Cooperative interception with fast multiple model adaptive estimation

For the case that two pursuers intercept an evasive target,the cooperative strategies and state estimation methods taken by pursuers can seriously affect the guidance accuracy for the target,which performs a bang For the case that two pursuers intercept an evasive target,the cooperative strategies and state estimation methods taken by pursuers can seriously affect the guidance accuracy for the target,which performs a bang-bang evasive maneuver with a random switching time.Combined Fast multiple model adaptive estimation(Fast MMAE)algorithm,the cooperative guidance law takes detection configuration affecting the accuracy of interception into consideration.Introduced the detection error model related to the line-of-sight(LOS)separation angle of two interceptors,an optimal cooperative guidance law solving the optimization problem is designed to modulate the LOS separation angle to reduce the estimation error and improve the interception performance.Due to the uncertainty of the target bang-bang maneuver switching time and the effective fitting of its multi-modal motion,Fast MMAE is introduced to identify its maneuver switching time and estimate the acceleration of the target to track and intercept the target accurately.The designed cooperative optimal guidance law with Fast MMAE has better estimation ability and interception performance than the traditional guidance law and estimation method via Monte Carlo simulation.

Improved adaptively robust estimation algorithm for GNSS spoofer considering continuous observation error

Once the spoofer has controlled the navigation sys-tem of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV),it is hard to effectively control the error convergence to meet the threshold condition only by adjusting parameters of estimation if estimation of the spoofer on UAV has continuous observation error.Aiming at this problem,the influence of the spoofer’s state estimation error on spoofing effect and error convergence conditions is theoretically analyzed,and an improved adaptively robust estimation algo-rithm suitable for steady-state linear quadratic estimator is pro-posed.It enables the spoofer’s estimator to reliably estimate UAV status in real time,improves the robustness of the estima-tor in responding to observation errors,and accelerates the con-vergence time of error control.Simulation experiments show that the mean value of normalized innovation squared(NIS)is reduced by 88.5%,and the convergence time of NIS value is reduced by 76.3%,the convergence time of true trajectory error of UAV is reduced by 42.3%,the convergence time of estimated trajectory error of UAV is reduced by 67.4%,the convergence time of estimated trajectory error of the spoofer is reduced by 33.7%,and the convergence time of broadcast trajectory error of the spoofer is reduced by 54.8%when the improved algorithm is used.The improved algorithm can make UAV deviate from pre-set trajectory to spoofing trajectory more effectively and more subtly.

Active Kriging-Based Adaptive Importance Sampling for Reliability and Sensitivity Analyses of Stator Blade Regulator

The reliability and sensitivity analyses of stator blade regulator usually involve complex characteristics like highnonlinearity,multi-failure regions,and small failure probability,which brings in unacceptable computing efficiency and accuracy of the current analysismethods.In this case,by fitting the implicit limit state function(LSF)with active Kriging(AK)model and reducing candidate sample poolwith adaptive importance sampling(AIS),a novel AK-AIS method is proposed.Herein,theAKmodel andMarkov chainMonte Carlo(MCMC)are first established to identify the most probable failure region(s)(MPFRs),and the adaptive kernel density estimation(AKDE)importance sampling function is constructed to select the candidate samples.With the best samples sequentially attained in the reduced candidate samples and employed to update the Kriging-fitted LSF,the failure probability and sensitivity indices are acquired at a lower cost.The proposed method is verified by twomulti-failure numerical examples,and then applied to the reliability and sensitivity analyses of a typical stator blade regulator.Withmethods comparison,the proposed AK-AIS is proven to hold the computing advantages on accuracy and efficiency in complex reliability and sensitivity analysis problems.

Adaptive Kalman filter based state of charge estimation algorithm for lithium-ion battery

In order to improve the accuracy of the battery state of charge（SOC） estimation, in this paper we take a lithiumion battery as an example to study the adaptive Kalman filter based SOC estimation algorithm. Firstly, the second-order battery system model is introduced. Meanwhile, the temperature and charge rate are introduced into the model. Then, the temperature and the charge rate are adopted to estimate the battery SOC, with the help of the parameters of an adaptive Kalman filter based estimation algorithm model. Afterwards, it is verified by the numerical simulation that in the ideal case, the accuracy of SOC estimation can be enhanced by adding two elements, namely, the temperature and charge rate.Finally, the actual road conditions are simulated with ADVISOR, and the simulation results show that the proposed method improves the accuracy of battery SOC estimation under actual road conditions. Thus, its application scope in engineering is greatly expanded.

Joint state and parameter estimation in particle filtering and stochastic optimization

In this paper, an adaptive estimation algorithm is proposed for non-linear dynamic systems with unknown static parameters based on combination of particle filtering and Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approxi- mation （SPSA） technique. The estimations of parameters are obtained by maximum-likelihood estimation and sampling within particle filtering framework, and the SPSA is used for stochastic optimization and to approximate the gradient of the cost function. The proposed algorithm achieves combined estimation of dynamic state and static parameters of nonlinear systems. Simulation result demonstrates the feasibilitv and efficiency of the proposed algorithm

Compliance motion control of the hydraulic dual-arm manipulator with adaptive mass estimation of unknown object

Given the limited operating ability of a single robotic arm,dual-arm collaborative operations have become increasingly prominent.Compared with the electrically driven dual-arm manipulator,due to the unknown heavy load,difficulty in measuring contact forces,and control complexity during the closed-chain object transportation task,the hydraulic dual-arm manipulator(HDM)faces more difficulty in accurately tracking the desired motion trajectory,which may cause object deformation or even breakage.To overcome this problem,a compliance motion control method is proposed in this paper for the HDM.The mass parameter of the unknown object is obtained by using an adaptive method based on velocity error.Due to the difficulty in obtaining the actual internal force of the object,the pressure signal from the pressure sensor of the hydraulic system is used to estimate the contact force at the end-effector(EE)of two hydraulic manipulators(HMs).Further,the estimated contact force is used to calculate the actual internal force on the object.Then,a compliance motion controller is designed for HDM closed-chain collaboration.The position and internal force errors of the object are reduced by the feedback of the position,velocity,and internal force errors of the object to achieve the effect of the compliance motion of the HDM,i.e.,to reduce the motion error and internal force of the object.The required velocity and force at the EE of the two HMs,including the position and internal force errors of the object,are inputted into separate position controllers.In addition,the position controllers of the two individual HMs are designed to enable precise motion control by using the virtual decomposition control method.Finally,comparative experiments are carried out on a hydraulic dual-arm test bench.The proposed method is validated by the experimental results,which demonstrate improved object position accuracy and reduced internal force.

Adaptive link layer security architecture for telecommand communications in space networks

Impressive advances in space technology are enabling complex missions, with potentially significant and long term impacts on human life and activities. In the vision of future space exploration, communication links among planets, satel ites, spacecrafts and crewed vehicles wil be designed according to a new paradigm, known as the disruption tolerant networking. In this scenario, space channel peculiarities impose a massive reengineering of many of the protocols usually adopted in terrestrial networks; among them, security solutions are to be deeply reviewed, and tailored to the specific space requirements. Security is to be provided not only to the payload data exchanged on the network, but also to the telecommands sent to a spacecraft, along possibly differentiated paths. Starting from the secure space telecommand design developed by the Consultative Committee for Space Data Systems as a response to agency-based requirements, an adaptive link layer security architecture is proposed to address some of the chal enges for future space networks. Based on the analysis of the communication environment and the error diffusion properties of the authentication algorithms, a suitable mechanism is proposed to classify frame retransmission requests on the basis of the originating event （error or security attack） and reduce the impact of security operations. An adaptive algorithm to optimize the space control protocol, based on estimates of the time varying space channel, is also presented. The simulation results clearly demonstrate that the proposed architecture is feasible and efficient, especially when facing malicious attacks against frame transmission.

Parameter estimation of DSSS signals in non-cooperative communication system

A new adaptive estimator for direct sequence spread spectrum （DSSS） signals using fourth-order cumulant based adaptive method is considered. The general higher-order statistics may not be easily applied in signal processing with too complex computation. Based on the fourth-order cumulant with 1-D slices and adaptive filters, an efficient algorithm is proposed to solve the problem and is extended for nonstationary stochastic processes. In order to achieve the accurate parameter estimation of direct sequence spread spectrum （DSSS） signals, the fast step uses the modified fourth-order cumulant to reduce the computing complexity. While the second step employs an adaptive recursive system to estimate the power spectrum in the frequency domain. In the case of intercepted signals without large enough data samples, the estimator provides good performance in parameter estimation and white Gaussian noise suppression. Computer simulations are included to corroborate the theoretical development with different signal-to-noise ratio conditions and recursive coefficients.

Adaptive coherence estimator based on the Krylov subspace technique for airborne radar

A novel adaptive detector for airborne radar space-time adaptive detection （STAD） in partially homogeneous environments is proposed. The novel detector combines the numerically stable Krylov subspace technique and diagonal loading technique, and it uses the framework of the adaptive coherence estimator （ACE）. It can effectively detect a target with low sample support. Compared with its natural competitors, the novel detector has higher proba- bility of detection （PD）, especially when the number of the training data is low. Moreover, it is shown to be practically constant false alarm rate （CFAR）.

A sparsity adaptive compressed signal reconstruction based on sensing dictionary

Signal reconstruction is a significantly important theoretical issue for compressed sensing.Considering the situation of signal reconstruction with unknown sparsity,the conventional signal reconstruction algorithms usually perform low accuracy.In this work,a sparsity adaptive signal reconstruction algorithm using sensing dictionary is proposed to achieve a lower reconstruction error.The sparsity estimation method is combined with the construction of the support set based on sensing dictionary.Using the adaptive sparsity method,an iterative signal reconstruction algorithm is proposed.The sufficient conditions for the exact signal reconstruction of the algorithm also is proved by theory.According to a series of simulations,the results show that the proposed method has higher precision compared with other state-of-the-art signal reconstruction algorithms especially in a high compression ratio scenarios.

Adaptive detection in the presence of signal mismatch

The problem of adaptive detection in the situation of signal mismatch is considered; that is, the actual signal steering vector is not aligned with the nominal one. Two novel tunable detectors are proposed. They can control the degree to which the mismatched signals are rejected. Remarkably, it is found that they both cover existing famous detectors as their special cases. More importantly, they possess the constant false alarm rate（CFAR）property and achieve enhanced mismatched signal rejection or improved robustness than their natural competitors. Besides, they can provide slightly better matched signals detection performance than the existing detectors.

Multiple model PHD filter for tracking sharply maneuvering targets using recursive RANSAC based adaptive birth estimation

An algorithm to track multiple sharply maneuvering targets without prior knowledge about new target birth is proposed. These targets are capable of achieving sharp maneuvers within a short period of time, such as drones and agile missiles.The probability hypothesis density (PHD) filter, which propagates only the first-order statistical moment of the full target posterior, has been shown to be a computationally efficient solution to multitarget tracking problems. However, the standard PHD filter operates on the single dynamic model and requires prior information about target birth distribution, which leads to many limitations in terms of practical applications. In this paper,we introduce a nonzero mean, white noise turn rate dynamic model and generalize jump Markov systems to multitarget case to accommodate sharply maneuvering dynamics. Moreover, to adaptively estimate newborn targets’information, a measurement-driven method based on the recursive random sampling consensus (RANSAC) algorithm is proposed. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves significant improvement in tracking multiple sharply maneuvering targets with adaptive birth estimation.

Adaptive deinterlacing algorithm based on motion compensation

An adaptive de-interlacing algorithm based on motion compensation is presented. It consists of the detection of motion blocks, the adaptive motion estimation with Kalman filtering, and the motion compensation for motion blocks and field repetition for static blocks. The detection of motion blocks can accurately identify the motion blocks by using successive 4-field images. The motion estimation module with Kalman filtering searches motion vectors only for motion blocks, and the search model is adaptive to motion velocity and acceleration. Two de-interlacing methods are adopted to satisfy the different requirements of motion blocks and static blocks. Compared with full search algorithm, the proposed algorithm greatly reduces the computational amount while keeping the performance approximately.

Asymptotic Normality of Multi-Dimension Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimate in Generalized Linear Models withAdaptive Design

We study the quasi likelihood equation in Generalized Linear Models（GLM） with adaptive design ∑（i=1）^n xi（yi-h（x＇iβ））=0, where yi is a q=vector, and xi is a p×q random matrix. Under some assumptions, it is shown that the Quasi- Likelihood equation for the GLM has a solution which is asymptotic normal.

Using Analysis State to Construct a Forecast Error Covariance Matrix in Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation

Correctly estimating the forecast error covariance matrix is a key step in any data assimilation scheme. If it is not correctly estimated, the assimilated states could be far from the true states. A popular method to address this problem is error covariance matrix inflation. That is, to multiply the forecast error covariance matrix by an appropriate factor. In this paper, analysis states are used to construct the forecast error covariance matrix and an adaptive estimation procedure associated with the error covariance matrix inflation technique is developed. The proposed assimilation scheme was tested on the Lorenz-96 model and 2D Shallow Water Equation model, both of which are associated with spatially correlated observational systems. The experiments showed that by introducing the proposed structure of the forecast error eovariance matrix and applying its adaptive estimation procedure, the assimilation results were further improved.

Design and comparison of minimal symmetric model-subset for maneuvering target tracking

Model-set is utilized in state estimation for maneuver- ing target tracking. Two minimal symmetric model-subsets are designed and investigated by moment matching method, which include hypersphere-symmetric model-subset and axis-symmetric model-subset, if system mode is a random variable and obeys certain probability distribution. They can be used as the fun- damental model-subset for multiple models estimation with fixed structure, variable structure and moving bank. The model-groups constructed by above designed subsets are given, which give the practical guidance for use of model-set in multiple models ap- proach with a variable structure. Simulation results show that the performances of two minimal model-set significantly outperform the corresponding model-sets with fixed spacing.

Fault diagnosis based on high-gain observer with an update law for a class of nonlinear systems

In this paper,by using the well-known high-gain observer design,an update law for the gain and an adaptive estimation of parameters,a new method of fault diagnosis for a class of nonlinear systems is presented.Without resort to any transformation for the parameters,the estimation errors of the states and the parameters are guaranteed to be globally exponentially convergent by a persistent excitation condition.Compared to the existing results,it can be applied to nonlinear systems with nonlinear terms admitting an incremental rate depending on the measured output.A case study further verifies the validity of the proposed research.

Estimation of IIR Systems with Binary-Valued Observations

Estimation and control problems with binary-valued observations exist widely in practical systems.However,most of the related works are devoted to finite impulse response(FIR for short)systems,and the theoretical problem of infinite impulse response(IIR for short)systems has been less explored.To study the estimation problems of IIR systems with binary-valued observations,the authors introduce a projected recursive estimation algorithm and analyse its global convergence properties,by using the stochastic Lyapunov function methods and the limit theory on double array martingales.It is shown that the estimation algorithm has similar convergence results as those for FIR systems under a weakest possible non-persistent excitation condition.Moreover,the upper bound for the accumulated regret of adaptive prediction is also established without resorting to any excitation condition.

Adaptive feedback control for nonlinear triangular systems subject to uncertain asymmetric dead-zone input

In this paper,an adaptive control strategy is proposed to investigate the issue of uncertain dead-zone input for nonlinear triangular systems with unknown nonlinearities.The considered system has no precise priori knowledge about the dead-zone feature and growth rate of nonlinearity.Firstly,a dynamic gain is introduced to deal with the unknown growth rate,and the dead-zone characteristic is processed by the adaptive estimation approach without constructing the dead-zone inverse.Then,by virtue of hyperbolic functions and sign functions,a new adaptive state feedback controller is proposed to guarantee the global boundedness of all signals in the closed-loop system.Moreover,the uncertain dead-zone input problem for nonlinear upper-triangular systems is solved by the similar control strategy.Finally,two simulation examples are given to verify the effectiveness of the control scheme.

Adaptive Statistical Spatial Downscaling of Precipitation Supported by High-Resolution Atmospheric Simulation Data for Mountainous Areas of Nepal

In complex terrain regions, it is very challenging to obtain high accuracy and resolution precipitation data that are required in land hydrological studies. In this study, an adaptive precipitation downscaling method is proposed based on the statistical downscaling model MicroMet. A key input parameter in the MicroMet is the precipitation adjustment factor(PAF) that shows the elevation dependence of precipitation. Its value is estimated conventionally based on station observations and suffers sparse stations in high altitudes. This study proposes to estimate the PAF value and its spatial variability with precipitation data from high-resolution atmospheric simulations and tests the idea in Nepal of South Himalayas, where rainfall stations are relatively dense. The result shows that MicroMet performs the best with the PAF value estimated from the simulation data at the scale of approximately 1.5 degrees. Not only the value at this scale is qualitatively consistent with early knowledge obtained from intensive observations, but also the downscaling performance with this value is better than or comparable to that with the PAF estimated from dense station data. Finally, it is shown that the PAF estimation, although critical, cannot replace the importance of increasing input station density for downscaling.