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国防费规模变动的混沌分析 被引量:1
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作者 杨眉剑 杨峰 《军事经济研究》 2003年第11期8-11,共4页
决定国防费规模变动的诸多因素具有混沌运动的特点,混沌运动成为国防费规模变动的一种特征。依据现代混沌理论,这种处于混沌运动状态的国防费规模是可以预测的。文章应用非线性混沌理论,分析了影响国防费规模变动的诸多因素的作用,并对... 决定国防费规模变动的诸多因素具有混沌运动的特点,混沌运动成为国防费规模变动的一种特征。依据现代混沌理论,这种处于混沌运动状态的国防费规模是可以预测的。文章应用非线性混沌理论,分析了影响国防费规模变动的诸多因素的作用,并对我国国防费规模变动进行了长期定性预测与短期定量预测。 展开更多
关键词 混沌运动 国防费规模 非线性混沌理论 长期定性预测 短期定量预测 中国
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On the mathematically reliable long-term simulation of chaotic solutions of Lorenz equation in the interval [0,10000] 被引量:5
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作者 LIAO ShiJun WANG PengFei 《Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy)》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第2期330-335,共6页
Using 1200 CPUs of the National Supercomputer TH-A1 and a parallel integral algorithm based on the 3500th-order Taylor expansion and the 4180-digit multiple precision data,we have done a reliable simulation of chaotic... Using 1200 CPUs of the National Supercomputer TH-A1 and a parallel integral algorithm based on the 3500th-order Taylor expansion and the 4180-digit multiple precision data,we have done a reliable simulation of chaotic solution of Lorenz equation in a rather long interval 0 t 10000 LTU(Lorenz time unit).Such a kind of mathematically reliable chaotic simulation has never been reported.It provides us a numerical benchmark for mathematically reliable long-term prediction of chaos.Besides,it also proposes a safe method for mathematically reliable simulations of chaos in a finite but long enough interval.In addition,our very fine simulations suggest that such a kind of mathematically reliable long-term prediction of chaotic solution might have no physical meanings,because the inherent physical micro-level uncertainty due to thermal fluctuation might quickly transfer into macroscopic uncertainty so that trajectories for a long enough time would be essentially uncertain in physics. 展开更多
关键词 CHAOS reliable simulation uncertainty propagation
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