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盛夏OLR月距平对TC登陆和影响华南的预报研究 被引量:8
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作者 段丽 蒋尚城 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2001年第3期258-264,共7页
利用OLR资料,对近20年(1975~1994年)热带气旋(TC)在华南地区的登陆和活动进行了分析研究。研究结果表明:OLR月平均距平场的变化与TC在华南地区的活动具有一定的遥相关关系;利用OLR月平均距平场可以进行华南地区多TC影响月和无TC影响月... 利用OLR资料,对近20年(1975~1994年)热带气旋(TC)在华南地区的登陆和活动进行了分析研究。研究结果表明:OLR月平均距平场的变化与TC在华南地区的活动具有一定的遥相关关系;利用OLR月平均距平场可以进行华南地区多TC影响月和无TC影响月的短期气侯预测;华南地区TC的活动与OLR月平均距平之间的关系在一定程度上取决于西北太平洋副热带高压的气候位置。 展开更多
关键词 距平趋势 多热带气旋影响月 无热带气旋影响月 预报关键区 预报特征量 华南地区 TC登陆
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Extratropical Transition and Re-Intensification of Typhoon Toraji(2001):Large-Scale Circulations, Structural Characteristics, and Mechanism Analysis 被引量:1
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作者 ZHU XiANDe WU Lixin WANG Qi 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第3期461-476,共16页
With the use of data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Climate Forecast System Reanalysis,the environment and structure of typhoon Toraji(2001)are investigated during the re-intensification(RI)sta... With the use of data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Climate Forecast System Reanalysis,the environment and structure of typhoon Toraji(2001)are investigated during the re-intensification(RI)stage of its extratropical transition(ET),a process in which a tropical cyclone transforms into an extratropical or mid-latitude cyclone.The results provide detailed insight into the ET system and identify the specific features of the system,including wind field,a cold and dry intrusion,and a frontal structure in the RI stage.The irrotational wind provides the values of upper-and lower-level jets within the transitioning tropical cyclone and the cyclone over Shandong Peninsula,accompanied with the reduced radius of maximum surface winds around the cyclone center in the lower troposphere.Simultaneously,dry air intrusion enhances the formation of fronts and leads to strong potential instability in the southwest and northeast quadrants.The distribution of frontogenesis shows that the tilting term associated with vertical motion dominates the positive frontogenesis surrounding the cyclone center,especially in the RI stage.The diagnostics of the kinetic energy budget suggest that the divergent kinetic energy generation whose time evolution corresponds well to that of cyclone center pressure is the primary factor for the development of Toraji in the lower troposphere.The ET of Toraji is a compound pattern that contains a development similar to that of a B-type extratropical cyclone within the maintaining phase and an A-type extratropical cyclone within the strengthening period,which corresponds to the distribution of the E-P fluxes with vertically downward propagation in the maintaining stage and upwards momentum in the strengthening phase. 展开更多
关键词 typhoon Toraji extratropical transition re-intensification upper level jet FRONTOGENESIS energy budget
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