采动地表沉陷全过程预计方法与存在问题分析

精确、可靠的开采沉陷预计结果既是井下工作面优化设计、采动损害程度评价的重要依据,也是土地复垦、生态重建设计和老采空区地表再利用稳定性评价的基础。随着实践认识的提高,开采沉陷的研究热点也逐渐从传统的移动稳定的终态预计转向采动地表移动变形的动态预计;当连续6个月累计下沉不超过30 mm时,则认为传统的采动地表移动已经停止,但随着冒落破碎岩石的压实压密导致的缓慢残余下沉仍将持续,且残余下沉的预计也逐渐引起了研究者的重视。基于采动地表移动规律,将采动地表沉陷移动全过程划分为2个阶段:第1个阶段是包括初始期、活跃期和衰退期的地表动态移动变形期;第2个阶段为衰退期结束后的残余下沉期。针对第1个阶段,分析了现有预计方法的优缺点,提出了基于时间函数与概率积分法结合的开采沉陷动态过程预计方法和时空基准,明确指出了只考虑时间而不考虑开采过程进行动态预计、对比验证的错误,强调了终态预计只是动态预计的一个特例,且该动态预计只适用于滞后下沉而不适用于残余下沉的预计。针对第2个阶段,顾及冒落破碎岩石压实压密引起的残余下沉量小,基于衰退期下沉与残余下沉的连续性、残余下沉线性衰减性,给出了给定地质采矿条件下地表残余下沉持续时间和年度残余下沉系数表达式,可以定量计算残余下沉期内任一年度的残余下沉、累计残余下沉和未来潜在残余下沉,实现了采动地表沉陷的全过程预计。针对采动地表沉陷全过程预计方法研究现状,分析提出了动态过程预计存在的计算单元划分、不规则工作面、临近工作面相互影响等问题,以及残余下沉预计存在的诸如冒落破碎岩石压实压密系数、煤柱损伤与垮塌影响、预计的计算范围、预计结果的可靠性与不确定度等问题,为后续进一步研究提供了方向参考。

应力分析法可靠性预计实践中的几点认识

从实践的角度 ,叙述了在元器件应力分析法可靠性预计过程中所体验的一些认识。

Mechanical properties of porous titanium with different distributions of pore size

To satisfy the mechanical and biological requirement of porous bone substitutes, porous Ti with two different pore sizes designed in advance was fabricated by the space-holder sintering process. Mechanical properties of the porous Ti were explored via room temperature compressive tests. The pore sizes and shapes are uniform throughout the specimens with porosities ranging from 36% to 63%. The compression strength and the elastic modulus are in the range from 94.05 to 468.57 MPa and 2.662 to 18 GPa, respectively. It is worth noting that the relationship between the compressive strength and the porosities is completely linear relation beyond the effect of pore size distributions on the mechanical properties. The value of the constant C achieved from the Gibson-Ashby model suggests that the pore sizes affect the yield strength of the porous Ti and the values of density exponent （n） for porous Ti with two different pore sizes are higher than 2, which suggests that the deformation mode of the porous Ti with a porosity ranging from 36% to 63% is mainly buckling of the cell struts.

Prediction of methane emissions during the extraction of close-to-roof layer of a seam of large thickness

Prediction of methane emissions at the stage of longwall planning constitutes the basis for the determination of the appropriate method and parameters of ventilation and selection of prevention means including the methane drainage technol- ogy. The growth of methane saturation of coal seams with the extraction depth, with simultaneously increasing output concen- tration, contributes to the increase of the quantity of methane emitted into longwall areas. The subject matter of the article has been directed at the predicted quantity of methane emissions into planned longwalls with roof caving in the layer of seams adjacent to the roof of large thickness. The performed prognostic calculations of methane emissions into the longwall working were referred to two sources, i.e. methane liberated during coal mining by means of a cutter-loader and methane originating from the degasification of the floor layer destressed by the longwall conducted in the close-to-roof layer. The calculations of predictions allow to refer to the planned longwall, on account of the emitting methane, with possible and safe output quantity. Planning of extraction in the close-to-roof layer of a seam of large thickness with roof caving is especially important in con- ditions of increasing methane saturation with the depth of deposition and should be preceded by a prognostic analysis for de- termining the extraction possibilities of the planned longwall.

Assessment of Model Predictive Control Performance Criteria

The current highly competitive environment has driven industries to operate with increasingly restricted profit margins. Thus, it is imperative to optimize production processes. Faced with this scenario, multivariable predictive control of processes has been presented as a powerful alternative to achieve these goals. Moreover, the rationale for implementation of advanced control and subsequent analysis of its post-match performance also focus on the benefits that this tool brings to the plant. It is therefore essential to establish a methodology for analysis, based on clear and measurable criteria. Currently, there are different methodologies available in the market to assist with such analysis. These tools can have a quantitative or qualitative focus. The aim of this study is to evaluate three of the best current main performance assessment technologies： Minimum Variance Control-Harris Index; Statistical Process Control （Cp and Cpk）; and the Qin and Yu Index. These indexes were studied for an alumina plant controlled by three MPC （model predictive control） algorithms （GPC （generalized predictive control）, RMPCT （robust multivariable predictive control technology） and ESSMPC （extended state space model predictive controller）） with different results.

China's Optimal Industrial Structure:Theoretical Model and Econometric Estimation

With analysis of producer's and factor supplier's dual optimization motives,this paper developed an optimal nominal output growth rate model that can conduct quantified estimation.Result of estimation of China's optimal industrial structure between1992 and 2009 indicates that optimal nominal output growth rate model has successfully quantified the impact of major events occurring in the process of China's economic operation on the level of deviation between actual industrial structure and optimal industrial structure.Quantitative indicators involved in this model can provide industrial policy instruments for the Chinese government in developing and adjusting industrial structure targets,optimizing resource allocation and advancing industrial structure optimization and upgrade.

Measurement-while-drilling technique and its scope in design and prediction of rock blasting

With rampant growth and improvements in drilling technology, drilling of blast holes should no longer be viewed as an arduous sub-process in any mining or excavation process. Instead, it must be viewed as an important opportunity to quickly and accurately measure the geo-mechanical features of the rock mass on-site, much in advance of the downstream operations. It is well established that even the slightest variation in lithology, ground conditions, blast designs vis-a-vis geologic features and explosives performance, results in drastic changes in fragmentation results. Keeping in mind the importance of state-of-the-art measurement-while-drilling （MWD） technique, the current paper focuses on integrating this technique with the blasting operation in order to enhance the blasting designs and results. The paper presents a preliminary understanding of various blasting models, blastability and other related concepts, to review the state-of-the-art advancements and researches done in this area. In light of this, the paper highlights the future needs and implications on drill monitoring systems for improved information to enhnnrp th~ hl^tin~ r^HIt~

Computational Simulation to Predict the Syngas Composition Produced during Charcoal Gasification

Charcoal gasification could mitigate the energetic problems in the rural zones since these regions have considerable amounts of wood, which is the base of such a fuel available. This paper presents some CFD （computational fluid dynamic） predictions of the experimental results obtained from the fixed bed gasification of charcoal made in a pilot-scale downdraft reactor using air, which was designed and built by the Research Group in Clean Development Mechanisms and Energy Management, from the National University of Colombia. The quality of the syngas obtained from the process was evaluated through the CO and CO2 percentages measured in its composition. The performance at various air flow rates （measured at the system entrance, through an analog flow meter） is evaluated with the help of 11 thermocouples, which give the information to create a temperature profile, and three load cells to measure the solid fuel conversion rate. To simulate the process, the information from temperature profile, charcoal proximate analysis, air flow meter and load cells were taken as inputs and the syngas composition was obtained as the result from the calculation. The domain was defined as 2D with an axis-symmetric description, using quads as mesh elements. The calculation and results were performed in a CFD commercial code widely used for this type of simulations： ANSYS FLUENT. The predictions made by the software were validated with the experimental results obtained in the laboratory.

A Real-time Updated Model Predictive Control Strategy for Batch Processes Based on State Estimation

Nonlinear model predictive control(NMPC) is an appealing control technique for improving the performance of batch processes, but its implementation in industry is not always possible due to its heavy on-line computation. To facilitate the implementation of NMPC in batch processes, we propose a real-time updated model predictive control method based on state estimation. The method includes two strategies: a multiple model building strategy and a real-time model updated strategy. The multiple model building strategy is to produce a series of sim-plified models to reduce the on-line computational complexity of NMPC. The real-time model updated strategy is to update the simplified models to keep the accuracy of the models describing dynamic process behavior. The me-thod is validated with a typical batch reactor. Simulation studies show that the new method is efficient and robust with respect to model mismatch and changes in process parameters.

Wear analysis of revolute joints with clearance in multibody systems

In this work, the prediction of wear for revolute joint with clearance in multibody systems is investigated using a computational methodology. The contact model in clearance joint is established using a new hybrid nonlinear contact force model and the friction effect is considered by using a modified Coulomb friction model. The dynamics model of multibody system with clearance is established using dynamic segmentation modeling method and the computational process for wear analysis of clearance joint in multibody systems is presented. The main computational process for wear analysis of clearance joint includes two steps, which are dynamics analysis and wear analysis. The dynamics simulation of multibody system with revolute clearance joint is carried out and the contact forces are drawn and used to calculate the wear amount of revolute clearance joint based on the Archard's wear model. Finally, a four-bar multibody mechanical system with revolute clearance joint is used as numerical example application to perform the simulation and show the dynamics responses and wear characteristics of multibody systems with revolute clearance joint. The main results of this work indicate that the contact between the joint elements is wider and more frequent in some specific regions and the wear phenomenon is not regular around the joint surface, which causes the clearance size increase non-regularly after clearance joint wear. This work presents an effective method to predict wear of revolute joint with clearance in multibody systems.

Empirical Model for the Quantitative Prediction of Losses of Radial Fans based on CFD Calculations

In a classical layout process of a fan the quantity of losses is estimated as a sum and expressed in the overall efficiency rote However the characteristic of the pressure rise, the losses and the efficiency rate beside the design point is not known. Against this background a numerical model was developed to calculate quantitative values of occurring losses at radial fan impellers at an early stage in the design process. It allows to estimate the pressure rise and efficiency rate of a given fan geometry at and beside the design point. The physics of losses are described in literature, but obtaining quantitative values is still a challenge. As common in hydraulic theory the losses are calculated with analytic formulas supported by coefficients and efficiency rates, which have to be determined empirically. This paper shows the method how to determine the coefficients for a given radial fan. Therefore a representative radial fan with backward curved blades was designed in reference to classical design guidelines. Performance measuring was done conform to ISO 5801. The flow was calculated at 8 different operation points using CFD methods. The RANS equations are solved by using the SST-k-omega turbulence model. The flow do- main consists of one blade section including inlet channel and outflow chamber. Spatial discretization is done by a block-structured mesh of approx. 1.8 million cells. Performance data show a very good agreement between measurement and calculation.

Transient emission wavelength estimation for DFB laser with temperature tuning

The prediction method of dynamic wavelength is proposed for temperature tuning process. The temperature of the thermistor integrated in laser diode(LD) module is recorded to predict the LD chip temperature. Then according to the injection current and priori tuning characteristics of the LDs, the emission wavelength is estimated in real time. The method is validated by using a 1.58 μm distributed feedback(DFB) LD. The absorption spectra of mixture gas of CO_2 and CO are measured by means of the thermal tuning gas sensing system. The center wavelength of each absorption line is compared with the data in HITRAN2012 database. The results show that the deviations are less than 5 pm. This method fully meets the needs of spectroscopic measurement, and can be applied to spectroscopy, optical communications and other fields.

Charmed-Hadron Production in Υ(1S) Semi-inclusive Decay

In the framework of the NRQCD factorization formalism,we calculate the decay rate for the process Υ(1 S) → ccgg to the next-to-leading order(NLO) in the relative velocity v of the b quark in the bottomonium rest frame.We also study the momentum distributions of the charm quark and the charmed-hadron in the decay.The momentum distribution of the charmed-hadron is obtained by convolving the charm quark momentum distribution with a fragmentation function of the charm quark into the hadron.In addition,we fit the nonperturbative NRQCD matrix element v 2 Υ through comparing the theoretical prediction with the measurement from the BaBar collaboration for the decay rate of Υ(1 S) → D + X.In return,taking this matrix element as an input parameter,we predict the decay rates as well as the momentum distributions for a collection of charmed-hadrons in the process Υ(1S) → ccgg → hX.