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基于相空间重构和进化高斯过程的短期风速预测 被引量:1
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作者 常纯 李德胜 《计算机与现代化》 2016年第7期33-36,43,共5页
提出一种基于相空间重构和进化高斯过程的短期风速预测方法。首先,运用自相关法和假近邻法分别得出原始风速时间序列的延迟时间和嵌入维数,实现混沌风速时间序列的相空间重构;然后,运用进化高斯过程回归模型进行建模,通过高斯过程模型... 提出一种基于相空间重构和进化高斯过程的短期风速预测方法。首先,运用自相关法和假近邻法分别得出原始风速时间序列的延迟时间和嵌入维数,实现混沌风速时间序列的相空间重构;然后,运用进化高斯过程回归模型进行建模,通过高斯过程模型确定输入量和输出量之间的关系,并用改进粒子群算法求取最优超参数。根据某实测风速数据进行了风速预测,结果表明本文所提出的方法能有效提高风速预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 风速预测 短期 相空间重构 进化高斯过程 改进粒子群算法
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Gaussian process assisted coevolutionary estimation of distribution algorithm for computationally expensive problems 被引量:1
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作者 罗娜 钱锋 +1 位作者 赵亮 钟伟民 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第2期443-452,共10页
In order to reduce the computation of complex problems, a new surrogate-assisted estimation of distribution algorithm with Gaussian process was proposed. Coevolution was used in dual populations which evolved in paral... In order to reduce the computation of complex problems, a new surrogate-assisted estimation of distribution algorithm with Gaussian process was proposed. Coevolution was used in dual populations which evolved in parallel. The search space was projected into multiple subspaces and searched by sub-populations. Also, the whole space was exploited by the other population which exchanges information with the sub-populations. In order to make the evolutionary course efficient, multivariate Gaussian model and Gaussian mixture model were used in both populations separately to estimate the distribution of individuals and reproduce new generations. For the surrogate model, Gaussian process was combined with the algorithm which predicted variance of the predictions. The results on six benchmark functions show that the new algorithm performs better than other surrogate-model based algorithms and the computation complexity is only 10% of the original estimation of distribution algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 estimation of distribution algorithm fitness function modeling Gaussian process surrogate approach
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