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Risk assessment of oil and gas investment environment in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative 被引量:1
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作者 Bao-Jun Tang Chang-Jing Ji +3 位作者 Yu-Xian Zheng Kang-Ning Liu Yi-Fei Ma Jun-Yu Chen 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期1429-1443,共15页
With the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative, China is deepening its cooperation in oil and gas resources with countries along the Initiative. In order to better mitigate risks and enhance the safety of inv... With the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative, China is deepening its cooperation in oil and gas resources with countries along the Initiative. In order to better mitigate risks and enhance the safety of investments, it is of significant importance to research the oil and gas investment environment in these countries for China's overseas investment macro-layout. This paper proposes an indicator system including 27 indicators from 6 dimensions. On this basis, game theory models combined with global entropy method and analytic hierarchy process are applied to determine the combined weights, and the TOPSIS-GRA model is utilized to assess the risks of oil and gas investment in 76 countries along the Initiative from 2014 to 2021. Finally, the GM(1,1) model is employed to predict risk values for 2022-2025. In conclusion, oil and gas resources and political factors have the greatest impact on investment environment risk, and 12 countries with greater investment potential are selected through cluster analysis in conjunction with the predicted results. The research findings may provide scientific decisionmaking recommendations for the Chinese government and oil enterprises to strengthen oil and gas investment cooperation with countries along the Belt and Road Initiative. 展开更多
关键词 belt and road initiative Oil and Gas Investment Risk assessment
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Innovation Analysis of Rural Agricultural Economic Management Model in the Context of the Belt and Road Initiative
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作者 Huabin TANG 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2024年第6期11-12,18,共3页
[Objectives]To explore innovative strategies for rural agricultural economic development in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative.[Methods]This research adopts the method of literature review and field research,... [Objectives]To explore innovative strategies for rural agricultural economic development in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative.[Methods]This research adopts the method of literature review and field research,systematically combs the research results related to the Belt and Road Initiative and rural agricultural economic management,and deeply understands the actual situation of rural agricultural economic management.[Results]The research shows that in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative,the rural agricultural economy is facing new development opportunities and challenges,but there are also some problems.In the new period,we should accelerate the innovative development of rural agricultural economy by promoting market-oriented reform,strengthening scientific and technological innovation,optimizing the industrial structure,deepening international cooperation and other measures.The Belt and Road Initiative provides an important opportunity for the innovation of rural agricultural economic management.Rural agricultural economic management should be actively integrated into the Belt and Road construction to improve the level of rural agricultural economic management.[Conclusions]This study provides useful exploration and reference for the innovation of rural agricultural economic management models,which helps to promote the healthy development of rural agricultural economy and achieve the goal of rural revitalization. 展开更多
关键词 The belt and road initiATIVE RURAL areas Agriculture ECONOMY ADMINISTRATION
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Colorectal cancer’s burden attributable to a diet high in processed meat in the Belt and Road Initiative countries
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作者 Gu Liu Chang-Min Li +5 位作者 Fei Xie Qi-Lai Li Liang-Yan Liao Wen-Jun Jiang Xiao-Pan Li Guan-Ming Lu 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第1期182-196,共15页
BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer(CRC)plays a significant role in morbidity,mortality,and economic cost in the Belt and Road Initiative(“B and R”)countries.In addition,these countries have a substantial consumption of pr... BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer(CRC)plays a significant role in morbidity,mortality,and economic cost in the Belt and Road Initiative(“B and R”)countries.In addition,these countries have a substantial consumption of processed meat.However,the burden and trend of CRC in relation to the consumption of a diet high in processed meat(DHPM-CRC)in these“B and R”countries remain unknown.AIM To analyze the burden and trend of DHPM-CRC in the“B and R”countries from 1990 to 2019.METHODS We used the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study to collate information regarding the burden of DHPM-CRC.Numbers and age-standardized rates(ASRs)of deaths along with the disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)were determined among the“B and R”countries in 1990 and 2019.Using joinpoint regression analysis,the average annual percent change(AAPC)was used to analyze the temporal trends of age-standardized DALYs rate(ASDALR)from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade(2010–2019).RESULTS We found geographical differences in the burden of DHPM-CRC among“B and R”countries,with the three highest-ranking countries being the Russian Federation,China,and Ukraine in 1990,and China,the Russian Federation,and Poland in 2019.The burden of DHPM-CRC generally increased in most member countries from 1990 to 2019(all P<0.05).The absolute number of deaths and DALYs in DHPM-CRC were 3151.15[95%uncertainty interval(UI)665.74-5696.64]and 83249.31(95%UI 15628.64-151956.31)in China in 2019.However,the number of deaths(2627.57-2528.51)and DALYs(65867.39-55378.65)for DHPM-CRC in the Russian Federation has declined.The fastest increase in ASDALR for DHPM-CRC was observed in Vietnam,Southeast Asia,with an AAPC value of 3.90%[95%confidence interval(CI):3.63%-4.16%],whereas the fastest decline was observed in Kyrgyzstan,Central Asia,with an AAPC value of-2.05%(95%CI:-2.37%to-1.73%).A substantial upward trend in ASR of mortality,years lived with disability,years of life lost,and DALYs from DHPM-CRC changes in 1990-2019 and the final decade(2010-2019)for most Maritime Silk Route members in East Asia,South Asia,Southeast Asia,North Africa,and the Middle East,as well as Central Europe,while those of the most Land Silk Route members in Central Asia and Eastern Europe have decreased markedly(all P<0.05).The ASDALR for DHPM-CRC increased more in males than in females(all P<0.05).For those aged 50-74 years,the ASDALR for DHPM-CRC in 40 members exhibited an increasing trend,except for 20 members,including 7 members in Central Asia,Maldives,and 12 high or high-middle social development index(SDI)members in other regions(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION The burden of DHPM-CRC varies substantially across“B and R”countries and threatens public health.Relevant evidence-based policies and interventions tailored to the different trends of countries in SDIs or Silk Routes should be adopted to reduce the future burden of CRC in“B and R”countries via extensive collaboration. 展开更多
关键词 belt and road initiative countries Colorectal cancer Burden of disease Dietary risk factors Processed meat Disability-adjusted life years Trend analysis
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Preliminary Study on Overseas Applicability of Chinese Architectural Design Standards:Taking China-Aided Construction Projects in Asia Since the Belt and Road Initiative as Examples
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作者 Wei Chang Yifan Gao +1 位作者 Xiaofeng Guo Yingjie Zhu 《Journal of Architectural Research and Development》 2024年第3期1-7,共7页
This research takes China-aided construction projects in Asia since the Belt and Road Initiative as examples to explore the applicability of Chinese architectural design standards in other Asian countries.So far,the s... This research takes China-aided construction projects in Asia since the Belt and Road Initiative as examples to explore the applicability of Chinese architectural design standards in other Asian countries.So far,the standards demonstrated the highest applicability in South Asia is the best followed by Southeast Asia.Chinese architectural design standards for educational buildings showed the highest applicability,followed by office,medical,and sports buildings.This study puts forward some strategies to improve the applicability of Chinese architectural design standards.These strategies include integrating regionalism and local cultural traditions,optimizing energy efficiency,and aligning designs with local usage habits.This study serves as a reference for similar projects in the future. 展开更多
关键词 Chinese building design standards Overseas applicability China-aided construction belt and road initiative
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Discourse Analysis of the Belt and Road Initiative From the Perspective of Central Asian Countries: A Case Study of the Republic of Kazakhstan
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作者 CHEN Jia LIU Shumin +1 位作者 FU Da’an SHAO Di 《Journalism and Mass Communication》 2024年第2期96-100,共5页
This study employs Norman Fairclough’s Critical Discourse Analysis(CDA)three-dimensional model,using the Republic of Kazakhstan as a case study,to delve into the discourse construction of China’s Belt and Road Initi... This study employs Norman Fairclough’s Critical Discourse Analysis(CDA)three-dimensional model,using the Republic of Kazakhstan as a case study,to delve into the discourse construction of China’s Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)in Central Asian countries.Through detailed analysis of policy documents,media reports,and public discussions in Central Asian countries,this paper reveals how the BRI constructs specific social practices,discourse events,and textual meanings within these nations.The findings indicate that through this global development strategy,China has not only strengthened its economic ties with Central Asian countries but has also exerted profound influences on political,cultural,and social levels. 展开更多
关键词 belt and road initiative Central Asian countries discourse analysis Norman Fairclough’s three-dimensional model
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The Impact of the“Belt and Road”Initiative on Industrial Structure Upgrading Along the Corridor
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作者 Fangyuan Lou 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第3期194-199,共6页
The“Belt and Road”initiative functions as a novel impetus for China’s external economic development within the framework of the new normal of economic growth.By leveraging panel data from 30 provinces and regions a... The“Belt and Road”initiative functions as a novel impetus for China’s external economic development within the framework of the new normal of economic growth.By leveraging panel data from 30 provinces and regions across China for the period of 2010 to 2020,this research assesses the influence of the“Belt and Road”initiative on the enhancement of the industrial structure along its trajectory.The findings indicate that:the most notable influence on the rationalization and progress of the industrial structure is observed in the eastern region,with the central region following suit,whereas the western region has yet to exhibit a significant transformation.The analysis delves into the role of technological innovation,concluding that the initiative primarily catalyzes optimization and upgrading through the effect of technological advancement.The study advances several pertinent policy recommendations to support and enhance these developments. 展开更多
关键词 belt and road Industrial structure advancement Industrial structure rationalization
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The coordinated evolution of ecological environment,public service,and tourism economy along the Silk Road Economic Belt,using the Dual-Carbon Targets
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作者 Shuo Yang Wei Guo +1 位作者 Tianjun Xu Tongtong Liu 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2024年第1期34-47,共14页
Carbon peak and carbon neutrality(dual-carbon)are important targets for the international response to climate change.The Silk Road Economic Belt is a strategic resource region and is important for future ecological en... Carbon peak and carbon neutrality(dual-carbon)are important targets for the international response to climate change.The Silk Road Economic Belt is a strategic resource region and is important for future ecological environment and tourism development.Based on the“dual-carbon”targets,the Single index quantification,Multiple index synthesis,and Poly-criteria integration evaluation model were used in this study to measure the coordinated development index of the ecological environment,public service,and tourism economy along the Silk Road Economic Belt and to analyze its spatial and temporal evolution.Further,it explores the dynamic evolution and development trend of the three systems using the Kernel Density and Grey Markov Prediction Model.The results show that the coordinated development index along this region needs to be improved during the study period.Furthermore,the coordinated development index of the Southwest region is relatively higher than that of the Northwest region.From the development trend of the three systems,all of them develop in a stable manner;however,the tourism economy system is easily affected by external disturbances.The coordinated development index of the three systems changes dynamically and tends to be in a good state of coordination.There is a certain spatial and temporal heterogeneity.The gravity center of the coordinated development index has been in the Southwest region.During the forecast period,the coordinated development index along this region will improve significantly,while insufficient and unbalanced development will continue. 展开更多
关键词 Dual-carbon Ecological environment Public services Tourist economy Silk road Economic belt
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Analysis of International Cooperation Management Strategies of Enterprises under the Background of the“Belt and Road”
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作者 Nan Hua 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第4期238-243,共6页
With the deepening of the“Belt and Road”initiative,Chinese enterprises are facing unprecedented opportunities and challenges for international cooperation.This paper mainly analyzes the current situation,existing pr... With the deepening of the“Belt and Road”initiative,Chinese enterprises are facing unprecedented opportunities and challenges for international cooperation.This paper mainly analyzes the current situation,existing problems,and coping strategies of enterprise international cooperation management in the context of the“Belt and Road”.This article expounds on the importance of the“Belt and Road”initiative for international cooperation of enterprises and analyzes the key links of international cooperation management of enterprises from the aspects of internationalization strategy,cross-cultural management,risk prevention and control,and resource integration.Finally,combined with the case,this paper puts forward the management strategies and suggestions that enterprises should adopt in international cooperation,to provide a useful reference for Chinese enterprises in international cooperation in the construction of the“Belt and Road.” 展开更多
关键词 belt and road International cooperation among enterprises Management strategy Cross-cultural management Risk prevention and control
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Towards a Community with a Shared Future for Mankind:Theoretical Basis and Practical Logic of Jointly Advancing the Belt and Road Initiative
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作者 Zhao Kejin 《Contemporary World》 2023年第5期9-12,共4页
The Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)has embarked on a decade-long journey since its proposal in 2013 and has gone through such tough challenges as the COVID-19,the Ukraine crisis and intensifying rivalry among major coun... The Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)has embarked on a decade-long journey since its proposal in 2013 and has gone through such tough challenges as the COVID-19,the Ukraine crisis and intensifying rivalry among major countries.Rising to these challenges head-on,the BRI has shown strong resilience and vitality.On the occasion of the 10th anniversary of the vision of a community with a shared future for mankind. 展开更多
关键词 road TOUGH belt
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International Communication of the Belt and Road Initiative in the Digital Era
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作者 Sun Jisheng 《Contemporary World》 2023年第5期13-16,共4页
The Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),from concept to action,and from a blueprint to high-quality cooperation,has had a widespread impact on the world over the past ten years,and has become a representative Chinese discou... The Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),from concept to action,and from a blueprint to high-quality cooperation,has had a widespread impact on the world over the past ten years,and has become a representative Chinese discourse and Chinese hallmark.Over the past decade,China has joined hands with other countries in pursuing high-quality BRI cooperation,shared development opportunities for common development. 展开更多
关键词 road COOPERATION belt
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What Has the Belt and Road Initiative Done Right?
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作者 HU BILIANG 《China Today》 2023年第10期24-29,共6页
THIS year marks the 10th anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI).Over the past decade,visions have become realities.Even though we have a million reasons to celebrate on such a memorable occasion,I suggest we... THIS year marks the 10th anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI).Over the past decade,visions have become realities.Even though we have a million reasons to celebrate on such a memorable occasion,I suggest we take time to reflect.What should we think about?The BRI and its decade-long practice have given us much space to think.The main questions I have been pondering over are:What has the BRI done right?Why has it received the support and participation of so many countries and international organizations? 展开更多
关键词 road WHAT belt
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Nasim Mahmmud's View on the Belt and Road Initiative
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《International Understanding》 2023年第4期65-66,共2页
The historic Third Belt and Road Forum(BRF-2023)for International Cooperation was held in Beijing on October 17-18,2023 which has opened the gate to a new opportunity for global development and potential peace.The Bel... The historic Third Belt and Road Forum(BRF-2023)for International Cooperation was held in Beijing on October 17-18,2023 which has opened the gate to a new opportunity for global development and potential peace.The Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),which was launched and backed by China in the past ten years,now belongs to the whole world. 展开更多
关键词 road PEACE belt
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Discourse Construction of the Belt and Road Initiative in British and American Media:The Perspective of Proximization Theory
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作者 LU Kai-ning ZHI Ran 《Journal of Literature and Art Studies》 2023年第4期286-294,共9页
This study takes the reports on China’s“One Belt,One Road”in the British and American media as the object of study,mainly by collecting more than 10,000 words from the relevant reports published in the British medi... This study takes the reports on China’s“One Belt,One Road”in the British and American media as the object of study,mainly by collecting more than 10,000 words from the relevant reports published in the British media The Times,The Daily Telegraph and The Guardian from 2019-2022,to create a British corpus.A number of US media outlets,such as the New York Times,Los Angeles Times and Washington Post,were also collected to extract over 10,000 words of relevant corpus to create a US corpus.The BFSU Qualitative Coder 1.1,AntConc 3.5.7 and the LLX2 chi-square test were used to analyse the perceptions of the British and American corpora on China’s“One Belt,One Road”initiative,and to explore the temporal,spatial and value convergence of speakers and addressees in the corpus in the context of convergence theory.In this paper,we explore the specific distribution and pragmatic functions of the convergence of speakers and addressees in the corpus,in order to explore and reveal the different features of the application of convergence strategies in the British and American corpora in relation to China’s“One Belt,One Road”initiative. 展开更多
关键词 British and American corpus convergence strategy “One belt One road discourse construction Introduction
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Current Situation and Discussion of “Going Abroad” in Higher Vocational Colleges Under the Background of the Belt and Road Initiative
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作者 Rongbing Hu 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2023年第9期20-25,共6页
The Belt and Road Initiative has brought unprecedented development opportunities for domestic higher vocational colleges to“go abroad,”but it has also brought severe challenges.Driven by the Belt and Road Initiative... The Belt and Road Initiative has brought unprecedented development opportunities for domestic higher vocational colleges to“go abroad,”but it has also brought severe challenges.Driven by the Belt and Road Initiative,the development of higher vocational colleges“going abroad”has been confronted with a series of challenges,including the imperfect connection of policies,the lack of internal funds,as well as international standards,which are important factors affecting their development.Therefore,it is necessary to start from three aspects,which are policy guarantee,financing,and docking international standards.Through in-depth study of“going abroad”with tthe Belt and Road Initiative,we can effectively reduce the adverse impact of“going abroad”and provide a better and more innovative development environment for higher vocational colleges. 展开更多
关键词 the belt and road initiative Higher vocational colleges “Going abroad Current situation and discussion
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The Belt and Road Initiatives and China's Middle East Energy Policy
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作者 Xuming Qian 《International Relations and Diplomacy》 2016年第10期611-616,共6页
The paper analyses the roots of the Belt and Road Initiative as well as China's Middle East Energy Policy in an age of great transformation. China's rapidly progressed economic growth leading to a dramatic increase ... The paper analyses the roots of the Belt and Road Initiative as well as China's Middle East Energy Policy in an age of great transformation. China's rapidly progressed economic growth leading to a dramatic increase in China's energy demand in recent years. The Middle East countries play a critical role in the international energy markets. Stable relations with the Middle East countries become increasingly important for Chinese energy security, and the continued development. The protection of these relations lies at the core of the Belt and Road Initiative. Within The Belt and Road Initiative, Chinese Middle East energy policy proceeds according to the energy cooperation framework known as "1+2+3", which seeks to build a reliable China-Arab strategic cooperative relationship based on long-term friendship. To avoid over dependence on the energy resources of the Middle East, China will also continue to search for other overseas energy sources and protect transportation channels. Despite risks and challenges associated with energy imports from the Middle East, China has cultivated strong relations with states in the region and will develop these economic ties further in the coming years. 展开更多
关键词 the belt and road initiative Middle East China's foreign policy China-Arab relations
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The Belt and Road Initiatives and China's International Energy Cooperation: Progress, Mechanisms, and Recommendations
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作者 Qian Xu-ming 《Cultural and Religious Studies》 2017年第2期85-94,共10页
China's international energy cooperation and energy security are important parts of The Belt and Road initiatives. China and the countries along the Belt and Road continue to promote cooperation, actively use the exi... China's international energy cooperation and energy security are important parts of The Belt and Road initiatives. China and the countries along the Belt and Road continue to promote cooperation, actively use the existing bilateral and multilateral cooperation mechanisms to promote the regional and inter-regional energy cooperation. Countries along the Belt and Road are rich in oil and gas resources; their demand on the diversification of export meet with the diversification demand on imports of consumption countries; and their oil refining and chemical technology as well as construction capacity is weak, which provides a lot of new opportunities in cooperation for Chinese enterprises. However, the energy cooperation of Chinese enterprises are also facing some challenges in the complex environment of energy cooperation, the interference of big powers, non-traditional security threats, and energy policy factors. Finally, the paper puts forward the strategic thinking of China's international energy cooperation under the new situation. 展开更多
关键词 The belt and road initiatives China's international energy cooperation energy cooperation mechanism energy strategic channels
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International Dissemination of TCM Culture under the "Belt and Road" Initiative: Opportunities and Challenges
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作者 毛和荣 LIU Dian-gang HE Qiang 《海外英语》 2017年第1期168-169,184,共3页
The international dissemination of TCM culture, as a carrier of the implementation of the"Belt and Road"Initiative, is being endowed with greater importance. However, the spread of TCM culture into the world... The international dissemination of TCM culture, as a carrier of the implementation of the"Belt and Road"Initiative, is being endowed with greater importance. However, the spread of TCM culture into the world faces opportunities as well as challenges. To better serve the"Belt and Road"Initiative, measures should be taken to strengthen TCM communication and cooperation in different aspects and build a sound intellectual property protection system. 展开更多
关键词 International Dissemination TCM Culture the " belt and road " initiative OPPORTUNITIES Challenges
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An international program on Silk Road Disaster Risk Reduction--a Belt and Road initiative (2016-2020) 被引量:11
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作者 LEI Yu CUI Peng +5 位作者 Amar Deep REGMI Virginia MURRAY Alessandro PASUTO Giacomo TITTI Muhammad SHAFIQUE Tilak PRIYADARSHANA D.G. 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第7期1383-1396,共14页
Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) is a Chinese national strategy which calls for cooperative economic, political and cultural exchange at the global level along the ancient Silk Road. The overwhelming natural hazards loca... Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) is a Chinese national strategy which calls for cooperative economic, political and cultural exchange at the global level along the ancient Silk Road. The overwhelming natural hazards located along the belt and road bring great challenges to the success of BRI. In this framework, a 5-year international program was launched to address issues related to hazards assessment and disaster risk reduction(DRR). The first workshop of this program was held in Beijing with international experts from over 15 countries. Risk conditions on Belt and Road Countries(BRCs) have been shared and science and technology advancements on DRR have been disseminated during the workshop. Under this program, six task forces have been setup to carry out collaborative research works and three prioritized study areas have been established. This workshop announced the launching of this program which involved partners from different countries including Pakistan, Nepal, Russia, Italy, United Kingdom, Sri Lanka and Tajikistan. The program adopted the objectives of Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 and United Nation Sustainable Development Goals 2030 and was implemented to assess disaster risk in BRCs and to propose suitable measures for disaster control which can be appropriate both for an individual country and for specific sites. This paper deals with the outcomes of the workshop and points out opportunities for the near future international cooperation on this matter. 展开更多
关键词 Natural hazards Silk road Disaster risk reduction belt and road initiative Sendai Framework International collaboration program
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The Belt and Road Initiative and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development:seeking linkages for global environmental governance 被引量:5
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作者 Liang Dong Xiaohua Yang Hongtao Li 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2018年第3期203-210,共8页
Global environmental cooperation serves as an important part in the Chinese ideal of building a Community with a Shared Future for all Human Beings. The report of 19 th CPC National Congress indicates that China is co... Global environmental cooperation serves as an important part in the Chinese ideal of building a Community with a Shared Future for all Human Beings. The report of 19 th CPC National Congress indicates that China is committed to proactive mitigation under the Paris Agreement and further participating in global environmental governance under the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, and both of which are largely integrated to the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI). BRI are also closely linked with South-South environmental and climate cooperation proposed by China from previous UN summits. Based on shared ideas, intersected agendas, and compatible governance approaches, BRI and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development grow increasingly relevant and they might form synergies based on increasingly interactive relations. In sum,seeking and intensifying the linkages between BRI and 2030 sustainable development goals(SDGs) could address global environmental governance deficits and enhance cooperation among nations. 展开更多
关键词 The belt and road initiATIVE 2030 AGENDA for Sustainable Development South-South cooperation INTERPLAY global environmental governance linkage climate change
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Spatial-temporal Evolution and Determinants of the Belt and Road Initiative: A Maximum Entropy Gravity Model Approach 被引量:7
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作者 HUANG Qinshi ZHU Xigang +3 位作者 LIU Chunhui WU Wei LIU Fengbao ZHANG Xinyi 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第5期839-854,共16页
The spatial interaction model is an effective way to explore the geographical disparities inherent in the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) by simulating spatial flows. The traditional gravity model implies the hypothesis... The spatial interaction model is an effective way to explore the geographical disparities inherent in the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI) by simulating spatial flows. The traditional gravity model implies the hypothesis of equilibrium points without any reference to when or how to achieve it. In this paper, a dynamic gravity model was established based on the Maximum Entropy(MaxEnt) theory to estimate and monitor the interconnection intensity and dynamic characters of bilateral relations. In order to detect the determinants of interconnection intensity, a Geodetector method was applied to identify and evaluate the determinants of spatial networks in five dimensions. The empirical study clearly demonstrates a heterogeneous and non-circular spatial structure. The main driving forces of spatial-temporal evolution are foreign direct investment, tourism and railway infrastructure construction, while determinants in different sub-regions show obvious spatial differentiation. Southeast Asian countries are typically multi-island area where aviation infrastructure plays a more important role. North and Central Asian countries regard oil as a pillar industry where power and port facilities have a greater impact on the interconnection. While Western Asian countries are mostly influenced by the railway infrastructure, Eastern European countries already have relatively robust infrastructure where tariff policies provide a greater impetus. 展开更多
关键词 spatial interaction model the belt and road initiative(BRI) Maximum Entropy(MaxEnt)gravity model spatial pattern China
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