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风险投资的灰色模糊预测方法
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作者 刘阳 王前 《工业技术经济》 北大核心 2008年第3期156-158,共3页
对于风险投资的预测,由于诸多不确定因素,导致风险投资预测具有"部分信息已知,部分信息未知"的"小样本"、"贫信息"不确定性,同时,在进行预测时要用精确值来表示各种事件的概率显然是不切实际的,而用模糊... 对于风险投资的预测,由于诸多不确定因素,导致风险投资预测具有"部分信息已知,部分信息未知"的"小样本"、"贫信息"不确定性,同时,在进行预测时要用精确值来表示各种事件的概率显然是不切实际的,而用模糊数或预言变量来表示他们则显得更为合理。同时,由于存在时间这一变化基准,要综合考虑时间、成本、信息等要素对风险投资预测的影响。鉴于这种原因,本文考虑风险投资为贫信息不确定性、预测分析模糊的方法问题。 展开更多
关键词 风险投资预测 灰色 模糊
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Theoretical explanations to security analysts' forecast bias
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作者 ZHAO Xiao-yan 《Chinese Business Review》 2007年第5期1-4,共4页
As the representative of mature investors, security analysts' recommendations are guidance for most investors, However, a great deal of studies nearly draws the consistent conclusion, i.e. they are not as smart as we... As the representative of mature investors, security analysts' recommendations are guidance for most investors, However, a great deal of studies nearly draws the consistent conclusion, i.e. they are not as smart as we imagine, or the market doesn't trust their recommendations so much. The existence of optimistic bias in their recommendations has been supported by empirical data widely. Hence these make many papers to explore the reasons and try to give theoretical explanations. Based on prior researches, this paper mainly compares two theoretical models both based on mathematical methods. 展开更多
关键词 security analysts' forecast optimistic bias earning skewness
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Forecasting the Advertising investment Risk of Sporting Goods Based on Optimized Support Vector Machine
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《International English Education Research》 2014年第10期11-13,共3页
Forecasting The Advertising investment risk of Sporting goods is very important which can provide the decision support for top manager. In this paper, we presented an optimized support vector machine (OSVM) to predi... Forecasting The Advertising investment risk of Sporting goods is very important which can provide the decision support for top manager. In this paper, we presented an optimized support vector machine (OSVM) to predict Advertising investment risk of Sporting goods. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy improved by the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Advertising investment Risk Forecasting Support Vector Machine Paritcle Swarm Optimization Generalized Pattern Search.
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