Current literature shows that short sellers earn positive returns on their trades and that the superior performance of short sellers is due to their better analytic skills. In this paper, we investigate, if it is poss...Current literature shows that short sellers earn positive returns on their trades and that the superior performance of short sellers is due to their better analytic skills. In this paper, we investigate, if it is possible for a short seller to make profits even if he does not have insider information or is not sophisticated. We use a one period model and assume that stock price follows a random walk with a positive drift to show that the' expected return for an uninformed short seller is always negative and his risks are always greater than the risks of a stock buyer. Hence a short seller would not trade unless he has superior trading skills and/or information. We also show that the market conditions when the stock's dividend yield is greater than the risk free rate gives the shortsellers advantage over stock buyers.展开更多
Some characteristics of the electricity load and prices are studied, and the relationship between electricity prices and gas (fuel) prices is analyzed in this paper. Because electricity prices are strongly dependent o...Some characteristics of the electricity load and prices are studied, and the relationship between electricity prices and gas (fuel) prices is analyzed in this paper. Because electricity prices are strongly dependent on load and gas prices, the authors constructed a model for electricity prices based on the effects of these two factors; and used the Geometric Mean Reversion Brownian Motion (GMRBM) model to describe the electricity load process, and a Geometric Brownian Motion(GBM) model to describe the gas prices; deduced the price stochastic process model based on the above load model and gas price model. This paper also presents methods for parameters estimation, and proposes some methods to solve the model.展开更多
This paper proposes a dimension reduction technique on lattice model, an extension of the discrete CRR (1979) model, for option pricing. Applications are demonstrated on pricing some vulnerable options with the payo...This paper proposes a dimension reduction technique on lattice model, an extension of the discrete CRR (1979) model, for option pricing. Applications are demonstrated on pricing some vulnerable options with the payoff functions including two stochastic processes: the underlying stock price and the assets value of the option writer. Instead of building a bivariate tree structure for these correlated processes, a univariate binomial tree for the underlying stock price is only constructed. The proposed univariate binomial tree model is sufficient to undertake, though two underlying assets are involved.展开更多
In this paper,a two-stage model is developed to investigate the location strategy andthe commodity pricing strategy for a retail firm that wants to enter a spatial market with multiplecompetitive facilities,where a co...In this paper,a two-stage model is developed to investigate the location strategy andthe commodity pricing strategy for a retail firm that wants to enter a spatial market with multiplecompetitive facilities,where a competitor firm is already operating as a monopoly with several outlets.Expected market shares are calculated based on the stochastic customer behavior on networks.Theauthors provide a sufficient condition for the existence of equilibrium prices in the price game for thefirst time.The existence and uniqueness of the pure strategy Nash equilibrium price with a specifiedutility function are proved in the subgame.A metaheuristic based on tabu search is proposed tosearch the optimal location-price solution of the model.In addition,the authors provide two numericalexamples to illustrate how to obtain the optimal solution and conduct sensitivity analysis.The analysisshows that the best location decision is robust for the follower firm,price game is more intense whenincomes of consumers are lower or there are more substitution products,and neither chain retail gainsfrom the price competition.展开更多
文摘Current literature shows that short sellers earn positive returns on their trades and that the superior performance of short sellers is due to their better analytic skills. In this paper, we investigate, if it is possible for a short seller to make profits even if he does not have insider information or is not sophisticated. We use a one period model and assume that stock price follows a random walk with a positive drift to show that the' expected return for an uninformed short seller is always negative and his risks are always greater than the risks of a stock buyer. Hence a short seller would not trade unless he has superior trading skills and/or information. We also show that the market conditions when the stock's dividend yield is greater than the risk free rate gives the shortsellers advantage over stock buyers.
文摘Some characteristics of the electricity load and prices are studied, and the relationship between electricity prices and gas (fuel) prices is analyzed in this paper. Because electricity prices are strongly dependent on load and gas prices, the authors constructed a model for electricity prices based on the effects of these two factors; and used the Geometric Mean Reversion Brownian Motion (GMRBM) model to describe the electricity load process, and a Geometric Brownian Motion(GBM) model to describe the gas prices; deduced the price stochastic process model based on the above load model and gas price model. This paper also presents methods for parameters estimation, and proposes some methods to solve the model.
文摘This paper proposes a dimension reduction technique on lattice model, an extension of the discrete CRR (1979) model, for option pricing. Applications are demonstrated on pricing some vulnerable options with the payoff functions including two stochastic processes: the underlying stock price and the assets value of the option writer. Instead of building a bivariate tree structure for these correlated processes, a univariate binomial tree for the underlying stock price is only constructed. The proposed univariate binomial tree model is sufficient to undertake, though two underlying assets are involved.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 70801003the Chinese Universities Scientific Fund (ZZ0915)
文摘In this paper,a two-stage model is developed to investigate the location strategy andthe commodity pricing strategy for a retail firm that wants to enter a spatial market with multiplecompetitive facilities,where a competitor firm is already operating as a monopoly with several outlets.Expected market shares are calculated based on the stochastic customer behavior on networks.Theauthors provide a sufficient condition for the existence of equilibrium prices in the price game for thefirst time.The existence and uniqueness of the pure strategy Nash equilibrium price with a specifiedutility function are proved in the subgame.A metaheuristic based on tabu search is proposed tosearch the optimal location-price solution of the model.In addition,the authors provide two numericalexamples to illustrate how to obtain the optimal solution and conduct sensitivity analysis.The analysisshows that the best location decision is robust for the follower firm,price game is more intense whenincomes of consumers are lower or there are more substitution products,and neither chain retail gainsfrom the price competition.