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川滇及邻区强震地区震前的地震活动特征
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作者 龙德雄 《地震研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2003年第z1期46-54,共9页
对中国大陆西部的川、滇及邻区 ,1970年以来 8次MS≥ 7 0级强震的震源地区 ,震前的中强地震活动及时空图像进行了分析。结果表明 :强震前在震源地区MS≥ 4 8级的中强地震活动 ,在地表特定的断裂构造带上成团丛集活动 ,其中早期和中期... 对中国大陆西部的川、滇及邻区 ,1970年以来 8次MS≥ 7 0级强震的震源地区 ,震前的中强地震活动及时空图像进行了分析。结果表明 :强震前在震源地区MS≥ 4 8级的中强地震活动 ,在地表特定的断裂构造带上成团丛集活动 ,其中早期和中期阶段出现的中强地震位置 ,是未来强震的震中地区。震级 -时间关系的时序特征显示 ,强震前的早期、中期和短期的三个阶段 ,中强地震震级随时间逐渐增大 ,并逐步增长 ,直到强震发生 ,地震活动的间隔时间Δt-t曲线则由大变小衰减至发生强震。在强震前 ,早期阶段的中强地震小于中期阶段出现的中强地震 ,中期阶段的较大中强地震 ,可成为强震前一次具有信号震标志的较大地震。同时 ,强震前孕震期与临震期的持续时间有一个线性比值关系 ,比值为 0 2 1~ 0 2 7。根据比值关系以及强震地区震前中期阶段和短期阶段出现的地震事件 ,可作为强震预测的一种震兆指标。 展开更多
关键词 丛集活动 震前中期 短期预测 川滇及邻区
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The Contrast Study of Precursor Anomalies before the M_S 8. 0 Wenchuan Earthquake
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作者 Chen Lide Fu Hong 《Earthquake Research in China》 2012年第3期365-376,共12页
The contrast research results show that the number of items and stations with imminent, short and medium term precursor anomalies for the Wenchuan M_S 8. 0 earthquake is less than that of the Menglian earthquake. The ... The contrast research results show that the number of items and stations with imminent, short and medium term precursor anomalies for the Wenchuan M_S 8. 0 earthquake is less than that of the Menglian earthquake. The number of anomalies and stations associated with the Wenchuan earthquake increased in the early stage of the short-term range,as opposed to the later period for the Menglian and Lijiang earthquakes. Most of the medium term anomalies occurred two to three years before the Wenchuan earthquake,when the number of anomaly stations and items was eleven,and a great change appeared in the observation values in about half of the stations ( items ) . However,for the Menglian earthquake,medium term anomalies happened one to two years before the earthquake, the number of abnormal stations and items reached 20,and a sharp change appeared in the observation values six months to one year before the earthquake in about 30 percent of the stations or items. In the epicenter and the nearby area,the macroscopic abnormalities started 3 years before the Wenchuan earthquake and lasted intermittently until 1 month before the earthquake. Within 2 percent of the total area of the province,the macroscopic abnormalities accounted for 30 to 50 percent of the total number of anomalies of the Province. For the Xingtai,Tangshan,Haicheng,Songpan earthquakes,the macroscopic anomalies started two to three months before,or on the very day of the earthquakes. The common feature of the precursors between the Wenchuan and other strong earthquakes is the appearance of tremendous changes in a certain number of observation values of anomalies in the mid and short terms before all these earthquakes. 展开更多
关键词 Wenehuan MsS. 0 earthquake Precursor anomalies Contrast study
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