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《概率统计》教学中学生思维品质的培养
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作者 魏凤荣 《中央民族大学学报(自然科学版)》 1999年第1期70-74,共5页
本文结合《概率统计》教学中如何引导学生自然地进入“随机世界”、如何灵活解决古典概率问题、如何自觉地将理论与实践相联系等,论述培养学生思维品质、促进思维能力发展的必要性及其方法.
关键词 思维品质 随机世界 古典概率 概率思想
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空间物理秩序对心理和行为的影响 被引量:14
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作者 路红 张心园 +1 位作者 韦文琦 刘毅 《心理科学进展》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2018年第3期560-570,共11页
物理秩序是人类对周围事物有序性的整体感知,空间物理秩序是其中一类,是指事物与该空间(二维或三维)内其他物体的位置根据一定模式或规律决定。空间物理秩序普遍存在于人类社会中,广泛地影响着人们的心理与行为,现有的研究成果主要揭示... 物理秩序是人类对周围事物有序性的整体感知,空间物理秩序是其中一类,是指事物与该空间(二维或三维)内其他物体的位置根据一定模式或规律决定。空间物理秩序普遍存在于人类社会中,广泛地影响着人们的心理与行为,现有的研究成果主要揭示了其对刻板印象及个体决策的影响,还包括对道德规范行为、违法行为以及其它日常生活行为的影响。研究归纳了空间物理秩序对人类认知及行为影响的理论,并对现有的实证研究成果进行了提炼总结。未来应通过更严谨的实验研究验证并丰富物理秩序对认知与行为影响的理论,扩展影响后果的研究范围,从而拓宽其在实务领域的应用范围。 展开更多
关键词 空间物理秩序 目标框架理论 结构化需求 世界随机的”模型 具身认知
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谈概率论中几个易混淆的概念的教学 被引量:1
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作者 唐文祥 《延安职业技术学院学报》 1995年第2期72-73,共2页
关键词 互不相容事件 条件概率 概率论 对立事件 独立事件 事件的概率 互相独立 概率值 随机世界 两两独立
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物理环境秩序对个体心理的影响
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作者 郭蕾 《心理学进展》 2022年第12期4080-4086,共7页
物理环境会给人带来一系列的影响,秩序感知赋予了环境意义。我们在社会生活中经常受到物理环境秩序的干扰,物理环境秩序的研究给环境心理学注入了新的活力,它对道德行为和创造力等有一定的影响。文章回顾了物理环境秩序研究的相关理论... 物理环境会给人带来一系列的影响,秩序感知赋予了环境意义。我们在社会生活中经常受到物理环境秩序的干扰,物理环境秩序的研究给环境心理学注入了新的活力,它对道德行为和创造力等有一定的影响。文章回顾了物理环境秩序研究的相关理论及不同的研究者从秩序的不同角度对个体行为和心理所进行的探讨,指出了研究的意义和矛盾之处,并做出了后续研究的发展展望。 展开更多
关键词 物理环境 秩序 破窗理论 随机世界理论
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Telemonitoring and hemodynamic monitoring to reduce hospitalization rates in heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials and real-world studies
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作者 Gary Tse Cynthia Chan +13 位作者 Mengqi Gong Lei MENG Jian ZHANG Xiao-Ling SU Sadeq Ali-Hasan-Al-Saegh Abhishek C Sawant George Bazoukis Yun-Long XIA Ji-Chao Zhao Alex Pui Wai Lee Leonardo Roever Martin CS Wong Adrian Baranchuk Tong Liu 《Journal of Geriatric Cardiology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第4期298-309,共12页
Background Heart failure is a significant problem leading to repeated hospitalizations. Telemonitoring and hemodynamic monitoring have demonstrated success in reducing hospitalization rates, but not all studies report... Background Heart failure is a significant problem leading to repeated hospitalizations. Telemonitoring and hemodynamic monitoring have demonstrated success in reducing hospitalization rates, but not all studies reported significant effects. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to examine the effectiveness of telemonitoring and wireless hemodynamic monitoring devices in reducing hospitalizations in heart failure. Methods & Results PubMed and Cochrane Library were searched up to 1st May 2017 for articles that investigated the effects of telemonitoring or hemodynamic monitoring on hospitalization rates in heart failure. In 31,501 patients (mean age: 68 ± 12 years; 61% male; follow-up 11 ± 8 months), telemonitoring reduced hospitalization rates with a HR of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.65-0.83; P 〈 0.0001) with significant heterogeneity (I2 = 94%). These effects were observed in the short-term (≤ 6 months: HR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.65-0.89; P 〈 0.01) and long-term (≥ 12 months: HR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.62-0.87; P 〈 0.0001). In 4831 patients (mean age 66 ± 18 years; 66% male; follow-up 13 ± 4 months), wireless hemodynamic monitoring also reduced hospitalization rates with a HR of 0.60 (95% CI: 0.53-0.69; P 〈 0.001) with significant heterogeneity (I2 = 64%).This reduction was observed both in the short-term (HR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.45-0.68; P 〈 0.001; I2 = 72%) and long-term (HR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.57-0.72; P 〈 0.001; I2 = 55%). Conclusions Telemonitoring and hemodynamic monitoring reduce hospitalization in both short- and long-term in heart failure patients 展开更多
关键词 Heart failure Hemodynamic monitoring HOSPITALIZATION TELEMEDICINE TELEMONITORING
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IDENTIFYING INFLUENTIAL SPREADERS IN ARTIFICIAL COMPLEX NETWORKS 被引量:3
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作者 WANG Pei TIAN Chengeng LU Jun-an 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2014年第4期650-665,共16页
A long-term common belief in complex networks is that,the most connected nodes are the most efficient spreaders.However,recent investigations on real-world complex networks show that the most influential spreaders are... A long-term common belief in complex networks is that,the most connected nodes are the most efficient spreaders.However,recent investigations on real-world complex networks show that the most influential spreaders are those with the highest fc-shell values.It is well-known that,many real-world complex networks have scale free(SF),small world(SW) properties,therefore,identification of influential spreaders in general artificial SF,SW as well as random networks will be more appealing.This research finds that,for artificial ER and SW networks,degree is more reliable than fc-shell in predicting the outcome of spreading.However,for artificial SF networks,fc-shell is remarkably reliable than degree and betweeness,which indicate that the four recently investigated real-world networks[Kitsak M,Gallos L K,Havlin S,Liljeros F,Muchnik L,Stanley H E,Makse H A,Identification of influential spreaders in complex networks,Nat.Phys.,2010,6:888-893.]are more similar to scale free ones.Moreover,the investigations also indicate us an optimal dissemination strategy in networks with scale free property.That is,starting from moderate-degree-nodes will be ok and even more economical,since one can derive roughly similar outcome with starting from hubs. 展开更多
关键词 Complex network influential spreader K-SHELL scale free small world.
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RANDOM CONTINUOUS MODEL OF SCALE-FREE NETWORKS
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作者 Xianmin GENG 《Journal of Systems Science & Complexity》 SCIE EI CSCD 2011年第2期218-224,共7页
There are a lot of continuous evolving networks in real world, such as Internet, WWW network, etc. The evolving operation of these networks are not an equating interval of time by chance. In this paper, the author pro... There are a lot of continuous evolving networks in real world, such as Internet, WWW network, etc. The evolving operation of these networks are not an equating interval of time by chance. In this paper, the author proposes a new mathematical model for the mechanism of continuous single preferential attachment on the scale free networks, and counts the distribution of degree using stochastic analysis. Namely, the author has established the random continuous model of the network evolution of which counting process determines the operating number, and has proved that this system self-organizes into scale-free structures with scaling exponent γ=3+a/m. 展开更多
关键词 Counting processes degree distribution scaling exponent scale-free networks.
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Exploration of unpredictable environments by networked groups
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作者 Takao SASAKI Marco A. JANSSEN +1 位作者 Zachary SHAFFER Stephen C. PRATT 《Current Zoology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第3期207-214,共8页
Information sharing is a critical task for group-living animals. The pattern of sharing can be modeled as a network whose structure can affect the decision-making performance of individual members as well as that of t... Information sharing is a critical task for group-living animals. The pattern of sharing can be modeled as a network whose structure can affect the decision-making performance of individual members as well as that of the group as a whole. A fully connected network, in which each member can directly transfer information to all other members, ensures rapid sharing of important information, such as a promising foraging location. However, it can also impose costs by amplifying the spread of inaccur- ate information (if, for example the foraging location is actually not profitable). Thus, an optimal net- work structure should balance effective sharing of current knowledge with opportunities to discover new information. We used a computer simulation to measure how well groups characterized by dif- ferent network structures (fully connected, small world, lattice, and random) find and exploit resource peaks in a variable environment. We found that a fully connected network outperformed other struc- tures when resource quality was predictable. When resource quality showed random variation, however, the small world network was better than the fully connected one at avoiding extremely poor outcomes. These results suggest that animal groups may benefit by adjusting their informa- tion-sharing network structures depending on the noisiness of their environment. 展开更多
关键词 agent-based model collective cognition CONFORMITY small world networks speed-accuracy trade-off.
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