A method is proposed to deal with the uncertain multiple attribute group decision making problems,where 2-dimension uncertain linguistic variables(2DULVs)are used as the reliable way for the experts to express their f...A method is proposed to deal with the uncertain multiple attribute group decision making problems,where 2-dimension uncertain linguistic variables(2DULVs)are used as the reliable way for the experts to express their fuzzy subjective evaluation information.Firstly,in order to measure the 2DULVs more accurately,a new method is proposed to compare two 2DULVs,called a score function,while a new function is defined to measure the distance between two 2DULVs.Secondly,two optimization models are established to determine the weight of experts and attributes based on the new distance formula and a weighted average operator is used to determine the comprehensive evaluation value of each alternative.Then,a score function is used to determine the ranking of the alternatives.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed method is proved by an illustrated example.展开更多
为了探寻民航安全长周期运行的经验,即确定对实现安全运行起着决定性作用的关键因素,首先,收集了中国民航行业发布的航空安全工作报告、政策新闻、具有10 a以上工作经验的专家访谈等资料,运用扎根理论对其进行处理以识别民航安全复杂系...为了探寻民航安全长周期运行的经验,即确定对实现安全运行起着决定性作用的关键因素,首先,收集了中国民航行业发布的航空安全工作报告、政策新闻、具有10 a以上工作经验的专家访谈等资料,运用扎根理论对其进行处理以识别民航安全复杂系统的影响因素。其次,利用提出的二维不确定语言变量(2-Dimension Uncertain Linguistic Variables,2DULVs)分层决策试验与评估实验室(DecisionMaking Trial and Evaluation Laboratory,DEMATEL)混合模型计算影响因素的中心度和原因度,以此识别民航安全复杂系统的关键成功因素。最后,将计算结果与传统DEMATEL方法的结果进行对比分析。结果表明,安全投入力度加大、安全意识的转变、安全监管与督导力度的加强、法律法规与管理机制的持续健全完善、科技创新引领智慧安全、安全风险分级管控和隐患排查的双重预防为实现民航安全复杂系统的关键成功因素。与传统DEMATEL方法相比,提出的混合模型有效减少了549次专家决策,识别结果更符合民航实际情况。展开更多
基金This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province(2013020022).
文摘A method is proposed to deal with the uncertain multiple attribute group decision making problems,where 2-dimension uncertain linguistic variables(2DULVs)are used as the reliable way for the experts to express their fuzzy subjective evaluation information.Firstly,in order to measure the 2DULVs more accurately,a new method is proposed to compare two 2DULVs,called a score function,while a new function is defined to measure the distance between two 2DULVs.Secondly,two optimization models are established to determine the weight of experts and attributes based on the new distance formula and a weighted average operator is used to determine the comprehensive evaluation value of each alternative.Then,a score function is used to determine the ranking of the alternatives.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed method is proved by an illustrated example.
文摘为了探寻民航安全长周期运行的经验,即确定对实现安全运行起着决定性作用的关键因素,首先,收集了中国民航行业发布的航空安全工作报告、政策新闻、具有10 a以上工作经验的专家访谈等资料,运用扎根理论对其进行处理以识别民航安全复杂系统的影响因素。其次,利用提出的二维不确定语言变量(2-Dimension Uncertain Linguistic Variables,2DULVs)分层决策试验与评估实验室(DecisionMaking Trial and Evaluation Laboratory,DEMATEL)混合模型计算影响因素的中心度和原因度,以此识别民航安全复杂系统的关键成功因素。最后,将计算结果与传统DEMATEL方法的结果进行对比分析。结果表明,安全投入力度加大、安全意识的转变、安全监管与督导力度的加强、法律法规与管理机制的持续健全完善、科技创新引领智慧安全、安全风险分级管控和隐患排查的双重预防为实现民航安全复杂系统的关键成功因素。与传统DEMATEL方法相比,提出的混合模型有效减少了549次专家决策,识别结果更符合民航实际情况。
