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预测交通流量时间序列的组合动态建模方法 被引量:4
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作者 张勇 关伟 《吉林大学学报(工学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第5期1209-1214,共6页
为了预测交通流量,提出一种预测交通流量的组合动态建模方法。考虑交通流量的特征,将流量时间序列分解成周期项、趋势项和混沌扰动项。采用季节性指数平滑法预测周期项和趋势项之和。该计算过程取周期为一天和一周,并用带遗忘因子的递... 为了预测交通流量,提出一种预测交通流量的组合动态建模方法。考虑交通流量的特征,将流量时间序列分解成周期项、趋势项和混沌扰动项。采用季节性指数平滑法预测周期项和趋势项之和。该计算过程取周期为一天和一周,并用带遗忘因子的递推最小二乘法确定权重,采用邻域法预测混沌项。对实际交通流量序列的预测结果表明,交通流量与前一天和前一周的状态均存在相关性,且季节性指数平滑预测后的残差是混沌的。一周的不同统计间隔的交通流量序列预测的平均相对误差在9%以下。 展开更多
关键词 交通运输工程 智能交通系统 通流时间序列 递推最小二乘法
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时间推进通流气动设计方法的探索和分析 被引量:1
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作者 施鑫 赵拥军 +1 位作者 周盛 季路成 《工程热物理学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期50-53,共4页
本文在时间推进法与风扇气动设计相结合方面进行了探索,初步形成时间推进通流气动设计方法及相应设计程序。该方法根本上克服了流线曲率法不能解决混合型方程组的困难,能适用于超音来流风扇的气动设计。采用该方法对高负荷亚音来流风扇... 本文在时间推进法与风扇气动设计相结合方面进行了探索,初步形成时间推进通流气动设计方法及相应设计程序。该方法根本上克服了流线曲率法不能解决混合型方程组的困难,能适用于超音来流风扇的气动设计。采用该方法对高负荷亚音来流风扇、超音通流风扇和超音来流风扇进行气动设计,证实了该方法相对流线曲率法具有很大的优越性。 展开更多
关键词 时间推进通流 高负荷风扇 叶轮机气动设计
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晶闸管过零关断零电压介质恢复阻断影响因素的分析 被引量:2
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作者 方伟 徐国顺 +1 位作者 王鸣光 赵盼庆 《电器与能效管理技术》 2017年第6期9-12,共4页
为了分析晶闸管换流过零的暂态关断恢复特性影响因素,设计了晶闸管强迫过零关断后零电压恢复的试验电路。通过试验系统地研究了影响晶闸管暂态恢复时间的两个重要因素,并且就通流大小、通流时间对晶闸管恢复时间特性具体产生的影响做了... 为了分析晶闸管换流过零的暂态关断恢复特性影响因素,设计了晶闸管强迫过零关断后零电压恢复的试验电路。通过试验系统地研究了影响晶闸管暂态恢复时间的两个重要因素,并且就通流大小、通流时间对晶闸管恢复时间特性具体产生的影响做了详细的分析。分析结果表明,晶闸管通流幅值的增大与通流时间的增长均会对其恢复时间产生不利的影响。 展开更多
关键词 晶闸管关断恢复 强迫过零 通流大小 通流时间
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35kV断路器跳合闸线圈实时测控保护装置的研制 被引量:4
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作者 金慧 张高潮 +2 位作者 刘际波 应海珏 刘化文 《浙江电力》 2016年第3期14-17,共4页
针对35 kV断路器跳合闸线圈易烧毁问题研发了一种线圈测控保护装置,该装置利用单片机系统控制测温模块和电流检测模块实时测量线圈温度和线圈电流,实现线圈过温保护和线圈长期通流保护,当合闸线圈通流时间超过设定值时,使用大功率开关... 针对35 kV断路器跳合闸线圈易烧毁问题研发了一种线圈测控保护装置,该装置利用单片机系统控制测温模块和电流检测模块实时测量线圈温度和线圈电流,实现线圈过温保护和线圈长期通流保护,当合闸线圈通流时间超过设定值时,使用大功率开关模块断开线圈回路,并借助实时时钟模块记录故障时间和通过液晶显示,达到保护线圈和记录线圈故障信息的目的。 展开更多
关键词 断路器 合闸 线圈 温度 电流 通流时间 保护
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供水终端管网高灵敏度在线检漏技术 被引量:3
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作者 刘金玉 王殿生 +1 位作者 周琦森 杨龙 《给水排水》 CSCD 北大核心 2017年第S1期288-290,共3页
供水管网漏失问题是社会关注的热点问题,目前已有的管网检漏技术都是针对干线管道或支线管网而研发,不适用于终端管网,充分考虑供水终端管网的运行特点后,首次提出了一种定量计算与定性判断相结合,大漏失与微小漏失联合监控,单点可扩网... 供水管网漏失问题是社会关注的热点问题,目前已有的管网检漏技术都是针对干线管道或支线管网而研发,不适用于终端管网,充分考虑供水终端管网的运行特点后,首次提出了一种定量计算与定性判断相结合,大漏失与微小漏失联合监控,单点可扩网络化,技术可行且经济可行的终端管网止漏失技术,并进行了止漏失仪研制及现场测试,可有效防止自来水漏失,减少因管网漏失造成的直接经济损失,防范漏失引发的各种次生灾害。在供水终端管网在线检漏技术的基础上,结合物联网技术进一步开展供水终端管网水能高效开发利用技术研究、供水终端管网水质在线检测技术研究,以及供水终端管网运行状态在线监控及预警系统开发,进而全面推进供水终端管网智慧化建设。 展开更多
关键词 止漏失 供水终端管网 定性判断 封闭水压 一次持续通流时间 一次持续通流
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高压直流转换开关避雷器改造方案研究 被引量:2
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作者 卢毓欣 赵晓斌 +3 位作者 秦康 徐迪臻 辛清明 郭龙 《南方能源建设》 2022年第1期76-85,共10页
[目的]国内高压直流输电工程在进行单极大地/金属运行方式转换时,曾发生过数次MRTB (金属回线转换开关)或ERTB (大地回线转换开关)振荡平台避雷器损坏导致转换失败的情况。因此需要对直流转换开关避雷器几种改造方案进行研究。[方法]针... [目的]国内高压直流输电工程在进行单极大地/金属运行方式转换时,曾发生过数次MRTB (金属回线转换开关)或ERTB (大地回线转换开关)振荡平台避雷器损坏导致转换失败的情况。因此需要对直流转换开关避雷器几种改造方案进行研究。[方法]针对直流转换开关避雷器吸收能量高、通流时间长以及压比较高的特点,本文从避雷器吸收能量、通流时间和过电压等的计算结果判断增加避雷器柱数和每柱串联阀片数两种改造方案能否改善避雷器的运行环境,并分析了对其他相关设备绝缘水平的影响以及对设备布置的影响。[结果]增加避雷器柱数对改善避雷器运行特性无明显作用。增加避雷器单柱片数可降低避雷器通流时间,但将提高断路器和振荡回路电容器绝缘水平。[结论]不建议对现有换流站直流转换开关避雷器进行增加避雷器柱数或片数的改造。可在较低功率水平下进行转换以降低避雷器应力。若避雷器能量裕度足够,在因阀片缺陷引起避雷器故障的情况下可采取拆除故障台并继续运行的措施。 展开更多
关键词 直流转换开关 避雷器 吸收能量 通流时间 过电压
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APPLICATION OF INTELLIGENCE FORECASTING METHOD IN TRAFFIC ANALYSIS OF EGCS 被引量:2
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作者 宗群 岳有军 +1 位作者 曹燕飞 尚晓光 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2000年第1期18-21,共4页
Traffic flow forecasting is an important part of elevator group control system (EGCS).This paper applies time series prediction theories based on neural networks(NN) to EGCSs traffic analysis,and establishes a time se... Traffic flow forecasting is an important part of elevator group control system (EGCS).This paper applies time series prediction theories based on neural networks(NN) to EGCSs traffic analysis,and establishes a time series NN traffic flow forecasting model.Simulation results show its validity. 展开更多
关键词 traffic flow time series FORECAST elevator group control system neural networks
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路网最佳流量分析
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作者 刘艳侠 王贵新 《科技信息》 2010年第7期76-76,114,共2页
本文通过分析走行时间函数引出路网最佳流量的问题,然后从确定时间内最大输送量和确定输送量通过路网最短时间两种任务需求来分析路网的最佳流量,并建立了数学模型。
关键词 走行时间-交通流量函数 最大输送量 最短时间 最佳流量
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The Effect of Eddy-bubble Interaction Model on the Turbulent Dispersion of Gas Bubbles in Stirred Tanks 被引量:1
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作者 韩路长 曹杨 +2 位作者 吴学文 白鸽 刘跃进 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第1期27-33,共7页
Based on trajectory equations of gas bubble,an eddy-bubble interaction(EBI)model was developed. This model considered the effect of non-drag forces and took the eddy-bubble interaction time as the refreshing time scal... Based on trajectory equations of gas bubble,an eddy-bubble interaction(EBI)model was developed. This model considered the effect of non-drag forces and took the eddy-bubble interaction time as the refreshing time scale of turbulent fluctuations.The relationship between the crossing-eddy time and the eddy lifetime was discussed,and the predicted distributions of radial,axial velocities of bubbles and gas holdup were also given. Compared with eddy lifetime(EL)model,the EBI model gives somewhat smaller axial velocity in the upper circulation region and larger velocity in the lower circulation region,causing that fewer bubbles reach the lower circulation region and gas holdup becomes higher in the upper circulation region.The predicted gas holdup by the EBI model approaches closer to the experimental data in the discharge stream region. 展开更多
关键词 eddy-bubble interaction turbulent dispersion stirred tank Eulerian-Lagrangian
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Evolvement of the System Complexity Degree under Different Time Scalings:an Illustration of the Traffic Flow System 被引量:1
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作者 刘峰涛 姚卫新 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2008年第2期241-244,共4页
It is investigable how the system scaling affects the system complexity degree. The traffic flow system is taken in this paper as an illustration to study this question. First, the Lempel-Ziv algorithm is introduced f... It is investigable how the system scaling affects the system complexity degree. The traffic flow system is taken in this paper as an illustration to study this question. First, the Lempel-Ziv algorithm is introduced for accurate depiction of the complexity degree of the traffic flow system. We gain 3 actual sequences and 20s period traffic flow sequences on the basis of the measure of the traffic flow data; we gain 5 traffic flow sequences whose periods are between 1-5min by simulating the traffic flow system. By calculating the complicacy of the 11 sequences, we obtain two hypothesis: the complicacies of the same system are different under different time scalings; negative correlation exists between the complicacy and the time scaling of the system. 展开更多
关键词 complexity degree SYSTEM SCALING evolvement
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Enhanced single-nanoparticle collisions for the hydrogen evolution reaction in a confined microchannel
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作者 Si-Min Lu Mengjie Chen +3 位作者 Huilin Wen Hao-Wei Wang Ziyi Yu Yi-Tao Long 《Chinese Journal of Catalysis》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第11期2815-2819,共5页
Single nanoparticle(NP)collisions technique has been widely employed in electrocatalysis.However,the short collision duration of single NPs hinders the further improvement in their electrocatalytic performance.Here,to... Single nanoparticle(NP)collisions technique has been widely employed in electrocatalysis.However,the short collision duration of single NPs hinders the further improvement in their electrocatalytic performance.Here,to increase the dynamic collision duration of single NPs in the electron tunneling region,enhanced near-wall hindered diffusion is introduced in the stochastic collision process by coupling a Au ultramicroelectrode(UME)with a confined microchannel.In the case of single palladium nanoparticle(Pd NP)collisions for the hydrogen evolution reaction(HER),the hydrodynamic trapping confined in the microchannel effectively permits the activation of the HER on the single Pd NPs.The microchannel-based Au UME is promising in the application of single-NP collisions to energy conversion. 展开更多
关键词 Single-nanoparticle collisions Confined microchannel Hydrodynamic trapping Collision duration Hydrogen evolution reaction
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Numerical analysis on car-following traffic flow models with delay time
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作者 李莉 施鹏飞 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2006年第2期204-209,共6页
Effects of the speed relaxation time on the optimal velocity car-following model (OVM) with delay time due to driver reaction time proposed by Bando et al.(1995) were studied by numerical methods. Results showed that ... Effects of the speed relaxation time on the optimal velocity car-following model (OVM) with delay time due to driver reaction time proposed by Bando et al.(1995) were studied by numerical methods. Results showed that the OVM including the delay is not physically sensitive to the speed relaxation times. A modified car-following model is proposed to overcome the deficiency. Analyses of the linear stability of the modified model were conducted. It is shown that coexisting flows appear if the initial homogeneous headway of the traffic flow is between critical values. In addition, phase transitions occur on varying the initially homogeneous headway. 展开更多
关键词 Car-following models Delay time Relaxation time Phase transitions
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Traffic An o ma ly De te ctio n in Backbone Networks Using C la s s ifica tio n o f M u Itid ime n s io n a I Time Series of Entropy
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作者 Zheng Liming Zou Peng +1 位作者 Jia Yan Han Weihong 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第7期108-120,共13页
Detecting traffic anomalies is essential for diagnosing attacks. HighSp eed Backbone Net works (HSBN) require Traffic Anomaly Detection Systems (TADS) which are accurate (high detec tion and low false positive ra... Detecting traffic anomalies is essential for diagnosing attacks. HighSp eed Backbone Net works (HSBN) require Traffic Anomaly Detection Systems (TADS) which are accurate (high detec tion and low false positive rates) and efficient. The proposed approach utilizes entropy as traffic distributions metric over some traffic dimensions. An efficient algorithm, having low computational and space complexity, is used to estimate entro py. Entropy values over all dimensions are 展开更多
关键词 traffic anomaly detection ENTROPY classification correlation one class support vector machine
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Lattice Boltzmann simulation of a laminar square jet in cross flows
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作者 Guoneng Li Youqu Zheng +2 位作者 Huawen Yang Wenwen Guo Yousheng Xu 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第11期1505-1512,共8页
A three-dimensional, nineteen-velocity(D3Q19) Lattice Boltzmann Method(LBM) model was developed to simulate the fluid flow of a laminar square jet in cross flows based on the single relaxation time algorithm. The code... A three-dimensional, nineteen-velocity(D3Q19) Lattice Boltzmann Method(LBM) model was developed to simulate the fluid flow of a laminar square jet in cross flows based on the single relaxation time algorithm. The code was validated by the mathematic solution of the Poiseuille flow in a square channel, and was further validated with a previous well studied empirical correlation for the central trajectory of a jet in cross flows. The developed LBM model was found to be able to capture the dominant vortex, i.e. the Counter-rotating Vortex Pair(CVP) and the upright wake vortex. Results show that the incoming fluid in the cross flow channel was entrained into the leeside of the jet fluid, which contributes to the blending of the jet. That the spread width of the transverse jet decreases with the velocity ratio. A layer-organized entrainment pattern was found indicating that the incoming fluid at the lower position is firstly entrained into the leeside of the jet, and followed by the incoming fluid at the upper position. 展开更多
关键词 Lattice Boltzmann method Square jet Cross flow Laminar flow
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Traffic sensitive spectrum access scheme for cognitive radio networks
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作者 陆佃杰 Huang Xiaoxia +1 位作者 Zhang Guijuan Fan Jianping 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 2014年第1期22-28,共7页
A traffic sensitive spectrum access scheme is proposed to satisfy the traffic load requirement of secondary users (SUs). In the proposed design, SU only accesses available channels which can meet the traffic demand.... A traffic sensitive spectrum access scheme is proposed to satisfy the traffic load requirement of secondary users (SUs). In the proposed design, SU only accesses available channels which can meet the traffic demand. To achieve this, the expected transmission time (E3W) of the SU is calcu- lated first based on the delivery ratio. Then, the channel idle time is estimated based on the activity of primary users (PUs). Therefore, available channels with estimated idle time longer than ETr could be chosen. With high probability, the SU can finish transmission on these channels without disruption, thereby satisfying the traffic load demand of the SU. Finally, our method is extended to the multi-channel scenario where each SU can access multiple channels simultaneously. Performance analysis shows that our method satisfies the requirement of SUs while effectively improving the throughput. 展开更多
关键词 opportunistic spectrum access expected transmission time cognitive radio net-work
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A novel 3-D spatial temporal channel model for high mobility HAPS-based communications scenario
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作者 杨明川 Jiang Yicheng +1 位作者 Guo Qing Li Hanqing 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 2009年第4期356-362,共7页
A high altitude platform station (HAPS) based communications scenario for providing Intemet access and broadband multimedia services to the passengers on board of a high speed train (traveling up to 300km/h) is pr... A high altitude platform station (HAPS) based communications scenario for providing Intemet access and broadband multimedia services to the passengers on board of a high speed train (traveling up to 300km/h) is proposed. Regarding the addressed scenario, when the propagation link between HAPS and train is blocked by obstacles, a three-dimensional (3-D) geometrical single cylinder spatial-temporal channel model is presented, in which closed form, mathematically tractable space-time correlation functions are obtained. It shows that the correlation functions determined by the 3-D model are of significant difference with those of the conventional 2-D model. Based on the analysis model, the paper derives a realized simulation model using sum-of-sinusoids approach, and applies method of equal areas (MEA) and modified method of equal areas (MMEA) to determine the model parameters. The fitting performance of the simulation model with the analysis one is evaluated by two means-square error (MSE) performance criteria. Finally, numerical simulation results verify the mathematical analysis conclusion, when N ≥21, simulation model has an excellent fitness with the analysis one. 展开更多
关键词 high mobility high altitude platform station (HAPS) channel characteristic propagation scattering theory spatial temporal channel model angle of arrival
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Constant Ripple Current Control for Switching DC-DC Converter
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作者 Gwo-Tarng Chern Jenn-Jong Shieh 《Journal of Energy and Power Engineering》 2012年第9期1437-1441,共5页
The adapted DC-DC converters should be smaller in size and have a small output current ripple to meet the increasing demand for low voltages with high performance and high density micro processors for several microele... The adapted DC-DC converters should be smaller in size and have a small output current ripple to meet the increasing demand for low voltages with high performance and high density micro processors for several microelectronic load applications. This paper proposes a DC-DC converter using variable on-time and variable switching frequency control enhanced constant ripple current control and reduced magnetic components. The proposed converter is realized by making the turn-offtime proportional to the on-time of the converter, according to the input and output voltage, thereby reducing the corresponding current ripple on output voltage in the continuous conduction mode. A Buck DC-DC converter using the proposed control strategy is analyzed in detail, along with some experimental results to show the performance and effectiveness of this converter. 展开更多
关键词 Constant ripple current DC-DC converter variable switching frequency continuous conduction mode indirect currentsensor magnetic component.
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压差式止漏失水表设计
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作者 任金恒 刘金玉 李庆林 《计量技术》 2015年第9期14-16,共3页
以始动流量为界将自来水漏失分为以滴漏为代表的小漏失和大漏失,分别建立判断小漏失和大漏失是否存在的准则,其中小漏失以流量和压差为检测参量进行定性判断,大漏失的判断以持续通流时间和持续通流量作为检测参量,在此基础上研制了... 以始动流量为界将自来水漏失分为以滴漏为代表的小漏失和大漏失,分别建立判断小漏失和大漏失是否存在的准则,其中小漏失以流量和压差为检测参量进行定性判断,大漏失的判断以持续通流时间和持续通流量作为检测参量,在此基础上研制了一台压差式止漏失水表。现场测试表明该水表能有效防止自来水漏失,可为国家节约大量水资源,具有十分重要的推广应用价值。 展开更多
关键词 止漏失 判断准则 压差 持续通流时间 持续通流
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Survival analysis of car travel time near a bus stop in developing countries 被引量:3
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作者 YANG XiaoBao GAO ZiYou +1 位作者 GUO HongWei HUAN Mei 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第8期2355-2361,共7页
This paper presents an important investigation into car travel time affected by mixed traffic flow near a bus stop on the basis of survival analysis theory.Travel time data associated with mixed traffic characteristic... This paper presents an important investigation into car travel time affected by mixed traffic flow near a bus stop on the basis of survival analysis theory.Travel time data associated with mixed traffic characteristics near a bus stop were collected by video cameras.A hazard-based duration model was introduced to analyze the effects of mixed traffic flow on car travel time.The results indicate that mixed traffic flow impacts car travel time significantly.And the presence of bus berthing violation would delay car travel time.The proposed model can be used to forecast temporal shifts in car travel time due to changes in mixed traffic flow.The influential factors related to mixed traffic flow should be given full consideration in the planning and designing of bus stops in developing countries. 展开更多
关键词 survival analysis travel time duration model bus stop mixed traffic
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A new cellular automaton model for traffic flow considering realistic turn signal effect 被引量:3
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作者 SHANG HuaYan PENG Yu 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第6期1624-1630,共7页
In real traffic,any vehicle must give lane-changing signal(i.e.the turn signal) before changing lanes;at this time,the vehicles behind the lane-changing vehicle will be hindered and may form "plugs" due to t... In real traffic,any vehicle must give lane-changing signal(i.e.the turn signal) before changing lanes;at this time,the vehicles behind the lane-changing vehicle will be hindered and may form "plugs" due to the turn signal effect.However,few studies focus on exploring the effect.In this paper,the turn signal effect was taken into account by proposing a new symmetric two-lane cellular automaton(T-STCA) model,and the new model was set to compare with the STCA,H-STCA and A-STCA models.Numerical results show that using the T-STCA model to describe lane-changing or overtaking,the process appeared in several consecutive time steps;while using the other three models,the process appeared only in one time step.In addition,the T-STCA model could describe the mixed traffic flow more realistically and the turn signal effect could help the plugs to dissolve more quickly. 展开更多
关键词 turn signal effect cellular automaton mixed traffic flow
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