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中国部门间通货膨胀的“均值回复”特征研究——新方法的构建及实证分析 被引量:6
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作者 刘凤良 鲁旭 易信 《管理世界》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第9期36-48,共13页
无论是经济直觉亦或是最新研究都告诉我们,在探讨部门间通胀"均值回复"时,需充分考虑部门间通胀的"异质性"和"协动性"特征。然而,常用分析工具——面板单位根检验却普遍缺乏对截面个体"异质性"... 无论是经济直觉亦或是最新研究都告诉我们,在探讨部门间通胀"均值回复"时,需充分考虑部门间通胀的"异质性"和"协动性"特征。然而,常用分析工具——面板单位根检验却普遍缺乏对截面个体"异质性"与"同期相依性"的有效识别能力,因而无法满足研究需要。本文在Breuer等(2001,2002)的SURADF基础上构建了全新的,且更具检验功效的Stationary-Bootstrap-SURADF面板单位根检验方法,并以该方法对中国通胀率子成分的"均值回复"特征进行严谨的统计推断,发现子成分通胀率构成的面板数据是一个由I(0)与I(1)序列混合而成的(mixed)样本。因此,货币政策不应仅盯住汇总CPI目标,而更要对难以"回复均衡"的部门子成分的冲击做出更为积极的响应,以此突显货币政策的"结构性"。 展开更多
关键词 部门通货膨胀 均值回复单位根检验Stationary—Bootstrap—SURAD方法
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中国通货膨胀持续性研究——基于面板数据的SURADF实证检验 被引量:1
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作者 彭红枫 谭小玉 +1 位作者 李艳丽 胡利琴 《经济评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第5期108-122,共15页
研究通货膨胀持续性对中央银行制定应对通货膨胀的货币政策具有重要意义。在检验通货膨胀持续性的结构性特征时,传统的面板单位根检验方法建立在截面之间同质性和独立性假设之上,往往因截面相关性和异质性而导致检验功效偏低。本文考虑... 研究通货膨胀持续性对中央银行制定应对通货膨胀的货币政策具有重要意义。在检验通货膨胀持续性的结构性特征时,传统的面板单位根检验方法建立在截面之间同质性和独立性假设之上,往往因截面相关性和异质性而导致检验功效偏低。本文考虑了中国不同类别商品通货膨胀的相关性和异质性特征,使用面板估计的SURADF方法,对中国总体、城市和农村八大类商品通货膨胀持续性进行了实证研究,结果表明,不同地区不同大类商品通货膨胀持续性的确存在差异,与传统单位根检验方法相比,SURADF能更准确地描述商品间通货膨胀的结构性特征。中央银行应根据各部门通货膨胀持续性程度不同而制定差异化的通货膨胀调控政策。 展开更多
关键词 通货膨胀持续性 部门通货膨胀 SURADF
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Growth and Inequality in Indonesia: Does Kuznets Curve Hold?
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作者 G. A. Diah Utari Retni Cristina 《Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing》 2015年第2期93-111,共19页
Sustainable economic growth has put Indonesia as a middle-income country (MIC) and currently, the level of per capita income has already exceeded US$3,000. The increase in income per capita is followed by the increa... Sustainable economic growth has put Indonesia as a middle-income country (MIC) and currently, the level of per capita income has already exceeded US$3,000. The increase in income per capita is followed by the increasing number of middle-class population and the reduction in poverty. However, it has not been accompanied by declining inequality that reflects the quality of economic growth. According to Kuznets theory, an increase in inequality is a common problem in the process of economic growth. Inequality will further decline after the country has reached a certain threshold level of income. This study aims to analyze the trend and nature of income inequality in Indonesia and to test whether the Kuznets Curve holds. This paper used dynamic panel method with 26 provincial panel data from 2000 to 2011. The empirical result proves the existence of inverted U-shaped Kuznets Curve in Indonesia and it may have the turning points when the real GDP per capita in each province reached Rp. 179.41 million/year or around US$17.000. For the determinant of inequality in Indonesia, this study found that the percentage of urban population, inflation, and share of agricultural sector contributed to the increase of inequality, while high-level education and share of industrial sector are associated with the lower level of inequality. 展开更多
关键词 GROWTH middle class POVERTY INEQUALITY Kuznets Curve dynamic panel
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