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体育馆建筑内青年学生疏散预动作时间调查和分析 被引量:5
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作者 沈一洲 朱国庆 +1 位作者 李欢欢 吴维华 《中国安全生产科学技术》 CAS 2012年第2期65-68,共4页
通过组织火灾应急疏散逃生演习、现场问卷调查等方式,统计了体育馆内人员的疏散预动作时间,进而建立多分变量逻辑斯蒂回归模型对该统计数据进行了研究。发现:男生选择疏散预动作时间为<30 s的可能性是女生的0.886倍,选择疏散预动作... 通过组织火灾应急疏散逃生演习、现场问卷调查等方式,统计了体育馆内人员的疏散预动作时间,进而建立多分变量逻辑斯蒂回归模型对该统计数据进行了研究。发现:男生选择疏散预动作时间为<30 s的可能性是女生的0.886倍,选择疏散预动作时间为30-60 s的可能性是女生的2.818倍。预测人员疏散预动作时间为<30 s、30-60 s、>60 s的概率,男生分别为15.45%,75.61%、8.94%,而女生分别为24.14%,39.72%、36.14%;研究结果表明:人员性别的不同对疏散预动作时间有一定的影响,在体育馆类建筑中,青少年人员疏散预动作时间基本上小于60 s。 展开更多
关键词 人员性别 疏散动作时间 多分变量逻辑斯蒂回归 问卷调查
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学校公众聚集场所火灾中人员疏散预动作时间试验 被引量:3
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作者 汪金辉 金泽阳 +3 位作者 田镇纲 金科 董哲峰 郑雨婷 《科技导报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2012年第11期57-60,共4页
人员疏散时间计算是安全疏散设计工作中的重要内容,人员预动作时间对人员疏散时间影响显著,但公众场所火灾情况下人员疏散中的疏散预动作时间基础数据匮乏。本文针对学校公众聚集场所之一的教室开展了火灾疏散模拟试验,对火灾情况下的... 人员疏散时间计算是安全疏散设计工作中的重要内容,人员预动作时间对人员疏散时间影响显著,但公众场所火灾情况下人员疏散中的疏散预动作时间基础数据匮乏。本文针对学校公众聚集场所之一的教室开展了火灾疏散模拟试验,对火灾情况下的学生疏散预动作时间进行了采集。统计结果表明,人员疏散预动作时间不符合正态分布及其他类型分布;文中应用累积概率分布表示人员疏散预动作时间,并根据累积概率分布曲线模拟产生随机人员预动作时间,模拟生成的随机预动作时间分布与实验采集数据分布吻合较好,统计参数(均值和标准差)接近;可应用本文方法在人员疏散模型中对人员预动作时间进行模拟。 展开更多
关键词 疏散动作时间 公众聚集场所 校园消防
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Discrete-time Markov-based dynamic control approach for compressed sampling 被引量:1
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作者 安春燕 纪红 +1 位作者 李屹 张晓亮 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2012年第3期287-291,共5页
To solve the problem that the signal sparsity level is time-varying and not known as a priori in most cases,a signal sparsity level prediction and optimal sampling rate determination scheme is proposed.The discrete-ti... To solve the problem that the signal sparsity level is time-varying and not known as a priori in most cases,a signal sparsity level prediction and optimal sampling rate determination scheme is proposed.The discrete-time Markov chain is used to model the signal sparsity level and analyze the transition between different states.According to the current state,the signal sparsity level state in the next sampling period and its probability are predicted.Furthermore,based on the prediction results,a dynamic control approach is proposed to find out the optimal sampling rate with the aim of maximizing the expected reward which considers both the energy consumption and the recovery accuracy.The proposed approach can balance the tradeoff between the energy consumption and the recovery accuracy.Simulation results show that the proposed dynamic control approach can significantly improve the sampling performance compared with the existing approach. 展开更多
关键词 compressed sampling signal sparsity level prediction discrete-time Markov chain
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Simulation study on the effect of pre-evacuation time and exit width on evacuation
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作者 CHU Guanquan SUN Jinhua WANG Q ingsong CHEN Sining 《Chinese Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CAS 2006年第11期1381-1388,共8页
Occupant pre-evacuation time is often oversimplified into an explicit value in evacuation calculation. In fact, it is not an explicit value but a random variable following some kind of probability distribution. In ord... Occupant pre-evacuation time is often oversimplified into an explicit value in evacuation calculation. In fact, it is not an explicit value but a random variable following some kind of probability distribution. In order to analyze the importance of pre-evacuation time in evacuation calculation, Grid- Flow evacuation model is utilized to study the effect of pre-evacuation time on evacuation under different occupant densities and exit widths in a single room scenario. The evacuation time calculated by using normal pre-evacuation distribution is compared with that calculated by explicit pre-evacuation time. Two faults are presented when pre-evacuation time is considered as an explicit value. The theory of con- gestion and queue is presented to analyze the cal- culation results. Moreover, this paper also presents probability distribution of the total evacuation time when the pre-evacuation time follows normal distri- bution. The results show that the evacuation time is dominated by pre-evacuation time and hardly de- pendent on occupant density when the mean pre- evacuation time is long. For long mean pre-evacua- tion time, low occupant density or wide exit, when pre-evacuation time follows normal distribution, the total evacuation time also follows normal distribution. 展开更多
关键词 火灾 预疏散时间 正态分布 出口宽度 居住密度 模拟研究
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