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基于24Model-D-ISM的地铁站火灾疏散影响因素研究
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作者 孙世梅 张家严 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期153-159,共7页
为预防地铁站火灾事故,深入了解地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素间的内在联系与层次结构,基于第6版“2-4”模型(24Model)分析63起地铁站火灾疏散事故,充分考虑各个因素之间的交互作用,提取19个影响地铁站人员疏散的关键因素,建立地铁站火灾... 为预防地铁站火灾事故,深入了解地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素间的内在联系与层次结构,基于第6版“2-4”模型(24Model)分析63起地铁站火灾疏散事故,充分考虑各个因素之间的交互作用,提取19个影响地铁站人员疏散的关键因素,建立地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素指标体系;采用算子客观赋权法(C-OWA)改进决策试验与评价实验法(DEMATEL),确定地铁站火灾人员疏散的重要影响因素;在此基础上,采用解释结构模型(ISM)分析各个因素间的层次结构及相互作用路径,构建地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素的多级递阶结构模型。研究结果表明:疏散引导、恐慌从众行为、人员拥挤为地铁站火灾人员疏散的关键影响因素;地铁站火灾人员疏散受表层因素、中间层因素、深层因素共同作用的影响,其中,疏散教育与培训、设施维护与检查、疏散预案等因素是根源影响因素,重视根源影响因素的改善有利于从本质上预防和控制事故的发生。 展开更多
关键词 2-4”模型(24model) 决策试验与评价实验法(DEMATEL) 解释结构模型(ISM) 地铁站 火灾疏散 影响因素
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24Model与LCM原因因素定义对比研究
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作者 袁晨辉 傅贵 +1 位作者 吴治蓉 赵金坤 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期27-34,共8页
为探究损失致因模型(LCM)原因因素定义与事故致因“2-4”模型(24Model)存在的异同和优缺点,梳理2个模型各层面原因和结果的定义,对比定义内容及其对事故原因分析等安全实务的指导作用,并以一起瓦斯爆炸事故为例加以实证分析,获得二者分... 为探究损失致因模型(LCM)原因因素定义与事故致因“2-4”模型(24Model)存在的异同和优缺点,梳理2个模型各层面原因和结果的定义,对比定义内容及其对事故原因分析等安全实务的指导作用,并以一起瓦斯爆炸事故为例加以实证分析,获得二者分析结果之间的差异。研究结果表明:LCM是首个将管理因素纳入事故致因分析的一维事件序列模型,可明确各层面原因因素的定义和因素间的逻辑关系,但部分定义存在交叉重复的问题,并没有揭示安全工作指导思想等深层次事故致因因素;24Model作为系统性事故致因模型,对各类因素的定义均以组织为主体,描述事件、事故、安全的概念内涵,划分个体安全动作、安全能力和组织安全管理体系的类别并给出含义解析,探究组织安全文化层面的问题并以32个元素体现;2个模型的事故原因分析方法均建立在对各层级原因因素定义的基础上,并适用于模型理论体系本身。 展开更多
关键词 2-4”模型(24model) 损失致因模型(LCM) 事故致因模型 原因因素定义 对比研究
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24 Model在道路运输事故成因中的应用
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作者 刘晓露 梁志星 +2 位作者 吴君安 严玉琼 张苏 《汽车安全与节能学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期185-192,共8页
为预防道路运输事故,基于事故致因“2-4”(24 Model)模型,对2015—2021年发生的215起道路运输事故的行为原因进行研究。从个人层面和组织层面分析导致事故发生的直接原因、间接原因、根本原因及其根源原因。结果表明:发生频次最多的不... 为预防道路运输事故,基于事故致因“2-4”(24 Model)模型,对2015—2021年发生的215起道路运输事故的行为原因进行研究。从个人层面和组织层面分析导致事故发生的直接原因、间接原因、根本原因及其根源原因。结果表明:发生频次最多的不安全动作是驾驶员超速行驶(占10.67%);22.33%的道路运输事故存在管理者违章安排无资质员工上岗作业;管理者和领导者对57.67%的道路运输事故的发生有重要影响;由人为因素产生的不安全物态占比达71.53%;驾驶员、车辆安全生产管理制度欠缺或执行不到位在根本原因中尤为突出(占20.92%)。基于此,提出道路运输事故预防对策并构建出道路运输系统各因素关系图。 展开更多
关键词 汽车主动安全 道路运输事故 事故致因 2-4”模型(24 model) 对策
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基于24Model的房屋市政工程事故致因组态研究
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作者 任捷 王玮 李琴 《安全》 2024年第7期68-73,共6页
为探索房屋市政工程事故的影响因素与关联组态路径,依据案例的完整性、代表性与可靠性选取2018—2022年发生的70起较大及以上规模房屋市政工程生产安全事故作为研究对象,运用定性比较分析方法和“2-4”模型寻找该类事故的致因组态。研... 为探索房屋市政工程事故的影响因素与关联组态路径,依据案例的完整性、代表性与可靠性选取2018—2022年发生的70起较大及以上规模房屋市政工程生产安全事故作为研究对象,运用定性比较分析方法和“2-4”模型寻找该类事故的致因组态。研究结果表明:组织安全管理体系的执行情况是导致事故发生的重要影响因素;安全文化型和不安全动作型是事故的主要发生机制;事故致因与结果之间存在多重并发的因果关系。房屋市政工程生产安全管理需夯实安全管理体系,利用致因组态强化事故预防措施,以改善工程的经济与社会效益。 展开更多
关键词 房屋市政工程事故 事故致因组态 安全生产 定性比较分析方法(QCA) 事故致因“2-4”模型(24model)
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FLEXIBLE 2-DOF STEERING MODEL OF MULTI-AXLE HEAVY-DUTY VEHICLE 被引量:1
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作者 YangBo WangXuelin HuYujin LiChenggang 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2004年第4期618-622,共5页
A flexible two degrees of freedom (2-DOF) steering model of multi-axlevehicle (MAV) is presented with considering the effect of frame flexibility based on the classic2-DOF model. A method to calculate the frame flexib... A flexible two degrees of freedom (2-DOF) steering model of multi-axlevehicle (MAV) is presented with considering the effect of frame flexibility based on the classic2-DOF model. A method to calculate the frame flexibility is derived by using three moments equation.The steering stability of MAV is analyzed. The steering performance of MAV is also researched infrequency domain. Simulation results show that the dynamic effects of flexible model are more severethan rigid model and the flexible effect of frame will weaken the steering stability of MAV.Different disposals of steering axles lead to different steering characteristics of MAV. Thein-phase steering mode improves the steering characteristics and stability at high speed. Theanti-phase steering mode increases the steering mobility at low vehicle speed. 展开更多
关键词 Multi-axle vehicle 2-dof model Steering characteristic Frame flexibility
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球面2-DOF冗余驱动并联机器人机构误差分析 被引量:10
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作者 张立杰 李永泉 《机械工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2013年第7期148-154,共7页
将环路增量法应用于多环路并联机构的误差分析中,并提出环路选取原则。基于D-H参数,结合冗余驱动机构特点,采用环路增量法,建立兼顾位置和姿态两类误差的球面2-DOF冗余驱动并联机器人机构误差模型。该误差模型除包含机构的结构参数误差... 将环路增量法应用于多环路并联机构的误差分析中,并提出环路选取原则。基于D-H参数,结合冗余驱动机构特点,采用环路增量法,建立兼顾位置和姿态两类误差的球面2-DOF冗余驱动并联机器人机构误差模型。该误差模型除包含机构的结构参数误差外,同时还将由于加工和装配等原因出现的各转动副轴线和球心之间的偏差考虑进来,更全面地反映了机构的工程实际情况。基于该误差模型进一步分析球面机构出现卡死现象的原因,预估了机构误差,为该机构样机的运动学标定研究奠定了理论基础。 展开更多
关键词 2自由度 球面机构 冗余驱动 误差模型 D-H变换矩阵
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STPA与24Model的对比分析 被引量:1
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作者 宋炜 傅贵 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第6期1-10,共10页
为完善和发展事故致因理论,从基础理论、相关定义、分析过程和分析难度4个方面,对比分析系统理论过程分析(STPA)与“2-4”模型(24Model),并分别进行实例应用。研究结果表明:两者都有很强的理论基础;24Model和STPA总体依照线性模式展开,... 为完善和发展事故致因理论,从基础理论、相关定义、分析过程和分析难度4个方面,对比分析系统理论过程分析(STPA)与“2-4”模型(24Model),并分别进行实例应用。研究结果表明:两者都有很强的理论基础;24Model和STPA总体依照线性模式展开,部分元素可得到对应。STPA的研究对象为系统中的损失,更擅长系统交互研究,研究复杂程度较高,研究误差较大,更适用于单起事故分析;而24Model的研究对象为组织中的事件,事故原因划分更加明确与通用,分析过程简单,研究误差较小,在单起事故和多起事故分析中均可使用,两者都具有较好的拓展性。在应用方面,STPA能够明确指出系统内危险源与损害的联系,但应用过程复杂,致因因素分析主观性强,缺乏对管理体系和安全文化的研究;24Model原因分析结果全面,应用步骤明确,但缺乏对组织间的交互和设计缺陷分析。 展开更多
关键词 系统理论过程分析(STPA) 2-4”模型(24model) 事故致因理论 对比分析 火灾事故
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Two Improvements on Numerical Simulation of 2-DOF Vortex-Induced Vibration with Low Mass Ratio 被引量:1
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作者 KANG Zhuang NI Wen-chi +1 位作者 ZHANG Xu SUN Li-ping 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第6期764-772,共9页
Till now, there have been lots of researches on numerical simulation of vortex-induced vibration. Acceptable results have been obtained for fixed cylinders with low Reynolds number. However, for responses of 2-DOF vor... Till now, there have been lots of researches on numerical simulation of vortex-induced vibration. Acceptable results have been obtained for fixed cylinders with low Reynolds number. However, for responses of 2-DOF vortex-induced vibration with low mass ratio, the accuracy is not satisfactory, especially for the maximum amplitudes. In Jauvtis and Williamson's work, the maximum amplitude of the cylinder with low mass ratio m*=2.6 can reach as large as 1.5D to be called as the "super-upper branch", but from current literatures, few simulation results can achieve such value, even fail to capture the upper branch. Besides, it is found that the amplitude decays too fast in the lower branch with the RANS-based turbulence model. The reason is likely to be the defects of the turbulence model itself in the prediction of unsteady separated flows as well as the unreasonable setting of the numerical simulation parameters. Aiming at above issues, a modified turbulence model is proposed in this paper, and the effect of the acceleration of flow field on the response of vortex-induced vibration is studied based on OpenFOAM. By analyzing the responses of amplitude, phase and trajectory, frequency and vortex mode, it is proved that the vortex-induced vibration can be predicted accurately with the modified turbulence model under appropriate flow field acceleration. 展开更多
关键词 2-dof vortex-induced vibration numerical simulation modified turbulence model ACCELERATION
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Thermodynamic modeling and phase diagram prediction of salt lake brine systemsⅡ.Aqueous Li^(+)-Na^(+)-K^(+)-SO_(4)^(2-) and its subsystems 被引量:6
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作者 Huan Zhou Peng Wu +3 位作者 Wenxuan Li Xingfan Wang Kuo Zhou Qing Hao 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第6期134-149,共16页
It is still a challenging task to accurately and temperature-continuously express the thermodynamic properties and phase equilibrium behaviors of the salt-lake brine with multi-component,multitemperature and high conc... It is still a challenging task to accurately and temperature-continuously express the thermodynamic properties and phase equilibrium behaviors of the salt-lake brine with multi-component,multitemperature and high concentration.The essential subsystem of sulfate type brine,aqueous Li^(+)-Na^(+)-K^(+)-SO_(4)^(2-) and its subsystems across a temperature range from 250 K to 643 K are investigated with the improved comprehensive thermodynamic model.Liquid parameters(Δg_(IJ),Δh_(IJ),and ΔC_(p,IJ))associated with the contributions of Gibbs energy,enthalpy,and heat capacity to the binary interaction parameters,i.e.the temperature coefficients of eNRTL parameters formulated with a Gibbs Helmholtz expression,are determined via multi-objective optimization method.The solid constantsΔ_(f)G_(k)°^((298.15))andΔ_(f)H_(k)°^((298.15))of11 solid species occurred in the quaternary system are rebuilt from multi-temperature solubilities.The modeling results show the accurate representation of(1)solution properties and binary phase diagram at temperature ranges from eutectic points to 643 K;(2)isothermal phase diagrams for Li_(2)SO_(4)-Na_(2)SO_(4)-H_(2)O,Li_(2)SO_(4)-K_(2)SO_(4)-H_(2)O and Na_(2)SO_(4)-K_(2)SO_(4)-H_(2)O ternary systems.The predicted results of complete structure and polythermal phase diagram of ternary systems and the isothermal phase diagrams of quaternary system excellently match with the experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 Aqueous electrolytes Comprehensive thermodynamic model Aqueous Li^(+)-Na^(+)-K^(+)-SO_(4)^(2-) Phase diagram Thermodynamic properties
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Part I: Explaining the “Muon g - 2” Results with Probabilistic Spacetime
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作者 Dennis M. Doren James Harasymiw 《Journal of High Energy Physics, Gravitation and Cosmology》 CAS 2023年第2期524-529,共6页
A recent experimental finding replicated an earlier research result, both of which demonstrated conflict with a specific Standard Model prediction. The “Muon g - 2” studies have indicated that the degree of muon pre... A recent experimental finding replicated an earlier research result, both of which demonstrated conflict with a specific Standard Model prediction. The “Muon g - 2” studies have indicated that the degree of muon precession predicted by the Model is not the same as observed. The researchers offer many posteriori atheoretical hypotheses as possible explanations of their findings, but no fundamental theoretical understanding of the near discovery is among them. This article describes both an explication for the unexpected result and describes its underlying mechanism based on an existing cosmological theory, the Probabilistic Spacetime Theory. The paper also discusses the potential value of this theory. 展开更多
关键词 Muon g - 2 Probabilistic Spacetime Muon Anomaly Muon Precession Standard model
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Solubility of CO_(2) in nonaqueous system of 2-(butylamino)ethanol with 2-butoxyethanol:Experimental data and model representation
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作者 Yu Dong Tiantian Ping Shufeng Shen 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第1期441-448,共8页
Nonaqueous amine-based system is an attractive solution to overcome high-energy-intensive CO_(2) capture process using the conventional aqueous amines.Advanced nonaqueous absorbent of 2-(butylamino)ethanol(BAE)with 2-... Nonaqueous amine-based system is an attractive solution to overcome high-energy-intensive CO_(2) capture process using the conventional aqueous amines.Advanced nonaqueous absorbent of 2-(butylamino)ethanol(BAE)with 2-butoxyethanol(2-BE)has been recently proposed for low-energyconsumption CO_(2) capture.In this work,Henry’s law constants of CO_(2) in the BAE/2-BE blend were obtained by N_(2)O/CO_(2) analogy,and correlated in the temperature range of(283–333)K.Vapor-liquid equilibrium(VLE)data for the BAE+CO_(2)+2-BE system at 65.4%(mass)BAE were also determined in a stirred equilibrium cell at temperatures of(313–393)K and CO_(2) partial pressures up to 275 kPa.A single apparent equilibrium constant KCO_(2);app was proposed for this system and correlated as a function of temperature,carbonated degree of amine and CO_(2) loading.Solubility data were well represented by the modified Kent-Eisenberg model with an average absolute relative deviation(AARD)of 13%. 展开更多
关键词 SOLUBILITY CO_(2)capture Nonaqueous absorbent 2-(Butylamino)ethanol 2-Butoxyethanol model
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Comparative effects of α2δ-1 ligands in mouse models of colonic hypersensitivity
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作者 Mathieu Meleine Ludivine Boudieu +8 位作者 Agathe Gelot Emilie Muller Amandine Lashermes Julien Matricon Celine Silberberg Vassilia Theodorou Alain Eschalier Denis Ardid Frederic A Carvalho 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2016年第31期7111-7123,共13页
AIM: To investigate anti-hypersensitive effects of α2δ-1 ligands in non-inflammatory and inflammationassociated colonic hypersensitivity(CHS) mouse models.METHODS: To induce an inflammation-associated CHS, 1% dextra... AIM: To investigate anti-hypersensitive effects of α2δ-1 ligands in non-inflammatory and inflammationassociated colonic hypersensitivity(CHS) mouse models.METHODS: To induce an inflammation-associated CHS, 1% dextran sulfate sodium(DSS) was administered to C57Bl/6J male mice, in drinking water, for 14 d. Regarding the non-inflammatory neonatal maternal separation(NMS)-induced CHS model, wild-type C57BI/6J pups were isolated from their mother from day 2 to day 14(P2 to P14), three hours per day(from 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m.). Colorectal distension was performed by inflating distension probe from 20 μL to 100 μL by 20 μL increment step every 10 s. After a first colorectal distension(CRD), drugs were administered subcutaneously, in a cumulative manner,(Gabapentin at 30 mg/kg and 100 mg/kg; Pregabalin at 10 mg/kg and 30 mg/kg; Carbamazepine at 10 mg/kg and 30 mg/kg) and a second CRD was performed one hour after each injection.RESULTS: The visceromotor response(VMR) to CRD was increased by our NMS paradigm protocol in comparison to non-handled(NH) mice, considering the highest distension volumes(80 μL: 0.783 ± 0.056 mV /s vs 0.531 ± 0.034 m V/s, P < 0.05 and 100 μL: 1.087 ± 0.056 m V/s vs 0.634 ± 0.038 m V/s, P < 0.05 for NMS and NH mice, respectively). In the inflammationassociated CHS, DSS-treated mice showed a dramatic and significant increase in VMR at 60 and 80 μL distension volumes when compared to control mice(60 μL: 0.920 ± 0.079 m V/s vs 0.426 ± 0.100 m V/s P < 0.05 and 80 μL: 1.193 ± 0.097 mV /s vs 0.681 ± 0.094 mV /s P < 0.05 for DSS- and Water-treated mice, respectively). Carbamazepine failed to significantly reduce CHS in both models. Gabapentin significantly reduced CHS in the DSS-induced model for both subcutaneous injections at 30 or 100 mg/kg. Pregabalin s i g n i f i c a n t l y r e d u c e d V M R t o C R D i n t h e n o n-inflammatory NMS-induced CHS model for the acute subcutaneous administration of the highest cumulative dose(30 mg/kg) and significantly reduced CHS in lowdose DSS-treated mice in a dose-dependent manner. Finally, the percent decrease of AUC induced by acute GBP or Pregabalin treatment were higher in the inflammatory DSS-induced CHS model in comparison to the non-inflammatory NMS-induced CHS model.CONCLUSION: This preclinical study demonstrates α2δ-1 ligands efficacy on inflammation-associated CHS, highlighting their potential clinical interest in patients with chronic abdominal pain and moderate intestinal inflammation. 展开更多
关键词 NEONATAL maternal separation DEXTRAN sulfate sodium COLONIC HYPERSENSITIVITY mouse models Colorectal DISTENSION α2δ-1 LIGANDS
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2D Coupled 3D:A New Numerical Model for Dual - Structured - Aquifer System
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作者 Chen Chongxi Fang Shuzhen Lin Min(Faculty of Environmental Science and Geotechnique,China University of Geosciehces, Wuhan 430074) 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 1995年第1期114-117,共4页
This paper points out that a successful numerical simulation is to construct a correct conceptional model which is very dose to the natural condition. A new model, two dimensional coupled three dimensional model (2D -... This paper points out that a successful numerical simulation is to construct a correct conceptional model which is very dose to the natural condition. A new model, two dimensional coupled three dimensional model (2D -3D ) is presented in the Present paper,which is the most suitable one for the dual - structured - aquifer system. An example of Wenyinghu area is shown.By using the 2D-3D model, a satisfied result of the simulated area is achieved. 展开更多
关键词 numerical simulation conceptional model two dimensional coupled threedimensional model (2D - 3D ) dual - structured- aquifer system Wenyinghu area.
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事故致因“2-4”模型的内涵解析及第6版的研究 被引量:66
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作者 傅贵 陈奕燃 +3 位作者 许素睿 陈萍 袁晨辉 吴亚丽 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第1期12-19,共8页
为使事故致因“2-4”模型(24Model)在追溯事故原因和制定事故预防对策时取得更好的应用效果,有必要对24Model的内涵进行科学解析。通过文献分析和对比研究,阐述24Model的逻辑结构、原因模块的科学内涵、主要特点。研究结果表明:24Model... 为使事故致因“2-4”模型(24Model)在追溯事故原因和制定事故预防对策时取得更好的应用效果,有必要对24Model的内涵进行科学解析。通过文献分析和对比研究,阐述24Model的逻辑结构、原因模块的科学内涵、主要特点。研究结果表明:24Model的主要理论基础,一是HEINRICH、BIRD等提出与改进的多米诺骨牌系列模型,二是REASON提出、SHAPPELL等具体化的瑞士奶酪系列模型和人因分类系统,三是STEWART提出的卓越安全管理模型;静态24Model的逻辑结构以因果关系建立,它属于因果顺序类事故致因模型;静态24Model中事故的直接、间接、根源、根本原因的含义可以从上述3大类事故致因模型、管理体系标准和安全文化的定义中找到根据;动态24Model靠行为演化关系建立逻辑结构,其充分表达自身的系统性、动态性、非线性,并且依靠组织行为即影响行为、个体行为即操作行为,构成一个行为演化系统。 展开更多
关键词 2-4”模型(24model) 逻辑结构 内涵解析 系统性 行为演化
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柔性工件金属切削机床加工中的2 DOF模型 被引量:2
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作者 宋新 冯东栋 《机床与液压》 北大核心 2022年第13期85-89,共5页
针对细长轴工件车削过程中的颤振抑制问题,提出一种可在状态空间域中分析柔性工件金属切削过程的2 DOF模型。对端面车削操作中细长轴工件的模态解耦效应进行分析,并在状态空间中对该2 DOF模型进行理论分析,得出由切削过程和工件形成的... 针对细长轴工件车削过程中的颤振抑制问题,提出一种可在状态空间域中分析柔性工件金属切削过程的2 DOF模型。对端面车削操作中细长轴工件的模态解耦效应进行分析,并在状态空间中对该2 DOF模型进行理论分析,得出由切削过程和工件形成的系统特征值解析式。对系统稳定性进行分析,确定无颤振的条件,并通过模型仿真,得到系统固有频率与切削速度的函数关系。在CNC数控车床上对细长轴工件加工进行实际测试。结果表明:对于初始直径为38.2 mm的C45钢制细长轴工件,在相同切削条件下,仿真和实测的频率均收敛到792.8 Hz,且最低切削速度为105 m/min,验证了该模型的有效性。该模型可用于更准确地预测细长轴工件加工的稳定极限,进而有效地预防颤振发生。 展开更多
关键词 柔性工件 车削 颤振 模态耦合 2 dof模型
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HFACS与24Model不安全动作因素对应关系研究 被引量:14
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作者 傅贵 薛宇敬阳 +1 位作者 佟瑞鹏 栗继祖 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第1期7-12,共6页
不安全动作是导致事故发生的直接原因,为明确和统一不安全动作的定义及判定标准,采用对比分析的方法梳理人因分析与分类系统(HFACS)和24Model中不安全动作的定义和判定标准,建立HFACS与24Model不安全动作因素的对应关系,并以实际事故为... 不安全动作是导致事故发生的直接原因,为明确和统一不安全动作的定义及判定标准,采用对比分析的方法梳理人因分析与分类系统(HFACS)和24Model中不安全动作的定义和判定标准,建立HFACS与24Model不安全动作因素的对应关系,并以实际事故为例论述对应关系的应用过程。结果表明,HFACS定义的不安全动作可以通过对应关系与24Model定义的不安全动作相对应;所建立的对应关系统一了不安全动作的判定标准。 展开更多
关键词 人因分析与分类系统(HFACS) 对比分析 事故致因“2-4”模型(24model) 不安全动作 事故致因模型 案例分析
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基于24Model的高校危化品实验室事故分析及对策 被引量:7
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作者 郭海军 唐寒露 +3 位作者 王凯 于英杰 吴昱辰 徐超 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第11期168-174,共7页
为制定高校危化品实验室安全管理对策和优化实验室安全培训,以某高校危化品实验室爆炸事故为例,采用行为安全“2-4”模型(24Model)的分析方法,分别从个人层面和组织层面深入研究该事故发生的直接原因、间接原因、根本原因和根源原因,进... 为制定高校危化品实验室安全管理对策和优化实验室安全培训,以某高校危化品实验室爆炸事故为例,采用行为安全“2-4”模型(24Model)的分析方法,分别从个人层面和组织层面深入研究该事故发生的直接原因、间接原因、根本原因和根源原因,进而建立危化品实验室事故行为分析模型,该模型对实验室日常监督检查、实验室风险预控体系建设、实验室事故应急响应体系建设给出具体要求。在此基础上,通过调研国内高校实验室教学模式,构建高校危化品实验室安全教育培训体系。结果表明:行为安全24Model普遍适用于事故原因分析,利用该模型研究高校危化品实验室事故发生原因,并从个人层面和组织层面提出改进建议,能够完善高校危化品实验室安全管理水平,提高学生安全风险意识,进而从根本上防范危化品实验室事故的发生。 展开更多
关键词 2-4”模型(24model) 高等院校 危化品实验室 不安全行为 事故致因分析
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基于24Model的事故原因系统分析与调查报告对比:以响水爆炸事故为例 被引量:7
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作者 袁晨辉 时雅倩 +2 位作者 麻勇 赵祎豪 傅贵 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第7期48-55,共8页
为促进“2-4”模型(24Model)在官方事故调查工作的广泛应用,探究事故调查报告存在的不足之处,以响水“3·21”爆炸事故为例,基于24Model分析事故原因,绘制事故原因的作用路径,并与调查报告进行对比。结果表明:响水天嘉宜公司在个人... 为促进“2-4”模型(24Model)在官方事故调查工作的广泛应用,探究事故调查报告存在的不足之处,以响水“3·21”爆炸事故为例,基于24Model分析事故原因,绘制事故原因的作用路径,并与调查报告进行对比。结果表明:响水天嘉宜公司在个人层面的不安全动作、不安全物态、安全能力,以及组织层面的安全文化和安全管理体系的缺欠导致该事故;事故调查报告并未对组织层面的原因作出详细分析,没有揭示事故发生的机制,并未准确定义和划分各类责任者;24Model在对各类原因和因素完整定义的基础上,能够以系统分析方法总结事故原因并且明确事故责任者的定义和划分。 展开更多
关键词 2-4”模型(24model) 事故原因 系统分析 事故调查报告 响水爆炸事故 对比研究
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Comparative study of HFACS and the 24Model accident causation models 被引量:5
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作者 Gui Fu Jia-Lin Cao +1 位作者 Lin Zhou Yuan-Chi Xiang 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第3期570-578,共9页
A comparative study is conducted to compare the theory and application effect of two accident causation models, the human factors analysis and classification system(HFACS) and the accident causation "2-4" model(2... A comparative study is conducted to compare the theory and application effect of two accident causation models, the human factors analysis and classification system(HFACS) and the accident causation "2-4" model(24 Model), as well as to provide a reference for safety researchers and accident investigators to select an appropriate accident analysis method. The two models are compared in terms of their theoretical foundations, cause classifications, accident analysis processes, application ranges, and accident prevention strategies. A coal and gas outburst accident is then analyzed using both models, and the application results are compared. This study shows that both the 24 Model and HFACS have strong theoretical foundations, and they can each be applied in various domains. In addition, the cause classification in HFACS is more practical, and its accident analysis process is more convenient. On the other hand, the 24 Model includes external factors, which makes the cause analysis more systematic and comprehensive. Moreover, the 24 Model puts forward more corresponding measures to prevent accidents. 展开更多
关键词 HFACS Accident causation 2-4" model Comparative study Unsafe acts External causes Coaland gas outburst accident
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A Numerical Algorithm Based on Quadratic Finite Element for Two-Dimensional Nonlinear Time Fractional Thermal Diffusion Model 被引量:3
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作者 Yanlong Zhang Baoli Yin +2 位作者 Yue Cao Yang Liu Hong Li 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2020年第3期1081-1098,共18页
In this article,a high-order scheme,which is formulated by combining the quadratic finite element method in space with a second-order time discrete scheme,is developed for looking for the numerical solution of a two-d... In this article,a high-order scheme,which is formulated by combining the quadratic finite element method in space with a second-order time discrete scheme,is developed for looking for the numerical solution of a two-dimensional nonlinear time fractional thermal diffusion model.The time Caputo fractional derivative is approximated by using the L2-1formula,the first-order derivative and nonlinear term are discretized by some second-order approximation formulas,and the quadratic finite element is used to approximate the spatial direction.The error accuracy O(h3+t2)is obtained,which is verified by the numerical results. 展开更多
关键词 Quadratic finite element two-dimensional nonlinear time fractional thermal diffusion model L2-1formula.
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