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索赔数据的广义Pareto分布拟合 被引量:3
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作者 欧阳资生 谢赤 《系统工程》 CSCD 北大核心 2006年第1期96-101,共6页
通过对尾部分布何时服从广义Pareto分布(GPD)进行检验,得到了精确的门限值。然后,将该方法应用于保险数据进行实证分析,得到了GPD模型的参数、高分位数和可能的最大损失的估计值。
关键词 广义PARETO分布 高分位数 可能的最大损失
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巨灾保险索赔数据的极值风险度量 被引量:8
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作者 欧阳资生 《统计与决策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第22期26-28,共3页
目前,各界对巨灾保险索赔数据呈现的厚尾性已达成共识。本文中,笔者基于指数回归模型构造了厚尾分布的高分位数估计;并将该方法应用于大的火灾保险数据进行实证分析,对大的火灾保险进行风险度量,得到该数据的高分位数。
关键词 指数回归模型 高分位数 极值事件
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The influences of canopy temperature measuring on the derived crop water stress index
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作者 WANG Hongxi LI Fei +4 位作者 SHEN Hongtao LI Mengyu YIN Gongchao FANG Qin SHAO Liwei 《中国生态农业学报(中英文)》 CAS 2024年第9期1503-1519,共17页
Crop water stress index(CWSI)is widely used for efficient irrigation management.Precise canopy temperature(T_(c))measurement is necessary to derive a reliable CWSI.The objective of this research was to investigate the... Crop water stress index(CWSI)is widely used for efficient irrigation management.Precise canopy temperature(T_(c))measurement is necessary to derive a reliable CWSI.The objective of this research was to investigate the influences of atmospheric conditions,settled height,view angle of infrared thermography,and investigating time of temperature measuring on the performance of the CWSI.Three irrigation treatments were used to create different soil water conditions during the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 winter wheat-growing seasons.The CWSI was calculated using the CWSI-E(an empirical approach)and CWSI-T(a theoretical approach)based on the T_(c).Weather conditions were recorded continuously throughout the experimental period.The results showed that atmospheric conditions influenced the estimation of the CWSI;when the vapor pressure deficit(VPD)was>2000 Pa,the estimated CWSI was related to soil water conditions.The height of the installed infrared thermograph influenced the T_(c)values,and the differences among the T_(c)values measured at height of 3,5,and 10 m was smaller in the afternoon than in the morning.However,the lens of the thermometer facing south recorded a higher T_(c)than those facing east or north,especially at a low height,indicating that the direction of the thermometer had a significant influence on T_(c).There was a large variation in CWSI derived at different times of the day,and the midday measurements(12:00-15:00)were the most reliable for estimating CWSI.Negative linear relationships were found between the transpiration rate and CWSI-E(R^(2)of 0.3646-0.5725)and CWSI-T(R^(2)of 0.5407-0.7213).The relations between fraction of available soil water(FASW)with CWSI-T was higher than that with CWSI-E,indicating CWSI-T was more accurate for predicting crop water status.In addition,The R^(2)between CWSI-T and FASW at 14:00 was higher than that at other times,indicating that 14:00 was the optimal time for using the CWSI for crop water status monitoring.Relative higher yield of winter wheat was obtained with average seasonal values of CWSI-E and CWSI-T around 0.23 and 0.25-0.26,respectively.The CWSI-E values were more easily influenced by meteorological factors and the timing of the measurements,and using the theoretical approach to derive the CWSI was recommended for precise irrigation water management. 展开更多
关键词 Canopy temperature Measuring time Measuring height and direction Crop water stress index
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