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《预测实例专集》出版
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作者 欣冰 《未来与发展》 1982年第2期20-,共1页
由霍俊、蔡福元、董福忠编选,中国管理现代化研究会发行的《预测实例专集》,是在北京地区首届技术经济预测学习班总结材料基础上编成的。包括三十二个常规预测实例。
关键词 预测实例 技术经济预测 管理现代化 霍俊 预测理论 十二个 蔡福 企业预测 定量的 企业经济效益
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国防费用效果预测实例——军用飞机的定量分析
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作者 恒松 朱寿勤 《未来与发展》 1980年第2期53-60,共8页
费用效果预测,是系统分析方法最主要的应用之一,它可以为领导部门制订计划规划和方针政策提供科学的数量依据,国外已在国防系统和国民经济各部门广泛应用,并取得了显著实效。我国在实现四个现代化的进程中,很需要学习和批判地吸取国外... 费用效果预测,是系统分析方法最主要的应用之一,它可以为领导部门制订计划规划和方针政策提供科学的数量依据,国外已在国防系统和国民经济各部门广泛应用,并取得了显著实效。我国在实现四个现代化的进程中,很需要学习和批判地吸取国外一切先进的科学方法和技术,本文作者通过军用飞机的实例用这种预测方法进行了简明的计算分析,可供有关部门作进一步研究的参考。 展开更多
关键词 预测实例 预测方法 预测分析 效果预测 作战能力 领导部门 方针政策 批判地 单位重量 系统分析方法
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科幻电影对人工智能技术演进的预测思辨
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作者 尹松涛 《传媒》 CSSCI 2024年第17期39-42,共4页
跨越百年时空,本研究筛选出系列科幻电影及人工智能技术演进样本,对柔性、感性的科幻电影与刚性、理性的人工智能技术演进这两者进行基于时间轴的对比讨论,分析科幻电影预测人工智能技术演进的不同路径,从人工智能的工具属性、对抗人类... 跨越百年时空,本研究筛选出系列科幻电影及人工智能技术演进样本,对柔性、感性的科幻电影与刚性、理性的人工智能技术演进这两者进行基于时间轴的对比讨论,分析科幻电影预测人工智能技术演进的不同路径,从人工智能的工具属性、对抗人类、实现共情与自我身份认同、催生人类意识复合体、激发赛博格到人工智能对人性的解蔽等不同角度,讨论科幻电影对人工智能技术演进的启思,论证科幻电影对人工智能技术演进的预测价值,为电影艺术与科学技术跨学科研究提供一种新的视觉和重要观测点。 展开更多
关键词 人工智能 科幻电影 技术演进 预测实例
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GM(1,1)模型预测的校正公式
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作者 杨义群 《自然杂志》 1991年第12期948-948,共1页
设有原始数列y<sub>1</sub>,…,y<sub>N</sub>累加生成x(i):=y<sub>1</sub>+…+y<sub>i</sub>(i=1,…,N),x(t)≠const,且满足GM(1,1)模型定理对上述模型参数a与b的邓聚龙灰色... 设有原始数列y<sub>1</sub>,…,y<sub>N</sub>累加生成x(i):=y<sub>1</sub>+…+y<sub>i</sub>(i=1,…,N),x(t)≠const,且满足GM(1,1)模型定理对上述模型参数a与b的邓聚龙灰色预测值(?)与(?)。 展开更多
关键词 累加生成 邓聚龙 校正公式 GM 原始数列 相对误差 预测 CONST 预测实例 估计量
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基于Faster R-CNN的密集人群检测算法 被引量:4
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作者 邹斌 张聪 《计算机应用》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第1期61-66,共6页
为提高拥挤场景下的人群检测准确率,提出一种基于改进Faster R-CNN的密集人群检测算法。首先,在特征提取阶段添加空间与通道注意力机制,使用加强的双向特征金字塔网络(S-BiFPN)替代原网络中的多尺度特征金字塔(FPN),使网络对重要特征进... 为提高拥挤场景下的人群检测准确率,提出一种基于改进Faster R-CNN的密集人群检测算法。首先,在特征提取阶段添加空间与通道注意力机制,使用加强的双向特征金字塔网络(S-BiFPN)替代原网络中的多尺度特征金字塔(FPN),使网络对重要特征进行自主学习并加强对图像深层特征的提取;其次,引入多实例预测(MIP)算法对实例进行预测,以避免模型对拥挤场景下的目标造成漏检;最后,对模型中的非极大值抑制(NMS)进行优化,并额外增设一个交并比(IoU)阈值,以对检测结果的干扰项进行精确抑制。在开源的密集人群检测数据集上进行测试的结果显示,相较于原Faster R-CNN算法,所提算法的平均精度(AP)提升5.6%,Jaccard指数值提升3.2%。所提算法具有较高检测精度和稳定性,可以满足密集场景人群检测的需求。 展开更多
关键词 密集人群检测 Faster R-CNN 注意力机制 实例预测 加强的双向特征金字塔网络
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漳州后石电厂勘探中的孤石判断
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作者 陈德建 《西部探矿工程》 CAS 2009年第1期107-108,共2页
从阐述孤石判断的重要性入手,通过漳州后石电厂2k22孔两层孤石的预测的实例,介绍孤石判断的具体做法和一般原则。
关键词 孤石判断 重要性 预测实例 具体做法
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Prediction of rock-burst-threatened areas in an island coal face and its prevention:A case study 被引量:2
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作者 Li Xuehua Pan Fan +3 位作者 Li Huaizhen Zhao Min Ding Lingxiao Zhang Wenxi 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2016年第6期1125-1133,共9页
The island coal face arises in coal mines with the purpose of preventing gas explosion or maintaining the balance between mining and tunneling. However, its particular stress conditions in the surrounding rock may inc... The island coal face arises in coal mines with the purpose of preventing gas explosion or maintaining the balance between mining and tunneling. However, its particular stress conditions in the surrounding rock may increase the difficulty of stress control in the coal face and in its mining roadways, especially when the coal seam, the roof, and the floor have rock-burst propensities, The high energy accumulated in the island coal face and in its roof and floor will intensify rock-burst propensity or even induce rock burst, which further result in great casualties and financial losses. Taking island coal face 2321 in Jinqiao coal mine as a case, we propose a method for the prediction of rock-burst-threatened areas in an island coal face with weak rock-burst propensity. Based on the anaHysis of the movement of the overlying roof and characteristics of stress distribution, this method combined numerical simulation with drilling bits to ensure the prediction accuracy. The effects of coal pillars with different widths on the mitigation of stress concentration in the coal face and on the prevention of rock burst are analyzed together with the mech- anism behind. Finally, corresponding measures against the rock burst in the island coal face are proposed. 展开更多
关键词 Island coal face Rock burst Stress evolution Numerical simulation Stress relief technology
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Real-Time Monitoring and Flagging of Extreme Value Forecasts A Practical Example and Interesting Findings
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作者 Gerard Croteau 《Journal of Earth Science and Engineering》 2016年第4期191-199,共9页
Forecasts of record values are usually avoided unless expected to occur with great confidence within less than 48 hours, or in association with an extreme event such as a hurricane. Otherwise the risk of a high visibi... Forecasts of record values are usually avoided unless expected to occur with great confidence within less than 48 hours, or in association with an extreme event such as a hurricane. Otherwise the risk of a high visibility false alarm outweighs the benefit of a correct early hit. Yet automated forecasts may occasionally include record values beyond day 2, which forecasters may choose to downplay, or not. In Canada, forecasters keep their focus on high impact weather for days l and 2, so that forecasts for day 3 and beyond are mostly automated and usually released after a quick glance. So a process was designed to bring up cases where automated temperature forecasts exceed known records for a number of sites, with the sole purpose of alerting the forecasters who may decide whether or not modifications are needed before release. As a by-product it is found that some record temperature forecasts are issued every day in Canada, even more records are actually observed, and in recent years there have been twice as many new high records as low ones. We discuss the origin of the process, its logics, its current status, interesting findings, and possible improvements. 展开更多
关键词 STATISTICS temperature forecasts RECORDS
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Rock burst prediction based on genetic algorithms and extreme learning machine 被引量:21
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作者 李天正 李永鑫 杨小礼 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第9期2105-2113,共9页
Rock burst is a kind of geological disaster in rock excavation of high stress areas.To evaluate intensity of rock burst,the maximum shear stress,uniaxial compressive strength,uniaxial tensile strength and rock elastic... Rock burst is a kind of geological disaster in rock excavation of high stress areas.To evaluate intensity of rock burst,the maximum shear stress,uniaxial compressive strength,uniaxial tensile strength and rock elastic energy index were selected as input factors,and burst pit depth as output factor.The rock burst prediction model was proposed according to the genetic algorithms and extreme learning machine.The effect of structural surface was taken into consideration.Based on the engineering examples of tunnels,the observed and collected data were divided into the training set,validation set and prediction set.The training set and validation set were used to train and optimize the model.Parameter optimization results are presented.The hidden layer node was450,and the fitness of the predictions was 0.0197 under the optimal combination of the input weight and offset vector.Then,the optimized model is tested with the prediction set.Results show that the proposed model is effective.The maximum relative error is4.71%,and the average relative error is 3.20%,which proves that the model has practical value in the relative engineering. 展开更多
关键词 extreme learning machine feed forward neural network rock burst prediction rock excavation
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Computer Forensic Using Lazy Local Bagging Predictors
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作者 邱卫东 鲍诚毅 朱兴全 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2009年第1期94-97,共4页
In this paper, we study the problem of employ ensemble learning for computer forensic. We propose a Lazy Local Learning based bagging (L3B) approach, where base learners are trained from a small instance subset surr... In this paper, we study the problem of employ ensemble learning for computer forensic. We propose a Lazy Local Learning based bagging (L3B) approach, where base learners are trained from a small instance subset surrounding each test instance. More specifically, given a test instance x, L3B first discovers x's k nearest neighbours, and then applies progressive sampling to the selected neighbours to train a set of base classifiers, by using a given very weak (VW) learner. At the last stage, x is labeled as the most frequently voted class of all base classifiers. Finally, we apply the proposed L3B to computer forensic. 展开更多
关键词 computer forensic data mining CLASSIFICATION lazy learning BAGGING ensemble learning
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