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Risk factors for mortality within 6 mo in patients with diabetes undergoing urgent-start peritoneal dialysis:A multicenter retrospective cohort study
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作者 Si-Yu Cheng Li-Ming Yang +7 位作者 Zhan-Shan Sun Xiao-Xuan Zhang Xue-Yan Zhu Ling-Fei Meng Shi-Zheng Guo Xiao-Hua Zhuang Ping Luo Wen-Peng Cui 《World Journal of Diabetes》 SCIE 2022年第4期376-386,共11页
BACKGROUND The risk of early mortality of patients who start dialysis urgently is high;however,in patients with diabetes undergoing urgent-start peritoneal dialysis(USPD),the risk of,and risk factors for,early mortali... BACKGROUND The risk of early mortality of patients who start dialysis urgently is high;however,in patients with diabetes undergoing urgent-start peritoneal dialysis(USPD),the risk of,and risk factors for,early mortality are unknown.AIM To identify risk factors for mortality during high-risk periods in patients with diabetes undergoing USPD.METHODS This retrospective cohort study enrolled 568 patients with diabetes,aged≥18 years,who underwent USPD at one of five Chinese centers between 2013 and 2019.We divided the follow-up period into two survival phases:The first 6 mo of USPD therapy and the months thereafter.We compared demographic and baseline clinical data of living and deceased patients during each period.Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated for all-cause mortality according to the New York Heart Association(NYHA)classification.A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to identify risk factors for mortality within the first 6 mo and after 6 mo of USPD.RESULTS Forty-one patients died within the first 6 mo,accounting for the highest proportion of mortalities(26.62%)during the entire follow-up period.Cardiovascular disease was the leading cause of mortality within 6 mo(26.83%)and after 6 mo(31.86%).The risk of mortality not only within the first 6 mo but also after the first 6 mo was higher for patients with obvious baseline heart failure symptoms than for those with mild or no heart failure symptoms.Independent risk factors for mortality within the first 6 mo were advanced age hazard ratio(HR:1.908;95%CI:1.400-2.600;P<0.001),lower baseline serum creatinine level(HR:0.727;95%CI:0.614-0.860;P<0.001),higher baseline serum phosphorus level(HR:3.162;95%CI:1.848-5.409;P<0.001),and baseline NYHA class III-IV(HR:2.148;95%CI:1.063-4.340;P=0.033).Independent risk factors for mortality after 6 mo were advanced age(HR:1.246;95%CI:1.033-1.504;P=0.022)and baseline NYHA class III-IV(HR:2.015;95%CI:1.298-3.130;P=0.002).CONCLUSION To reduce the risk of mortality within the first 6 mo of USPD in patients with diabetes,controlling the serum phosphorus level and improving cardiac function are recommended。 展开更多
关键词 Peritoneal dialysis Urgent start Diabetes mellitus mortality within the first 6 mo risk factor End-stage renal disease
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十一种临床评分预测肝硬化伴急性上消化道出血6周死亡风险 被引量:6
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作者 王柏凯 徐莹 +5 位作者 俞骁珺 丁燕飞 吴云林 陈平 周郁芬 邹多武 《胃肠病学和肝病学杂志》 CAS 2023年第3期282-288,共7页
目的 判断常用的十一种临床评分对肝硬化伴急性上消化道出血患者6周死亡风险的预测能力。方法 收集2013年至2020年在上海交通大学医学院附属瑞金医院消化内科住院的肝硬化伴急性上消化道出血患者,并绘制ROC曲线判断不同模型或评分的预... 目的 判断常用的十一种临床评分对肝硬化伴急性上消化道出血患者6周死亡风险的预测能力。方法 收集2013年至2020年在上海交通大学医学院附属瑞金医院消化内科住院的肝硬化伴急性上消化道出血患者,并绘制ROC曲线判断不同模型或评分的预判能力。结果 共645例患者入组,未经倾向匹配评分(propensity score matching, PSM)的原始数据提示十一种评分方法只有谷草/谷丙转氨酶比值(aspartate/alanine aminotransferase ratio, AAR)不能很好地区分6周内发生死亡风险的患者(P=0.2)。经PSM匹配后数据提示Lok评分、NLR、Child-Pugh评分、MELD评分、白蛋白-胆红素评分(albumin-bilirubin score, ALBI)、血小板-白蛋白-胆红素评分(platelet-albumin-bilirubin score, PALBI)均可用于预测6周死亡风险(P<0.05)。结论 Child-Pugh评分、MELD评分、NLR、Lok评分、ALBI和PALBI在预测肝硬化伴急性上消化道出血患者6周死亡风险有较好的效果。 展开更多
关键词 肝硬化伴急性上消化道出血 6周死亡风险 临床评分 倾向匹配评分
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