This paper concentrates on the relationship between the short and the long interest rate by regression and cointegration.It was found that they have same direction to each other,and the spread can explain some variant...This paper concentrates on the relationship between the short and the long interest rate by regression and cointegration.It was found that they have same direction to each other,and the spread can explain some variant of the long interest rate.The granger cointegration relationship was not found by Johansen Test,but a threshold cointegration relationship was found between them by Enders-Siklos test.In the end,the paper gives some suggestions for the authority.展开更多
学术界对经济增长与能源消费二者之间关系的研究,主要以线性关系假设为前提。本文在非线性框架下,利用Hansen and Seo(2002)最新发展的门限协整方法(threshold cointegration test)对中国的经济增长和能源消费两者之间的关系重新进行了...学术界对经济增长与能源消费二者之间关系的研究,主要以线性关系假设为前提。本文在非线性框架下,利用Hansen and Seo(2002)最新发展的门限协整方法(threshold cointegration test)对中国的经济增长和能源消费两者之间的关系重新进行了检验。实证结果表明经济增长和能源消费两者之间存在非线性两机制门限协整,当对均衡的偏离小于或等于门限值-7.85时,经济增长和能源消费倾向于不向均衡状态调整,而当对均衡的偏离大于门限值-7.85时,他们都倾向于向均衡状态调整,并且能源消费的调整速度大于经济增长调整的速度。展开更多
文摘This paper concentrates on the relationship between the short and the long interest rate by regression and cointegration.It was found that they have same direction to each other,and the spread can explain some variant of the long interest rate.The granger cointegration relationship was not found by Johansen Test,but a threshold cointegration relationship was found between them by Enders-Siklos test.In the end,the paper gives some suggestions for the authority.
文摘学术界对经济增长与能源消费二者之间关系的研究,主要以线性关系假设为前提。本文在非线性框架下,利用Hansen and Seo(2002)最新发展的门限协整方法(threshold cointegration test)对中国的经济增长和能源消费两者之间的关系重新进行了检验。实证结果表明经济增长和能源消费两者之间存在非线性两机制门限协整,当对均衡的偏离小于或等于门限值-7.85时,经济增长和能源消费倾向于不向均衡状态调整,而当对均衡的偏离大于门限值-7.85时,他们都倾向于向均衡状态调整,并且能源消费的调整速度大于经济增长调整的速度。