concerns every organization, without considering the size of it. To achieve desired results, managers have to implement methods of evaluating and mitigating risk as part of a process well elaborated. Security risk management helps managers to better control the business practices and improve the business process. An effective risk management process is based on a successful IT security program. This doesn't mean that the main goal of an organization's risk management process is to protect its IT assets, but to protect the organization and its ability to perform their missions. During this process, managers have to take into consideration risks that can affect the organization and apply the most suitable measures to minimize their impact. The most important task is choosing the best suited method for analyzing the existing risk properly. Several methods have been developed, being classified in quantitative and qualitative approaches of evaluating risk. The purpose of this paper is to present the advantages and disadvantages of each approach taking current needs and opportunities into consideration.
文摘This paper, on the basis of the author realizing the skill evaluation system based on real environment, discusses several commonly used parameter estimation methods based on item response theory ( IRT ) and analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of each estimation method and their respective application fields. Also, it expounds the research theory and design process of skill adaptive evaluation system based on real environment and the innovation of the system.
文摘Land evaluation assesses the suitability of land for specified land uses. The FAO Framework for Land Evaluation provides guidance for land suitability assessment. An Expert System Land Evaluation for Oil Palm Cultivation (ESLEOP) software was developed using climate, land qualities and land characteristics as diagnostic criteria in order to speed up the process of land assessment for oil palm cultivation in tropical regions. The results showed that ESLEOP evaluated land suitability for oil palm cultivation faster than the conventional method.
基金supported by the Chinas 863 Project (No.2015AA01A706)the National Science and Technology Major Project (No. 2016ZX03001017)+1 种基金the Science and Technology Program of Beijing (No. D161100001016002)the Science and Technology Cooperation Projects (No. 2015DFT10160B)
文摘Present mobile communication system suffers from the exponentially increased mobile traffic and research on the fifth generation(5G) mobile network architectures is ongoing to solve this problem. We investigate the feasibility of the proposals used for the network architecture evolution from 4G to 5G and first propose a compatible network architecture, which decouples the management plane, the control plane and the user plane based on NO Stack framework proposed in our previous study. We mainly design detail procedures including UE attachment, service request and dedicated bearer activation/deactivation for our proposal network architecture. Finally, we establish a clear analytical mode of the application and system states to evaluate the signaling loads of new architecture. Simulation results show that our proposal network architecture with elaborated signaling procedures has much impact on the total signaling loads of system and could obviously decrease the signaling overhead compared with LTE.