购房需求源于对未来的恐惧?

需求,是这次房地产调控中被人们经常提及的一个重要因素。如何看待这个需求,涉及到对调控前房地产价格的泡沫程度、调控的可能结果以及调控后房价可能走势等一系列重大问题的判断。而且,在有关的争论中我们可以发现,唱衰或唱好房市的分歧,往往也是源于对需求的不同看法。

浅谈农村初中生阅读需求受阅读心理制约的因素

学生的阅读心理是受阅读需求所驱使和制约的，也就是说他们需要阅读什么，心里就想着什么，就渴望得到那方面的读物。怎样才能够知道学生们想阅读些什么呢？我们通过学生作文、平时交流、课堂上学生的发言以及学生对老师的建议等，获得了大量信息。初中生的阅读需求源自于学生的生活。

单光子源研究进展分析

随着量子信息技术的不断进步,具有量子效应的单光子在信息处理、信息探测中扮演着重要角色.本文主要介绍了激光衰减,基于原子、量子点等的按需单光子制备是最常见几种获取单光子源的方法.目前,针对单光子源的研究已经取得重大进展,多个研究组成功实现了常温下工作、高效率、高不可分辨率的单光子源.

A Study of Power Sources Optimization in Guangdong

The main problem existing in Guangdong electric power sources is analyzed in this paper. Based on theanalysis on energy-supply features, power demand and the technical and economic performances of various powersources in Guangdong, the power sources construction scale and its structure are studied and analyzed in detail byusing Generation Expansion Software Package (GESP). The future development of Guangdong electric power sourcesunder the new situation of "Power from West to East" is studied as well.[

IRP/DSM and Sustainable Development

This paper introduces the energy consumption status in China, elaborate the affects of the unreasonable energy consumption structure on energy environment and sustainable development of economy. Simultaneously, it points out the solution, i.e., to implement integrated resources planning (IRP)/demand side management (DSM), and gives some recommendations on the way of implementing IRP/DSM.

Hybrid LEAP modeling method for long-term energy demand forecasting of regions with limited statistical data

An accurate long-term energy demand forecasting is essential for energy planning and policy making. However, due to the immature energy data collecting and statistical methods, the available data are usually limited in many regions. In this paper, on the basis of comprehensive literature review, we proposed a hybrid model based on the long-range alternative energy planning (LEAP) model to improve the accuracy of energy demand forecasting in these regions. By taking Hunan province, China as a typical case, the proposed hybrid model was applied to estimating the possible future energy demand and energy-saving potentials in different sectors. The structure of LEAP model was estimated by Sankey energy flow, and Leslie matrix and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were used to predict the population, industrial structure and transportation turnover, respectively. Monte-Carlo method was employed to evaluate the uncertainty of forecasted results. The results showed that the hybrid model combined with scenario analysis provided a relatively accurate forecast for the long-term energy demand in regions with limited statistical data, and the average standard error of probabilistic distribution in 2030 energy demand was as low as 0.15. The prediction results could provide supportive references to identify energy-saving potentials and energy development pathways.

Energy Efficient Data Collection in Hierarchical Wireless Sensor Networks

The majority of the energy consumption by the sensors is the energy requirement for data transmission in Wireless Sensor Networks （WSNs）. Therefore, introducing mobile collectors to collect data instead of nmlti-hop data relay is essential. However, for rmny proposed data gathering ap-proaches, long data deNNy is the train problenm. Hence, the problem of how to decrease the energy consumption and the data deNNy needs to be solved. In this paper, a low deNNy data collection mechanism using multiple mobile collectors is pro- posed. First, a self-organization clustering algorithm is designed. Second, sensor nodes are organized into three-level clusters. Then a collection strategy based on the hierarchical structure is proposed, which includes two rules to dispatch mobile collec- tors rationally. Simulation results show that the proposed mechanism is superior to other existing approaches in terms of the reduction in energy ex-penditure and the decrease in data deNNy.

China's INDC and non-fossil energy development

Global climate change promotes the energy system reform. Achieving a high proportion of renewable energy becomes the major countries＇ energy strategy. As proposed in its Intended Nationally Determined Contributions （INDC）, China intends to raise the proportion of non-fossil energy in primary energy consumption to about 20% by 2030. That ambitious goal means the non-fossil energy supplies by 2030 will be 7-8 times that of 2005, and the annual increase rate is more than 8% within the 25 years. Besides, the capacity of wind power, solar power, hy- dropower and nuclear power reaches 400 GW, 350 GW, 450 GW, and 150 GW respectively, and China＇s non-fossil power capacity is even greater than the U.S.＇s total power capacity. In addition, the scale of natural gas increases. Consequently, by 2030, the proportion of coal falls from the current 70% to below 50%, and the CO2 intensity of energy consumption decreases by 20% compared with the level of 2005, which play important roles in significantly reducing the CO2 intensity of GDE Since China has confirmed to achieve the CO2 emissions peak around 2030, at that time, the newly added energy demand will be satisfied by non-fossil energy, and the consumption of fossil fuel will stop growing. By 2030, non-fossil energy accounts for 20%, and the large scale and sound momentum of new and renewable energy industry will support the growth of total energy demand, which plays a key role in CO2 emissions peaking and beginning to decline, and lays the foundation for establishing a new energy system dominated by new and renewable energy in the second half of the 21 st century as well as finally achieving the CO2 zero-emission.

Study on individualized information service for the reader in the library based on the network

With the massive increase of digital resource based on the network,it becomes very important that how to help readers acquire the information needed according to the individualized requirement and interest in an accurate,convenient and prompt method. Therefore,it is very urgent to investigate individualized information service of library. In this paper,based on the development of the individualized information service for the reader in the college library,the individualized information service is clarified by using three perspectives,including establishment of individualized information demand model,integration of internal and external resource and protection of the reader privacy. Finally,the corresponding strategy and related measure are presented.

Application of micro/nanoscale thermal radiation to thermophotovoltaic system

Thermophotovoltaic （TPV） system has been regarded as one promising means to alleviate current energy demand because it can directly generate electricity from radiation heat via photons. However, the presently available TPV systems suffer from low conversion efficiency and low throughput. A viable solution to increase their efficiency is to apply micro/nanoscale radiation principles in the design of different components to utilize the characteristics ~f thermal radiation at small distances and in microstructures. Several critical issues are reviewed, such as photovoltaic effect, quantum efficiency and efficiency of TPV system. Emphasis is given to the development of wavelength-selective emitters and filters and the aspects of micro/nanoscale heat transfer. Recent progress, along with the challenges and opportunities for future development of TPV systems are also outlined.

PERSPECTIVE OF COAL DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA IN THE EARLY 2000'S

According to the Researches on Coal Development Strategies in China (1991 ~ 2020),the production scale of coal in China will increase to 2100 Mt in the year 2020 and the district layout of coal development and production will be diverted from the east to the central-west step by step. In addit1on, the multi-ply runnning struc ture-mines of the nation,the local and the village and town combined with produc tion scales of the large, the middle,and the small-will be kept. However,the tech nique of mining will be improved greatly.

利用火力发电站余热供热供冷商业模式的思考

目前火力发电企业经营面临着前所未有的压力。火电厂必须想方设法培养自身的竞争优势,在节能降耗方面,火电厂循环水余热的热能损失是影响火电厂效率的重要方面,且余热回收利用的技术难度较低,有成熟的吸收式热泵利用余热供热供冷技术可供利用,投资小、成本低。大力推进火电厂循环水余热利用具有重大的节能减排意义。但在技术上可行且节能减排的情况下,火电厂循环水余热利用并没有得到普遍推广肯定有其现实障碍。文章通过分析循环水余热利用的重要性、技术可行性和商业模式设计,扫除火电厂循环水余热利用道路上的障碍。

Adaptive Soft Frequency Reuse Scheme for In-building Dense Femtocell Networks

Femtocell networks have emerged as a key technology in residential, office building or hotspot deployments that can sig- nificantly fulfill high data demands in order to offioad indoor traffic from outdoor macro cells. However, as one of the major challenges, inter-femtocell interference gets worse in 3D in-building scenarios because of the presence of numerous interfering sources and then needs to be considered in the early network planning phase. The indoor network planning and optimization tool suite, Ranplan Small- cell~, makes accurate prediction of indoor wireless RF signal propagation possible to guide actual indoor femtocell deployments. In this paper, a new adaptive soft frequency reuse scheme in the dense femtocell networks is proposed, where multiple dense femtocells are classified into a number of groups according to the dominant interference strength to others, then the minimum subchannels with different frequency reuse factors for these groups are determined and transmit powers of the group- ing sub-channels are adaptively adjusted based on the strength to mitigate the mutual inter- ference. Simulation results show the proposed scheme yields great performance gains in terms of the spectrum efficiency relative to the legacy soft frequency reuse and universal fre- quency reuse.

Challenges and Opportunities Facedby China’s Energy Industry

The sustainable and rapid development of Chinese economy entails fast growth of energy demand. In recent years, power is in short supply： supply and transportation of coal is tense causing a price rise; crude oil import increases and oil price lingers on high end. These phenomena reflccting energy shortage have become people＇hot-debated issues in economic life, and public economic regulators and economists have shown unprecedented concerns about the energy-, environment-, and resources-related issues from the sustainable development point of view.

Improved grey-based approach for power demand forecasting

Grey theory is a multidisciplinary and generic theory to cope with systems of poor or deficient information. We proposed in this paper an improved grey method (GM) to overcome the disadvantages of the general GM(1,1). In the improved GM(1,1), a new background value formula is deduced and Markov-chain sign estimation is imbedded into the residual modification model. We tested the efficiency and accuracy of our model by applying it to the power demand forecasting in Taiwan. Experimental results demonstrate the new method has obviously a higher prediction accuracy than the general model.

On the Relationship between China and the International Energy Agency

As China needs to play a more active role in global energy governance, it must create a diversified, multi-level system to enhance energy security and to alleviate environmental pressures. A China-IEA bilateral relationship exists under an Association Initiative, but a stronger bond is needed. Though it is not an IEA member, China's massive energy needs makes it sensible that the two sides overcome existing obstacles that include OECD membership, statistical information issues and energy autonomy. In this regard an "IEA+China" might be a feasible model.

Strengthen Domestic Construction to Satisfy Energy Demand

The energy issue is a common concern for all countries in the world and also a challenge to China and Chinese government attaches great importance to the issue. China＇s demand for energy rises steadily with its fast econornic growth. In face of energy resources shortages. China has to implement a twofold strategy on the energy issue： strenuously consolidating domestic resources construction, and rigorously enforcing energy-saving by improving public awareness of energy conservation.

Thorium and Its Future Importance for Nuclear Energy Generation

Thorium was discovered in 1828 by the Swedish chemist Jons J. Berzelius. Despite some advantages over uranium for use in nuclear reactors, its main use, in the almost two centuries since its discovery, thorium was restricted to use for gas mantles, especially in the early 20th century. In the beginning of the nuclear era, many countries had interested on thorium, particularly during the 1950-1970 period. There are about 435 nuclear reactors in the world nowadays. They need more than 65,000 tons of uranium yearly. The future world energy needs will increase and, even if we assumed a conservative contribution of nuclear generation, there will be a significant increasing in the uranium prices occur, taking into account that uranium, as used in the present thermal reactors, is a finite resource. Thorium is nearly three times more abundant than uranium in the Earth＇s crust. Despite thorium is not a fissile material, ^232Th can be converted to ^233U （fissile） more efficiently than ^238U to ^239pu. Besides this, since it is possible to convert thorium waste into non-radioactive elements, thorium is an environment-friendly alternative energy source. Thorium fuel cycle is also inherently resistant to proliferation. Some papers evaluate the thorium resources in Brazil over 1,200,000 metric t. Then, the thorium alternative must be seriously considered in Brazil for strategic reasons. In this paper a brief history of thorium is presented, besides a review of the world thorium utilization and a discussion about advantages and restrictions of thorium use.

Energy, Social and Economic Indicators for Evaluation of Retrofit Buildings： The Brazilian Perspective on Sustainable Development

This paper aims to establish a methodological frame work and its validation as a response to the need of a demand management tool in the face of recurring comparisons of building revitalization or retrofits. As the investment and implementation actions improve and the social economic criteria are delimited by regulatory frameworks, it is extremely necessary to monitor previous performances and further prospects, regarding projects, it is necessary to measure the extent of which efforts have been meeting regulatory requirements and aiming to contribute with sustainable development. In this context, the use of indicators has been a major management tool.

Facilities Management Carbon Footprints： An Audit of Critical Elements of Management and Reporting

Concern for the environmental impact of organizations＇ activities has led to the recognition and demand for organizations to manage and report on their carbon footprint. However, there is no limit as to the areas of carbon footprints required in such annual environmental reports. To deliver improvements in the quality of carbon footprint management and reporting, there is a need to identify the main elements of carbon footprint strategy that can be endorsed, supported and encouraged by facility managers. The study investigates carbon footprint elements managed and reported upon by facility manager in the UK. Drawing on a questionnaire survey of 256 facility managers in the UK, the key elements of carbon footprints identified in carbon footprint reports are examined. The findings indicate that the main elements are building energy consumption, waste disposal and water consumption. Business travel in terms of using public transport, air travel and company cars are also recognized as important targets and objectives for the carbon footprint strategy of several FM （facilities management） organizations.