In order to solve serious urban transport problems, according to the proved chaotic characteristic of traffic flow, a non linear chaotic model to analyze the time series of traffic flow is proposed. This model recons...In order to solve serious urban transport problems, according to the proved chaotic characteristic of traffic flow, a non linear chaotic model to analyze the time series of traffic flow is proposed. This model reconstructs the time series of traffic flow in the phase space firstly, and the correlative information in the traffic flow is extracted richly, on the basis of it, a predicted equation for the reconstructed information is established by using chaotic theory, and for the purpose of obtaining the optimal predicted results, recognition and optimization to the model parameters are done by using genetic algorithm. Practical prediction research of urban traffic flow shows that this model has famous predicted precision, and it can provide exact reference for urban traffic programming and control.展开更多
This paper reports a study on the role of fluid flow pattern and dynamic pressure on the permeate flux through a micro filtration membrane in laboratory scale.For this purpose,a dead-end membrane cell equipped with a ...This paper reports a study on the role of fluid flow pattern and dynamic pressure on the permeate flux through a micro filtration membrane in laboratory scale.For this purpose,a dead-end membrane cell equipped with a marine type impeller was used.The impeller was set to rotate in the clockwise and counter clockwise directions with the same angular velocities in order to illustrate the effect of rotation direction on permeate flux.Consequently, permeate fluxes were measured at various impeller rotational speeds.The computational fluid dynamics(CFD)predicted dynamic pressure was related to the fluxes obtained in the experiments.Using the CFD modeling,it is proven that the change in dynamic pressure upon the membrane surface has direct effect on the permeate flux.展开更多
Based on isentropic flow and thermal equilibrium assumptions, a model was derived to calculate discharge flow rate, which unified the rules of room temperature water discharge, high temperature and high pressure water...Based on isentropic flow and thermal equilibrium assumptions, a model was derived to calculate discharge flow rate, which unified the rules of room temperature water discharge, high temperature and high pressure water discharge, two-phase critical flow, saturated steam and superheated steam critical flow, and gave a method to calculate critical condition. Because of the influence of friction, the entropy is increased in the actual discharge process, and the discharge flow rate in thermal equilibrium condition can be obtained by the original model multiplied by an appropriate correction coefficient. The model calculated results agreed well with the experiment data of long nozzle critical flow.展开更多
Ordinary least squares(OLS) algorithm is widely applied in process measurement, because the sensor model used to estimate unknown parameters can be approximated through multivariate linear model. However, with few or ...Ordinary least squares(OLS) algorithm is widely applied in process measurement, because the sensor model used to estimate unknown parameters can be approximated through multivariate linear model. However, with few or noisy data or multi-collinearity, unbiased OLS leads to large variance. Biased estimators, especially ridge estimator, have been introduced to improve OLS by trading bias for variance. Ridge estimator is feasible as an estimator with smaller variance. At the same confidence level, with additive noise as the normal random variable, the less variance one estimator has, the shorter the two-sided symmetric confidence interval is. However, this finding is limited to the unbiased estimator and few studies analyze and compare the confidence levels between ridge estimator and OLS. This paper derives the matrix of ridge parameters under necessary and sufficient conditions based on which ridge estimator is superior to OLS in terms of mean squares error matrix, rather than mean squares error.Then the confidence levels between ridge estimator and OLS are compared under the condition of OLS fixed symmetric confidence interval, rather than the criteria for evaluating the validity of different unbiased estimators. We conclude that the confidence level of ridge estimator can not be directly compared with that of OLS based on the criteria available for unbiased estimators, which is verified by a simulation and a laboratory scale experiment on a single parameter measurement.展开更多
Over the last three decades, the Tibetan Plateau has exhibited a significant increase in air temperature and a significant decrease in wind speed. How the surface heat source has changed is an important issue in monso...Over the last three decades, the Tibetan Plateau has exhibited a significant increase in air temperature and a significant decrease in wind speed. How the surface heat source has changed is an important issue in monsoon research. Based on routine meteorological data, this study investigates the differences between methods for estimating trends in surface sensible heat flux on the Tibetan Plateau for the period 1984-2006. One is a physical method based on micro-meteorological theory and experi- ments, and takes into account both atmospheric stability and thermal roughness length. The other approach includes conven- tional empirical methods that assume the heat transfer coefficient is a constant value or a simple function of wind speed. The latter method is used widely in climatologic studies. Results from the physical method show that annual mean sensible heat flux has weakened by 2% per decade, and flux seasonal mean has weakened by -2%--4% except in winter. The two commonly used empirical methods showed high uncertainties in heat flux trend estimates, although they produced similar climatologies. Annual mean heat flux has weakened by 7% per decade when a fixed transfer coefficient is used, whereas the trend is negligible when the transfer coefficient is assumed a function of wind speed. Conventional empirical methods may therefore misrepresent the trend in sensible heat flux.展开更多
文摘In order to solve serious urban transport problems, according to the proved chaotic characteristic of traffic flow, a non linear chaotic model to analyze the time series of traffic flow is proposed. This model reconstructs the time series of traffic flow in the phase space firstly, and the correlative information in the traffic flow is extracted richly, on the basis of it, a predicted equation for the reconstructed information is established by using chaotic theory, and for the purpose of obtaining the optimal predicted results, recognition and optimization to the model parameters are done by using genetic algorithm. Practical prediction research of urban traffic flow shows that this model has famous predicted precision, and it can provide exact reference for urban traffic programming and control.
文摘This paper reports a study on the role of fluid flow pattern and dynamic pressure on the permeate flux through a micro filtration membrane in laboratory scale.For this purpose,a dead-end membrane cell equipped with a marine type impeller was used.The impeller was set to rotate in the clockwise and counter clockwise directions with the same angular velocities in order to illustrate the effect of rotation direction on permeate flux.Consequently, permeate fluxes were measured at various impeller rotational speeds.The computational fluid dynamics(CFD)predicted dynamic pressure was related to the fluxes obtained in the experiments.Using the CFD modeling,it is proven that the change in dynamic pressure upon the membrane surface has direct effect on the permeate flux.
文摘Based on isentropic flow and thermal equilibrium assumptions, a model was derived to calculate discharge flow rate, which unified the rules of room temperature water discharge, high temperature and high pressure water discharge, two-phase critical flow, saturated steam and superheated steam critical flow, and gave a method to calculate critical condition. Because of the influence of friction, the entropy is increased in the actual discharge process, and the discharge flow rate in thermal equilibrium condition can be obtained by the original model multiplied by an appropriate correction coefficient. The model calculated results agreed well with the experiment data of long nozzle critical flow.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (21006127) and the National Basic Research Program of China (2012CB720500).
文摘Ordinary least squares(OLS) algorithm is widely applied in process measurement, because the sensor model used to estimate unknown parameters can be approximated through multivariate linear model. However, with few or noisy data or multi-collinearity, unbiased OLS leads to large variance. Biased estimators, especially ridge estimator, have been introduced to improve OLS by trading bias for variance. Ridge estimator is feasible as an estimator with smaller variance. At the same confidence level, with additive noise as the normal random variable, the less variance one estimator has, the shorter the two-sided symmetric confidence interval is. However, this finding is limited to the unbiased estimator and few studies analyze and compare the confidence levels between ridge estimator and OLS. This paper derives the matrix of ridge parameters under necessary and sufficient conditions based on which ridge estimator is superior to OLS in terms of mean squares error matrix, rather than mean squares error.Then the confidence levels between ridge estimator and OLS are compared under the condition of OLS fixed symmetric confidence interval, rather than the criteria for evaluating the validity of different unbiased estimators. We conclude that the confidence level of ridge estimator can not be directly compared with that of OLS based on the criteria available for unbiased estimators, which is verified by a simulation and a laboratory scale experiment on a single parameter measurement.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40875009, 40810059006)Key Innovation Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZCX2-YW-Q11-01),"100-Talent" Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences
文摘Over the last three decades, the Tibetan Plateau has exhibited a significant increase in air temperature and a significant decrease in wind speed. How the surface heat source has changed is an important issue in monsoon research. Based on routine meteorological data, this study investigates the differences between methods for estimating trends in surface sensible heat flux on the Tibetan Plateau for the period 1984-2006. One is a physical method based on micro-meteorological theory and experi- ments, and takes into account both atmospheric stability and thermal roughness length. The other approach includes conven- tional empirical methods that assume the heat transfer coefficient is a constant value or a simple function of wind speed. The latter method is used widely in climatologic studies. Results from the physical method show that annual mean sensible heat flux has weakened by 2% per decade, and flux seasonal mean has weakened by -2%--4% except in winter. The two commonly used empirical methods showed high uncertainties in heat flux trend estimates, although they produced similar climatologies. Annual mean heat flux has weakened by 7% per decade when a fixed transfer coefficient is used, whereas the trend is negligible when the transfer coefficient is assumed a function of wind speed. Conventional empirical methods may therefore misrepresent the trend in sensible heat flux.