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Development and Evaluation of Hourly and Kilometer Resolution Retrospective and Real-Time Surface Meteorological Blended Forcing Dataset(SMBFD) in China 被引量:7
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作者 Shuai HAN Chunxiang SHI +4 位作者 Bin XU Shuai SUN Tao ZHANG Lipeng JIANG Xiao LIANG 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第6期1168-1181,共14页
A real-time,long-term surface meteorological blended forcing dataset(SMBFD)has been developed based on station observations,satellite retrievals,and reanalysis products in China.The observations are collected at natio... A real-time,long-term surface meteorological blended forcing dataset(SMBFD)has been developed based on station observations,satellite retrievals,and reanalysis products in China.The observations are collected at national and regional automatic weather stations,satellite data are obtained from the Fengyun(FY)series satellites retrievals,and the reanalysis products are obtained from the ECMWF.The 90-m resolution digital terrain elevation data in China are obtained from the Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission(SRTM)for temperature and humidity elevation adjustment.The dataset includes 2-m air temperature and humidity,10-m zonal and meridional winds,downward shortwave radiation,surface pressure,and precipitation.The spatial resolution is 1 km,and the temporal resolution is 1 h.During the data processing procedure,various data fusion techniques including the space–time multiscale variational analysis,the discrete ordinates radiative transfer(DISORT)model,the hybrid radiation estimation model,and a terrain correction algorithm are employed.Dependent and independent evaluations of the dataset are performed against observations.The SMBFD dataset is also compared with similar datasets produced in other major meteorological operational centers in the world.The results are as follows.(1)All variables show reasonable geographic distribution features and realistic spatial and temporal variations.(2)Dependent and independent evaluations both indicate that the gridded SMBFD dataset is close to the observations,while the dependent evaluation yields better results than the independent evaluation.(3)Compared with similar datasets produced in other meteorological operational centers,the real-time and retrospective surface meteorological fusion data obviously have higher quality.The dataset introduced in the present study is in general stable and accurate,and can be applied in various practice such as meteorology,agriculture,ecology,environmental protection,etc.Meanwhile,this dataset has been used as the atmospheric forcing data to drive the operational High-resolution Land Data Assimilation System of China Meteorological Administration.The dataset with the network Common Data Form(NETCDF)can be decoded by various programming languages,and it is freely available to non-commercial users. 展开更多
关键词 SURFACE meteorological FORCING gridded REAL-TIME data fusion hourly temporal resolution 1-km spatial resolution dataSET
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基于站点逼近气候四维资料同化的全国风资源高分辨率回算数据集 被引量:3
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作者 王姝 胡菊 +2 位作者 吕晨 宋宗朋 任洲洋 《电网技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2019年第11期3859-3866,共8页
风力发电的间歇性和波动性是制约其开发利用的主要因素。基于大气数值模式模拟方法建立的风资源的长期数据集,是有效开展大区域、格点化、精细化风能资源评估及系统调度运行方式制订的数据基础。为提高风能资源数据集准确度,基于中尺度... 风力发电的间歇性和波动性是制约其开发利用的主要因素。基于大气数值模式模拟方法建立的风资源的长期数据集,是有效开展大区域、格点化、精细化风能资源评估及系统调度运行方式制订的数据基础。为提高风能资源数据集准确度,基于中尺度数值天气预报(weatherresearchand forecasting,WRF)模式,使用站点逼近的气候四维资料同化(climatefour-dimensionaldataassimilation,CFDDA)方法,根据2010-2013年5个代表性测风塔测风数据,开展数值敏感性实验,确定了适用于新能源富集区风能资源模拟的MERRA2再分析资料、Topowind地形订正方案和平滑VASSO静态数据的最优模式设置方案,对于10 m高度处风速的模拟相关系数可达0.79、均方根误差1.62;根据2017年全国2166个国家级地面气象观测站测风资料,同化后全国大部分地区的相关系数和均方根误差显著改善。基于该设置回算分析,得到1987-2016年全国9 km、15 min的高分辨率风资源历史回算资料,形成了较为可靠的再分析的风机轮毂高度及其邻近高度层的风资源数据集。 展开更多
关键词 全国高分辨率风资源回算数据集 气候四维资料同化 站点逼近 中尺度模式 测风塔和气象站风速观测
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基于中尺度数据的风电场风速与发电量实时预测
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作者 王东霞 董晔弘 +3 位作者 胡号朋 家敏 吴骄 林子菁 《船舶工程》 CSCD 北大核心 2022年第S02期133-137,143,共6页
文章从中尺度气象数据分析入手,对海上和陆上风电场发电量的预测进行分析研究,具体阐述了该方法对风电场的限定条件,通过分析中尺度数据,建立风电场各个时刻的风速预测模型,并将风速转化为功率,对风电场各个时刻的风功率进行预测,并根... 文章从中尺度气象数据分析入手,对海上和陆上风电场发电量的预测进行分析研究,具体阐述了该方法对风电场的限定条件,通过分析中尺度数据,建立风电场各个时刻的风速预测模型,并将风速转化为功率,对风电场各个时刻的风功率进行预测,并根据前一段时间的对比结果对预测模型进行修正。预测结果与实际发电量结果的对比可知,效果较好。 展开更多
关键词 15 km分辨率中尺度气象数据 1 h间隔 风速预测 发电量预测 LIGA
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