大锻件统计学Chi-square test的研究和应用

根据大锻件生产的特点和统计学的基本理论方法,首次深入浅出地论述了大锻件的Chi-square test,即X2检验,并给出了具体应用示例。该方法可用于大锻件工艺参数的科学分析和生产验证,可用于大锻件质量分析和判断,可帮助逐步建立起大锻件的工序能力,帮助实现稳定并提升大锻件工艺和质量控制水平。

Use of Pearson’s Chi-Square for Testing Equality of Percentile Profiles across Multiple Populations

In large sample studies where distributions may be skewed and not readily transformed to symmetry, it may be of greater interest to compare different distributions in terms of percentiles rather than means. For example, it may be more informative to compare two or more populations with respect to their within population distributions by testing the hypothesis that their corresponding respective 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles are equal. As a generalization of the median test, the proposed test statistic is asymptotically distributed as Chi-square with degrees of freedom dependent upon the number of percentiles tested and constraints of the null hypothesis. Results from simulation studies are used to validate the nominal 0.05 significance level under the null hypothesis, and asymptotic power properties that are suitable for testing equality of percentile profiles against selected profile discrepancies for a variety of underlying distributions. A pragmatic example is provided to illustrate the comparison of the percentile profiles for four body mass index distributions.

A Simple Chi-Square Statistic for Testing Homogeneity of Zero-Inflated Distributions

Zero-inflated distributions are common in statistical problems where there is interest in testing homogeneity of two or more independent groups. Often, the underlying distribution that has an inflated number of zero-valued observations is asymmetric, and its functional form may not be known or easily characterized. In this case, comparisons of the groups in terms of their respective percentiles may be appropriate as these estimates are nonparametric and more robust to outliers and other irregularities. The median test is often used to compare distributions with similar but asymmetric shapes but may be uninformative when there are excess zeros or dissimilar shapes. For zero-inflated distributions, it is useful to compare the distributions with respect to their proportion of zeros, coupled with the comparison of percentile profiles for the observed non-zero values. A simple chi-square test for simultaneous testing of these two components is proposed, applicable to both continuous and discrete data. Results of simulation studies are reported to summarize empirical power under several scenarios. We give recommendations for the minimum sample size which is necessary to achieve suitable test performance in specific examples.

Large Deviations and Moderate Deviations for the Chi-Square Test in Type Ⅱ Error

We study the asymptotics tot the statistic of chi-square in type Ⅱ error. By the contraction principle, the large deviations and moderate deviations are obtained, and the rate function of moderate deviations can be calculated explicitly which is a squared function.

Chi-Square Distribution: New Derivations and Environmental Application

We describe two new derivations of the chi-square distribution. The first derivation uses the induction method, which requires only a single integral to calculate. The second derivation uses the Laplace transform and requires minimum assumptions. The new derivations are compared with the established derivations, such as by convolution, moment generating function, and Bayesian inference. The chi-square testing has seen many applications to physics and other fields. We describe a unique version of the chi-square test where both the variance and location are tested, which is then applied to environmental data. The chi-square test is used to make a judgment whether a laboratory method is capable of detection of gross alpha and beta radioactivity in drinking water for regulatory monitoring to protect health of population. A case of a failure of the chi-square test and its amelioration are described. The chi-square test is compared to and supplemented by the t-test.

Goodness-of-Fit Test for Non-Stationary and Strongly Dependent Samples

In this article we improve a goodness-of-fit test, of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov type, for equally distributed- but not stationary-strongly dependent data. The test is based on the asymptotic behavior of the empirical process, which is much more complex than in the classical case. Applications to simulated data and discussion of the obtained results are provided. This is, to the best of our knowledge, the first result providing a general goodness of fit test for non-weakly dependent data.

偏态分布截断参数的经验Bayes检验

偏态分布是对称分布的一种推广,在实际生活中应用广泛,其中截断参数对界定偏态分布的边界具有重要意义.文中基于经验Bayes检验方法,研究了偏态分布截断参数的假设检验问题.考虑普通Bayes检验中先验密度的未知性和不确定性,利用递归核估计的密度函数代替未知的先验密度函数.定义检验的加权线性损失函数,从而更好地刻画了决策风险.在给定条件下证明了所提出检验函数的渐近最优性,同时给出确定的收敛速度.最后通过实例验证了文中的理论结果.

部分排水条件下静力触探试验力学机理研究

在自然状态下,大部分土体的约束条件介于完全排水和不排水两者之间。在孔压静力触探试验(piezocone penetrationtest,CPTU)的贯入过程中,受探头尺寸、贯入速度和岩土材料等因素的影响,将发生部分排水现象。为研究排水条件对CPTU试验数据的影响,开展三轴压缩试验。引入应变增量比,建立考虑渐近状态的修正剑桥(Modified Cam-Clay,MCC)模型。推导考虑渐近状态MCC模型的柱孔扩张理论,提出CPTU测试数据的力学模型。通过数值模拟和模型槽试验,研究归一化贯入速度与排水系数的规律。结合CPTU数据的力学模型,获得应变增量比与排水系数的数理关系。最后以上海市苏州河地区深层排水调蓄管道系统工程的测试数据为背景,验证力学模型的正确性。结果表明:在部分排水条件下,利用考虑渐近状态的MCC模型,能够描述土体的应力-应变关系,合理解释CPTU贯入的力学机理。

Association between people’s attitudes towards human-elephant conflict and their locational,demographic,and socio-economic characteristics in Buxa Tiger Reserve and its adjoining area,India

“Human-elephant conflict(HEC)”,the alarming issue,in present day context has attracted the attention of environmentalists and policy makers.The rising conflict between human beings and wild elephants is common in Buxa Tiger Reserve(BTR)and its adjoining area in West Bengal State,India,making the area volatile.People’s attitudes towards elephant conservation activity are very crucial to get rid of HEC,because people’s proximity with wild elephants’habitat can trigger the occurrence of HEC.The aim of this study is to conduct an in-depth investigation about the association of people’s attitudes towards HEC with their locational,demographic,and socio-economic characteristics in BTR and its adjoining area by using Pearson’s bivariate chi-square test and binary logistic regression analysis.BTR is one of the constituent parts of Eastern Doors Elephant Reserve(EDER).We interviewed 500 respondents to understand their perceptions to HEC and investigated their locational,demographic,and socio-economic characteristics including location of village,gender,age,ethnicity,religion,caste,poverty level,education level,primary occupation,secondary occupation,household type,and source of firewood.The results indicate that respondents who are living in enclave forest villages(EFVs),peripheral forest villages(PFVs),corridor village(CVs),or forest and corridor villages(FCVs),mainly males,at the age of 18–48 years old,engaged with agriculture occupation,and living in kancha and mixed houses,have more likelihood to witness HEC.Besides,respondents who are illiterate or at primary education level are more likely to regard elephant as a main problematic animal around their villages and refuse to participate in elephant conservation activity.For the sake of a sustainable environment for both human beings and wildlife,people’s attitudes towards elephants must be friendly in a more prudent way,so that the two communities can live in harmony.

Practical integrated navigation fault detection algorithm based on sequential hypothesis testing

In detecting system fault algorithms,the false alarm rate and undectect rate generated by residual Chi-square test can affect the stability of filters.The paper proposes a fault detection algorithm based on sequential residual Chi-square test and applies to fault detection of an integrated navigation system.The simulation result shows that the algorithm can accurately detect the fault information of global positioning system（GPS）,eliminate the influence of false alarm and missed detection on filter,and enhance fault tolerance of integrated navigation systems.

Estimation for constant-stress accelerated life test from generalized half-normal distribution

In the constant-stress accelerated life test, estimation issues are discussed for a generalized half-normal distribution under a log-linear life-stress model. The maximum likelihood estimates with the corresponding fixed point type iterative algorithm for unknown parameters are presented, and the least square estimates of the parameters are also proposed. Meanwhile, confidence intervals of model parameters are constructed by using the asymptotic theory and bootstrap technique. Numerical illustration is given to investigate the performance of our methods.

New Stability Tests of Positive Standard and Fractional Linear Systems

New tests for checking asymptotic stability of positive 1D continuous-time and discrete-time linear systems without and with delays and of positive 2D linear systems described by the general and the Roesser models are proposed. Checking of the asymptotic stability of positive 2D linear systems is reduced to checking of suitable corresponding 1D positive linear systems. It is shown that the stability tests can be also applied to checking the asymptotic stability of fractional discrete-time linear systems with delays. Effectiveness of the tests is shown on numerical examples.

One-sided empirical Bayes test for location parameter in Gamma distribution

In this paper, we devote to constructing the one-sided empirical Bayes(EB) test for the location parameter in the Gamma distribution by nonparametric method. Under some mild conditions, we prove that the EB test is asymptotically optimal with the rate of the order O(n^(-δs/(2s+1))), where 1/2 ≤ δ < 1 and s > 1 is a given natural number. An example is also given to illustrate that the conditions of the main theorems are easily satisfied.

APPROXIMATE POWER OF HETEROSCEDASTICITY TEST IN NONLINEAR MODELS WITH ARIMA（0,1,0） ERRORS

This paper presents an approach for estimating power of the score test, based on an asymptotic approximation to the power of the score test under contiguous alternatives. The method is applied to the problem of power calculations for the score test of heteroscedasticity in European rabbit data （Ratkowsky, 1983）. Simulation studies are presented which indicate that the asymptotic approximation to the finite-sample situation is good over a wide range of parameter configurations.

Deriving CDF of Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test Statistic

In this review article, we revisit derivation of the cumulative density function (CDF) of the test statistic of the one-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Even though several such proofs already exist, they often leave out essential details necessary for proper understanding of the individual steps. Our goal is filling in these gaps, to make our presentation accessible to advanced undergraduates. We also propose a simple formula capable of approximating the exact distribution to a sufficient accuracy for any practical sample size.

MAXIMUM TEST FOR A SEQUENCE OF QUADRATIC FORM STATISTICS ABOUT SCORE TEST IN LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL

This article proposes the maximum test for a sequence of quadratic form statistics about score test in logistic regression model which can be applied to genetic and medicine fields.Theoretical properties about the maximum test are derived.Extensive simulation studies are conducted to testify powers robustness of the maximum test compared to other two existed test.We also apply the maximum test to a real dataset about multiple gene variables association analysis.

High Moments Jarque-Bera Tests for Arbitrary Distribution Functions

The Jarque-Bera’s fitting test for normality is a celebrated and powerful one. In this paper, we consider general Jarque-Bera tests for any distribution function (df) having at least 4k finite moments for k ≥ 2. The tests use as many moments as possible whereas the JB classical test is supposed to test only skewness and kurtosis for normal variates. But our results unveil the relations between the coeffients in the JB classical test and the moments, showing that it really depends on the first eight moments. This is a new explanation for the powerfulness of such tests. General Chi-square tests for an arbitrary model, not only normal, are also derived. We make use of the modern functional empirical processes approach that makes it easier to handle statistics based on the high moments and allows the generalization of the JB test both in the number of involved moments and in the underlying distribution. Simulation studies are provided and comparison cases with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov’s tests and the classical JB test are given.

Multiple Objective Test Design for Accelerated Destructive Degradation Tests

Accelerated destructive degradation tests(ADDTs)are powerful to provide reliability information in the degradation processes with destructive measurements.In order to carry out an ADDT efficiently,both the estimation precision of parameters and the test cost should be considered.On the basis of the given degradation model and failure criterion,a multiple-objective optimization model for the design of ADDTs is proposed.Under constrains of the maximum measurement time,the total sample size and the number of stress levels,a comprehensive target function is suggested to reflect both the precision of lifetime estimation and total cost,and the optimal test plan is obtained,which is composed by optimal choices for samples size,measurement frequency,and the number of measurements at each stress level.A real example is illustrated to demonstrate the implementation of the proposed approach.

Modified likelihood ratio test for homogeneity in normal mixtures with two samples

This paper investigates the modified likelihood ratio test（LRT） for homogeneity in normal mixtures of two samples with mixing proportions unknown. It is proved that the limit distribution of the modified likelihood ratio test is X^2（1）.