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青藏高原夏季降水与东亚、南亚夏季风相关程度的空间格局 被引量:6
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作者 高东 牛海山 《中国科学院大学学报(中英文)》 CSCD 北大核心 2018年第4期500-505,共6页
基于CRU_TS4.0数据、东亚夏季风指数和南亚夏季风指数,使用偏相关分析方法,分析青藏高原1970—2014年间夏季(6—8月)降水的变化趋势及其对东亚夏季风(EASM)和南亚夏季风(SASM)响应的格局。结果表明:SASM与青藏高原夏季降水显著性相关的... 基于CRU_TS4.0数据、东亚夏季风指数和南亚夏季风指数,使用偏相关分析方法,分析青藏高原1970—2014年间夏季(6—8月)降水的变化趋势及其对东亚夏季风(EASM)和南亚夏季风(SASM)响应的格局。结果表明:SASM与青藏高原夏季降水显著性相关的范围要明显大于EASM,SASM正相关区域位于青藏高原南部地区,负相关区域位于正相关区域外围、高大山体后部的高原西缘、中部和北部地区。EASM与高原夏季降水正相关区域集中分布于柴达木盆地,负相关区域面积较大,主要位于高原的中部和西部地区。 展开更多
关键词 东亚夏季 南亚夏季 CRUTS4.0数据 偏相关分析 青藏高原夏季降水
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CMIP5模式对青藏高原中东部夏季降水双极型模拟能力的评估 被引量:4
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作者 李斐斐 刘朝晖 《海洋气象学报》 2022年第2期22-32,共11页
青藏高原中东部夏季降水主要表现为东北和东南反位相变化的双极型特征。采用经验正交函数(empirical orthogonal function,EOF)分解方法,系统性地评估参与第五次耦合模式比较计划(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5,CMIP5... 青藏高原中东部夏季降水主要表现为东北和东南反位相变化的双极型特征。采用经验正交函数(empirical orthogonal function,EOF)分解方法,系统性地评估参与第五次耦合模式比较计划(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5,CMIP5)历史模拟试验的47个模式对青藏高原中东部夏季降水双极型变化特征的模拟能力。结果表明,大多数模式基本可以反映青藏高原中东部夏季降水东北部和东南部反位相的变化特征。模式间EOF分析结果表明在35°N以南的东西向模拟偏差是CMIP5模式模拟降水空间型态的主要偏差,且大多数模式对时间系数的模拟效果差于空间型态。文中定义了一个综合评估指标Snew来定量描述模式对空间型态、时间系数以及方差贡献的综合模拟效果。由定量评估结果来看,MIROC-ESM、HadGEM2-CC和ACCESS1-0(FIO-ESM、HadGEM2-AO和MIROC-ESM-CHEM)模式对观测降水的EOF1(EOF2)模态的综合模拟能力相对较好,而GISS系列模式、CESM1-CAM5和MPI-ESM-LR(CMCC-CESM、MPI-ESM-MR和GFDL-CM3)模式对观测降水的EOF1(EOF2)模态的综合模拟效果较差。由EOF1和EOF2的综合评估结果来看,MIROC-ESM-CHEM模式对观测降水的EOF1和EOF2模态的综合模拟效果最好。 展开更多
关键词 青藏高原中东部夏季降水 双极型 CMIP5 综合评估
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The Relationship between Precipitation and Airflow over the Tibetan Plateau in Boreal Summer
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作者 LI Fei FENG Juan 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2012年第3期176-182,共7页
Based on the observation data and the reanalysis datasets, the variability and the circulation features influencing precipitation in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are investigated. Taking into account the effects of topogr... Based on the observation data and the reanalysis datasets, the variability and the circulation features influencing precipitation in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are investigated. Taking into account the effects of topography, surface winds are deconstructed into flow-around and flow-over components relative to the TP. Climatologically, the flow-around component mainly represents cyclonic circulation in the TP during the summer. The transition zone of total precipitation in the summer parallels the convergence belt between the southerlies and the northerlies of the flow-over component. The leading mode of rainfall anomalies in the TP has a meridional dipole structure, and the first principal component (PC1) mainly depicts the variation of rainfall in the southern TP. The wet southern TP experiences strengthened flow-over, which in turn mechanistically favors intensified ascent forced by the flow-over component. In addition, variations in the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) have an important role in influencing the flow over the southern TP, and the ISM ultimately impacts the precipitation over southern TP. 展开更多
关键词 flow around flow over the Tibetan Plateau Indian summer monsoon index
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Can the tropical storms originated from the Bay of Bengal impact the precipitation and soil moisture over the Tibetan Plateau? 被引量:6
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作者 XIAO ZhiXiang DUAN AnMin 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第6期915-928,共14页
This study investigates the impacts of tropical storms originated from the Bay of Bengal(BOBTSs) on the precipitation and soil moisture over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) in April–June(AMJ) and September–December(SOND) du... This study investigates the impacts of tropical storms originated from the Bay of Bengal(BOBTSs) on the precipitation and soil moisture over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) in April–June(AMJ) and September–December(SOND) during 1981–2011 based on the best track dataset provided by Joint Typhoon Warning Centre(JTWC). Results indicate that there are about 1.35 BOBTSs influence the TP in each year and most of them occurred in May and October, and the BOBTSs in AMJ influence the TP with larger extension and higher latitudes than those in SOND. The maximum regional precipitation induced by the BOBTSs accounts for more than 50% for the total precipitation in the corresponding month and about 20% for the season. Further analysis reveals that the surface soil moisture anomalies induced by the BOBTSs can persist only 20–25 days in AMJ, and the case is also true for the snow depth in SOND. Numerical simulations by using the regional climate model of Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) suggest that the soil moisture anomalies in the sub-surface can last 2 months whereas for the surface it can persist only about 20 days, which agrees well with the observation analysis. Overall, the effect of the preceding BOBTSs on the snow depth and soil moisture anomalies over the TP cannot maintain to summer, and there is no robust connection between the BOBTSs and summer precipitation anomalies in East China. Moreover, since the mid-1990 s, the spring rainfall induced by the BOBTSs over the TP seems to be enhanced to a certain degree because of the intensified BOBTSs. 展开更多
关键词 tropical storms Bay of Bengal the Tibetan Plateau soil moisture snow depth WRF
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