A statistical downscaling approach based on multiple-linear-regression(MLR) for the prediction of summer precipitation anomaly in southeastern China was established,which was based on the outputs of seven operational ...A statistical downscaling approach based on multiple-linear-regression(MLR) for the prediction of summer precipitation anomaly in southeastern China was established,which was based on the outputs of seven operational dynamical models of Development of a European Multi-model Ensemble System for Seasonal to Interannual Prediction(DEMETER) and observed data.It was found that the anomaly correlation coefficients(ACCs) spatial pattern of June-July-August(JJA) precipitation over southeastern China between the seven models and the observation were increased significantly;especially in the central and the northeastern areas,the ACCs were all larger than 0.42(above 95% level) and 0.53(above 99% level).Meanwhile,the root-mean-square errors(RMSE) were reduced in each model along with the multi-model ensemble(MME) for some of the stations in the northeastern area;additionally,the value of RMSE difference between before and after downscaling at some stations were larger than 1 mm d-1.Regionally averaged JJA rainfall anomaly temporal series of the downscaling scheme can capture the main characteristics of observation,while the correlation coefficients(CCs) between the temporal variations of the observation and downscaling results varied from 0.52 to 0.69 with corresponding variations from-0.27 to 0.22 for CCs between the observation and outputs of the models.展开更多
Climate data from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) for the period 1901-2013 are used to investigate the drought response to air temperature change over China on the centennial scale. Drought is observed to have incr...Climate data from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) for the period 1901-2013 are used to investigate the drought response to air temperature change over China on the centennial scale. Drought is observed to have increased evidently across China, except for some regions in eastern China. This increase is much stronger in northern China compared to southern China, especially in Northwest and North China. These change characteris- tics of drought are closely associated with air temperature change, with the severe droughts in the major drought episodes of the last century generally coinciding with higher temperatures. The significantly increasing trend of drought in China based on observations only appears when considering the effects of air temperature change, which can explain -49% of droughts in observations and 30%-65% of droughts in Coupled Model Intereomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model simulations. Furthermore, the response of drought to air temperature change generally increases as the drought time scale increases. Furthermore, drought shows relatively high sensitivity in spring and early summer in China on the centennial scale.展开更多
The geochemical properties of sediment in the nearby seawater areas of Hailing Bay of the western Guangdong province were first time investigated in the dry period of 2001 and the flood period of 2002, respectively. T...The geochemical properties of sediment in the nearby seawater areas of Hailing Bay of the western Guangdong province were first time investigated in the dry period of 2001 and the flood period of 2002, respectively. The temporal and spatial characteristics of Cu, Pb, Zn, Cd and Hg concentrations, organic carbon and total sulfides contents, and granulometric distribution in the surface sediment from the Hailing Bay were analyzed. Results demonstrated that there were no remarkable changes in the composition of sediment between the dry period and the flood period; the average concentrations of Cu, Pb, Zn, Cd and Hg were 32.1 ± 17.5, 36.1 ± 10.0, 107.0 ± 37.4, 0.26± 0.15 and 0.109 ± 0.073 mg·kg-1, respectively; the organic carbon and total sulfides contents were 1.33 ± 0.53 % and 140.13 ± 136.42 mg·kg-1, respectively; surface sediments were dominated by clayey silt and sand, and their mean grain size was 4.62 ± 2.36 φ and in the range 0.52-7.55 φ; there existed obvious correlation between the concentrations of Cu, Pb, Zn and Hg, and among Cu, Pb, Zn and Hg concentrations, organic carbon contents and grain size of sediments.展开更多
Prior to thixoextrusion, the microstructural evolution of semi-solid AM50A magnesium alloy prepared by the recrystallisation and partial remelting (RAP) route was investigated.The effect of compressive ratio on micros...Prior to thixoextrusion, the microstructural evolution of semi-solid AM50A magnesium alloy prepared by the recrystallisation and partial remelting (RAP) route was investigated.The effect of compressive ratio on microstructure of semi-solid AM50A magnesium alloy was studied.Furthermore, tensile properties of thixoextruded components were determined.The results showed that the occurrence of recrystallised grains was closely associated with the location of the first liquid formed above the solidus.With prolonging holding time, deformed microstructure was penetrated, causing fragmentation, which resulted in the decrease of average grain size.Moreover, prolonging holding time was favorable for the improvement of the degree of spheroidization due to the increase in the amount of liquid.With the increase in compressive ratio, the size of solid grain decreased, the degree of spheroidization was improved during partial remelting, and the tensile properties of thixoextruded AM50A components were improved.The tensile properties for AM50A magnesium alloy thixoextruded from starting material produced by the RAP route were better than those of the same alloy produced by die-casting and thixomolding.展开更多
基金supported by the special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology) (Grant No. GYHY200906018)the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos. 2010CB950304 and 2009CB421406)the Knowl-edge Innovation Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZCX2-YW-QN202)
文摘A statistical downscaling approach based on multiple-linear-regression(MLR) for the prediction of summer precipitation anomaly in southeastern China was established,which was based on the outputs of seven operational dynamical models of Development of a European Multi-model Ensemble System for Seasonal to Interannual Prediction(DEMETER) and observed data.It was found that the anomaly correlation coefficients(ACCs) spatial pattern of June-July-August(JJA) precipitation over southeastern China between the seven models and the observation were increased significantly;especially in the central and the northeastern areas,the ACCs were all larger than 0.42(above 95% level) and 0.53(above 99% level).Meanwhile,the root-mean-square errors(RMSE) were reduced in each model along with the multi-model ensemble(MME) for some of the stations in the northeastern area;additionally,the value of RMSE difference between before and after downscaling at some stations were larger than 1 mm d-1.Regionally averaged JJA rainfall anomaly temporal series of the downscaling scheme can capture the main characteristics of observation,while the correlation coefficients(CCs) between the temporal variations of the observation and downscaling results varied from 0.52 to 0.69 with corresponding variations from-0.27 to 0.22 for CCs between the observation and outputs of the models.
基金supported by the ‘Strategic Priority Research Program-Climate Change: Carbon Budget and Relevant Issues’ of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No.XDA05090306)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41305061)the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955401)
文摘Climate data from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) for the period 1901-2013 are used to investigate the drought response to air temperature change over China on the centennial scale. Drought is observed to have increased evidently across China, except for some regions in eastern China. This increase is much stronger in northern China compared to southern China, especially in Northwest and North China. These change characteris- tics of drought are closely associated with air temperature change, with the severe droughts in the major drought episodes of the last century generally coinciding with higher temperatures. The significantly increasing trend of drought in China based on observations only appears when considering the effects of air temperature change, which can explain -49% of droughts in observations and 30%-65% of droughts in Coupled Model Intereomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model simulations. Furthermore, the response of drought to air temperature change generally increases as the drought time scale increases. Furthermore, drought shows relatively high sensitivity in spring and early summer in China on the centennial scale.
文摘The geochemical properties of sediment in the nearby seawater areas of Hailing Bay of the western Guangdong province were first time investigated in the dry period of 2001 and the flood period of 2002, respectively. The temporal and spatial characteristics of Cu, Pb, Zn, Cd and Hg concentrations, organic carbon and total sulfides contents, and granulometric distribution in the surface sediment from the Hailing Bay were analyzed. Results demonstrated that there were no remarkable changes in the composition of sediment between the dry period and the flood period; the average concentrations of Cu, Pb, Zn, Cd and Hg were 32.1 ± 17.5, 36.1 ± 10.0, 107.0 ± 37.4, 0.26± 0.15 and 0.109 ± 0.073 mg·kg-1, respectively; the organic carbon and total sulfides contents were 1.33 ± 0.53 % and 140.13 ± 136.42 mg·kg-1, respectively; surface sediments were dominated by clayey silt and sand, and their mean grain size was 4.62 ± 2.36 φ and in the range 0.52-7.55 φ; there existed obvious correlation between the concentrations of Cu, Pb, Zn and Hg, and among Cu, Pb, Zn and Hg concentrations, organic carbon contents and grain size of sediments.
基金Project(51005217) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Prior to thixoextrusion, the microstructural evolution of semi-solid AM50A magnesium alloy prepared by the recrystallisation and partial remelting (RAP) route was investigated.The effect of compressive ratio on microstructure of semi-solid AM50A magnesium alloy was studied.Furthermore, tensile properties of thixoextruded components were determined.The results showed that the occurrence of recrystallised grains was closely associated with the location of the first liquid formed above the solidus.With prolonging holding time, deformed microstructure was penetrated, causing fragmentation, which resulted in the decrease of average grain size.Moreover, prolonging holding time was favorable for the improvement of the degree of spheroidization due to the increase in the amount of liquid.With the increase in compressive ratio, the size of solid grain decreased, the degree of spheroidization was improved during partial remelting, and the tensile properties of thixoextruded AM50A components were improved.The tensile properties for AM50A magnesium alloy thixoextruded from starting material produced by the RAP route were better than those of the same alloy produced by die-casting and thixomolding.