Development and validation of a new prognostic model for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in intensive care unit

BACKGROUND Cirrhotic patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)in the intensive care unit(ICU)have a poor but variable prognoses.Accurate prognosis evaluation can guide the rational management of patients with ACLF.However,existing prognostic scores for ACLF in the ICU environment lack sufficient accuracy.AIM To develop a new prognostic model for patients with ACLF in ICU.METHODS Data from 938 ACLF patients in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care(MIMIC)database were used to develop a new prognostic model(MIMIC ACLF)for ACLF.Discrimination,calibration and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were assessed by area under receiver operating characteristic curve(AUROC),calibration curve and decision curve analysis(DCA),respectively.MIMIC ACLF was then externally validated in a multiple-center cohort,the Electronic Intensive Care Collaborative Research Database and a single-center cohort from the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University in China.RESULTS The MIMIC ACLF score was determined using nine variables:ln(age)×2.2+ln(white blood cell count)×0.22-ln(mean arterial pressure)×2.7+respiratory failure×0.6+renal failure×0.51+cerebral failure×0.31+ln(total bilirubin)×0.44+ln(internationalized normal ratio)×0.59+ln(serum potassium)×0.59.In MIMIC cohort,the AUROC(0.81/0.79)for MIMIC ACLF for 28/90-day ACLF mortality were significantly greater than those of Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF(0.76/0.74),Model for End-stage Liver Disease(MELD;0.73/0.71)and MELD-Na(0.72/0.70)(all P<0.001).The consistency between actual and predicted 28/90-day survival rates of patients according to MIMIC ACLF score was excellent and superior to that of existing scores.The net benefit of MIMIC ACLF was greater than that achieved using existing scores within the 50%threshold probability.The superior predictive accuracy and clinical utility of MIMIC ACLF were validated in the external cohorts.CONCLUSION We developed and validated a new prognostic model with satisfactory accuracy for cirrhotic patients with ACLF hospitalized in the ICU.The model-based risk stratification and online calculator might facilitate the rational management of patients with ACLF.

sTREM-1 as promising prognostic biomarker for acute-on-chronic liver failure and mortality in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis

BACKGROUND Acute decompensation(AD)of cirrhosis is associated with high short-term mortality,mainly due to the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF).Thus,there is a need for biomarkers for early and accurate identification of AD patients with high risk of development of ACLF and mortality.Soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1(sTREM-1)is released from activated innate immune cells and correlated with various inflammatory processes.AIM To explore the prognostic value of sTREM-1 in patients with AD of cirrhosis.METHODS A multicenter prospective cohort of 442 patients with cirrhosis hospitalized for AD was divided into a study cohort(n=309)and validation cohort(n=133).Demographic and clinical data were collected,and serum sTREM-1 was measured at admission.All enrolled patients were followed-up for at least 1 year.RESULTS In patients with AD and cirrhosis,serum sTREM-1 was an independent prognosis predictor for 1-year survival and correlated with liver,coagulation,cerebral and kidney failure.A new prognostic model of AD(P-AD)incorporating sTREM-1,blood urea nitrogen(BUN),total bilirubin(TBil),international normalized ratio(INR)and hepatic encephalopathy grades was established and performed better than the model for end-stage liver disease(MELD),MELD-sodium(MELD-Na),chronic liver failure-consortium(CLIF-C)ACLF and CLIF-C AD scores.Additionally,sTREM-1 was increased in ACLF and predicted the development of ACLF during first 28-d follow-up.The ACLF risk score incorporating serum sTREM-1,BUN,INR,TBil and aspartate aminotransferase levels was established and significantly superior to MELD,MELD-Na,CLIF-C ACLF,CLIF-C AD and P-AD in predicting risk of ACLF development.CONCLUSION Serum sTREM-1 is a promising prognostic biomarker for ACLF development and mortality in patients with AD of cirrhosis.

Evaluation of G3BP1 in the prognosis of acute and acute-on-chronic liver failure after the treatment of artificial liver support system

BACKGROUND The increased expression of G3BP1 was positively correlated with the prognosis of liver failure.AIM To investigate the effect of G3BP1 on the prognosis of acute liver failure(ALF)and acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)after the treatment of artificial liver support system(ALSS).METHODS A total of 244 patients with ALF and ACLF were enrolled in this study.The levels of G3BP1 on admission and at discharge were detected.The validation set of 514 patients was collected to verify the predicted effect of G3BP1 and the viability of prognosis.RESULTS This study was shown that lactate dehydrogenase(LDH),alpha-fetoprotein(AFP)and prothrombin time were closely related to the prognosis of patients.After the ALSS treatment,the patient’amount of decreased G3BP1 index in difference of G3BP1 between the value of discharge and admission(difG3BP1)<0 group had a nearly 10-fold increased risk of progression compared with the amount of increased G3BP1 index.The subgroup analysis showed that the difG3BP1<0 group had a higher risk of progression,regardless of model for end-stage liver disease high-risk or low-risk group.At the same time,compared with the inflam matory marks[tumor necrosis factor-α,interleukin(IL)-1βand IL-18],G3BP1 had higher discrimination and was more stable in the model analysis and validation set.When combined with AFP and LDH,concordance index was respectively 0.84 and 0.8 in training and validation cohorts.CONCLUSION This study indicated that G3BP1 could predict the prognosis of ALF or ACLF patients treated with ALSS.The combination of G3BP1,AFP and LDH could accurately evaluate the disease condition and predict the clinical endpoint of patients.

Prognostic role of the stromal cell derived factor-1 in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND Stromal cell derived factor-1(SDF-1)plays a pivotal role in the recruitment of stem cells to injured livers.However,the changes of SDF-l in patients with hepatitis B virus(HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)have yet to be elucidated.AIM To study the SDF-1 changes in patients with HBV-related ACLF.METHODS 30 patients with HBV-related ACLF,27 patients with chronic hepatitis B and 20 healthy individuals are involved in our study.The SDF-l mRNA expression in liver tissue was detected by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction.Immunohistochemical staining was performed to illustrate the expression of SDFl,CXC receptor 4(CXCR4)and Ki67.The serum SDF-l concentrations were also detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays.RESULTS The expression of SDF-1 mRNA from ACLF patients was remarkably higher than that from other patients(both P<0.05).The expression of SDF-l,CXCR4 and Ki67 from ACLF were the highest among the three groups(all P<0.01).The serum SDF-l levels in ACLF patients were significantly lower than that in other patients(both P<0.01).Moreover,in ACLF patients,the serum SDF-1 Levels were positively correlated with serum total bilirubin and international normalized ratio.In addition,the serum SDF-l levels in survival were significantly lower compared with the non-survivals(P<0.05).The area under the curve for the serum SDF-1 level in predicting 28-d mortality was 0.722(P<0.05).CONCLUSION This study provides the SDF-1 changes in patients with HBV-related ACLF.The SDF-1 Level at admission may serve as a promising prognostic marker for predicting short-term prognosis.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: Controversies and consensus

Acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)is a poorly defined syndrome characterised by rapid clinical deterioration in patients with chronic liver disease.Consequences include high short-term morbidity,mortality,and healthcare resource utilisation.ACLF encompasses a dysregulated,systemic inflammatory response,which can precipitate extra hepatic organ failures.Common precipitants include infection,alcoholic hepatitis,and reactivation of viral hepatitis although frequently no cause is identified.Heterogenous definitions,diagnostic criteria,and treatment guidelines,have been proposed by international hepatology societies.This can result in delayed or missed diagnoses of ACLF,significant variability in clinical management,and under-estimation of disease burden.Liver transplantation may be considered but the mainstay of treatment is organ support,often in the intensive care unit.This review will provide clarity around where are the controversies and consensus in ACLF including:Epidemiology and resource utilisation,key clinical and diagnostic features,strategies for management,and research gaps.

Impact of cirrhosis-related complications on posttransplant survival in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background:Acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)is a life-threatening syndrome defined as acute decompensation in patients with chronic liver disease.Liver transplantation(LT)is the most effective treatment.We aimed to assess the impact of cirrhosis-related complications pre-LT on the posttransplant prognosis of patients with ACLF.Methods:This was an observational cohort study conducted between January 2018 and December 2020.Clinical characteristics,cirrhosis-related complications at LT and patient survival post-LT were collected.All liver recipients with ACLF were followed for 1 year post-LT.Results:A total of 212 LT recipients with ACLF were enrolled,including 75(35.4%)patients with ACLF-1,64(30.2%)with ACLF-2,and 73(34.4%)with ACLF-3.The median waiting time for LT was 11(4-24)days.The most prevalent cirrhosis-related complication was ascites(78.8%),followed by hepatic encephalopathy(57.1%),bacterial infections(48.1%),hepatorenal syndrome(22.2%)and gastrointestinal bleeding(11.3%).Survival analyses showed that patients with complications at LT had a significantly lower survival probability at both 3 months and 1 year after LT than those without complications(all P<0.05).A simplified model was developed by assigning one point to each complication:transplantation for ACLF with cirrhosis-related complication(TACC)model.Risk stratification of TACC model identified 3 strata(≥4,=3,and≤2)with high,median and low risk of death after LT(P<0.001).Moreover,the TACC model showed a comparable ability for predicting the outcome post-LT to the other four prognostic models(chronic liver failure-consortium ACLF score,Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF score,model for end-stage liver disease score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score).Conclusions:The presence of cirrhosis-related complications pre-LT increases the risk of death post-LT in patients with ACLF.The TACC model based on the number of cirrhosis-related complications pre-LT could stratify posttransplant survival,which might help to determine transplant timing for ACLF.

Fecal cytolysin does not predict disease severity in acutely decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background:Cirrhosis with acute decompensation(AD)and acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)are characterized by high morbidity and mortality.Cytolysin,a toxin from Enterococcus faecalis(E.faecalis),is associated with mortality in alcohol-associated hepatitis(AH).It is unclear whether cytolysin also contributes to disease severity in AD and ACLF.Methods:We studied the role of fecal cytolysin in 78 cirrhotic patients with AD/ACLF.Bacterial DNA from fecal samples was extracted and real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction(PCR)was performed.The association between fecal cytolysin and liver disease severity in cirrhosis with AD or ACLF was analyzed.Results:Fecal cytolysin and E.faecalis abundance did not predict chronic liver failure(CLIF-C)AD and ACLF scores.Presence of fecal cytolysin was not associated with other liver disease markers,including Fibrosis-4(FIB-4)index,‘Age,serum Bilirubin,INR,and serum Creatinine(ABIC)’score,Child-Pugh score,model for end-stage liver disease(MELD)nor MELD-Na scores in AD or ACLF patients.Conclusions:Fecal cytolysin does not predict disease severity in AD and ACLF patients.The predictive value of fecal cytolysin positivity for mortality appears to be restricted to AH.

Application of extended criteria donor grafts in liver transplantation for acute-on-chronic liver failure:A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND There is no consensus on the usage of extended criteria donor(ECD)grafts in liver transplantation(LT)for acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)patients.AIM To summarize the experience of using ECD livers in ACLF-LT.METHODS A retrospective cohort study was conducted,enrolling patients who underwent LT at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University from January 2015 to November 2021.The patients were divided into ECD and non-ECD groups for analysis.RESULTS A total of 145 recipients were enrolled in this study,of which ECD and non-ECD recipients accounted for 53.8%and 46.2%,respectively.Donation after cardiac death(DCD)recipients accounted for the minority compared with donation after brain death(DBD)recipients(16.6%vs 83.4%).Neither overall survival nor graft survival significantly differed between ECD and non-ECD and DCD and DBD recipients.ECD grafts were associated with a significantly higher incidence of early allograft dysfunction(EAD)than non-ECD grafts(67.9%vs 41.8%,P=0.002).Postoperative outcomes between DCD and DBD recipients were comparable(P>0.05).ECD graft(P=0.009),anhepatic phase(P=0.034)and recipient gamma glutamyltransferase(P=0.016)were independent risk factors for EAD.Recipient preoperative number of extrahepatic organ failures>2(P=0.015)and intraoperative blood loss(P=0.000)were independent predictors of poor post-LT survival.CONCLUSION Although related to a higher risk of EAD,ECD grafts can be safely used in ACLF-LT.The main factors affecting post-LT survival in ACLF patients are their own severe preoperative disease and intraoperative blood loss.

Hypermethylation of thymosinβ4 predicts a poor prognosis for patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure

Background:It has been demonstrated that thymosinβ4(Tβ4)could inflect the severity of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure(ACHBLF),but the relationship between its methylation status and the prognosis of liver failure is not clear.This study aimed to determine Tβ4 promoter methylation status in patients with ACHBLF and to evaluate its prognostic value.Methods:The study recruited 115 patients with ACHBLF,80 with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B pre-liver failure(pre-ACHBLF),and 86 with chronic hepatitis B(CHB).In addition,there were 36 healthy controls(HCs)from the Department of Hepatology,Qilu Hospital of Shandong University.The 115 patients with ACHBLF were divided into three subgroups:33 with early stage ACHBLF(E-ACHBLF),42 with mid-stage ACHBLF(M-ACHBLF),and 40 with advanced stage ACHBLF(A-ACHBLF).Tβ4 promoter methylation status in peripheral blood mononuclear cells(PBMCs)was measured by methylation-specific polymerase chain reaction,and mRNA was detected by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction.Results:Methylation frequency of Tβ4 was significantly higher in patients with ACHBLF than in those with pre-ACHBLF,CHB or HCs.However,expression of Tβ4 mRNA showed the opposite trend.In patients with ACHBLF,Tβ4 promoter methylation status correlated negatively with mRNA levels.The 3-month mortality of ACHBLF in the methylated group was significantly higher than that in the unmethylated group.Also,Tβ4 promoter methylation frequency was lower in survivors than in non-survivors.When used to predict the 1-,2-,and 3-month incidence of ACHBLF,Tβ4 methylation status was better than the model for end-stage liver disease(MELD)score.The predictive value of Tβ4 methylation was higher than that of MELD score for the mortality of patients with E-ACHBLF and M-ACHBLF,but not for A-ACHBLF.Conclusions:Tβ4 methylation might be an important early marker for predicting disease incidence and prognosis in patients with ACHBLF.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection

The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2(SARS-CoV-2)has had a significant impact on the lives of millions of people,especially those with other concomitant diseases,such as chronic liver diseases.To date,seven coronaviruses have been identified to infect humans.The main site of pathological action of these viruses is lung tissue.However,a substantial number of studies have proven that SARSCoV-2 shows affinity towards several organs,including the gastrointestinal tract and the liver.The current state of evidence points to several proposed mechanisms of liver injury in patients with COVID-19 and their combination.Liver impairment is considered to be the result of the direct effect of the virus on the hepatic tissue cells,a systemic reaction consisting of inflammation,hypoxia and cytokine storm,drug-induced liver injury,with the possible contribution of a perturbed gut-liver axis.Reactivation of chronic hepatic disease could be another factor for liver impairment in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection.Acute-onchronic liver failure(ACLF)is a relatively new syndrome that occurs in 10%–30%of all hospitalized patients with chronic liver disease.It is crucial to recognize high-risk patients due to the increased morbidity and mortality in these cases.Several published studies have reported virus infection as a trigger factor for ACLF.However,to date,there are few relevant studies describing the presence of ACLF in patients with acute SARS-CoV-2 infection.In this minireview we summarize the current state of knowledge regarding the relation between ACLF and acute SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Lymphocyte-to-white blood cell ratio is associated with outcome in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND The lymphocyte-to-white blood cell ratio(LWR)is a blood marker of the systemic inflammatory response.The prognostic value of LWR in patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure(HBV-ACLF)remains unclear.AIM To explore whether LWR could stratify the risk of poor outcomes in HBV-ACLF patients.METHODS This study was conducted by recruiting 330 patients with HBV-ACLF at the Department of Gastroenterology in a large tertiary hospital.Patients were divided into survivor and non-survivor groups according to their 28-d prognosis.The independent risk factors for 28-d mortality were calculated by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses.Patients were divided into low-and high-LWR groups according to the cutoff values.Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed according to the level of LWR.RESULTS During the 28-d follow-up time,135 patients died,and the mortality rate was 40.90%.The LWR level in non-surviving patients was significantly decreased compared to that in surviving patients.A lower LWR level was an independent risk factor for poor 28-d outcomes(hazard ratio=0.052,95%confidence interval:0.005-0.535).The LWR level was significantly negatively correlated with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh,model for end-stage liver disease,and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF II scores.In addition,the 28-d mortality was higher for patients with LWR<0.11 than for those with LWR≥0.11.CONCLUSION LWR may serve as a simple and useful tool for stratifying the risk of poor 28-d outcomes in HBVACLF patients.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure induced by antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C: A case report

BACKGROUND There have been no reports of acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)during treatment of chronic hepatitis C(CHC)with direct-acting antivirals(DAAs).CASE SUMMARY We report a 50-year-old male patient with CHC.The patient sought medical attention from the Department of Infectious Diseases at our hospital due to severe yellowing of the skin and sclera,which developed 3 mo previously and attended two consecutive hospitals without finding the cause of liver damage.It was not until 1 mo ago that he was diagnosed with CHC at our hospital.After discharge,he was treated with DAAs.During treatment,ACLF occurred,and timely measures such as liver protection,enzyme lowering,anti-infective treatment,and suppression of inflammatory storms were implemented to control the condition.CONCLUSION DAA drugs significantly improve the cure rate of CHC.However,when patients have factors such as autoimmune attack,coinfection,or unclear hepatitis C virus genotype,close monitoring is required during DAA treatment.

Establishing delivery route-dependent safety and efficacy of living biodrug mesenchymal stem cells in heart failure patients

BACKGROUND Mesenchymal stem cells(MSCs)as living biopharmaceuticals with unique properties,i.e.,stemness,viability,phenotypes,paracrine activity,etc.,need to be administered such that they reach the target site,maintaining these properties unchanged and are retained at the injury site to participate in the repair process.Route of delivery(RoD)remains one of the critical determinants of safety and efficacy.This study elucidates the safety and effectiveness of different RoDs of MSC treatment in heart failure(HF)based on phase II randomized clinical trials(RCTs).We hypothesize that the RoD modulates the safety and efficacy of MSCbased therapy and determines the outcome of the intervention.AIM To investigate the effect of RoD of MSCs on safety and efficacy in HF patients.METHODS RCTs were retrieved from six databases.Safety endpoints included mortality and serious adverse events(SAEs),while efficacy outcomes encompassed changes in left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),6-minute walk distance(6MWD),and pro-B-type natriuretic peptide(pro-BNP).Subgroup analyses on RoD were performed for all study endpoints.RESULTS Twelve RCTs were included.Overall,MSC therapy demonstrated a significant decrease in mortality[relative risk(RR):0.55,95%confidence interval(95%CI):0.33-0.92,P=0.02]compared to control,while SAE outcomes showed no significant difference(RR:0.84,95%CI:0.66-1.05,P=0.11).RoD subgroup analysis revealed a significant difference in SAE among the transendocardial(TESI)injection subgroup(RR=0.71,95%CI:0.54-0.95,P=0.04).The pooled weighted mean difference(WMD)demonstrated an overall significant improvement of LVEF by 2.44%(WMD:2.44%,95%CI:0.80-4.29,P value≤0.001),with only intracoronary(IC)subgroup showing significant improvement(WMD:7.26%,95%CI:5.61-8.92,P≤0.001).Furthermore,the IC delivery route significantly improved 6MWD by 115 m(WMD=114.99 m,95%CI:91.48-138.50),respectively.In biochemical efficacy outcomes,only the IC subgroup showed a significant reduction in pro-BNP by-860.64 pg/mL(WMD:-860.64 pg/Ml,95%CI:-944.02 to-777.26,P=0.001).CONCLUSION Our study concluded that all delivery methods of MSC-based therapy are safe.Despite the overall benefits in efficacy,the TESI and IC routes provided better outcomes than other methods.Larger-scale trials are warranted before implementing MSC-based therapy in routine clinical practice.

Mitochondrial dysfunction affects hepatic immune and metabolic remodeling in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-onchronic liver failure

BACKGROUND Immune dysregulation and metabolic derangement have been recognized as key factors that contribute to the progression of hepatitis B virus(HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF).However,the mechanisms underlying immune and metabolic derangement in patients with advanced HBV-ACLF are unclear.AIM To identify the bioenergetic alterations in the liver of patients with HBV-ACLF causing hepatic immune dysregulation and metabolic disorders.METHODS Liver samples were collected from 16 healthy donors(HDs)and 17 advanced HBV-ACLF patients who were eligible for liver transplantation.The mitochondrial ultrastructure,metabolic characteristics,and immune microenvironment of the liver were assessed.More focus was given to organic acid metabolism as well as the function and subpopulations of macrophages in patients with HBV-ACLF.RESULTS Compared with HDs,there was extensive hepatocyte necrosis,immune cell infiltration,and ductular reaction in patients with ACLF.In patients,the liver suffered severe hypoxia,as evidenced by increased expression of hypoxia-inducible factor-1α.Swollen mitochondria and cristae were observed in the liver of patients.The number,length,width,and area of mitochondria were adaptively increased in hepatocytes.Targeted metabolomics analysis revealed that mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation decreased,while anaerobic glycolysis was enhanced in patients with HBV-ACLF.These findings suggested that,to a greater extent,hepa-tocytes used the extra-mitochondrial glycolytic pathway as an energy source.Patients with HBV-ACLF had elevated levels of chemokine C-C motif ligand 2 in the liver homogenate,which stimulates peripheral monocyte infiltration into the liver.Characterization and functional analysis of macrophage subsets revealed that patients with ACLF had a high abundance of CD68^(+)HLA-DR^(+)macrophages and elevated levels of both interleukin-1βand transforming growth factor-β1 in their livers.The abundance of CD206^(+)CD163^(+)macrophages and expression of interleukin-10 decreased.The correlation analysis revealed that hepatic organic acid metabolites were closely associated with macrophage-derived cytokines/chemokines.CONCLUSION The results indicated that bioenergetic alteration driven by hypoxia and mitochondrial dysfunction affects hepatic immune and metabolic remodeling,leading to advanced HBV-ACLF.These findings highlight a new therapeutic target for improving the treatment of HBV-ACLF.

Characterization of acute-on-chronic liver diseases: A multicenter prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND Acute-on-chronic liver disease(AoCLD)accounts for the majority of patients hospitalized in the Department of Hepatology or Infectious Diseases.AIM To explore the characterization of AoCLD to provide theoretical guidance for the accurate diagnosis and prognosis of AoCLD.METHODS Patients with AoCLD from the Chinese Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure(ACLF)study cohort were included in this study.The clinical characteristics and outcomes,and the 90-d survival rate associated with each clinical type of AoCLD were analyzed,using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test.RESULTS A total of 3375 patients with AoCLD were enrolled,including 1679(49.7%)patients with liver cirrhosis acute decompensation(LC-AD),850(25.2%)patients with ACLF,577(17.1%)patients with chronic hepatitis acute exacer-bation(CHAE),and 269(8.0%)patients with liver cirrhosis active phase(LC-A).The most common cause of chronic liver disease(CLD)was HBV infection(71.4%).The most common precipitants of AoCLD was bacterial infection(22.8%).The 90-d mortality rates of each clinical subtype of AoCLD were 43.4%(232/535)for type-C ACLF,36.0%(36/100)for type-B ACLF,27.0%(58/215)for type-A ACLF,9.0%(151/1679)for LC-AD,3.0%(8/269)for LC-A,and 1.2%(7/577)for CHAE.CONCLUSION HBV infection is the main cause of CLD,and bacterial infection is the main precipitant of AoCLD.The most common clinical type of AoCLD is LC-AD.Early diagnosis and timely intervention are needed to reduce the mortality of patients with LC-AD or ACLF.

Development and validation of a predictive model for acute-onchronic liver failure after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

BACKGROUND Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)is a cause of acute-onchronic liver failure(ACLF).AIM To investigate the risk factors of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and construct a prediction model.METHODS In total,379 patients with decompensated cirrhosis treated with TIPS at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from 2017 to 2020 were selected as the training cohort,and 123 patients from Nanfang Hospital were included in the external validation cohort.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors.The prediction model was established based on the Akaike information criterion.Internal and external validation were conducted to assess the performance of the model.RESULTS Age and total bilirubin(TBil)were independent risk factors for the incidence of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS.We developed a prediction model comprising age,TBil,and serum sodium,which demonstrated good discrimination and calibration in both the training cohort and the external validation cohort.CONCLUSION Age and TBil are independent risk factors for the incidence of ACLF within 1 year after TIPS in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.Our model showed satisfying predictive value.

Entecavir vs lamivudine therapy for na?ve patients with spontaneous reactivation of hepatitis B presenting as acute-on-chronic liver failure

AIM:To investigate the short-term and long-term efficacy of entecavir versus lamivudine in patients with spontaneous reactivation of hepatitis B presenting as acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF).METHODS:This was a single center,prospective cohort study.Eligible,consecutive hospitalized patients received either entecavir 0.5 mg/d or lamivudine 100mg/d.All patients were given standard comprehensive internal medicine.The primary endpoint was survival rate at day 60,and secondary endpoints were reduction in hepatitis B virus(HBV)DNA and alanine aminotransferase(ALT)levels,and improvement in Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)and model for end-stage liver disease(MELD)scores at day 60 and survival rate at week 52.RESULTS:One hundred and nineteen eligible subjects were recruited from 176 patients with severe acute exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B:65 were included in the entecavir group and 54 in the lamivudine group(full analysis set).No significant differences were found in patient baseline clinical parameters.At day 60,entecavir did not improve the probability of survival(P=0.066),despite resulting in faster virological suppression(P<0.001),higher rates of virological response(P<0.05)and greater reductions in the CTP and MELD scores(all P<0.05)than lamivudine.Intriguingly,at week 52,the probability of survival was higher in the entecavir group than in the lamivudine group[42/65(64.6%)vs 26/54(48.1%),respectively;P=0.038].The pretreatment MELD score(B,1.357;95%Cl:2.138-7.062;P=0.000)and virological response at day30(B,1.556;95%Cl:1.811-12.411;P=0.002),were found to be good predictors for 52-wk survival.CONCLUSION:Entecavir significantly reduced HBV DNA levels,decreased the CTP and MELD scores,and thereby improved the long-term survival rate in patients with spontaneous reactivation of hepatitis B presenting as ACLF.

Plasma exchange in patients with acute and acute-on-chronic liver failure: A systematic review

BACKGROUND Acute liver failure(ALF)and acute-on-chronic liver(ACLF)carry high short-term mortality rate,and may result from a wide variety of causes.Plasma exchange has been shown in a randomized control trial to improve survival in ALF especially in patients who did not receive a liver transplant.Other cohort studies demonstrated potential improvement in survival in patients with ACLF.AIM To assess utility of plasma exchange in liver failure and its effect on mortality in patients who do not undergo liver transplantation.METHODS Databases MEDLINE via PubMed,and EMBASE were searched and relevant publications up to 30 March,2019 were assessed.Studies were included if they involved human participants diagnosed with liver failure who underwent plasma exchange,with or without another alternative non-bioartificial liver assist device.RESULTS Three hundred twenty four records were reviewed,of which 62 studies were found to be duplicates.Of the 262 records screened,211 studies were excluded.Fifty-one articles were assessed for eligibility,for which 7 were excluded.Twenty-nine studies were included for ALF only,and 9 studies for ACLF only.Six studies included both ALF and ACLF patients.A total of 44 publications were included.Of the included publications,2 were randomized controlled trials,14 cohort studies,12 case series,16 case reports.All of three ALF studies which looked at survival rate or survival days reported improvement in outcome with plasma exchange.In two out of four studies where plasma exchange-based liver support systems were compared to standard medical treatment(SMT)for ACLF,a biochemical improvement was seen.Survival in the non-transplanted patients was improved in all four studies in patients with ACLF comparing plasma exchange vs SMT.Using the aforementioned studies,plasma exchange based therapy in ACLF compared to SMT improved survival in non-transplanted patients at 30 and 90-d with a pooled OR of 0.60(95%CI 0.46-0.77,P<0.01).CONCLUSION The level of evidence for use of high volume plasma exchange in selected ALF cases is high.Plasma exchange in ACLF improves survival at 30-and 90-d in nontransplanted patients.Further well-designed randomized control trials will need to be carried out to ascertain the optimal duration and amount of plasma exchange required and assess if the use of high volume plasma exchange can be extrapolated to patients with ACLF.

Cystatin C is a biomarker for predicting acute kidney injury in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

AIM:To investigate serum cystatin C level as an early biomarker for predicting acute kidney injury(AKI)in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF).METHODS:Fifty-six consecutive patients with hepatitis B virus-related ACLF who had normal serum creatinine(Cr)level(<1.2 mg/dL in men,or<1.1 mg/dL in women)were enrolled in the Liver Failure Treatment and Research Center of Beijing 302 Hospital between August 2011 and October 2012.Thirty patients with chronic hepatitis B(CHB)and 30 healthy controls in the same study period were also included.Measurement of serum cystatin C(CysC)was performed by a particle-enhanced immunonephelometry assay using the BN Prospec nephelometer system.The ACLF patients were followed during their hospitalization period.RESULTS:In the ACLF group,serum level of CysC was 1.1±0.4 mg/L,which was significantly higher(P<0.01)than those in the healthy controls(0.6±0.3mg/L)and CHB patients(0.7±0.2 mg/L).During the hospitalization period,eight ACLF patients developed AKI.Logistic regression analysis indicated that CysC level was an independent risk factor for AKI development(odds ratio=1.8;95%CI:1.4-2.3,P=0.021).The cutoff value of serum CysC for prediction of AKI in ACLF patients was 1.21 mg/L.The baseline CysC-based estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR CysC)was significantly lower than the creatinine-based eGFR(eGFR CG and eGFR MDRD)in ACLF patients with AKI,suggesting that baseline eGFR CysC represented early renal function in ACLF patients while the Cr levels were still within the normal ranges.CONCLUSION:Serum CysC provides early prediction of renal dysfunction in ACLF patients with a normal serum Cr level.

Prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure patients treated with artificial liver support system

AIM: To establish a new model for predicting survival in acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF) patients treated with an artificial liver support system. METHODS: One hundred and eighty-one ACLF patients who were admitted to the hospital from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2014 and were treated with an artificial liver support system were enrolled in this retrospective study, including a derivation cohort(n = 113) and a validation cohort(n = 68). Laboratory parameters at baseline were analyzed and correlatedwith clinical outcome. In addition to standard medical therapy, ACLF patients underwent plasma exchange(PE) or plasma bilirubin adsorption(PBA) combined with plasma exchange. For the derivation cohort, KaplanMeier methods were used to estimate survival curves, and Cox regression was used in survival analysis to generate a prognostic model. The performance of the new model was tested in the validation cohort using a receiver-operator curve.RESULTS: The mean overall survival for the derivation cohort was 441 d(95%CI: 379-504 d), and the 90- and 270-d survival probabilities were 70.3% and 58.3%, respectively. The mean survival times of patients treated with PBA plus PE and patients treated with PE were 531 d(95%CI: 455-605 d) and 343 d(95%CI: 254-432 d), respectively, which were significantly different(P = 0.012). When variables with bivariate significance were selected for inclusion into the multivariate Cox regression model, number of complications, age, scores of the model for end-stage liver disease(MELD) and type of artificial liver support system were defined as independent risk factors for survival in ACLF patients. This new prognostic model could accurately discriminate the outcome of patients with different scores in this cohort(P < 0.001). The model also had the ability to assign a predicted survival probability for individual patients. In the validation cohort, the new model remained better than the MELD.CONCLUSION: A novel model was constructed to predict prognosis and accurately discriminate survival in ACLF patients treated with an artificial liver support system.