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试析2020年美国大选中的选民因素 被引量:5
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作者 刘卫东 《美国研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第4期68-93,M0004,M0005,共28页
美国2020年大选早已拉开帷幕,美国选民的结构、组成和动向稳中有变。选民在族裔、受教育程度、宗教信仰、性别年龄等方面存在的差异,在价值取向和政治意识方面的认知,在行使自身政治权利方面的态度,都将通过其投票行为对大选产生影响。... 美国2020年大选早已拉开帷幕,美国选民的结构、组成和动向稳中有变。选民在族裔、受教育程度、宗教信仰、性别年龄等方面存在的差异,在价值取向和政治意识方面的认知,在行使自身政治权利方面的态度,都将通过其投票行为对大选产生影响。特朗普的核心支持者成分复杂,诉求不一,在其执政后对他的态度出现分化,尤其是女性及部分白人蓝领选民的流失将对其选情带来不利影响。民主党选民的基数始终较大,投票热情也在提升,但由于党内存在明显的价值分歧,部分选民对候选人的忠诚胜过对政党的忠诚,以及存在投票率“虚高”等现象,导致民主党在大选中也面临压力。预计在2020年的大选中,由于两党选民严重对立,独立选民和摇摆州的地位会有所上升,大选走势将主要取决于两党对摇摆选民的争夺。特朗普除了继续依靠其核心选民外,还需要吸引其他选民的支持;拜登的重点则是凝聚民心,深耕本土。党派归属依然是选民动员的主要依据。 展开更多
关键词 美国政治 总统选举 两党政治 2020年大选 选民因素
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Conservative Immigration Reform and Illegal Immigrants
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作者 Huiyun Tang 《Sociology Study》 2015年第12期911-919,共9页
In 1996, Congress enacted Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act of 1996 (IIRIRA). Actually, it was a conservative legislation. It not only tightened border control but also strictly limited the... In 1996, Congress enacted Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act of 1996 (IIRIRA). Actually, it was a conservative legislation. It not only tightened border control but also strictly limited the public benefits about illegal immigration. Why Congress enacted serious immigration legislation in the 1990s? Generally speaking, economic factor and politics played an important role in it. In derails, several reasons can account for its conservatism: (1) The first reason is that the increase number of illegal immigration led to the high cost of state governments, many state governments complained it; (2) The second reason is the influence of 187 Act which deported illegal immigration in primary and high school and it produced chain effect for other states; (3) The third reason is political election, including Congress election and president campaign. 187 Act greatly influenced GOP (Grand Old Party) and Congress, which was controlled by GOP, tended to take serious measures to contain illegal immigrants. Did IIRRA work? In fact, it did not control illegal immigration. After 1990s, more and more illegal immigration entered into America and U.S, has become the nation with the most illegal immigrants in the world. Therefore, Congress should consider comprehensive immigration reform. 展开更多
关键词 Conservative immigration reform illegal immigrants 187 Act
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