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水资源规划中随机模拟模型的适用性检验
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作者 方红远 《江苏水利科技》 1995年第5期31-34,共4页
1 随机事件的模拟在为水资源规划而建立的各种分析模型中,随机的水文变量是一类重要的输入参数。例如水库的入库径流、水面蒸发量、规划区内的降雨量、防洪控制点的洪水期流量以及水温等,都是一些与水资源分析有关的常见随机事件。这些... 1 随机事件的模拟在为水资源规划而建立的各种分析模型中,随机的水文变量是一类重要的输入参数。例如水库的入库径流、水面蒸发量、规划区内的降雨量、防洪控制点的洪水期流量以及水温等,都是一些与水资源分析有关的常见随机事件。这些随机变量的存在增加了水资源系统的不确定性,也使得规划及运行管理变得较为复杂和难以控制。 展开更多
关键词 水资源规划 随机模拟模型 检验 分布函数
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喀什市地下水系统确定—随机耦合模拟模型 被引量:3
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作者 谢新民 《河海大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 1992年第1期77-84,共8页
本文对喀什市地下水系统的数值模拟问题进行了探讨,并利用随机模拟技术处理系统的边界,建立了系统的确定-随机耦合模拟模型。模型运行结果表明,该模型能如实地反映地下水系统状态变化的特性,它为系统的规划、管理问题的进一步研究奠定... 本文对喀什市地下水系统的数值模拟问题进行了探讨,并利用随机模拟技术处理系统的边界,建立了系统的确定-随机耦合模拟模型。模型运行结果表明,该模型能如实地反映地下水系统状态变化的特性,它为系统的规划、管理问题的进一步研究奠定了可靠的基础。 展开更多
关键词 喀什市 地下水系统 随机耦合模拟模型 模型优化识别 数值模拟 水文地质
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可用于气候变化研究的日流量随机模拟方法探讨 被引量:12
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作者 邓慧平 张翼 唐来华 《地理学报》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 1996年第S1期151-160,共10页
本文根据水文线性模型现有的研究基础,探讨了可用于气候变化研究的日流量随机模拟方法。又通过分析月流量与日流量的统计关系,提出了按月流量的大小分组,分别建立模拟日流量的随机函数。这样不仅考虑了月流量对季节周期项的影响,也... 本文根据水文线性模型现有的研究基础,探讨了可用于气候变化研究的日流量随机模拟方法。又通过分析月流量与日流量的统计关系,提出了按月流量的大小分组,分别建立模拟日流量的随机函数。这样不仅考虑了月流量对季节周期项的影响,也包含了月流量与日时间尺度事件的统计关系.因此,用本文提出的方法包含更多的气候变化对日尺度水文事件影响的信息。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 随机模拟模型 水文极端事件
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基于Copula函数的长江大洪水随机模拟 被引量:4
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作者 李荣波 黄艳 +2 位作者 李安强 李文俊 刘源 《中国防汛抗旱》 2020年第12期25-28,共4页
以长江大洪水为研究对象,基于Copula函数构建了洪水随机模拟模型。该模型关键步骤包括选取洪水特征变量、确定洪水特征变量联合分布、洪水特征变量随机模拟和洪水过程线放大。选取天然情况下三峡水库坝址1954年等12场典型大洪水为数据样... 以长江大洪水为研究对象,基于Copula函数构建了洪水随机模拟模型。该模型关键步骤包括选取洪水特征变量、确定洪水特征变量联合分布、洪水特征变量随机模拟和洪水过程线放大。选取天然情况下三峡水库坝址1954年等12场典型大洪水为数据样本,建立峰-量二元联合分布函数,并对“尖瘦”型的主峰靠前、主峰靠后,以及“矮胖”型不同典型洪水进行模拟应用。结果表明,所建模型提取了天然洪水过程特征,能有效模拟不同类型洪水的洪峰和洪量等洪水特征量,为科学调度大洪水提供数据基础。 展开更多
关键词 长江大洪水 随机模拟模型 COPULA函数 二元联合分布
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基于正态随机模拟的武烈河环境健康风险评价 被引量:7
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作者 王月 安达 +4 位作者 席北斗 周炼 安志民 陈晓志 高如泰 《环境工程学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第5期3334-3340,共7页
为了解武烈河的水环境健康状况,基于US EPA健康风险评价方法,将正态模糊数和随机模拟方法进行耦合,建立基于正态随机模拟的环境健康风险综合评价模型,对武烈河干支流主要断面进行环境健康风险评价。评价结果表明:所有监测断面的成人健... 为了解武烈河的水环境健康状况,基于US EPA健康风险评价方法,将正态模糊数和随机模拟方法进行耦合,建立基于正态随机模拟的环境健康风险综合评价模型,对武烈河干支流主要断面进行环境健康风险评价。评价结果表明:所有监测断面的成人健康风险值和儿童健康风险值均小于最大风险可接受水平(5.0×10^(-5)a^(-1)),处于可接受范围内,说明武烈河流域水环境健康风险状况良好;在已有研究工作的基础上,将三角模糊数改进为正态模糊数,考虑小概率事件发生的情况、选择99%概率所对应的风险值进行评价,使监测值模拟概率分布更加合理、预测结果概率分布更符合实际情况。 展开更多
关键词 武烈河 正态随机模拟模型 健康风险评价
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植物病害时空流行动态模拟模型的构建
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作者 李保华 《中国植保导刊》 北大核心 2005年第4期41-41,共1页
一个描述在二维空间中单一种植或混合种植的植物群体内病害时、空流行动态的计算机随机模拟模型构建完成。模型由寄主、病原2个组分和病斑产孢、孢子传播、孢子着落、孢子侵染、病斑潜育、寄主生长、病害控制等一系列代表病害流行生物... 一个描述在二维空间中单一种植或混合种植的植物群体内病害时、空流行动态的计算机随机模拟模型构建完成。模型由寄主、病原2个组分和病斑产孢、孢子传播、孢子着落、孢子侵染、病斑潜育、寄主生长、病害控制等一系列代表病害流行生物学过程的子模型构成。模型采用了面向对象的程序设计方法.用C++语言编写,能以病害流行曲线图、空间分布图、 展开更多
关键词 植物病害时空流行动态模拟模型 C++语言 面向对象技术 计算机随机模拟模型
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Efficient and Accurate Simulator for Rayleigh and Rician Fading 被引量:2
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作者 王俊峰 马秀荣 +1 位作者 滕建辅 崔玥 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2012年第4期243-247,共5页
With an improved Rayleigh fading model and a zero-mean stochastic sinusoid as the scattering and specular components respectively,a stochastic simulation model is proposed for the generation of Rayleigh and Rician fad... With an improved Rayleigh fading model and a zero-mean stochastic sinusoid as the scattering and specular components respectively,a stochastic simulation model is proposed for the generation of Rayleigh and Rician fading waveforms.Compared with the existing stochastic models,the proposed simulator needs only one trial to obtain the desired statistical properties even if the number of samples is not large enough.Moreover,the proposed simulation model can directly generate multiple uncorrelated waveforms for different fading scenarios,such as single-input single-output frequency selective channels and multiple-input multiple-output channels.The performance evaluation and comparison show that the proposed simulator is efficient and accurate. 展开更多
关键词 fading channel simulator Rayleigh fading Rician fading statistical property
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Deterministic and Stochastic Simulators for Non-Isotropic V2V-MIMO Wideband Channels 被引量:6
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作者 Yiran Li Xiang Cheng Nan Zhang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第7期18-29,共12页
In this paper, we consider a novel two-dimensional(2D) geometry-based stochastic model(GBSM) for multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) vehicle-to-vehicle(V2V) wideband fading channels. The proposed model employs the co... In this paper, we consider a novel two-dimensional(2D) geometry-based stochastic model(GBSM) for multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO) vehicle-to-vehicle(V2V) wideband fading channels. The proposed model employs the combination of a two-ring model and a multiple confocal ellipses model, where the signal is sum of the line-of-sight(Lo S) component, single-bounced(SB) rays, and double-bounced(DB) rays. Based on the reference model, we derive some expressions of channel statistical properties, including space-time correlation function(STCF), Doppler spectral power density(DPSD), envelope level crossing rate(LCR) and average fade duration(AFD). In addition, corresponding deterministic and stochastic simulation models are developed based on the reference model. Moreover, we compare the statistical properties of the reference model and the two simulation models in different scenarios and investigate the impact of different vehicular traffic densities(VTDs) on the channel statistical properties of the proposed model. Finally, the great agreement between simulation models and the reference model demonstrates not only the utility of simulation models, but also the correctness of theoretical derivations and simulations. 展开更多
关键词 vehicle-to-vehicle wideband channels simulation model statistical properties
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Dynamics and Control of Infectious Diseases in Stochastic Metapopulation Models 被引量:1
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作者 Ariel Felix Gualtieri Juan Pedro Hecht 《Journal of Life Sciences》 2011年第7期503-508,共6页
The research on spatial epidemic models is a topic of considerable recent interest. In another hand, the advances in computer technology have stimulated the development of stochastic models. Metapopulation models are ... The research on spatial epidemic models is a topic of considerable recent interest. In another hand, the advances in computer technology have stimulated the development of stochastic models. Metapopulation models are spatial designs that involve movements of individuals between distinct subpopulations. The purpose of the present work has been to develop stochastic models in order to study the transmission dynamics and control of infectious diseases in metapopulations. The authors studied Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) and Susceptible-lnfected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic schemes, using the Gillespie algorithm, Computational numerical simulations were carried in order to explore the models. The results obtained show how the dynamics of transmission and the application of control measures within each subpopulation may affect all subpopulations of the system. They also show how the distribution of control measures among subpopulations affects the efficacy of these strategies. The dynamics of the stochastic models developed in the current study follow the trends observed in the classic deterministic designs. Also, the present models exhibit fluctuating behavior. This work highlights the importance of the spatial distribution of the population in spread and control of infectious diseases. In addition, it shows how chance could play an important role in these scenarios. 展开更多
关键词 Epidemic dynamics and control stochastic metapopulation models SIS and SIR schemes.
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Reservoir lithology stochastic simulation based on Markov random fields 被引量:2
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作者 梁玉汝 王志忠 郭建华 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第9期3610-3616,共7页
Markov random fields(MRF) have potential for predicting and simulating petroleum reservoir facies more accurately from sample data such as logging, core data and seismic data because they can incorporate interclass re... Markov random fields(MRF) have potential for predicting and simulating petroleum reservoir facies more accurately from sample data such as logging, core data and seismic data because they can incorporate interclass relationships. While, many relative studies were based on Markov chain, not MRF, and using Markov chain model for 3D reservoir stochastic simulation has always been the difficulty in reservoir stochastic simulation. MRF was proposed to simulate type variables(for example lithofacies) in this work. Firstly, a Gibbs distribution was proposed to characterize reservoir heterogeneity for building 3-D(three-dimensional) MRF. Secondly, maximum likelihood approaches of model parameters on well data and training image were considered. Compared with the simulation results of MC(Markov chain), the MRF can better reflect the spatial distribution characteristics of sand body. 展开更多
关键词 stochastic modeling Markov random fields training image Monte Carlo simulation
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Research on the characteristics of noise source on heading face and noise propagation in mine laneway
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作者 PENG You-duo XIE Wei-hua +2 位作者 XIE Zhi-yong PENG Chang-qing YIN Xi 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2012年第4期418-422,共5页
Based on the complexity and dynamic random analysis of machine noise source in mine heading face, this article established the noise pressure mathematical model of noise propagation in mine laneway of different noise ... Based on the complexity and dynamic random analysis of machine noise source in mine heading face, this article established the noise pressure mathematical model of noise propagation in mine laneway of different noise sources, carried out noise propagation numerical simulation in long space, and revealed noise propagation law of more radiated noise sources in the mine roadway. The results show that, under conditions that the total noise power is always the same, regardless of point source, surface noise source, or body noise source, the corresponding noise attenuation trend along the mine laneway and attenuation curve shape are basically the same. However, the attenuation velocity corresponding to complex stereo noise source is slower than single point source and the noise pressure value is higher than the single point source. The actual noise of measured values is close to the theoretical value or, say, there is little error for complex stereo noise source, whereas the error to single point source and surface noise is higher, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 noise source mine roadway PROPAGATION CHARACTERISTICS heading face noise pressure
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Lévy noise induced stochastic resonance in an FHN model 被引量:14
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作者 WANG ZhanQing XU Yong YANG Hui 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第3期371-375,共5页
This paper aims to investigate the stochastic resonance (SR) in an FitzHugh-Nagumo (FHN) model with an additive LEvy noise numerically. The non-Gaussian LEvy noise is a kind of general random noise which is differ... This paper aims to investigate the stochastic resonance (SR) in an FitzHugh-Nagumo (FHN) model with an additive LEvy noise numerically. The non-Gaussian LEvy noise is a kind of general random noise which is different from the usual Gaussian noise, and it has small fluctuations with the unpredictable jumps to describe the random fluctuations in an FHN model. SR is determined by the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and the numerical simulation results show the occurrence of the SR phenomena in the given FHN system. The influence of various parameters of the LEvy noise and the FHN model on the SR will be exam- ined, and some mechanisms of the LEvy noise-induced SR are presented which are different from those of the Gaussian noise. 展开更多
关键词 Levy noise stochastic resonance signal-to-noise ratio FHN model
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The asymptotic behavior of a stochastic multigroup SIS model 被引量:1
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作者 Chunyan Ji Daqing Jiang 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 SCIE 2018年第3期115-130,共16页
In this paper, we explore the long time behavior of a multigroup Susceptible-Infected Susceptible (SIS) model with stochastic perturbations. The conditions for the disease to die out are obtained. Besides, we also s... In this paper, we explore the long time behavior of a multigroup Susceptible-Infected Susceptible (SIS) model with stochastic perturbations. The conditions for the disease to die out are obtained. Besides, we also show that the disease is fluctuating around the endemic equilibrium under some conditions. Moreover, there is a stationary distribution under stronger conditions. At last, some numerical simulations are applied to support our theoretical results. 展开更多
关键词 A multigroup Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model disease free equilibrium endemic equilibrium exponential stability prevail stationary distribution.
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A Unified Spatio-Temporal Framework of the Cuerno-Barabasi Stochastic Continuum Model of Surface Sputtering
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作者 Oluwole Emmanuel Oyewande 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2012年第7期165-170,共6页
The nonlinear continuum model proposed by Cuerno and Barabasi is the most successful and widely acceptable theoretical description of oblique incidence ion sputtered surfaces to date and is quite robust in its predict... The nonlinear continuum model proposed by Cuerno and Barabasi is the most successful and widely acceptable theoretical description of oblique incidence ion sputtered surfaces to date and is quite robust in its predictions of the time evolution and scaling of interfaces driven by ion bombardment. However, this theory has thus far predicted only ripple topographies and rough surfaces for short and large scales, respectively. As a result, its application to the interpretation and study of nanodots, predicted by Monte Carlo simulations for, and observed in experiments of, oblique incidence sputtering is still unclear and, hence, an open problem. In this paper, we provide a new insight to the theory, within the same length scale, that explains nanodot formation on off-normal incidence sputtered surfaces, among others, and propose ways of observing the predicted topographies of the MC simulations, as well as possible control of the size of the nanodots, in the framework of the Cuerno-Barabasi continuum theory. 展开更多
关键词 topographic phase diagrams surface nanostructures surface nanodots Cuerno-Barabasi model
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