To tackle the problem of inaccurate short-term bus load prediction,especially during holidays,a Transformer-based scheme with tailored architectural enhancements is proposed.First,the input data are clustered to reduc...To tackle the problem of inaccurate short-term bus load prediction,especially during holidays,a Transformer-based scheme with tailored architectural enhancements is proposed.First,the input data are clustered to reduce complexity and capture inherent characteristics more effectively.Gated residual connections are then employed to selectively propagate salient features across layers,while an attention mechanism focuses on identifying prominent patterns in multivariate time-series data.Ultimately,a pre-trained structure is incorporated to reduce computational complexity.Experimental results based on extensive data show that the proposed scheme achieves improved prediction accuracy over comparative algorithms by at least 32.00%consistently across all buses evaluated,and the fitting effect of holiday load curves is outstanding.Meanwhile,the pre-trained structure drastically reduces the training time of the proposed algorithm by more than 65.75%.The proposed scheme can efficiently predict bus load results while enhancing robustness for holiday predictions,making it better adapted to real-world prediction scenarios.展开更多
In order to make a scientific pavement maintenance decision, a grey-theory-based prediction methodological framework is proposed to predict pavement performance. Based on the field pavement rutting data,analysis of va...In order to make a scientific pavement maintenance decision, a grey-theory-based prediction methodological framework is proposed to predict pavement performance. Based on the field pavement rutting data,analysis of variance (ANOVA)was first used to study the influence of different factors on pavement rutting. Cluster analysis was then employed to investigate the rutting development trend.Based on the clustering results,the grey theory was applied to build pavement rutting models for each cluster, which can effectively reduce the complexity of the predictive model.The results show that axial load and asphalt binder type play important roles in rutting development.The prediction model is capable of capturing the uncertainty in the pavement performance prediction process and can meet the requirements of highway pavement maintenance,and,therefore,has a wide application prospects.展开更多
Aimed to the characters of pests forecast such as fuzziness, correlation, nonlinear and real-time as well as decline of generalization capacity of neural network in prediction with few observations, a method of pests ...Aimed to the characters of pests forecast such as fuzziness, correlation, nonlinear and real-time as well as decline of generalization capacity of neural network in prediction with few observations, a method of pests forecasting using the method of neural network based on fuzzy clustering was proposed in this experiment. The simulation results demonstrated that the method was simple and practical and could forecast pests fast and accurately, particularly, the method could obtain good results with few samples and samples correlation.展开更多
Multi-model approach can significantly improve the prediction performance of soft sensors in the process with multiple operational conditions.However,traditional clustering algorithms may result in overlapping phenome...Multi-model approach can significantly improve the prediction performance of soft sensors in the process with multiple operational conditions.However,traditional clustering algorithms may result in overlapping phenomenon in subclasses,so that edge classes and outliers cannot be effectively dealt with and the modeling result is not satisfactory.In order to solve these problems,a new feature extraction method based on weighted kernel Fisher criterion is presented to improve the clustering accuracy,in which feature mapping is adopted to bring the edge classes and outliers closer to other normal subclasses.Furthermore,the classified data are used to develop a multiple model based on support vector machine.The proposed method is applied to a bisphenol A production process for prediction of the quality index.The simulation results demonstrate its ability in improving the data classification and the prediction performance of the soft sensor.展开更多
Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the essential issues in intelligent transportation systems(ITS). A new two-stage traffic flow prediction method named AKNN-AVL method is presented, which combines an advanc...Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the essential issues in intelligent transportation systems(ITS). A new two-stage traffic flow prediction method named AKNN-AVL method is presented, which combines an advanced k-nearest neighbor(AKNN)method and balanced binary tree(AVL) data structure to improve the prediction accuracy. The AKNN method uses pattern recognition two times in the searching process, which considers the previous sequences of traffic flow to forecast the future traffic state. Clustering method and balanced binary tree technique are introduced to build case database to reduce the searching time. To illustrate the effects of these developments, the accuracies performance of AKNN-AVL method, k-nearest neighbor(KNN) method and the auto-regressive and moving average(ARMA) method are compared. These methods are calibrated and evaluated by the real-time data from a freeway traffic detector near North 3rd Ring Road in Beijing under both normal and incident traffic conditions.The comparisons show that the AKNN-AVL method with the optimal neighbor and pattern size outperforms both KNN method and ARMA method under both normal and incident traffic conditions. In addition, the combinations of clustering method and balanced binary tree technique to the prediction method can increase the searching speed and respond rapidly to case database fluctuations.展开更多
AIM: To comparatively study the preventive effect of gelatinizedly-modified chitosan film on peritoneal adhesions induced by four different factors in rats. METHODS: Chitosan was chemically modified by gelatinizatio...AIM: To comparatively study the preventive effect of gelatinizedly-modified chitosan film on peritoneal adhesions induced by four different factors in rats. METHODS: Chitosan was chemically modified by gelatinization, and made into films of 60 μm in thickness, and sterilized. Two hundred Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into five groups, Sham-operation group (group A), wound-induced adhesion group (group B), purified talc-induced adhesion group (group C), vascular ligation-induced adhesion group (group D), and infection-induced adhesion group (group E), respectively. In each group, the rats were treated with different adhesion-inducing methods at the cecum of vermiform processes and then were divided into control and experimental subgroups. Serous membrane surface of vermiform processes were covered with the films in the experimental subgroups, and no films were used in the control subgroups. After 2 and 4 wk of treatments, the abdominal cavities were reopened and the adhesive severity was graded blindly according to Bhatia's method. The cecum of vermiform processes were resected for hydroxyproline (OHP) measurement and pathological examination. RESULTS: Adhesion severity and OHP level: After 2 and 4 wk of the treatments, in the experimental subgroups, the adhesions were significantly lighter and the OHP levels were significantly lower than those of the control subgroups in group B (2 wk: 0.199 ± 0.026 vs 0.285 ± 0.041 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001; 4 wk: 0.183 ± 0.034 vs 0.276 ± 0.03 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001), D (2 wk: 0.216 ± 0.036 vs 0.274 ± 0.040 μg/mg pr, P = 0.004; 4 wk: 0.211 ± 0.044 vs 0.281 ± 0.047 μg/mg pr, P = 0.003) and E (2 wk: 0.259 ± 0.039 vs 0.371 ± 0.040 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001; 4 wk: 0.242 ± 0.045 vs 0.355 ± 0.029 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001), but there were no significant differences in groups A (2wk: 0.141 ± 0.028 vs 0.137 =k 0.026 μg/mg pr, P = 0.737; 4 wk: 0.132 ± 0.031 vs 0.150 ± 0.035 μg/mg pr, P = 0.225) and C (2 wk: 0.395 ± 0.044 vs 0.378 ± 0.043 μg/mg pr, P = 0.387; 4 wk: 0.370 ± 0.032 vs 0.367 ± 0.041 μg/mg pr, P = 0.853); Pathological changes: In group B, the main pathological changes were fibroplasias in the treated serous membrane surface and in group D, the fibroplasia was shown in the whole layer of the vermiform processes. In group E, the main pathological changes were acute and chronic suppurative inflammatory reactions. These changes were lighter in the experimental subgroups than those in the control subgroups in the three groups. In group C, the main changes were foreign body giant cell and granuloma reactions and fibroplasias in different degrees, with no apparent differences between the experimental and control subgroups. CONCLUSION: The gelatinizedly-modified chitosan film is effective on preventing peritoneal adhesions induced by wound, ischemia and infection, but the effect is not apparent in foreign body-induced adhesion.展开更多
Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with g...Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with good performance and less computation.2) Class-based method always loses the prediction ability to adapt the text in different domains.In order to solve above problems,a definition of word similarity by utilizing mutual information was presented.Based on word similarity,the definition of word set similarity was given.Experiments show that word clustering algorithm based on similarity is better than conventional greedy clustering method in speed and performance,and the perplexity is reduced from 283 to 218.At the same time,an absolute weighted difference method was presented and was used to construct vari-gram language model which has good prediction ability.The perplexity of vari-gram model is reduced from 234.65 to 219.14 on Chinese corpora,and is reduced from 195.56 to 184.25 on English corpora compared with category-based model.展开更多
A sustainable production of electricity is essential for low carbon green growth in South Korea. The generation of wind power as renewable energy has been rapidly growing around the world. Undoubtedly, wind energy is ...A sustainable production of electricity is essential for low carbon green growth in South Korea. The generation of wind power as renewable energy has been rapidly growing around the world. Undoubtedly, wind energy is unlimited in potential. However due to its own intermittency and volatility, there are difficulties in the effective harvesting of wind energy and the integration of wind power into the current electric power grid. To cope with this, many works have been done for wind speed and power forecasting. In this paper, an SVR (support vector regression) using FCM (Fuzzy C-Means) is proposed for wind speed forecasting. This paper describes the design of an FCM based SVR to increase the prediction accuracy. Proposed model was compared with ordinary SVR model using balanced and unbalanced test data. Also, multi-step ahead forecasting result was compared. Kernel parameters in SVR are adaptively determined in order to improve forecasting accuracy. An illustrative example is given by using real-world wind farm dataset. According to the experimental results, it is shown that the proposed method provides better forecasts of wind power.展开更多
Five elephant grass cultivars, Pennisetum purpureum, cv. Huanan (Huanan), P. purpureum, cv. N51 (N51), P. purpureum, cv. Sumu No. 2 (Sumu-2), ( Penniseturn americanum x P. purpureum ) x P. purpureum cv. Guimu ...Five elephant grass cultivars, Pennisetum purpureum, cv. Huanan (Huanan), P. purpureum, cv. N51 (N51), P. purpureum, cv. Sumu No. 2 (Sumu-2), ( Penniseturn americanum x P. purpureum ) x P. purpureum cv. Guimu No. 1 (Guimu-1) and P. americanum cv. Tift23A x P. purpureum cv. Tilt NS1 (Hybrid Pennisetum), at three harvest stages were studied. With dilute sulfuric acid pretreatment followed by enzymatic hydrolysis, it is found that cel- lulose conversion of the five elephant grass cultivars harvested in August and September is higher than that har- vested in October. The cellulose conversion for elephant grass cultivars harvested in August and September follows an order of Hybrid Pennisetum 〉 Sumu-2 〉 Huanan 〉 Guimu-1 〉 N51. This may be explained by the fact that lignification is gradually strengthened with time, inhibiting degradation of cellulose and hemicellulose. Moreover, cellulose conversions of Hybrid Pennisetum, Sumu-2 and Huanan harvested in August and September are higher based on hierarchical clustering results.展开更多
Differences are found in the attributes of microseismic events caused by coal seam rupture,underground structure activation,and groundwater movement in coal mine production.Based on these differences,accurate classific...Differences are found in the attributes of microseismic events caused by coal seam rupture,underground structure activation,and groundwater movement in coal mine production.Based on these differences,accurate classification and analysis of microseismic events are important for the water inrush warning of the coal mine working facefloor.Cluster analysis,which classifies samples according to data similarity,has remarkable advantages in nonlinear classification.A water inrush early warning method for coal minefloors is proposed in this paper.First,the short time average over long time average(STA/LTA)method is used to identify effective events from continuous microseismic records to realize the identification of microseismic events in coal mines.Then,ten attributes of microseismic events are extracted,and cluster analysis is conducted in the attribute domain to realize unsupervised classification of microseismic events.Clustering results of synthetic andfield data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.The analysis offield data clustering results shows that thefirst kind of events with time change rules is of considerable importance to the early warning of water inrush from the coal mine working facefloor.展开更多
In this paper, a combined method of unsupervised clustering and learning vector quantity (LVQ) is presented to forecast the occurrence of solar flare. Three magnetic parameters including the maximum horizontal gradien...In this paper, a combined method of unsupervised clustering and learning vector quantity (LVQ) is presented to forecast the occurrence of solar flare. Three magnetic parameters including the maximum horizontal gradient, the length of the neutral line, and the number of singular points are extracted from SOHO/MDI longitudinal magnetograms as measures. Based on these pa- rameters, the sliding-window method is used to form the sequential data by adding three days evolutionary information. Con- sidering the imbalanced problem in dataset, the K-means clustering, as an unsupervised clustering algorithm, is used to convert imbalanced data to balanced ones. Finally, the learning vector quantity is employed to predict the flares level within 48 hours. Experimental results indicate that the performance of the proposed flare forecasting model with sequential data is improved.展开更多
This paper deals with the estimation of crest settlement in a concrete face rockfill dam (CFRD), utilizing intelligent methods. Following completion of dam construction, considerable movements of the crest and the b...This paper deals with the estimation of crest settlement in a concrete face rockfill dam (CFRD), utilizing intelligent methods. Following completion of dam construction, considerable movements of the crest and the body of the dam can develop during the first impoundment of the reservoir. Although there is vast experience worldwide in CFRD design and construction, few accurate experimental relationships are available to predict the settlement in CFRD. The goal is to advance the development of intelligent methods to estimate the subsidence of dams at the design stage. Due to dam zonifieation and uncertainties in material properties, these methods appear to be the appropriate choice. In this study, the crest settlement behavior of CFRDs is analyzed based on compiled data of 24 CFRDs constructed during recent years around the world, along with the utilization of gene ex- pression programming (GEP) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) methods. In addition, dam height (H), shape factor (St), and time (t, time after first operation) are also assessed, being considered major factors in predicting the settlement behavior. From the relationships proposed, the values ofR2 for both equations of GEP (with and without constant) were 0.9603 and 0.9734, and for the three approaches of ANFIS (grid partitioning (GP), subtractive clustering method (SCM), and fuzzy c-means clustering (FCM)) were 0.9693, 0.8657, and 0.8848, respectively. The obtained results indicate that the overall behavior evaluated by this approach is consistent with the measured data of other CFRDs.展开更多
文摘To tackle the problem of inaccurate short-term bus load prediction,especially during holidays,a Transformer-based scheme with tailored architectural enhancements is proposed.First,the input data are clustered to reduce complexity and capture inherent characteristics more effectively.Gated residual connections are then employed to selectively propagate salient features across layers,while an attention mechanism focuses on identifying prominent patterns in multivariate time-series data.Ultimately,a pre-trained structure is incorporated to reduce computational complexity.Experimental results based on extensive data show that the proposed scheme achieves improved prediction accuracy over comparative algorithms by at least 32.00%consistently across all buses evaluated,and the fitting effect of holiday load curves is outstanding.Meanwhile,the pre-trained structure drastically reduces the training time of the proposed algorithm by more than 65.75%.The proposed scheme can efficiently predict bus load results while enhancing robustness for holiday predictions,making it better adapted to real-world prediction scenarios.
基金The Major Scientific and Technological Special Project of Jiangsu Provincial Communications Department(No.2011Y/02-G1)
文摘In order to make a scientific pavement maintenance decision, a grey-theory-based prediction methodological framework is proposed to predict pavement performance. Based on the field pavement rutting data,analysis of variance (ANOVA)was first used to study the influence of different factors on pavement rutting. Cluster analysis was then employed to investigate the rutting development trend.Based on the clustering results,the grey theory was applied to build pavement rutting models for each cluster, which can effectively reduce the complexity of the predictive model.The results show that axial load and asphalt binder type play important roles in rutting development.The prediction model is capable of capturing the uncertainty in the pavement performance prediction process and can meet the requirements of highway pavement maintenance,and,therefore,has a wide application prospects.
基金Supported by Guangxi Science Research and Technology Explora-tion Plan Project(0815001-10)~~
文摘Aimed to the characters of pests forecast such as fuzziness, correlation, nonlinear and real-time as well as decline of generalization capacity of neural network in prediction with few observations, a method of pests forecasting using the method of neural network based on fuzzy clustering was proposed in this experiment. The simulation results demonstrated that the method was simple and practical and could forecast pests fast and accurately, particularly, the method could obtain good results with few samples and samples correlation.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61273070)the Foundation of Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions
文摘Multi-model approach can significantly improve the prediction performance of soft sensors in the process with multiple operational conditions.However,traditional clustering algorithms may result in overlapping phenomenon in subclasses,so that edge classes and outliers cannot be effectively dealt with and the modeling result is not satisfactory.In order to solve these problems,a new feature extraction method based on weighted kernel Fisher criterion is presented to improve the clustering accuracy,in which feature mapping is adopted to bring the edge classes and outliers closer to other normal subclasses.Furthermore,the classified data are used to develop a multiple model based on support vector machine.The proposed method is applied to a bisphenol A production process for prediction of the quality index.The simulation results demonstrate its ability in improving the data classification and the prediction performance of the soft sensor.
基金Project(2012CB725403)supported by the National Basic Research Program of ChinaProjects(71210001,51338008)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject supported by World Capital Cities Smooth Traffic Collaborative Innovation Center and Singapore National Research Foundation Under Its Campus for Research Excellence and Technology Enterprise(CREATE)Programme
文摘Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the essential issues in intelligent transportation systems(ITS). A new two-stage traffic flow prediction method named AKNN-AVL method is presented, which combines an advanced k-nearest neighbor(AKNN)method and balanced binary tree(AVL) data structure to improve the prediction accuracy. The AKNN method uses pattern recognition two times in the searching process, which considers the previous sequences of traffic flow to forecast the future traffic state. Clustering method and balanced binary tree technique are introduced to build case database to reduce the searching time. To illustrate the effects of these developments, the accuracies performance of AKNN-AVL method, k-nearest neighbor(KNN) method and the auto-regressive and moving average(ARMA) method are compared. These methods are calibrated and evaluated by the real-time data from a freeway traffic detector near North 3rd Ring Road in Beijing under both normal and incident traffic conditions.The comparisons show that the AKNN-AVL method with the optimal neighbor and pattern size outperforms both KNN method and ARMA method under both normal and incident traffic conditions. In addition, the combinations of clustering method and balanced binary tree technique to the prediction method can increase the searching speed and respond rapidly to case database fluctuations.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 50173023
文摘AIM: To comparatively study the preventive effect of gelatinizedly-modified chitosan film on peritoneal adhesions induced by four different factors in rats. METHODS: Chitosan was chemically modified by gelatinization, and made into films of 60 μm in thickness, and sterilized. Two hundred Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into five groups, Sham-operation group (group A), wound-induced adhesion group (group B), purified talc-induced adhesion group (group C), vascular ligation-induced adhesion group (group D), and infection-induced adhesion group (group E), respectively. In each group, the rats were treated with different adhesion-inducing methods at the cecum of vermiform processes and then were divided into control and experimental subgroups. Serous membrane surface of vermiform processes were covered with the films in the experimental subgroups, and no films were used in the control subgroups. After 2 and 4 wk of treatments, the abdominal cavities were reopened and the adhesive severity was graded blindly according to Bhatia's method. The cecum of vermiform processes were resected for hydroxyproline (OHP) measurement and pathological examination. RESULTS: Adhesion severity and OHP level: After 2 and 4 wk of the treatments, in the experimental subgroups, the adhesions were significantly lighter and the OHP levels were significantly lower than those of the control subgroups in group B (2 wk: 0.199 ± 0.026 vs 0.285 ± 0.041 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001; 4 wk: 0.183 ± 0.034 vs 0.276 ± 0.03 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001), D (2 wk: 0.216 ± 0.036 vs 0.274 ± 0.040 μg/mg pr, P = 0.004; 4 wk: 0.211 ± 0.044 vs 0.281 ± 0.047 μg/mg pr, P = 0.003) and E (2 wk: 0.259 ± 0.039 vs 0.371 ± 0.040 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001; 4 wk: 0.242 ± 0.045 vs 0.355 ± 0.029 μg/mg pr, P 〈 0.001), but there were no significant differences in groups A (2wk: 0.141 ± 0.028 vs 0.137 =k 0.026 μg/mg pr, P = 0.737; 4 wk: 0.132 ± 0.031 vs 0.150 ± 0.035 μg/mg pr, P = 0.225) and C (2 wk: 0.395 ± 0.044 vs 0.378 ± 0.043 μg/mg pr, P = 0.387; 4 wk: 0.370 ± 0.032 vs 0.367 ± 0.041 μg/mg pr, P = 0.853); Pathological changes: In group B, the main pathological changes were fibroplasias in the treated serous membrane surface and in group D, the fibroplasia was shown in the whole layer of the vermiform processes. In group E, the main pathological changes were acute and chronic suppurative inflammatory reactions. These changes were lighter in the experimental subgroups than those in the control subgroups in the three groups. In group C, the main changes were foreign body giant cell and granuloma reactions and fibroplasias in different degrees, with no apparent differences between the experimental and control subgroups. CONCLUSION: The gelatinizedly-modified chitosan film is effective on preventing peritoneal adhesions induced by wound, ischemia and infection, but the effect is not apparent in foreign body-induced adhesion.
基金Project(60763001) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2010GZS0072) supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province,ChinaProject(GJJ12271) supported by the Science and Technology Foundation of Provincial Education Department of Jiangxi Province,China
文摘Category-based statistic language model is an important method to solve the problem of sparse data.But there are two bottlenecks:1) The problem of word clustering.It is hard to find a suitable clustering method with good performance and less computation.2) Class-based method always loses the prediction ability to adapt the text in different domains.In order to solve above problems,a definition of word similarity by utilizing mutual information was presented.Based on word similarity,the definition of word set similarity was given.Experiments show that word clustering algorithm based on similarity is better than conventional greedy clustering method in speed and performance,and the perplexity is reduced from 283 to 218.At the same time,an absolute weighted difference method was presented and was used to construct vari-gram language model which has good prediction ability.The perplexity of vari-gram model is reduced from 234.65 to 219.14 on Chinese corpora,and is reduced from 195.56 to 184.25 on English corpora compared with category-based model.
文摘A sustainable production of electricity is essential for low carbon green growth in South Korea. The generation of wind power as renewable energy has been rapidly growing around the world. Undoubtedly, wind energy is unlimited in potential. However due to its own intermittency and volatility, there are difficulties in the effective harvesting of wind energy and the integration of wind power into the current electric power grid. To cope with this, many works have been done for wind speed and power forecasting. In this paper, an SVR (support vector regression) using FCM (Fuzzy C-Means) is proposed for wind speed forecasting. This paper describes the design of an FCM based SVR to increase the prediction accuracy. Proposed model was compared with ordinary SVR model using balanced and unbalanced test data. Also, multi-step ahead forecasting result was compared. Kernel parameters in SVR are adaptively determined in order to improve forecasting accuracy. An illustrative example is given by using real-world wind farm dataset. According to the experimental results, it is shown that the proposed method provides better forecasts of wind power.
基金Supported by Jiangsu Agriculture Science and Technology Innovation Fund(CX(11)4048)
文摘Five elephant grass cultivars, Pennisetum purpureum, cv. Huanan (Huanan), P. purpureum, cv. N51 (N51), P. purpureum, cv. Sumu No. 2 (Sumu-2), ( Penniseturn americanum x P. purpureum ) x P. purpureum cv. Guimu No. 1 (Guimu-1) and P. americanum cv. Tift23A x P. purpureum cv. Tilt NS1 (Hybrid Pennisetum), at three harvest stages were studied. With dilute sulfuric acid pretreatment followed by enzymatic hydrolysis, it is found that cel- lulose conversion of the five elephant grass cultivars harvested in August and September is higher than that har- vested in October. The cellulose conversion for elephant grass cultivars harvested in August and September follows an order of Hybrid Pennisetum 〉 Sumu-2 〉 Huanan 〉 Guimu-1 〉 N51. This may be explained by the fact that lignification is gradually strengthened with time, inhibiting degradation of cellulose and hemicellulose. Moreover, cellulose conversions of Hybrid Pennisetum, Sumu-2 and Huanan harvested in August and September are higher based on hierarchical clustering results.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 41904098in part by the Beijing Nova Program under Grant 2022056in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (52174218)。
文摘Differences are found in the attributes of microseismic events caused by coal seam rupture,underground structure activation,and groundwater movement in coal mine production.Based on these differences,accurate classification and analysis of microseismic events are important for the water inrush warning of the coal mine working facefloor.Cluster analysis,which classifies samples according to data similarity,has remarkable advantages in nonlinear classification.A water inrush early warning method for coal minefloors is proposed in this paper.First,the short time average over long time average(STA/LTA)method is used to identify effective events from continuous microseismic records to realize the identification of microseismic events in coal mines.Then,ten attributes of microseismic events are extracted,and cluster analysis is conducted in the attribute domain to realize unsupervised classification of microseismic events.Clustering results of synthetic andfield data demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.The analysis offield data clustering results shows that thefirst kind of events with time change rules is of considerable importance to the early warning of water inrush from the coal mine working facefloor.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10973020)the Funding Project for Academic Human Resources Development in Institutions of Higher Learning under the Jurisdiction of Beijing Municipality (Grant No. PHR200906210)+1 种基金the Funding Project for Base Construction of Scientific Research of Beijing Municipal Commission of Education (Grant No. WYJD200902)Beijing Philosophy and Social Science Planning Project (Grant No. 09BaJG258)
文摘In this paper, a combined method of unsupervised clustering and learning vector quantity (LVQ) is presented to forecast the occurrence of solar flare. Three magnetic parameters including the maximum horizontal gradient, the length of the neutral line, and the number of singular points are extracted from SOHO/MDI longitudinal magnetograms as measures. Based on these pa- rameters, the sliding-window method is used to form the sequential data by adding three days evolutionary information. Con- sidering the imbalanced problem in dataset, the K-means clustering, as an unsupervised clustering algorithm, is used to convert imbalanced data to balanced ones. Finally, the learning vector quantity is employed to predict the flares level within 48 hours. Experimental results indicate that the performance of the proposed flare forecasting model with sequential data is improved.
文摘This paper deals with the estimation of crest settlement in a concrete face rockfill dam (CFRD), utilizing intelligent methods. Following completion of dam construction, considerable movements of the crest and the body of the dam can develop during the first impoundment of the reservoir. Although there is vast experience worldwide in CFRD design and construction, few accurate experimental relationships are available to predict the settlement in CFRD. The goal is to advance the development of intelligent methods to estimate the subsidence of dams at the design stage. Due to dam zonifieation and uncertainties in material properties, these methods appear to be the appropriate choice. In this study, the crest settlement behavior of CFRDs is analyzed based on compiled data of 24 CFRDs constructed during recent years around the world, along with the utilization of gene ex- pression programming (GEP) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) methods. In addition, dam height (H), shape factor (St), and time (t, time after first operation) are also assessed, being considered major factors in predicting the settlement behavior. From the relationships proposed, the values ofR2 for both equations of GEP (with and without constant) were 0.9603 and 0.9734, and for the three approaches of ANFIS (grid partitioning (GP), subtractive clustering method (SCM), and fuzzy c-means clustering (FCM)) were 0.9693, 0.8657, and 0.8848, respectively. The obtained results indicate that the overall behavior evaluated by this approach is consistent with the measured data of other CFRDs.